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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Monday 3/16/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20482

    #2
    BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS


    Fair Grounds - Race #7
    #8 Kingofsomewherehot He took a tiny bit of cash at 8/1 in a big group at Kentucky Downs in the debut run, but he showed nothing and now resurfaces for his next start six months later. The works are interesting enough from what you can gather on paper, and he could move forward with Lasix.
    #4 La Norme De Jour His form went the wrong way in a hurry after a couple of promising starts to open the career, but maybe he can bounce back here while turning back with blinks. Better stuff from Ellis last summer might do.
    #7 General Graham Only real worry here is that the price will get short in a soft spot -- nothing wrong with looking for a fresh face in a spot like this.
    Race Summary Kingofsomewherehot may have found the right spot to return with some upside while racing on the main with Lasix today after showing nothing in the Kentucky Downs debut.
    Fair Grounds - Race #8
    #1 Pineland Turnback player is going to have to use that route pace to avoid getting totally outrun in the early stages, but he might end up getting a pretty cozy go from the fence. In the mix at an OK price?
    #6 Fit to Fly Considered him on top -- he's cheap, but he's really sharp right now and rises for this in search of a fifth consecutive score. Should get a great run of things from right up top. His form is compelling enough right now that he wouldn't be any kind of surprise.
    #7 Vesture He was much the best in that last one, but he's going to have to hold every bit of that form if he's going to win right back against a decent enough group. I'm not sold at what is likely an underlaid price.
    Race Summary Pineland looks interesting today while turning back, as he has been in decent route form and probably gets overlooked a touch here while meeting some trip specialists. #2 Mister Mmmmm should probably be on the plays if you just need to get through the leg.
    Fair Grounds - Race #4
    #1 Majestical Regrouping here after the flat Grade II run, but she looks likely to control the tempo in a short field. Dangerous with these from right up top.
    #4 Zaffa She's worth a look on the main track with a decent tracking trip in the cards against this crew, and she has at least been handling the main track well enough to turn in some quick works.
    #2 Huck's Agenda She rises off a couple of nice scores, and her baseline form makes her one of the main ones in here. Still, a mild worry about the race flow and her late-running style.
    Race Summary Majestical should be quick enough to find the front with this group, and I wonder if it might be a bit of a walk-the-dog scenario if nobody forces the issue on the backstretch.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS


      Turf Paradise - Race #4
      #2 SPARKLEY BARKLEY (5-2) Chased fast pace, ran second at odds-on, can make amends.
      #5 JOYRIDING (4-1) Second to unbeaten stakes winner two back, third behind ‘Barkley’ in latest.
      #7 LOTSA KITTY (3-1) Out-dueled by 6-1 winner but beat the favorite for place spot for higher tag.
      Race Summary SPARKLEY BARKLEY appears ready to break her maiden in her third start this year. She couldn’t reach a 17-1 debut winner who didn’t change leads in the stretch, but the fractions were faster than a $4,000 claimer in the next race. Bet to win and place and play a $1 Pick 3 with numbers 2, 5/1, 6/2, 3.
      Turf Paradise - Race #5
      #1 THETRIBEHASSPOKEN (5-2) Gets class relief, second to sharp rival in lone one-mile dirt test.
      #6 BELIEVE IN HER (10-1) Ascending speed figures at ascending distances, Lopez up for first time.
      #3 WHITE PEONY (7-2) Burned money in sprints, speed to go a long way in third start.
      Race Summary Evans class dropper THETRIBEHASSPOKEN finished third as the favorite for a $30,000 tag two back, then was overmatched against the boys in MSW company. But she has a good race to summon in a field of unproven milers when she finished second to Severe Clear, who recently ran second in a $20,000/nw3 claimer. Bet to win and place and play 1-3 and 1-6 exactas.
      Turf Paradise - Race #6
      #2 POCO YO (5-1) In-form speedball drops off claim, 6F the question with fave likely to press the issue.
      #3 KANGAROO COAST (7-2) Steady late runner and check-getter could get dream set-up.
      #7 CHIEF RENEGADE (5-2) Evans acquisition after voided claim seeks third win in a row.
      Race Summary POCO YO has good speed and has done the least wrong of nine rivals who are a combined 16-for-189. His speed will be tested by class-dropping, morning-line favorite CHIEF RENEGADE, but he offers better value in lieu of his third victory in two months. Bet to win and place and play 2-3, 2-7 and 3-2 exactas.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
        PURCHASE
        Fair Grounds - Race 2 $1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-4) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
        Claiming $15,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR:70 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 1:15P
        FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. KITTEN GLOVES is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KITTEN GLOVES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distanc e/surface. AUTHENTIC ANGEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ICE COLD BLONDE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ha s the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
        4 KITTEN GLOVES 4/1 7/2
        1 AUTHENTIC ANGEL 7/2 7/1
        3 HOLD THE DRAMA 4/1 7/1
        2 ICE COLD BLONDE 7/2 9/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        4 KITTEN GLOVES 4 4/1 Front-runner 65 62 73.4 51.2 45.7
        3 HOLD THE DRAMA 3 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 66 61 60.6 53.6 44.6
        1 AUTHENTIC ANGEL 1 7/2 Trailer 71 64 48.4 49.8 45.3
        2 ICE COLD BLONDE 2 7/2 Trailer 60 60 20.5 53.9 47.9
        5 UNDISPUTABLE 5 3/1 Alternator/Non-contender 65 60 73.5 42.3 37.8
        6 GREAT OWL 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 55 44 55.8 34.6 23.6

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
          PURCHASE
          Will Rogers Downs - Race 8 $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta
          Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 54 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 4:34P
          FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BRIDIE'S LEGACY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BRIELLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SWEAT: Horse has a TrackMast er "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BRIDIE'S LEGACY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. QUICK AND CLASSY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
          7 BRIELLE 2/1 7/2
          6 SWEAT 5/2 9/2
          8 BRIDIE'S LEGACY 3/1 9/1
          4 QUICK AND CLASSY 6/1 10/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          8 BRIDIE'S LEGACY 8 3/1 Front-runner 0 0 46.5 28.4 19.9
          3 GOSPEL DARLENE 3 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 42.9 32.1 22.6
          7 BRIELLE 7 2/1 Alternator/Stalker 59 53 40.0 42.2 38.2
          4 QUICK AND CLASSY 4 6/1 Trailer 68 31 59.7 29.4 22.4
          6 SWEAT 6 5/2 Trailer 57 51 48.1 39.9 35.4
          1 RED FLAT PUMPS 1 20/1 Trailer 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
          2 SAINTSLUTE 2 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 25.9 25.5 15.0
          5 MISTY CHATTER 5 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

            PURCHASE
            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 9 - SO - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16600 Class Rating: 93

            FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2025 - 2026 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 1 BANGO FOR BUCKS 5/1
            # 8 LAUGH OF THE PARTY 6/1
            # 5 ATTILIANNO 3/1
            BANGO FOR BUCKS looks to be a solid contender. Is a contender - given the 82 speed figure from his most recent race. Could provide positive returns based on formidable recent speed figures with an average of 83. Win percentage one of the strongest in this group. LAUGH OF THE PARTY - With Hebert in the saddle guiding him, this gelding should be able to break out early in this event. ATTILIANNO - Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Has been racing solidly in races of this distance, going 5 out of 27 under similar conditions.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 2:55pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 68

              Rating:

              #3 XMAS IN CAIRO (ML=6/1)
              #1 BIDIBIDIBOMBOM (ML=5/1)


              XMAS IN CAIRO - This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. BIDIBIDIBOMBOM - This filly has been training well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a big performance today. Good return on investment for this jockey and handler duet. A strong handicapping angle is getting Lasix for the first time. Allard gives it to this one for this race.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #4 J C'S LOVIN' LIFE (ML=2/1), #2 PEACEFULEZFEELING (ML=3/1), #6 ELEGANT LASS (ML=4/1),

              J C'S LOVIN' LIFE - The Brain tells me to keep my distance from ponies in short distance affairs that haven't hit the board in sprint contests of late. PEACEFULEZFEELING - Should be difficult for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the questionable challengers list. ELEGANT LASS - Just don't think she is priced right at the probable odds.
              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 XMAS IN CAIRO to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 85

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,500 ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 6 LOOKIN FOR CURLY 7/2
                # 7 QUEBRANCHO 9/2
                # 1 MY VINO 2/1
                I've got to go with LOOKIN FOR CURLY. Had one of the most competitive speed figs of this group of horses in his last contest. QUEBRANCHO - Has to be given consideration - I like the figs from the last contest. The average Equibase class figure of 70 makes this horse difficult to beat. MY VINO - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this field. Is worth serious consideration and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (68 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:07pm - Claiming -8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,100 Class Rating: 83

                  Rating:

                  #1 VLADISLAV (ML=8/1)
                  #4 ANDY CANT (ML=5/2)
                  #2 SAILOR'S CHANCE (ML=7/2)


                  VLADISLAV - I unquestionably see portentous signs for this magnificent animal right here. ANDY CANT - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a good outing in the last race within the last month or so. This gelding is at the same 1 mile distance he won at on Oct 13th, which was at a higher class level than today's event. This animal earns a lot of money per race. Number one in this race. SAILOR'S CHANCE - This gelding has been running at higher class levels previously. He did win versus better, a $5,000 Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today. Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a solid race last out within the last month.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SEE SPOT RUN (ML=9/5), #3 FIREWATER JAKE (ML=6/1),

                  SEE SPOT RUN - Pedestrian speed fig in the last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much today. FIREWATER JAKE - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled from time to time.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 VLADISLAV is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,4] Box [1,2]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 1
                    3 3 BELLE' NATANIA 9/5 Porter, Trae - 11 278.53
                    5 5 SUBURBAN LADY 2/1 Callahan, Corey - 16 271.38
                    4 4 RIDLEY PARK 6/1 Stafford, Art Jr - 17 234.67
                    2 2 CRAZY AMY 7/2 Teague, Montrell - 15 201.34
                    1 1 BLUES YOUR DADDY 8/1 Thompson, Jason - 8 0.00

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness
                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 3
                      5 5 BACKDOOR COVER 7/5 Beckwith, Brett - 24 473.13
                      3 3 FEELING RIGHT 9/2 Devaux, Jim - 18 435.78
                      6 6 J-GLO 8/5 Athearn, Matthew - 14 428.67
                      2 2 WHERE'S LARRY 6/1 Cutting, Jacob - 13 407.53
                      7 7 HEIDES WATCHING 12/1 Gray, Shawn T - 13 404.41
                      8 8 ARMENIAN PRINCESS 30/1 Huckabone, Justin - 12 401.84
                      1 1 BULLBYTHEHORNS 10/1 Swift, Kyle - 17 377.47
                      4 4 SEA YA SOPHIA 25/1 Euto, Jebidiah - 4 362.77

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.


                        Race 9 - Post: 9:47 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 93 - Purse:$30000 - NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES: NW $150,000
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 6 SAFE CONDUCT 5/2
                        # 5 R PEAKY BLINDERS 4/1
                        # 4 MR BLUEBIRD 3/1
                        SAFE CONDUCT is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the group. His 93 average has this gelding among the best speed ratings here. It's somewhat risky to consider on class alone, but this gelding has among the most respectable class figures of the group of animals. McClure is racking up the wins recently. Top notch win rate makes this entrant our pick. R PEAKY BLINDERS - The 5 hole is on fire here at Woodbine Mohawk Park. More wins than is normal. If performance in the most recent race is any indication, this horse will have a very formidable shot today. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. MR BLUEBIRD - The group saw this horse's name in a magazine. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Could unquestionably defeat this group of horses given the 88 TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in his most recent contest.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.


                          Race 10 - Post: 9:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$15000 - NW $7,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS. WINNERS OF THE BASE CLASS NW $7,500 L5 IN LAST START NE AE: WINNERS IN LAST START OF THE BASE CLASS NW $5,000 L5
                          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                          # 4 AMERICAN DEALER N 2/1
                          # 2 ALL ALONE 7/2
                          # 1 CAVIART SARGENT 3/1
                          Hey, listen up! AMERICAN DEALER N is the intelligent bet if you like to win. Cannot put a finger on it, but give the nod to this horse for a wager. Take a look at this horse's average speed rating of 92 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a respectable wager. He has great class figures, averaging 92. Worth considering for a bet for this race. ALL ALONE - The 88 average class number may give this gelding a distinct edge in the field of starters. Exemplary in the money percent for Sodano and this standardbred. A great chance to get the triumph. CAVIART SARGENT - Have to make Bartlett the wager here if only for the last thirty days win rate. Big probability for the ultimate prize. Respectable driver-trainer, winning 21 percent of the time. Looks like a excellent play.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14
                            Free play from Mike Wynn
                            Free Pick: Houston -2 over LA Lakers

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15
                              Free play from Razor Sharp


                              YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SMONDAY:DALLAS/NEW ORLEANS (NBA) UNDER the total of 233

                              Comment

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