12-18-11

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Temple (New Mexico Bowl) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Carolina Panthers. The deficit is 2984 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

775- 565 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play 17-5 run Sun: NE Pats -7

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Seahawks/Bears under 35.5

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

under 38 bet. Cleveland and Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

St Louis/ Cincinnati Over 38.5: I know this is a pathetic offense by the Rams, but I feel they still have the potential to put some points on the board in this one. It looks as if Kellen Clemens will get the start far the Rams in this one and he has had a full week to prepare for the game. With nothing to play for I really expect the Rams to open it up with Clemens behind center and they should find the going easier vs a Cincinnati defense that has allowed 25 ppg in their last 3 games. The Bengal offense has been sputtering of late as they come in averaging just 16.3 ppg in their last 3 games, but they should get their offense going today vs a ST Louis defense that ranks 25th overall, 32nd vs the run and 25th in points allowed. The Rams have really been rocked of late as they have allowed 26.3 ppg and 374 ypg in their last 3 games. The Rams last week showed that they can be moistake prone, which led to a few easy scores by Seattle and that should continue here vs this opportunistic Bengals defense. I expect angry Bengals sguad to take their frustrations on on this bad St Louis defense and pile on some points, while Clemens will jump start this St Louis offense and get their fair share of points vs a Bengals defense hat seems to be out of gass right now. This one should eclipse 45 points. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play the Over if a road team is off a loss as a favorite and they have a winning record on the year. This plays is 51-18 the last 5+ seasons.

4 UNIT PLAY

New Orleans -8.5 over MINNESOTA: The Saints still have a lot to play for this year as they are tied with San Fran for the #2 seed in the NFC, plus this saints offense would love no more than to get Drew Brees the NFL record for passing yards in a season. We all know the powerful offense the Saints have so no use in going over their numbers, but we can discuss the numbers of the defense they will be going up against for a moment. The Vikings doi come in 9th vs the run and 18th overall, but they have struggled vs the pass allowing 248.8 ypg (26th) and thanks to a mistake prone offense that has put their defense in bad field position they have allowed 28 ppg overall and 31 ppg in their last 3 games. The Vikings may try and run the ball with their 4th ranked ground attack, but they are playing a Saints team that will be looking to put up alot of points, so running the ball wouldn't be good enough. Minnesota will have to throw the ball here and while the Saints are 30th vs the pass, i just don't see the 26th ranked Minnesota passing attack coming up with enough plays to keep this one close. It's not about running up the score here, but the Saints will be taking on a pathetic pass defense that is really banged up and they will just score and score as they look to keep pace with the Niners and help Brees move closer to the record. The Vikes will not have enough offense to keep this one close.

3 UNIT PLAYS

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

New England/ Denver Over 47: The Pats have been watching the last few weeks and have been hearing all about the late miracle comebacks that Tebow has engineered so you can bet that this team will look to put up enough points so that he can't come back. The Pats offense has been unstoppable in their last 5 games as they have put up 34.8 ppg over that stretch. Brady has been nearly perfect during the surge, throwing for 314 YPG, 13 TD and just one interception. TE Rob Gronkowski has caught nine of these TD passes, and now has 15 on the season, an NFL record for tight ends. Brady also has the league’s receiving leader, Wes Welker (1,339 yards), at his disposal. The Broncos have played better defense of late, but mostly thanks to their offense keeping the ball so much, as that has allowed their defense to be fresher, but they have allowed 23.7 ppg and 338 ypg at home this year and they did allow a weak Minnesota offense to put up 489 yards and 32 points just 2 weeks ago. The Patriots could do alot worse. Denver has been winning with a ground game and defense, but they will have to open up the playbook if they hope to stay close to this Patriots team that has their offensive swagger back. Patriot games have averaged 51.6 ppg this year, while their road games have averaged 55.9 mppg and 56 points is just about were I expect this game to land. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Over when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points and a team (Denver) has covered the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team. (30-4 over the last 5 seasons.)


HOUSTON -6 over Carolina: This Houston team has been on a roll despite all the injuries they have faced on offense. The Panthers played well ve Tampa Bay and Indy on the road, but this is still a bad football team with a bad defense that will have a problem stopping TJ Yates and Houston in this one. The carolina defense is 24th overall, 23 vs the run and 293 in points allowed (27.3 ppg). That run defense will have a problem stopping this Houston ground game that is 2nd in the league and led by Arian Foster. Then once the Panthers start to crowd the box, TJ Yates will have some easy throws down field. The Panthers and cam Newton started out on fire on offense, but he still has just an 81 passer ratining and he has thrown 15 TD passes vs 16 INT's. He really makes too many mistakes and that's not good news when your about to face the top defense in the league. Houston wrapped up their division last week, but they are still in a fight for a Bye so i still expect them to be fully focused here. I look for a DD win by them today.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Tennessee/ Indianapolis Under 41.5: This should be an ugly game with a lot of running and more defense than offense. The OU is 2-11 the last 13 in the series and 3-10 in Tennessee's last 13 vs the AFC South. Without Peyton the Colts have had one of the worst offenses in the league this year as they have scored 14.2 ppg overall and just 15.3 ppg at home. The Titans have been average at best on offense this year as they have put up just 20.5 ppg overall and 20 ppg in their last 4. The Titans have found that running the ball has led to wins and they will do so here vs a Colts defense that is 30th in te league vs the run (140 ypg). The Titans defense has not allowed much this year (19.3 ppg) and I just don't see this Indy offense getting much off of them here. I look for a game in the mid 30s at best.


PHILADELPHIA -3 over NY Jets: No mater what Rex Ryan says his team is not a good team. The Jets may have beat up on KC, Washington and buffalo in the last 3 weeks, but this Eagles team is not in the class of those bad teams, even with their 5-8 Record. Last week the Eagles played a solid game with Mike Vick Back as they beat a hot Miami squad 26-10. Philadelphia may not have a shot at the playoffs, but they will still look to finish the season strong and they with come up with enough points to put away this Jets team that has been overrated all year.

1 UNIT PLAY

Kansas City/ Green Bay Over 45.5: Green Bay has totaled 236 points (39.3 PPG) in its past six games and QB Aaron Rodgers (39 TD, 6 INT) has thrown for 19 touchdowns in this span. Kyle Orton will look to jump start this KC offense and he had a good game earlier vs the Pack (with Denver), throwing for 273 yards with 3 TD's and 3 INT's.I don't expect 72 points like the last time Orton Faced the Pack, but this game should hit the 50's.

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 47-34 +28.50%

305 3% WASHINGTON +6.5
308 3% KANSAS CITY +13.5
310 3% MINNESOTA +7
316 3% HOUSTON –5.5
322 3% OAKLAND +1 No higher than -1
324 3% DENVER +7.5 Must get at least +7.5
326 3% PHILADELPHIA –2.5 No higher than –3
310 3% NEW ORLEANS/MINNESOTA OVER 51.5
324 3% NEW ENGLAND/DENVER OVER 46



COLLEGE BOWLS

YTD 0-0%

202 1.5% WYOMING +7
204 1.5% OHIO +1 Must be a dog

[Mr. IWS]

Falcon Sports

Top Program Plays for today

NYG -6 2 units
NYJ +120 2 units
Balt -135 2 units

[Mr. IWS]

Budin - new England buy half

[Mr. IWS]

Benton - oakland

[Mr. IWS]

Football Handicapper
NYG, Phil

[Mr. IWS]

Fargo
KC, Minn, Bears, Oak, SD

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Tennessee Titans -6.5 over Indianapolis Colts

[Mr. IWS]

GOLDSHEET:

Houston by 18 over Caro 34-16

Denver by 6 over NE 28-22

OVER the total in Det/Oak 33-27

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Columbus Blue Jackets + St Louis Blues OVER 5

[Mr. IWS]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Oregon +2 over Virginia