Friday 2/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:37 AM

Meet the Contenders: Friday’s Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park

A field of 13 has waited an additional week for the $1 million Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park. Mother Nature hopefully has relented enough to see this one out on Friday. The second of 4 races on the Arkansas Derby trail could be the deepest Triple Crown prep so far in 2026.

Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take part Friday in a $10 money-back special promotion on both the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn as well as Aqueduct’s similarly rescheduled Withers Stakes. Get up $10 back on win bets that finish second or third in either race.

Let’s meet the contenders for the Southwest Stakes (Race 11):

#1-RECLAMATION: Second-start maiden breaker stretches out from sprint-to-route while making his stakes debut for Christopher Davis. Must make up 13 lengths on Southwest rival D’code from their common debut races Dec. 14. Ramon Vazquez rides.

#2-D’CODE: Smashing Dec. 14 debut sprint winner by 8-1/4 lengths in a lightning 1:09-3/5. This $775,000 yearling buy by Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Speightstown takes the class and distance rise in one swoop. Luis Saez won the 2021 Southwest aboard Essential Quality and has the call for the first time aboard this Ray Ashford Jr. trainee.

#3-BUETANE: Scratched from last week’s Holy Bull at Gulfstream due to travel cancellation. Trainer Bob Baffert has a record 6 Southwest victories to his credit. Grade 1 Hopeful and Grade 2 San Vicente runner-up makes his first start around 2 turns. Jockey Juan Hernandez jumps seats to ride Litmus Test and not this $1.15 million son of Belmont winner Tiz the Law.

#4-RANCHO SANTA FE: One-paced, wide trip in the Smarty Jones Stakes when finishing fifth at 5-2 odds. Flavien Prat takes over the mount aboard the Tapit colt who is half-brother to millionaire earner Heroic Move. Trainer Brad Cox won the 2021 Southwest with champion 2-year-old and eventual Belmont Stakes winner Essential Quality. The Cox barn finished fourth here last year with 4-5 favorite Patch Adams.

#5-LITMUS TEST: Reportedly will scratch.

#6-CIRCLE TAP: Fifth-start maiden graduate exits a Dec. 27 victory in his first try at Oaklawn. Jockey Ricardo Santana Jr. won this race in 2020 aboard Silver Prospector and 2014 aboard Tapiture. $335,000 juvenile purchase by Twirling Candy has wintered at Oaklawn for Dallas Stewart.

#7-LIBERTY NATIONAL: Rallying second-place finisher in the Gun Runner Stakes last out, where he’s spent the winter at Fair Grounds. Trainer Kenny McPeek won this race in 2024 with eventual Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan. This $525,000 colt by Maxfield has a Jan. 17 bullet workout in New Orleans and will be ridden again by Brian Hernandez Jr.

#8-SPIRIT OF ROYAL: After 5 unsuccessful sprints, this Dallas Stewart trainee found maiden success when stretched out to a mile at Oaklawn on Jan. 2. Francisco Arrieta will be back aboard the late-running Global Campaign colt as he makes his stakes debut.

#9-STRATEGIC RISK (pictured): Two-turn dynamo since stretching out in the Florida Sire Stakes In Reality at Gulfstream and last out in the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn. Won those by 13-1/2 combined lengths in flashy style. Since both races were first run in 2008, Far Right in 2015 is the only Smarty Jones winner to also add the Southwest trophy. Red-hot trainer Mark Casse gets Javier Castellano back from Florida to once again ride this colt grandson of Belmont Stakes winners Birdstone and Afleet Alex.

#10-BRICKLIN: $450,000 Nyquist colt has alternated losses and wins through 4 starts, scoring an Oaklawn allowance over a mile Jan. 3 most recently. Trainer Rodolphe Brisset loses jockey Cristian Torres to Silent Tactic on Friday, opting for Jaime Torres in replacement.

#11-SILENT TACTIC: Rallying runner-up in the Smarty Jones Stakes at 14-1 odds will be more on the radar this time for a Mark Casse barn that continues to sizzle. He’s routed around 2 turns in all 3 starts, including a Woodbine synthetic win and runner-up there in the Grey Stakes. Cristian Torres swaps saddles with Jaime Torres (Bricklin) from their previous assignments.

#12-BAYTOWN DREAMER: Longshot third in the Smarty Jones at 84-1 odds, his lone victory in 9 starts to date came on turf at Ellis Park in July. Paul McEntee trains the colt by Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Mendelssohn. Orlando Bocachica returns for the mount.

#13-SOLDIER N DIPLOMAT: Saratoga and Churchill juvenile winner makes his 3YO debut after a third-place effort in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. Steve Asmussen has trained 3 Southwest winners, most recently Silver Prospector in 2020. Jose Ortiz rode him to his debut win at the Spa and returns for the first time since. $950,000 juvenile buy by Army Mule is a grandson of millionaire sprint mare Miraculous Miss.

#14-SLEEPINGONFREEDOM: Fourth-place Smarty Jones Stakes finisher was drawn widest that day in a field of 8 and once again Friday in post 14. Trainer Kenny McPeek and jockey Emmanuel Esquivel won this race in 2024 with eventual Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan. Independence Day colt posted Keeneland and Churchill restricted victories in back-to-back starts prior to the Smarty Jones.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:38 AM

Frank Carulli: Sunset 6 $43K Carryover Analysis | Friday, February 6, 2026

“Turf’s up” at Gulfstream and Santa Anita Park this Friday. Pick the winner of four turf races and you will be two-thirds of the way toward hitting the Sunset 6 wager that started the week with a lucrative $43K carryover pool. It’s a $1 bet, spanning the last three races at both tracks. Here’s a closer look:

GP 8th race (3:50 p.m. EST) -- COCO ABARRIO broke last and remained last when shuffled back into the turn, but she gathered momentum in early stretch, closed with a 7-wide rush for second and galloped out in front of the winning favorite. She’s a must use in this 5F turf sprint. SHADES OF JADE is undervalued as the 5-2 morning-line favorite, but she completes the first leg of the Sunset 6 sequence, nonetheless. She was confidently handled by Irad Ortiz Jr. in her seasonal debut, pressing the leader through moderate fractions while in-hand before separating from the field at the 1/8 pole.

GP 9th race (4:20 p.m. EST) -- AIR FORCE CRUISING embarked on a 3-for-4 winning streak off a similar layoff last winter. Her only setback was against Ms Tart (7-22, $365k), who won a Grade 3 turf stakes soon after. She is well-spotted to win again on her preferred synthetic surface. RACHEL’S COACH also starts fresh with a blazing :34-3/5 workout over the track. She has six wins and five of her rivals today have two each. She finished last when last seen, but faced the likes of the aforementioned Ms Tart, sprint terror Rezasrolex, a winner of nine consecutive races, and Chrome Ghost (6-20, $239k), who posted back-to-back 90-plus Beyers in high-priced optional claiming victories at Gulfstream and Tampa Bay Downs this winter.

GP 10th race (4:51 p.m. EST) -- LOMAX rallied mildly into a soft pace in his first start for a tag. He was claimed from Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher, but he will remain a popular Sunset 6 selection the way new conditioner Carlos David has been winning lately. David is 16-for-48 off the claim and 6-for-16 with the “blinkers off” angle. ASTIN STYLE also enters a hot barn, with a recent photo-finish setback in a higher-tagged, one-mile turf race summon. Trainer Philip Antonacci is 5-17 with turf starters since 2025. MAKE ME FAMOUS exits MSW company, stretches out and changes surfaces for his third start. He finished behind odds-on stablemate Skellig Michael two starts back and next-out MSW winner He’s a Beast. OPERATNTHUNDERBOLT, surrounded by a trio of deep closers at this level after setting a 1:09-3/5 pace for 6F, hasn’t raced since that May grass route but is worth using as a longshot play.

SA 7th race (6:33 p.m. EST) -- VANCOUGAR has two wins, a fast-closing third from post 11 and a troubled third as the favorite last out in his last four starts on a firm Santa Anita lawn. TESSUTO shook a 3-way duel inside the 1/8 pole and held off a fast-closing rival to prevail at 6F on the main track. He showed little in two turf tests at Santa Anita, but new trainer Jeff Mullins sees something that he likes. SMART CODE is piling up the checks, puts the blinkers back on and projects an ideal stalking trip at a suitable distance. AMERICAN GLORY was the closest pursuer of three-peat winner Captain Choochies, but he settled for second best with a career-best 88 Beyer last out.

SA 8th race (7:03 p.m. EST) -- OUR MOONLIGHT, third behind Grade 3 winner Cash Call and multiple graded stakes-placed Howin last year as a 2-year-old, unwound too late to finish second at 6-1/2F in her return from a six-month layoff. She galloped out in front of the upset winner, who got first run off the dueling leaders. She adds blinkers and goes one mile for the first time for a high-percentage barn with these types. RUNAMILEINMYSHOES led at every call in two one-mile allowance tests on the main track. She was claimed on the class hike for $50,000 and returns to the dirt.

SA 9th race (7:43 p.m. EST) -- SILLY RABIT had a horror trip when he won through disqualification to launch his career at Laurel Park last April. He tracked a snails-like pace at Del Mar two starts ago, only to be ‘turned away’ by the front-end 5-to-1 winner. He drops in claiming price and holds a tactical advantage today in a field that lacks quality speed. Make him a solo play to close out the Sunset 6.

Suggested $1 Ticket

GP 8th Race: 2, 8
GP 9th Race: 3, 4
GP 10th Race: 2, 3, 5, 9
SA 7th Race: 1, 2, 3, 7
SA 8th Race: 1, 4
SA 9th Race: 4

Cost: $128

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:39 AM

Scott Shapiro: Triple Crown Prep Selections/Analysis | February 6-7, 2026

After mother nature made life difficult for thoroughbred racing across most of the country last weekend, we have a big week of Triple Crown preps on the horizon. The Withers and Southwest (G3) were rescheduled for Friday, while the two originally scheduled qualifiers go as planned on Saturday afternoon in Tampa and Southern California. To celebrate the big weekend, 1/ST BET and Xpressbet are dropping a Money Back promotion to take us all the way to mid-April. Just register for the new promo and get up to $10 back on your Win bet if your horse finishes second or third. There are four cracks at the offer this week. Here are my thoughts on the four preps:

Withers, Aqueduct, Friday Race 10 (4:20 pm ET)

This 9-furlong event for $200k kicks off the prep action for the weekend and should see an honest pace at the very least. This should bode well for the lone maiden entered #1 Grittiness. The Curlin colt did not perform well against a much stronger group in the Remsen (G2) with the addition of blinkers for the first time, so Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher takes the shades right back off for this guy’s second stakes try. Two-back he finished well to earn second to odds-on favorite Courting and should get a much better trip and setup this time under Ricardo Santana, Jr. His lack of wins should result in a playable price on the Repole Stable runner.

Play: #1 Grittiness (9-2 ML)

Southwest (G3), Oaklawn, Friday Race 11 (5:40 pm ET)

The deepest of the four preps this weekend undoubtedly will occur in Arkansas on Friday afternoon. The $1M Southwest (G3) at 1 1/16-miles drew a field of 14 originally, but 5-2-ML favorite #5 Litmus Test did not make the trip to Hot Springs. Despite the Nyquist colt’s omission, there should be an extremely honest early pace with #1 Reclamation, #2 D’Code, and #3 Buetane all drawn down on the inside with little choice, but to go from the jump. This should set the table for an off-the-pace runner like #4 Rancho Santa Fe. The Gary & Mary West Stables homebred rattled off two wins in Kentucky to kick off his career before a disappointing effort in the Smarty Jones to start his 2026 season. I am willing to forgive the performance though because not only did Rancho Santa Fe not get an ideal setup, but more importantly he was on the wrong part of the track throughout on a day where the inside was clearly best. I am expecting a big bounce back effort given the likely fast pace to run at, the inside draw, and a rider upgrade to Flavien Prat.

Play: #4 Rancho Santa Fe (15-1 ML)

Sam F. Davis, Tampa Bay, Saturday Race 11 (5:30 pm ET)

The first of two originally scheduled Triple Crown preps goes as the final race on a solid 11-race card in Oldsmar where I am hopeful it is “go time” for #6 Renegade. The regally bred son of Into Mischief has yet to earn a win through 3 starts, but that is not something I am holding against him. He crossed the wire first two-back in a MSW against the highly regarded Palladin, but was placed second through DQ before being defeated on the square by the Chad Brown trainee in the Remsen (G2). However, that was also forgivable since Renegade came into the early December race on a less-than-ideal training pattern. Todd Pletcher has won this race a record 7 times and Renegade looks ready to fire his best shot on Saturday afternoon.

Play: #6 Renegade

Robert B. Lewis (G3), Saturday Santa Anita, Race 8 (7:05 pm ET)

Trainer Bob Baffert has won the Robert B. Lewis (G3) an eye-popping 13 times and holds a strong hand once again in this year’s Grade 3 event at one mile. The Hall of Fame conditioner sends out 3 led by 6-5-ML favorite #1 Desert Gate. The Omaha Beach colt ran first or second in all four starts as a 2YO, including a runner-up effort to #4 Intrepido when we saw him race last in the American Pharoah (G1 and has been training extremely well heading into his 3YO debut. He is the one to beat, but I will take a swing with his stablemate #3 Cherokee Nation. The $1.15M Keeneland September 2024 purchase has yet to cross the wire first, but was clearly best last out when breaking terribly and still almost getting to wire-to-wire winner #6 Robusta. Baffert thought enough of this colt to send him to Kentucky last fall for the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) and his recency could be a big edge on Saturday afternoon.

Play: #3 Cherokee Nation (5-1 ML)

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:40 AM

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

Santa Anita Park - Race #1

#1 Pantages	She has been working forwardly enough to think she might be able to make some noise, and this feels like a pretty reasonable spot for the debut run. Check her out on the track and tote.
#2 Olivia	Couple of fading route runs so far, but there may be some upside while turning back and getting in for a tag for the first time. Enough to like.
#6 Sugar Reign	She stayed in the mix into the lane in the debut run at 37/1, and she might be able to sustain her pace a bit better this time around with a good outside draw waiting for her on the drop.
Race Summary	Pantages goes first time out in what feels like a modest enough race for the level, and there isn't a whole lot of finishing punch. Maybe she can gut it out?

Santa Anita Park - Race #8

#3 Time to Shine	Tactical pace needs her very best to handle a couple of capable players, but she might find a really good spot right up on the splits in a race without a ton of speed.
#4 Runamileinmyshoes	She's likely to sit closer here than she did last time out, and she has flashed some speed in the past that suggests she should be in line for a good run of things in this small group.
#1 Our Moonlight	Her dirt form has been pretty honest and has already landed her a Grade III placing, and she might not get outrun early while stretching out.
Race Summary	Interested to see how the pace shakes out here -- not a ton of serious pace in this small group, and it's easy to see three of them stacking up into the far turn while seeing who can make their middle move last.

Santa Anita Park - Race #9

#1 Uncle Evco	He has been maybe a touch better along the way than some of the cheaper lines suggest, and he's a good fit with this crew while getting away from a couple of tough customers from that starter spot last out.
#2 Precision	Dropper makes a lot of sense after a couple of stakes tries, but this is also a decent drop off a long layoff which is always a cause for pause.
#6 Prince Dolce	Have chased this guy a bit at prices in some of those recent starts, and his baseline stuff might hit hard at this reduced level. Not sure I'd want to be here at something like the 9/5 ML offering, though.
Race Summary	Uncle Evco exits a tougher spot and wasn't totally embarrassed there, and I think he's going to prove a good fit with this crew while saving some ground in behind.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:40 AM

FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#8 MAITRE D (2-1)	Won in ‘triple key’ sprint from which he was claimed, has shown passing gear.
#6 IMAPEPPA (10-1)	Four seconds in last six starts, gets in light-weighted again, use in gimmicks.
#10 BREEZER (4-1)	‘Idled’ at top of lane but re-grouped with late surge for another near miss.
Race Summary	MAITRE D controlled the pace and pulled away under mild urging at this distance for his first win in a year. He runs for half the price off the claim and starts as a first-time gelding. But his status as the favorite was strengthened when three of the rivals he defeated won next out with an average 68 Beyer. Bet to win and place and play a 6, 8/6, 8, 10/ALL trifecta.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#6 SWEET LAZARUS (7-2)	Gets one more chance to carry his speed at a new distance.
#3 SEA GOD (5-2)	Blew past the 4-to-5 favorite with blinkers on, geared down late.
#7 FLAG OFFICER (2-1)	Maiden romp in 20th start was 1-2/5 slower than $8k/nw3 race that followed.
Race Summary	SWEET LAZARUS led after a half-mile at various distances in his last five starts, holding on only for a maiden win. But with comments such as ‘bumped at the start’ and ‘carved out decent fractions’ and ‘kept trying,’ he gets the call in this spot as the potential lone speed. Bet to win and place and play a 3-6 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #0

#1 LATE NIGHT TEXT (5-2)	Met pair of sharp, next-out MSW winners, takes some catching in here.
#6 ALLURING BEAUTY (10-1)	Useful debut at Presque Isle but race came back weak, bred to go long.
#7 TENDER TEMPER (3-1)	Was 4- to 6-wide from post 12 again, winner was stakes-placed in follow-up.
Race Summary	LATE NIGHT TEXT gets Lasix and removes the blinkers for her first start beyond 7F. She met sharp next-out winners in her last two starts, four months apart. She can make maximum use of her speed from the rail in this spot. Bet to win and place and play 1-6 and 1-7 exactas.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:41 AM

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - February 6

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (8) Maitre D takes a worrisome drop off a win and a claim but seems best here. (10) Breezer missed by a neck last time and should be a main contender. (2) Mensa may welcome a return to Tapeta. (4) King Julien could wake up here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-8-10.

3^rd race – (4) La Dinamita was second last time and is way overdue for a maiden win. (1) Pretty Geisha should be a threat from the rail. (3) Valley of Dawn could enter the picture at the end. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4.

5th race – (1) Gallant Knight looks best off the David claim. (4) Sound of the Beast seems like the one to fear. (6) Saybrook belongs in the exotics. (3) Banneker may improve on dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.

7th race – (7) Tender Temper was hurt by a wide trip from post 12. Should get a better trip here. (1) Late Night Text may shine on turf. (2) Too Loose La Trek could be a factor switching to Tapeta. (3) Caura may pose a late threat. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7.

9th race – (6) Backonthechaongangseems primed for a winning effort off the Drexler claim. (8) Split Strike may like the shorter distance. (4) Air Force Cruising has been away but is working nicely for his comeback. (5) Seaver should not be overlooked. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-8.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:42 AM

Aqueduct Hotlist - February 6

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

5^th race [Alw 50000s, 1 1/8 mi] – (7) Brave Bear (B) broke through the gate and moves back to nine-furlongs where he is a past winner. (3) Turn and Count crossed the finish line first but was disqualified to third for the $50,000 tag. (5) Curvino was claimed in October for $50,000 after a win at Churchill Downs by Linda Rice. (1) Blown Cover was a winner on the turf in November and then missed by a neck in his return to the main track.

7^th race [Clm 10000, 1 mi] – (8) He’s Got This (B) rallied for second well clear of the rest on a speed favoring track at the beginning of January. (11) Bar Fourteen was a winner for $10,000 two races back and then tried for $25,000. (3) Aleah Aleahwas a winner at Parx last time when she shipped there from New York. (10) Skylander was a winner for $12,500 in October and since then was fifth for $32,000 and third for $16,000.

9^th race [OC 50k/N1X, 1 1/8 mi] – (10) Land d’Oro won through the NY-bred allowance conditions and moved into open company where he was third last month. (1) Chillax returns from a November layoff as a new gelding with a third-place allowance finish at Churchill. (2) Neon Bordeaux won his last three races in a row with a pair of $30,000 claimers and a starter allowance. (9) Waitlist was second in an allowance at Aqueduct going the nine-furlong distance.

10^th race [Withers, 1 1/8 mi] - (3) Ottinho (A)broke his maiden in his second try at Aqueduct last month with a front-end trip where he had to battle down the stretch to win by a head. The half-brother of Gun Runner is proven at the challenging nine-furlong distance. (5) Mailata won his last three races at Parx Racing and ships up to New York for a trainer that knows how to win stakes at the Aqueduct winter meeting including two prior runnings of the Withers. The Pennsylvania-bred is a two-time stakes winner. (7) Fourth and One is a New York-bred who finished in the top three in all four of his starts including two state-bred stakes. (2) Schoolyardsuperman stretched out to a mile, broke his maiden by almost six-lengths, and Manny Franco stays on board.

Best bets: Land d’Oro (9^th); Ottinho (10^th). Best Value: Brave Bear (5^th); He’s Got This (7^th).

No.	Name	Letter last race	Today's Race	Comments
(7)	Brave Bear	B on 11/29	5	Moves back to a winning distance.
(8)	He’s Got This	B on 1/2	7	Rallied for second on a speed bias track.
(3)	Ottinho	A on 12/31	10	Half-brother to Gun Runner won going nine furlongs.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:42 AM

Keeneland Select Derby Prep - The Southwest Stakes | February 6, 2026

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

The $1 Million Southwest Stakes (G3), Oaklawn Park, Race 11, 5:40 p.m.

(3) Buetane has turned in some sharp sprint efforts for Baffert and seems ready to stretch out effectively. (11) Silent Tactic was second in the Smarty Jones but was hampered by a slow pace. (9) Strategic Risk won the Smarty Jones and has plenty of talent. (2) D’code was a blazing fast debut winner but is a question mark at this distance. Betting strategy: 3 to win. Exacta and trifecta box: 2-3-9-11.

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:43 AM

Keeneland Select Picks of the Day | February 6, 2026

Race 10 at Aqueduct | Friday, February 6 | Post Time 4:20 PM Eastern

Withers Stakes | Purse $200,000 | One Mile and One-Eighth | Three Year Olds

Top winning contenders are Mailata (5), Schoolyardsuperman (2), Ottinho (3)

Analysis and Contenders:

Mailata (5) is the only horse in the field already a stakes winner, and he won twice. He has three successive wins after his first two career starts. In the first of the three on October 29, he led from start to finish, earning a 79 Equibase Speed Figure in his first and only route. He cut down to seven furlongs and won the Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes with an 85 figure, also leading from the beginning. He stepped into the “open” Future Stars Stakes where he started third in the first quarter mile, then won by 19 lengths, earning an 83 figure, but could have been faster. Jockey Mychel Sanchez has been on Mailata in all wins, riding for trainer “Butch” Reid. This tandem won the 2024 Withers with Uncle Heavy at 9 to 1.

Trainer Chad Brown has two nice horses in Schoolyardsuperman (2) and Ottinho (3), with both colts running in the Withers off their maidens. Schoolyardsuperman won the fastest of the field, earning a 95 figure, easily winning by nearly six lengths. He gets the rail, but he isn’t a “need the lead” type and is going to improve as the distance gets longer on the Road to the Derby.

Ottinho won a nine-furlong race, the only horse to have won this distance. He earned a 93 figure and was game from start to finish when he had to battle head-to-head from the last quarter mile to the end. This colt by dam Quiet Giant, who has one full sibling stakes winner, Pretty Ana, winner of the 2024 Comely Stakes at this distance, and half-brother to the incomparable Gun Runner ($16 million). Ottinho should win a lot of money in his career. Brown won the Withers Stakes in 2021 (Risk Taking) and 2022 (Early Voting), where both Colts were running in their maiden races. Brown did not have entrants in the last three years. Schoolyardsuperman and Ottinhoeach have an equal probability of winning with Mailata.

Bets:

Mailata (5) is the best value, as the other two contenders are going to be the favorite and second favorites, so I will bet Mailata at fair odds of 5 and 2 or higher.

Exactas:

Box Mailata (5), Schoolyardsuperman (2), Ottinho (3)

And also, two additional exacta boxes: Mailata (5) andSchoolyardsuperman (2) and also this box of Mailata (5) and Ottinho (3)

Trifecta:

Box Mailata (5), Schoolyardsuperman (2), Ottinho (3)

Race 11 at Oaklawn Park | Friday, February 6 | Post Time 5:40 PM Eastern

Southwest Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $1 Million | One Mile and One-Sixteenth | Three Year Olds

Top win contenders are D’Code (2), Strategic Risk (9), Litmus Test (5)

Other contenders for second in exactas: Silent Tactic (11), Buetane (3)

Analysis and Contenders:

D’Code (2) won his debut on December 14 at Oaklawn, leading early and controlling the race all the way to win by four lengths, ridden out, meaning he could have won easier. He earned an astonishing 117 Equibase Speed Figure for a two-year-old. Drawing the two post helps him to get the lead again, especially with jockey Luis Saez riding him for the first time, as Saez has a clock in his head that can maintain the lead all the way to the wire.

Strategic Risk (9) won the Smarty Jones Stakes on January 3 at Oaklawn, a prep race for the Southwest, at the same distance. He stalked the leader from the start, then took over at the eighth pole and finished four lengths ahead. He earned a 90 figure, but he has improved, winning his second race straight at this distance, on November 19, with an 85 figure, also taking a stakes race. Both of his recent wins came with jockey Javier Castellano, the only times he rode Strategic Risk, and if he improves again, he has a chance to win.

Litmus Test (5) won the Grade 2 Los Alamitos Futurity Stakes on December 13 and is likely to be the favorite. He won the race with Juan Hernandez riding. Litmus Test earned a 101 figure, making him the second-best horse in the field. However, his previous efforts included a fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (November 31) and a third-place finish in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity Stakes (October 4). He could win again or run poorly, but if he wins, trainer Bob Baffert would earn his third Southwest victory, having won it in 2022 and 2023.

Silent Tactic (11) rallied from eighth to finish second in the Smarty Jones behind Strategic Risk, and as he has finished first and second in other races, he has a shot to be second again.

Baffert also trains Buetane (3). Buetane finished second in the Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes last September, then placed second in the San Vicente Stakes (January 10) after a five-month layoff. He was no threat to the winner, So Happy, in a five-horse field. He has yet to show a rally stride, but he could finish second again in his first two-turn attempt.

Bets:

D’Code (2), Strategic Risk (9), Litmus Test (5) at fair odds of 5 and 2 or better, and I would bet on two horses at 4 to 1 or higher.

Exactas:

D’Code (2), Strategic Risk (9), Litmus Test (5) over D’Code (2), Strategic Risk (9), Litmus Test (5), Silent Tactic (11), and Buetane (3)

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:44 AM

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - February 6

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $19,500 Claiming 1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	Charlies Beauty	S Leon
PLACE	2-1	4	China Blue	S Marin
SHOW	3-1	1	One Violent Affair	C Evans
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Lady Dominance	G Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Shoopthereitis	W Ho
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Pola of Trouble	J Trejos

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $22,300 Claiming 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	4	Naked Eye	J L Castanon
PLACE	5-1	6	Awesome Campaign	S Marin
SHOW	4-1	3	Mama Drama	S Camacho
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Bella Mendy	C Marquez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Hola Hermosa	C Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	8	Sweet Hazely	C Gil

* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

RACE #3 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight 1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	5	All About You	S Marin
PLACE	6-5	6	Always a Runner	S Camacho
SHOW	10-1	3	Endless Glory	I O Rodriguez
WILD CARD	15-1	1	Goldy Gate	J A Batista

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Evangalina	J L Castanon
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Mambo Taxi	G A Martinez

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

RACE #4 $27,000 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:06 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	3	Cajun Hottie	R Feliciano
PLACE	6-1	6	Runtown	J Trejos
SHOW	5-2	8	Sarasota Honey	E Gonzalez
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Choose Your Words	G Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	Looking At Unicity	S Marin
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	2	State Charmer	C Gil

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

RACE #5 $31,000 Starter Allowance 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:37 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 DYNAMIC ACTRESS

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	6	Dynamic Actress	S Marin
PLACE	5-2	2	Crafty Collector	S Camacho
SHOW	9-2	4	Gunesh	E Gonzalez
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Katies a Lady	A Santos

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	5	Sister Supream	S Leon
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Expecting a Winner	A A Gallardo

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #6 $19,000 Claiming 1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Paved in Gold	S Leon
PLACE	5-2	7	Paxton	M Meneses
SHOW	7-2	4	My Lucky Angel	S Camacho
WILD CARD	10-1	9	Tony B	C Gil

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Hasten	J R Martinez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	King Reigert	G A Martinez

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX

RACE #7 $21,500 Maiden Claiming 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:39 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	4	Alrasikh	G Maldonado
PLACE	6-1	7	And Thats My Story	W Ho
SHOW	12-1	9	Last Bottle	S Spanabel
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Efficacy	S Marin

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	All the Luck	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	Moralito	A Santos

* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

RACE #8 $56,500 Allowance Optional Claiming 1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SKATE AWAY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	5	Skate Away	S Marin
PLACE	6-1	4	Icelander	S Leon
SHOW	5-1	3	Outofthedark	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Forged Steel	E Gonzalez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Seeking Unity	C Gil
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Zatara	S Camacho

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

RACE #9 $56,500 Allowance Optional Claiming 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:39 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SEPTARIAN

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	4	Septarian	S Marin
PLACE	5-1	1	Gianluca Be Lucky	S Camacho
SHOW	9-2	12	Keep It Easy	S Camacho
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Mo Trump	J L Castanon

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Mohs	S Leon
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Journeyman	C Marquez

* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/12 BOX, 1/6/12 BOX

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:46 AM

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $62,000 Maiden Claiming 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 CANDY CANE CRAIN

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	6	Candy Cane Crain	E Esquivel
PLACE	7-2	2	Prime Suspect	C A Torres
SHOW	3-1	12	Reckless	J Castellano
WILD CARD	20-1	9	Astro Beau	A Triana Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	11	Scuffle	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Brother Energy	A Cedillo

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/12 BOX, 2/9/12 BOX

RACE #2 $31,000 Claiming 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:59 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	3	Magic Grant	A Espinoza
PLACE	3-1	4	Inca Empire	J A Torres
SHOW	5-1	7	Huge Bigly	K J Asmussen
WILD CARD	15-1	14	Lea Me Be	E Gallardo

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	12	Face Value	A Mendoza
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	9	Eldons Prince	R Huckaby

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/7/14 BOX

RACE #3 $126,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:28 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	20-1	2	Triple Up	A Mendoza
PLACE	8-5	4	Gettinby	C A Torres
SHOW	3-1	3	Nicholai	W De La Cruz
WILD CARD	8-1	10	Zippy Mark	E Esquivel

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	7	Lochmoor	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Touchdown Arkansas	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/10 BOX

RACE #4 $62,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:59 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 PAYNE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	8	Payne	F Arrieta
PLACE	4-1	1	Hap Hot	C A Torres
SHOW	10-1	7	Sir Sterling	I Hernandez
WILD CARD	9-2	10	Prayforpeace	E Esquivel

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	12	Eglise	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Runaway Jack	S Carmona

* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX

RACE #5 $110,000 Maiden Special Weight 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:29 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	3	Baby Vino	J A Torres
PLACE	3-1	2	Silver Syndicate	L Saez
SHOW	12-1	9	Orange Road	S Carmona
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Cactus Charlie	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	11	Spike the Punch	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Unauthorized	C A Torres

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

RACE #6 $300,000 Stakes 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:59 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $300,000 MARTHA WASHINGTON

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	6	Hit Parade	L Saez
PLACE	5-2	5	Counting Stars	F Arrieta
SHOW	15-1	7	Newtown Pike	A Cedillo
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Search Party	C A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Grace Is Free	K Harr
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Maximum Offer	E Esquivel

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
COMMENTS: HIT PARADE is undefeated on the dirt and looks good here again. COUNTING STARS looks like the clear alternative to the top pick. NEWTOWN PIKE could surprise at a huge price. SEARCH PARTY should be around at the end to get a piece.

RACE #7 $110,000 Maiden Special Weight 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:28 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	4	Silver Prince	A Mendoza
PLACE	6-1	13	Bienville	E Asmussen
SHOW	10-1	1	Rocky Raccoon	L Saez
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Owie	C A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Just Jo Jo	S Carmona
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	12	Mr Fancy Pants	F Prat

* EXACTA: 4-13 BOX, 13-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/13 BOX, 1/6/13 BOX

RACE #8 $135,000 Stakes 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:58 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $135,000 GENERAL MACARTHUR

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	3	Super Cruise	R Bejarano
PLACE	3-1	5	Sir Greylind	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	8-1	8	Energize	L Saez
WILD CARD	4-1	11	First Division	E Esquivel

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	10	Runaway Again	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Keen Cat	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/8/11 BOX
COMMENTS: SUPER CRUISE gets more distance which looks to fit him great here. SIR GREALIND is battle tested and always right there at the end. ENERGIZE has some speed and could be dangerous at a decent price. FIRST DIVISION is tough to leave off your tickets.

RACE #9 $125,000 Allowance 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:28 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 VITAL MIND

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	5	Vital Mind	J L Ortiz
PLACE	7-2	8	Sharp Swinger	F Prat
SHOW	5-1	13	Zats the One	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	10-1	3	Lundberg	F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	11	Heart N Soul	R Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	9	Run Jalen Run	T W Bacon

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/13 BOX, 3/8/13 BOX

RACE #10 $135,000 Stakes 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:04 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $135,000 BUGLER STAKES

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	8	Blue Fire	J L Ortiz
PLACE	10-1	4	Hush It Honey	R Bejarano
SHOW	4-1	11	Queens Martini	J Rosario
WILD CARD	15-1	1	Titled Lady	T W Bacon

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	5	Foie Gras	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	10	Marmalade Skye	C A Torres

* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/11 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX
COMMENTS: BLUE FIRE has dangerous speed and looks good here. HUSH IT HONEY could surprise at a good price. QUEENS MARTINI could get a nice trip here from an outside post. TITLED LADY could add value to the exotics.

RACE #11 $1,000,000 Stakes 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $1M SOUTHWEST STAKES GIII

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Dcode	L Saez
PLACE	4-1	3	Buetane	J Rosario
SHOW	5-2	5	Litmus Test	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	9-2	9	Strategic Risk	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	13	Soldier N Diplomat	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	11	Silent Tactic	C A Torres

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX
COMMENTS: DCODE is the speed of the speed and will be tough if a repeat performance of the debut. BLUETANE is battle tested and consistent. LITMUS TEST will be toughif he is ready and takes to the track. STRATEGIC RISK should be right there to get a piece.

RACE #12 $38,000 Starter Allowance 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	2	Bright Spark	C A Torres
PLACE	6-1	11	Gewurztraminer	E Esquivel
SHOW	5-1	6	My Noble Knight	J Rosario
WILD CARD	2-1	12	Money Run	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	Nameless	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	13	Youramystyle	K R Jordan

* EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/11 BOX, 6/11/12 BOX

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:47 AM

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - February 6

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $14,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	5	Princess Celine	M Pedroza Jr.
PLACE	5-1	4	Spirit to Inspire	J Riquelme
SHOW	3-1	3	Little Bit O Storm	C McMahon
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Illy Simz	I Castillo

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Safecracker Sue	H Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	6	Great Fortune	J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $17,000 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	5	Deceitful Banker	A Concepcion
PLACE	2-1	2	Funny Bunny	J Mudd
SHOW	4-1	1	Mya Papaya	B Curtis
WILD CARD	20-1	3	Wendys Myla	E M Murray

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Tia Lupe	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Veronicaforthewin	M Pedroza Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #3 $54,000 Maiden Special Weight 5 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	8	Vitruvius	P Lopez
PLACE	8-1	1	Sassi Royal	C McMahon
SHOW	4-1	5	Jus Surprise Me	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Lafittes Legacy	M Pedroza Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	9	Dashing Diem	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	My Boy J	S Vives

* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #4 $28,000 Claiming 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	5	Glen Airy	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	3-1	6	Curahee	B Curtis
SHOW	5-1	2	Flamingproposition	I Castillo
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Eye Dee Kay	H Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	National Eclipse	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Machine Gun Man	M Pedroza Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

RACE #5 $23,000 Claiming 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 MAKI MONARCHY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	7	Maki Monarchy	J Loveberry
PLACE	4-1	3	Battle Drum	B Curtis
SHOW	5-1	8	Arthurs Court	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Western Run	P Lopez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Il Cavallino	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	10	Date the Prince	D H Magnon

* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX

RACE #6 $57,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 BENOIT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	4	Benoit	J Graham
PLACE	9-2	2	Hes Late Again	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	4-1	3	Highland Creek	C McMahon
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Macho Beanie	B J Hernandez Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Cosmic Train	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Ballinonabudjet	A Concepcion

* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

RACE #7 $56,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	3	Hey Bertie	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	7-2	5	Epic Style	J Graham
SHOW	5-1	8	Cairo Dream	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	9-2	7	Lovely Emma	P Lopez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Shes a Tempest	B Curtis
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Rileys Redemption	I Castillo

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

RACE #8 $22,000 Claiming 1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 NOW AND LATER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Now and Later	P Lopez
PLACE	9-2	6	Space	J Graham
SHOW	6-1	4	Im Your Man	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	5	American Blaze	D Cannon

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	7	Bernin Tune	B Curtis
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Concentration	E Nieves

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:49 AM

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - February 6

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 60% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $21,700 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	4	Zoombie	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	8-1	14	For Mama	O Villarreal
SHOW	15-1	9	Royally Bitter	A Murgia
WILD CARD	10-1	3	El Rosillo	A Burgos

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Liltonytwophones	B Bays
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	11	Wauhatchie	V Lebron

* EXACTA: 4-14 BOX, 14-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/14 BOX, 3/9/14 BOX

RACE #2 $39,600 Maiden Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	6	Raconteuse	J R Leparoux
PLACE	15-1	9	Fashion Affirmed	C Roman
SHOW	5-2	2	Chere Amia	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Executive Suite	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	8	Frosty Mojito	J E Felix
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Youre So Vain	C Barbosa

* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

RACE #3 $102,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 LIVEOAKS VIEWPOINT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Liveoaks Viewpoint	L Machado
PLACE	2-1	7	Back Ring Buzz	F De La Cruz
SHOW	5-2	1	Lovely Grey	V R Carrasco
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Storm Cloud Rising	M Garcia

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	Red Beretta	S Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Tearinup My Heart	D Machado

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

RACE #4 $39,600 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 DONT CROSS ALEXIS

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	1	Dont Cross Alexis	V R Carrasco
PLACE	6-1	3	Austin High	I Moncada
SHOW	3-1	4	Flirting With Time	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	6-1	13	Timeless Love	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	11	Miss Susan B	A Burgos
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Mindys Union	J E Felix

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/13 BOX

RACE #5 $34,500 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	14	Fascinator	M Garcia
PLACE	8-1	7	Temporarilyforever	A Murgia
SHOW	8-1	12	Ziggzappa	S Pauly
WILD CARD	3-1	13	Embrace Me	D Machado

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	9	Ask Amanda	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Lady Emily Kathryn	S E Bermudez

* EXACTA: 14-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/12/14 BOX, 7/12/13 BOX

RACE #6 $34,500 Claiming 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 GALANTINI

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Galantini	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	5-1	1	Honest Al	C Barbosa
SHOW	3-1	5	Dark Danger	C Miller
WILD CARD	10-1	9	Zapping Strike	A Burgos

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Cannon	A Murgia
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Il Marchesse	J McKee

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX

RACE #7 $104,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	10-1	6	Real Fast	V R Carrasco
PLACE	4-1	3	Friar Newton	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	7-2	11	Read On	J E Felix
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Megalodon	R M Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Sing Sing	L Machado
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	9	Goes the Clown	F De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/11 BOX, 3/5/11 BOX

RACE #8 $125,000 Stakes 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
BONUS COMMENTARY $125,000 WISHING WELL STAKES

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	7	Dala	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	8-1	9	Fancy Caber Neigh	F De La Cruz
SHOW	9-5	4	Kehoe Beach	L Machado
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Lithe Spirit	J D Ramos

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Velvet Devil	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	11	Moon Mystique	A Achard

* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 2/4/9 BOX
COMMENTS: DALA is undefeated at Turfway and could get a nice trip right off the pace here. FANCY CABER NEIGH has speed from the outside to get early position. KEHOE BEACH could be the speed of the speed. LITHE SPIRIT is a must use in all exotics.

RACE #9 $26,800 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	5	Pittore dOro	A Calleja
PLACE	6-1	9	Quill Pen	L Machado
SHOW	9-2	7	Hand It Over	X Forde
WILD CARD	10-1	10	Baytown Storm	J E Felix

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Pharaohs Favorite	R Mojica Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	11	Go Town	E Morales

* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX

RACE #10 $37,200 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 10:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	5	Itchy	X Forde
PLACE	7-2	8	Numbers Game	D Sheehy
SHOW	9-2	9	Coach Rudy	M Garcia
WILD CARD	20-1	12	Put Me in Coach	J N Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Mister Positivity	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Barstool	A Achard

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 8/9/12 BOX

**ConleyPicks** · 02-06-2026, 06:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Coast To Coast
PURCHASE

Coast To Coast - Race 3	Race 4 from Santa Anita Leg C of the Coast to Coast Pick 5
Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up •CR: 99 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 5:02P
SA - R4 - RACE 4 FROM SANTA ANITA. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PASS THE BATON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SPEED GRAZY: H orse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LEYAS CANDY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MANIATIC (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RESEMBLANCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	PASS THE BATON	8/1	5/1
7	SPEED GRAZY	7/2	6/1
6	LEYAS CANDY	5/2	7/1
1	MANIATIC (IRE)	5/1	9/1
2	RESEMBLANCE	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	CONTRARY CHIEFTAIN	5	9/2	Front-runner	96	91	75.4	76.2	65.7
6	LEYAS CANDY	6	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	99	90	94.0	90.4	81.4
7	SPEED GRAZY	7	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	104	92	83.2	92.0	87.0
3	PASS THE BATON	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	103	100	77.8	93.4	89.9
1	MANIATIC (IRE)	1	5/1	Trailer	102	97	75.3	90.3	84.8
2	RESEMBLANCE	2	4/1	Trailer	101	93	72.8	89.4	79.4
4	BIG JUANITO	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	89	64.8	86.6	75.1

Friday 2/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 2/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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