Monday 3/2/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Monday 3/2/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20482

    #2
    BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS


    Will Rogers Downs - Race #5
    #2 Forbidden Love Price isn't going to be much, but I think the trajectory of her form through two starts suggests she's the right one in what doesn't feel like the deepest race for the local level. Dangerous here.
    #4 Sunday Night Code Her only route try was pretty solid in that $20,000 claiming spot at Remington in November, and she might find herself in a really good spot tracking the pace with these. In the mix.
    #6 Six Gun Sally Wouldn't be surprised if we saw something better today while getting around two turns, as there are a couple of tries on the page that stack up nicely with this crew if she can duplicate it at this trip.
    Race Summary Forbidden Love stretches out with fairly compelling form in a modest race, and I think she'll handle these. Six Gun Sally might be the right price player to try to get in the mix.
    Will Rogers Downs - Race #6
    #5 Stage Left Think he's in line for a great trip -- he's quick enough to stay in touch but has a better rating gear than some of the forward players. Watches it unfold.
    #2 Mi Saturday He just beat the top choice when they met in that stakes spot last time out, and there aren't a ton of big arguments against him on form right now. My only mild worry is that there are a couple others who might be just quick enough to keep him from getting a breather. The one to beat.
    #6 Rexford His better stuff fits well here, but he has to turn tables on both of the top pair in this spot after coming up a bit empty late in that common stakes spot.
    Race Summary Stage Left could get a nice run while tucked just in behind a few quicker players early, and he should offer a fair enough price in the rematch with Mi Saturday.
    Will Rogers Downs - Race #7
    #4 Saintslute She chased the pace and came up empty in the debut run in October, but there isn't a ton of seriously committed early zip in here, and she might be quick enough to sit right up on the splits. Enough upside to be interesting today with a good race flow and the addition of Lasix.
    #1 So Whatro She has had a lot of chances and is not full of good excuses at this point, but she does have a touch of finishing form on her page, and that alone might make her a danger in a race where most of them will be empty by midstretch.
    #3 Cool American Babe She has never been in this easy, but she's also not bringing a lot of exciting form with her from those four special weight tries. Nobody's going to fall out of her chair if she wins this, but I don't know how to get that excited about what's on paper -- even on the solid drop.
    Race Summary Saintslute has some upside while going second off the break and likely racing close to the pace, and I'd be willing to sign on at something shorter than the 12/1 ML price today.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS


      Turf Paradise - Race #3
      #4 INTERPLAY (3-1) Validated ambitious leap from maiden company, back with own kind today.
      #6 LANILLA (2-1) Claimed for $50k when second in Del Mar debut, ‘boxed’ in MSW follow-up.
      #1 SILVER FLIRT (5-1) Mid-50 Beyer type puts her in the mix for minor awards with rail draw.
      Race Summary INTERPLAY, a lightly-raced 6-year-old, skipped the maiden ranks to run in an one-mile optional claiming race on the turf. She took a lot of money in his second start off a year layoff and rallied from far back to finish second to favored Expressive Love (3-11, $42k). Like her chances in this spot but wouldn’t expect 3-1 morning-line price. Bet to win and place and play 4-6-1 and 4-6-5 straight trifectas.
      Turf Paradise - Race #4
      #3 MALA (9-2) Good moves in last pair, can return quick claim dividend at a good morning-line price.
      #1 DEKUDYLAN (4-1) Closed like a wild horse to edge Mala for third straight runner-up finish on dirt.
      #4 FANCY DANCER (3-1) Won 2 of his last 3 starts on the main track, barn going well.
      Race Summary MALA, claimed out of his last two starts for a higher claiming price than today, can upgrade his third-place finishes that were spaced a week apart. He made first run on the winning – and troubled – favorite two back and led in mid-stretch while very wide. He rallied 3-wide in the stretch last out at 6-1/2F and just missed second behind the odds-on winner. Bet to win and place and play 3-1 and 3-4 exactas.
      Turf Paradise - Race #7
      #3 GOLDEN GREEK (4-1) Sat good trip, rallied inside, dead game to the end in blanket finish.
      #5 EVANDERKEEN (7-2) Ended nine-month winless drought with power move, transitions from turf.
      #6 RATLEFF (9-2) Just missed after stretch-long duel in first start on dirt since 2024.
      Race Summary GOLDEN GREEK settled in mid-pack behind a fast pace, rallied in tandem with the upset winner and went down fighting in a four-horse blanket finish in the same spot. He has six seconds in his last 11 starts but should get the jump on the main contenders. Bet to win and place and play 3-5 and 3-6 exactas.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
        PURCHASE
        Will Rogers Downs - Race 5 $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / (.50) Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
        Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 50 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 3:08P
        FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GOSPEL CLARITY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GOSPEL CLARITY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SUNDAY NIGHT CODE: Hor se has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BELLA'S ATREIDES: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORBIDDEN LOVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
        5 GOSPEL CLARITY 5/2 3/1
        4 SUNDAY NIGHT CODE 3/1 5/1
        8 BELLA'S ATREIDES 12/1 9/1
        2 FORBIDDEN LOVER 2/1 9/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        5 GOSPEL CLARITY 5 5/2 Alternator/Front-runner 56 43 58.8 44.0 40.5
        4 SUNDAY NIGHT CODE 4 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 56 50 46.5 47.4 42.4
        1 SHAKE THAT THING 1 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 32.7 38.0 25.5
        2 FORBIDDEN LOVER 2 2/1 Trailer 62 39 40.4 40.4 32.4
        8 BELLA'S ATREIDES 8 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 59 42 46.5 39.8 33.3
        6 SIX GUN SALLY 6 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 54 41 38.8 38.8 29.3
        3 OSAGE EXPRESS 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 47 36 28.2 28.2 16.2
        7 CHASE'S LIL MILLY 7 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 15.2 15.2 2.7

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
          PURCHASE
          Turf Paradise - Race 3 $1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 3-4) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $.20 Grand Canyon Pick 6 Jackpot (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)
          Maiden Optional Claiming $30,0 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 82 • Purse: $17,000 • Post:2:15P
          FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. (RAIL SET AT 14 FEET).
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * INTERPLAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LANILLA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THEY SEE ME DO IT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on i nvestment is at least +20. BENSTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          4 INTERPLAY 3/1 9/2
          6 LANILLA 2/1 6/1
          3 THEY SEE ME DO IT 8/1 8/1
          5 BENSTER 5/2 8/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          4 INTERPLAY 4 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 90 84 78.0 81.2 77.7
          1 SILVER FLIRT 1 5/1 Alternator/Stalker 81 69 77.4 73.2 65.2
          5 BENSTER 5 5/2 Alternator/Stalker 81 79 71.4 75.3 69.3
          2 NEPHELE 2 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 74 70 64.3 65.3 54.8
          3 THEY SEE ME DO IT 3 8/1 Trailer 86 74 85.3 59.7 49.2
          6 LANILLA 6 2/1 Trailer 89 83 77.8 78.3 75.3

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6

            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE





            Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:15pm - Stakes -6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 51 OTBO Sales Graduate Race S.

            Rating:

            #6 MSHAWISH'GIRL (ML=5/2)


            MSHAWISH'GIRL - This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Cline. Look at this filly's PP lines. With each race she keeps getting closer. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a strong effort is a good omen. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should race well today.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DYNAMIC VISION (ML=1/1), #5 LEGAL JARGON (ML=3/1),

            DYNAMIC VISION - This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint contests. Not easy to bet on her in this contest. LEGAL JARGON - Last performed on February 9th at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, finishing fourth. Not likely to get better off of that effort today. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this entrant as a questionable challenger.

            GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MSHAWISH'GIRL - This widely used handicapping angle still works today. Invest in a sprinter coming back within ten days.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 MSHAWISH'GIRL is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
            EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with 5
            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 5 - SO - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16600 Class Rating: 85

              FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2025 - 2026 OR CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 1 ROLL PENNY ROLL 5/2
              # 7 LONZO WHO 4/1
              # 6 SHUG'S ROCKET 8/1
              I've got to go with ROLL PENNY ROLL. Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. With a decent 82 speed rating last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. Has run soundly when racing a dirt sprint race. LONZO WHO - With a very good 81 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this affair. He has garnered very good numbers under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field. SHUG'S ROCKET - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Woolley have shown sharp results lately. Woolley has shown excellent profits (+6 return on investment ) at this distance/surface.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 34

                FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 1# A INFERIORES ALLOWED 1 LBS. 2# A DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 5 SHIROI KAO 5/2
                # 2 DEMOLEDOR 7/2
                # 3 SKULL P R 9/2
                SHIROI KAO is my choice. Diaz has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent clip. Bettors ought to note that this racer runs with second time Lasix today. Looks competitive versus this field and ought to be one of the early speedsters. DEMOLEDOR - This horse enters today's outing with second time Lasix. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Diaz should have this colt in excellent position to win the race. SKULL P R - Ought to compete very well in the pace contest which bodes well with this group.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 12:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 63

                  Rating:

                  #8 ONISHENKO (ML=6/1)
                  #3 SOAR ABOVE (ML=15/1)


                  ONISHENKO - The 'x-factor' at work here is that this colt has been working over this track getting ready for his first start. The jockey and handler combination have a profitable ROI when they partner up. This trainer has a highly positive ROI with first time starters. SOAR ABOVE - When Ruiz and Flores-Coba team up on animals the return on investment has been great at +249. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Ruiz gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. Last race at Parx Racing on January 5th was a big class drop for this horse. Facing similar foes right here in this race. He should do well this time. The 47 latest race speed rating looks strong in the TrackMaster PPs.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #10 CAP'N CATS (ML=4/1), #7 FILLED WITH DESIRE (ML=9/2), #6 MYBANDIT (ML=5/1),

                  CAP'N CATS - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests of late. Not probable to see him doing it this time out either. This sustainer should have a rough go of it to get there in time with the lack of speed in this race. Finished second in his most recent race with a most unsatisfactory speed fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. FILLED WITH DESIRE - A bit of a lackluster outing when this colt finished sixth. No picnic to play this runner this time out. Make him show you something in a sprint event before you bet on him in a race of 6 furlongs. MYBANDIT - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a sprint contest to be worth the chance at short odds in a sprint.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 ONISHENKO is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,8]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 9
                    1 1 DISCUS HANOVER 5/1 Bailey, Leon - 10 508.09
                    3 3 SATURDAY 7/5 Huckabone, Justin - 13 478.72
                    6 6 POWERSCOURT 20/1 Mc Givern, Michael - 9 472.53
                    2 2 SHIV 8/1 Cutting, Jacob - 13 465.25
                    7 7 MILLIONDOLLARDREAM 10/1 Randall, Jay - 10 461.44
                    4 4 NOTTINGHAM 9/2 Dobson, Billy - 15 457.36
                    5 5 SECRET OR NOT 7/2 Swift, Kyle - 15 450.88

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 8 - Post: 6:27 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$8000 - $6500 CLAIMING SERIES TOP 5 FINISHERS MOVE ON TO 2ND ROUND NOMINATION FEE OF $25 NO CLAIMING L. EBERSOLE LISTED 4/7
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 1 UNLIKEANYOTHER 2/1
                      # 7 WESTERN NOB 4/1
                      # 6 XENIA 3/1
                      Hard not to favor UNLIKEANYOTHER as the top choice in this event. This contender earned a really good TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out. Looks to be racing sharply to come right back. The driver/horse combination stats point out that this match are solid in the money finishers when working their magic together. The trainer Groen has a way with this gelding, regularly cashing in their outings. WESTERN NOB - Has a very compelling shot in this race, if he can perform to his back racing class. XENIA - Overall figures look very good. Can't throw him out of the picture.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.


                        Race 7 - Post: 8:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$22000 - NW 3
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 5 MY WAY 7/2
                        # 7 LUVUTOTHEMOONANBAK 5/1
                        # 4 VALIDUS 6/1
                        Feel pretty confident putting some profits down on MY WAY. That 74 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the most recent competition puts this nice horse in the mix for this one. Fans should always give a second look to race horses starting from the 5 hole as the return on investment is much better than normal. LUVUTOTHEMOONANBAK - Many bettors know speed is of the utmost importance. This contender has credentials with a 80 average figure. It's a bit chancy to consider based only on class, but this gelding has among the most competitive class ratings of the race. VALIDUS - The trainer Jeffries has a special way with this mare, regularly cashing in their outings.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway
                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 9
                          3 3 CURLY JAMES A 4/1 Brennan, George - 13 541.83
                          2 2 AARDIES FLASH N 9/5 Bartlett, Jason - 34 531.28
                          4 4 IMTHEBLACKFLASH N 5/1 Kelly, Colin - 12 528.52
                          6 6 IMA PERFECT CHOICE 9/2 Kakaley, Matt - 12 517.45
                          5 5 SIX DEGREES 8/1 Gingras, Yannick - 17 493.72
                          1 1 THE IDEAL DANCER A 10/1 Lachance, Pat - 10 488.98
                          7 7 SPECULATING A 20/1 Siegelman, Austin - 8 472.82
                          8 8 MATAI PHIL N 15/1 Holland, Brent - 14 449.69


                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14
                            Free play from Mike Wynn
                            Free Pick: Portland St -4.5 over Weber St

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15
                              Free play from Razor Sharp


                              YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: SACRAMENTO ST (CBB) -1 over Idaho St

                              Comment

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