Friday 2/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20513

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
    PURCHASE
    Fair Grounds - Race 7 $1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double
    Optional Claiming $50,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 93 • Purse: $56,000 • Post:3:45P
    (RAIL AT 28 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.)
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LOVELY EMMA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LOVELY EMMA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHE'S A TEMPEST: Hor se's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CAIRO DREAM: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or f ourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PARTY PAULINE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
    7 LOVELY EMMA 9/2 3/1
    1 SHE'S A TEMPEST 6/1 9/1
    8 CAIRO DREAM 5/1 10/1
    6 PARTY PAULINE 6/1 10/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    7 LOVELY EMMA 7 9/2 Front-runner 92 96 89.4 88.8 79.8
    6 PARTY PAULINE 6 6/1 Front-runner 90 88 67.4 69.4 57.4
    4 APROPOS 4 12/1 Stalker 85 80 84.4 80.5 67.0
    1 SHE'S A TEMPEST 1 6/1 Stalker 93 91 63.9 86.0 79.0
    2 RILEYS REDEMPTION 2 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 95 89 0.0 86.5 82.0
    8 CAIRO DREAM 8 5/1 Trailer 94 91 47.6 83.2 74.2
    3 HEY BERTIE 3 3/1 Trailer 89 91 29.8 87.5 81.0
    5 EPIC STYLE 5 7/2 Trailer 92 93 29.4 75.8 67.3

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20513

      #17

      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.



      Race 1 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 93

      WITHERS S. AQU - R10 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. LASIX NOT ALLOWED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME PURSUANT TO HISA RULE 4212. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $1,000 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,000 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $1,000 IN ADDITION TO THE ENTRY AND STARTING FEES, MAY BE
      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 3 OTTINHO 9/5
      # 7 FOURTH AND ONE 6/1
      # 2 SCHOOLYARDSUPERMAN 2/1
      OTTINHO is my choice. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the recent company kept. Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Lezcano will most likely have this colt in excellent position to win the contest. FOURTH AND ONE - Rodriguez has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 24 percent clip. He looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. SCHOOLYARDSUPERMAN - Trainer boasts solid win figures at this distance and surface. Has strong front-end speed and ought to fare admirably versus this group.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #18

        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        PURCHASE





        Gulfstream Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 84

        Rating:

        #6 CONN SMYTHE (GB) (ML=5/1)
        #2 LOMAX (ML=9/2)


        CONN SMYTHE (GB) - This gelding should get a 'dream' trip in this spot. He looks like the only 'stalker' in this affair. The rider/trainer duo of Gutierrez and Tharrenos has a strong return on investment together. LOMAX - The rider and conditioner combination here have a high win percent when they team up. This animal is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf rating in last race at Gulfstream Park was tops in this group. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fourth). Should improve in this event, with some respectable odds.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ASTIN STYLE (ML=5/2), #1 SKI BUM (ML=3/1), #5 MAKE ME FAMOUS (ML=7/2),

        ASTIN STYLE - Can't really bet on this kind of oft beaten chalk. Won't be easy for this racer to beat this field off of that last fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. SKI BUM - Notched a mediocre speed fig in the last race in a $17,500 Maiden Claiming race on Jan 15th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. MAKE ME FAMOUS - In the last race this questionable contender finished fifth. Doesn't bode well for his chances this time. Could be tough for this animal to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list.
        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #6 CONN SMYTHE (GB) on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,6]
        TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS: Pass

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #19

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          PURCHASE





          Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,400 Class Rating: 64

          Rating:

          #6 HOT WINGS (ML=3/1)


          HOT WINGS - Another way to determine class is EPS (earnings per start). This mount has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the end.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DAGUERRE (ML=9/5), #4 TEX (ML=9/2), #2 TREE OF DEM (ML=5/1),

          DAGUERRE - This horse likes to finish in the money, but doesn't usually win. Don't play in the top spot. TEX - This colt hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance races. Difficult to wager on him in this event. TREE OF DEM - 5/1 is not priced right for any horse in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race recently. Difficult to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this horse does. Once you've got at least ten races at the venue and still have no wins, its tough to break through for a victory.
          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #6 HOT WINGS on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: None
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #20

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park

            PURCHASE
            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $126000 Class Rating: 99

            FOR ARKANSAS BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $24,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 31, 2025 ALLOWED 4
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 4 GETTINBY 8/5
            # 2 TRIPLE UP 20/1
            # 7 LOCHMOOR 4/1
            GETTINBY looks solid to best this field. Tough to pass on this colt with Torres in the irons. Had one of the most competitive Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last race. Should finish in the money without any problem. TRIPLE UP - Should be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Stuart has this gelding running well and is a formidable selection based on the decent speed figs earned in sprint races recently. LOCHMOOR - Could provide positive dividends based on respectable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 89. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of animals lately.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #21
              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.


              Race 10 - Post: 3:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$7000 - CD ALL AGES NW $2900 L4 STS
              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
              # 1 BLUEBERRY 7/2
              # 8 GABBY'S WILD CHILD 5/2
              # 6 CAN IT BE MAGIC 8/1
              All signs point to BLUEBERRY for the contender. This mare getting the win wouldn't be impossible, a chance. GABBY'S WILD CHILD - Could most definitely beat this group of horses given the 80 speed figure earned in his most recent outing. Palone and Presto have a really good working relationship. Exemplary results from their gatherings. CAN IT BE MAGIC - She's doing work in fine form, recording clear-cut TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent play. Deserves a shot given the positive win figure she sports.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #22
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.


                Race 9 - Post: 9:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$12500 - N/W $7,500
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 5 TOM SWIFTY 4/1
                # 8 ENOLA 10/1
                # 10 CALL OPTION 8/1
                If you want a respectable play today, feast your eyes on TOM SWIFTY. A formidable play in here as he has one of the highest winning percents in the field as well as magnificent credentials all around. The driver Boyd has a knack with this gelding, regularly cashing in their races. The panel of smart guys keenly points out that when Crone trains this solid standardbred, the odds of finishing hitting the board go way up. ENOLA - This race could very well be controlled by this mare. A single look at the avgerage speed rating will prove that. The brain trust gives this race horse a great chance to come home a winner, class stats are tops in the grouping. CALL OPTION - Could very well be the best in the race here, showing really strong ratings of late. Average speed is a solid 87. A very good class horse cannot be passed over. With an average class ranking of 87 all signs look good for this one.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #23
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 9
                  6 6 TELLS ON A ROLL 6/5 Cullen, Travis A - 12 611.05
                  1 1 ABSOLUTION 9/5 Ratchford, Todd - 7 569.85
                  5 5 GLENBORO 10/1 Hensley, Ed F - 9 569.79
                  3 3 ANGOSTURA HANOVER 8/1 Henry, Trevor S - 10 545.34
                  2 2 CENTURY JAMILA 4/1 Henry, Travis J - 10 542.01
                  4 4 STYLE FOR A MILE 6/1 Thiessen, Daryl - 8 520.18

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #24
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 9
                    8 8 CHAPHEART 4/1 Bartlett, Jason - 35 544.92
                    1 1 BAY BREEZE HANOVER 8/5 Marohn, Jim Jr - 8 501.12
                    2 2 STREET GOSSIP 5/1 Siegelman, Austin - 7 486.95
                    6 6 BE DIFFERENT 8/1 Gingras, Yannick - 18 479.30
                    3 3 PC FREE WHEELING 10/1 Stratton, Jordan - 14 466.19
                    4 4 I'M OUT 5/1 Brennan, George - 14 463.06
                    7 7 ICE BREAKERS K 20/1 Holland, Brent - 14 439.69
                    5 5 VELOCIRAPTOR 20/1 Buter, Tyler - 12 427.72

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #25
                      Free play from Mike Wynn

                      Free Pick: Indiana -1.5 over Milwaukee

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #26
                        Free play from Razor Sharp


                        YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: EVANSVILLE (CBB) +10 over Valparaiso


                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #27
                          Free play from #1 Sports


                          Friday's Free Play: Brown Bears + 15 1/2


                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #28
                            Free play from Platinum Plays


                            Your Free Pick: the Northern Iowa Panthers -2.5 over Bradley


                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #29
                              Free play from Hawkeye Sports


                              Friday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Kings + 125


                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20513

                                #30
                                Free play from High Stakes Syndicate


                                Free Selection for Friday: Belmont Bruins - 3


                                Comment

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