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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #1

    Sunday 3/29/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20787

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Coast To Coast
    PURCHASE
    Coast To Coast - Race 2 Race 3 from Santa Anita Leg B of the Coast to Coast Pick 5
    SO $50,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 CR: 91 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 5:05P
    SA - R3 - (RAIL AT 20 FEET). RACE 3 FROM SANTA ANITA. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $50,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (HORSES ENTERED FOR THE ALLOWANCE ARE PREFERRED).
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Dominant Trailer. CHIEF RESIDENT is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHIEF RESIDENT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days. WON FOR LOU: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CLASSICO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has t he highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
    7 CHIEF RESIDENT 5/2 5/2
    8 WON FOR LOU 4/1 7/1
    2 CLASSICO 7/2 9/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    2 CLASSICO 2 7/2 Front-runner 85 81 82.5 69.8 60.3
    4 AHRENS 4 10/1 Front-runner 80 84 72.0 72.0 64.0
    1 PUNTO FORTY 1 6/1 Front-runner 79 73 63.9 63.9 54.9
    8 WON FOR LOU 8 4/1 Alternator/Front-runner 89 72 88.6 74.7 71.2
    6 WAVE WITH ENVY 6 12/1 Alternator/Front-runner 77 75 70.2 70.2 61.7
    5 SAVAGE WARDEN 5 4/1 Stalker 72 67 66.4 66.4 55.9
    3 ALLEQUIN SUMMER 3 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 79 84 49.3 49.3 36.3
    7 CHIEF RESIDENT 7 5/2 Trailer 82 71 93.9 86.3 78.8

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20787

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
      PURCHASE
      Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8 $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
      Stakes • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 96 • Purse: $185,100 • Post: 8:56P
      QUARTER HORSE 400Y, EL PRIMERO DEL ANO DERBY - GRADE 2 FOR COLTS & GELDINGS, THREE YEAR OLD'S, (WEIGHT 126) HORSES WHICH QUALIFIED TO THIS RACE MUST PASS THE ENTRY BOX IN THE USUAL MANNER. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER.
      Contenders Race Analysis
      P# Horse Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds
      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DOODAH CARTEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BROTHER RAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Pow er Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COWBOY COUNTRY 123: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      8 DOODAH CARTEL 4/5 5/2
      7 BROTHER RAY 9/2 5/1
      3 COWBOY COUNTRY 123 8/1 9/1

      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
      Line
      Running Style Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
      Figure
      1 ACCUZATION 1 30/1 Slow 77 75 6.9 0.0 0.0
      2 UNMARKED 2 20/1 Average 83 66 3.9 0.0 0.0
      3 COWBOY COUNTRY 123 3 8/1 Fast 86 78 3.3 0.0 0.0
      4 GOOD MISCHIEF 4 20/1 Average 79 78 5.7 0.0 0.0
      5 MORE OF IT 5 7/2 Average 79 79 5.5 0.0 0.0
      6 JESS A LUCKY CHARM 6 20/1 Average 79 62 4.9 0.0 0.0
      7 BROTHER RAY 7 9/2 Average 87 87 3.9 0.0 0.0
      8 DOODAH CARTEL 8 4/5 Average 92 97 4.6 0.0 0.0
      9 CATTAIL COAST 9 12/1 Average 92 73 4.4 0.0 0.0

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20787

        #4

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.



        Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 71

        FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 5# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.
        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 1 NEGOCIADORA L R 2/1
        # 4 SARAI 9/5
        # 3 SUPER PAISLEY 5/1
        NEGOCIADORA L R is my choice. Looks like a strong player for the exotics. Strong average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this equine a key contender. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Fernandez will most likely have this mare in excellent position to win the race. SARAI - Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. SUPER PAISLEY - In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today. Has performed solidly lately in route races, posting a nifty 63 avg speed rating.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20787

          #5

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          PURCHASE





          Sam Houston - Race #7 - Post: 3:48pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 75

          Rating:

          #5 GET MY DRIFT (ML=3/1)
          #2 MISS TAPPY TONE (ML=8/1)
          #1 SUPERCENTS (ML=3/2)


          GET MY DRIFT - This mare is in good physical condition, having run a good race on February 28th, finishing first. This mare shows a classic pattern of layoff, two sprints, and stretching to a route today. MISS TAPPY TONE - I like this mare. Has the topmost earnings per start in this event. SUPERCENTS - You'll be making money left and right by turning your betting money onto this jockey/conditioner combination.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #8 FAYETTE BLUE (ML=9/2),

          FAYETTE BLUE - The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued contestant.
          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 GET MY DRIFT is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20787

            #6

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

            PURCHASE
            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $70000 Class Rating: 98

            SA - R9 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $21,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 2 ETERNAL REIGN (IRE) 9/5
            # 5 MI CONFESION (ARG) 15/1
            # 1 SURF SONG 12/1
            I think ETERNAL REIGN (IRE) is a formidable choice. Her 97 average has this mare with among the most competitive Equibase Speed Figures in this event. Damato has a very strong winning percentage with horses racing in turf route races. She has very strong class ratings, averaging 100, and has to be given consideration in here. MI CONFESION (ARG) - Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 93 avg - of late. Appears to be the type to be helped on Lasix here. SURF SONG - Her earnings per start in turf route races alone makes you take a look at her.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20787

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7 - Post: 3:36pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $110,000 Class Rating: 92 Lambholm South Sophomore Turf S.

              Rating:

              #7 CRUISIN CHUCK (ML=5/1)
              #1 MY FAVORITE BIRD (ML=3/1)


              CRUISIN CHUCK - Be loyal to this pony. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a terrific spot to bury them in the stretch. When Rea and Jeansonne unite on animals the return on investment has been fabulous at +30. I like the fact that this colt's last rating, 91, is tops in this bunch. MY FAVORITE BIRD - Came home fast last time out at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for his chances in this event. A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a solid contest is a good sign. The improved speed ratings over the last three races is solid. Sweezey drops him in this affair in great shape.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #4 THE TOWN (ML=2/1), #9 CHICKEN DANCE (ML=9/2), #3 MR MO'S MAGIC (ML=6/1),

              THE TOWN - I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the public's choice and is likely to be favored today. This vulnerable equine ran a common speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that rating. CHICKEN DANCE - This pony ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last out. He shouldn't run better and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that number. MR MO'S MAGIC - Would have to get better off that eighth place finish last time to make an impact here.

              GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CRUISIN CHUCK - I have this filed away under my pet angles. Ranks numero uno on the Power Rating and is going to go off at a nice price.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 CRUISIN CHUCK is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,7]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: 7 with 1 with [4,6,8] Total Cost: $3
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 7 with 1 with [3,4,6,8,9] with [3,4,6,8,9] Total Cost: $20
              SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS: [1,7] with [1,7] with [3,4,6,8] with [3,4,6,8] with [3,4,6,8] Total Cost: $48


              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20787

                #8
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 8
                3 3 BUNKHOUSE BOSS 9/2 Fillion, Samuel - 15 427.34
                5 5 GANSBAAI 4/1 Whelan, Michael W - 6 416.29
                4 4 GEARSON 8/1 Macdonald, Brett A - 17 397.48
                7 7 STROKER 3/1 Rivest, Gary J - 11 385.43
                1 1 LATE FOR COFFEE 7/2 Ryan, Jason D - 16 384.13
                2 2 ALLSTAR CORDS 2/1 Byron, Stephen R - 10 329.83
                6 6 B BLAZIN 6/1 Sorrie, Austin - 17 316.95

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20787

                  #9
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Track on 2
                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 9
                  3 3 TRUST ME ALOT 3/1 Piwniuk, Blake F - 12 515.31
                  4 4 Y V LARCENY 3/1 Hoerdt, Kelly O - 14 460.12
                  1 1 FROSTFIRE 9/2 Campbell, W Drew - 15 435.90
                  2 2 VINTAGE LASS 5/1 Grundy, Ryan - 14 407.12
                  5 5 JEANIELICIOUS 4/1 Vukelich, John Tm - 3 399.39
                  6 6 HANG ON SLOOPY 7/2 Lambert, Jacques W - 6 351.43

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20787

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cumberland Raceway

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.


                    Race 9 - Post: 3:11 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$4200 - MAINE AMATEUR DRIVING CLUB NW $1,500
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 7 LEGAL BETTOR 9/5
                    # 3 AINTNOBETTOR A 8/1
                    # 4 QUAN BLUE CHIP 5/2
                    LEGAL BETTOR will not be denied the top prize in this one. Has the makings of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 82 TrackMaster Speed Rating. If effort in the most recent race is any indicator, this entrant will have a very respectable shot today. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Unquestionably think these two have a very good relationship. Whitney in the sulky means a very nice chance to get the victory. AINTNOBETTOR A - A very good class horse shouldn't be be forgotten. With an avg class number of 75 all signs look good for this one. QUAN BLUE CHIP - Some trainers just fit better with certain horses. That seems to be the case right here with Gerard. A good bet. If effort in the most recent contest is any indication, this harness racer will have a very nice shot here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20787

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 13 - Post: 8:12 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$15500 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $4501 LAST 4 STARTS AE: N/W 4
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 10 THE BIRD DANCE N 7/2
                      # 5 BOOK THE FIGHT 3/1
                      # 4 SOUTHBEACH HANOVER 12/1
                      THE BIRD DANCE N has a respectable shot to take this race. May be the most compelling in the grouping here, showing formidable statistics of late. Avg speed is a solid 92. Surely the class of the bunch with an average rating of 93. A nice pick. Is a clear-cut win contender given the 92 TrackMaster Speed Rating from his most recent outing. BOOK THE FIGHT - With the equipment change - second time freelegged - there is a good chance for a speed improvement in today's race. Recent statistics for the driver - 19 percent win - make this gelding a stand out in the race. SOUTHBEACH HANOVER - The handicapping group happens to know that when you put Page and Carter together really good results frequently occur.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20787

                        #12
                        Scott Shapiro: Santa Anita Spot Plays | Sunday, March 29, 2026

                        by Scott Shapiro

                        After a Saturday that saw mostly formful results, including Rashimi’s victory as the odds-on choice in the Wilshire (G3), they are back it for one more card to end the racing week at Santa Anita Park. The 9-race slate is headlined by the $100,000 San Carlos (G3) at 7-furlongs over the main track. Here are a few horses I have my eye on later this afternoon in Southern California.


                        Race 1:
                        I am going to take a big swing to start off the day in this 9-furlong affair over the grass for protected non-winners. #4 Off Your Rocker debuted in a realistic spot for trainer Leonard Powell with little fear his 35-1-longshot would get claimed at first asking. The son of Rock Your World failed to hit the board at a big price that day, but really impressed me with his late run and gallop out. The 3YO gelding moves up to take on MSW foes and quite frankly meets a field where the favorites do not scare me. It is a lot to ask and it will require a better ride from Cesar Belmont than he has given most of his grass mounts over the course of the winter, but the price should be right to gamble in the opener.

                        Play: #4 Off Your Rocker (12-1 ML)


                        Race 2:
                        Hopefully, we are alive in the early Double heading into this MSW for fillies and mares at 7-furlongs over the main track where #1 Wolf Hill is a vulnerable 7-5-ML choice. The upstart filly has had five chances already in compact groups and has been unable to get to the wire first. Her upside is limited at this point as well, so I will look to a filly that has far more in #2 Bad Manners. Trainer Richard Mandella has had this daughter of Into Mischief on the sidelines since her debut last August against a live MSW field at Del Mar. She was a well-beaten third that day, but took on far better horses than she meets today. Mandella is strong off the break since he is sure to have them ready before getting them back to the races. I like this gal’s chance of besting this group off the lengthy break.

                        Play: #2 Bad Manners (5-1 ML)


                        Race 5:
                        The pace should be honest in this key race for Pick 5 players since it closes out the early and starts the late. Given the probable race shape, I am singling #5 Amplitude. The son of Uncle Mo has failed to hit the board in two starts since moving out west into the John Sadler barn. That said, he encountered stronger competition than he meets later today. Sadler takes the blinkers off this 5YO that should get a fast pace to run at. Kazushi Kimura will be back aboard. If he is able to save ground early, he should have a ton of horse late.

                        Play: #5 Amplitude (3-1 ML)

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20787

                          #13
                          Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream Mandatory Pick 6 Payout Analysis | Sunday, March 29, 2026

                          by Scott Shapiro

                          After a Florida Derby Day that saw Commandment get his nose down on the wire to win a desperate photo against The Puma in the headliner, it is closing day of the 2025-2026 Championship Meet at Gulfstream Park. The 11-race card is led by a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6, which has a carryover of $286,399. Track officials are estimating the pool to reach $2.5M when all is said and done. Here is how I plan to attack the final Rainbow 6 of the meeting.


                          Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

                          Race 6:
                          Grade: C+
                          Main Ticket: 1 Chemical Romance; 2 Bull Shoals; 6 Serac
                          Backups: None

                          Forecast: #2 Bull Shoals was made the understandable 2-1-ML choice by oddsmaker Brian Nadeau after a runner-up effort at odds of 67-1 to kick off his career. The son of Mo Forza ran second to a runner that came back, took public support, but had a troubled voyage in yesterday’s Cutler Bay. If Bull Shoals moves forward off of that effort, they are running for second, but he is tough to trust at his likely off odds second time out. Therefore, I will include a few others capable of springing the upset. #1 Chemical Romance ran too poor to believe last out and proved he has the upside to be competitive against this level of competition two-back, while #6 Serac adds the blinkers and still has upside for trainer Nicholas Palmer.


                          Race 7:
                          Grade: B
                          Main Ticket: 6 Noble J
                          Backups: None

                          Forecast: I will take my biggest stand of the sequence with 9-2-ML shot #6 Noble J in this state-bred first-level allowance over the main track. The Monarch Stables gelding came back off a year and a half layoff in December and won going away before a pair of speed and fade efforts against this level of competition. There is no doubt his run last out was poor, but it came down on the inside on a day where the outside was by far the place to be in Hallandale Beach. Trainer David Fawkes has given the son of Noble Bird time and he should get a much more favorable setup with very little early zip signed on. The removal of blinkers for the first time hopefully relaxes this guy early and the move to the better part of the racetrack all meet should benefit him greatly. Gate-to-wire to gain a little separation from the public.


                          Race 8:
                          Grade: C+
                          Main Ticket: 12 Ninja Star; 2 Winooski
                          Backups: 1 Maktub; 4 Honesto; 8 Bless America

                          Forecast: #12 Ninja Star is the clear one to beat on the class drop in this full field $10k open claimer over the all-weather. The Florida-bred has won 5 of 16 over the synthetic, won at this level two-back, and exits a much better race than he is entered in later today. That said, he is likely to be a short price and only bested similar competition by a head in early February. I will use him along with #2 Winooski on all tickets and threw some prices in as backups. There is a non-zero chance this thing falls apart. Anything goes if the favorite does not fire his best shot.


                          Race 9:
                          Grade: B-
                          Main Ticket: 2 Themanupfront
                          Backups: 9 The Brigade

                          Forecast: I lack creativity in this optional claimer over the lawn where I could not past the two ML choices. #2 Themanupfront drew better and should have a tactical advantage over #9 The Brigade. If jockey Jonathan Ocasio controls the early tempo, he will be tough to get by late. I will center things around the Bobby Dibona trainee with plenty of coverage going to The Brigade as well.


                          Race 10:
                          Grade: B-
                          Main Ticket: 3 Palace View; 5 Nantasket Beach; 10 Baytown Parfait
                          Backups: 9 Longbranch Lou

                          Forecast: The final race of the meet over the all-weather is a competitive one at 1m70yds where #5 Nantasket Beach was made the slight favorite over #9 Longbranch Lou after bypassing a stakes race over the grass yesterday. I have a slight bit of doubt about the 7YO gelding over this surface, but trainer Lauren Robson has earned the benefit of the doubt. She has won with 20% of her 56 starters dating back to the start of 2025 and has spotted horses wonderfully this winter. Therefore, he is a must use along with late running #3 Palace View. I am also intrigued by #10 Baytown Parfait after a huge effort last out. Sure, he lost to #9 Longbranch Lou, but did all of the dirty work. He could have things a lot easier upfront this afternoon.


                          Race 11:
                          Grade: B
                          Main Ticket: 3 Ati Girl; 9 Peachy Canyon; 11 Dyna
                          Backups: None

                          Forecast: The final race of the meet looks wide-open. #11 Dyna is a logical contender for a barn that is heating up late in the meet, but drew poorly off a long break making her impossible to trust. If she can work out a trip, she is the one to beat, but I like a pair of prices as well. The aforementioned Lauren Robson sends out wild card #9 Peachy Canyon. The Tristar Farm runner made one start, but in December at Dundalk over their synthetic surface. The upside is there for a barn that clearly knows what they are doing. I like #3 Ati Girl most. The daughter of Nyquist has had five chances, but all for former trainer Tim Hamm. Not only did she progress nicely over those starts at Tampa Bay Downs, but now she moves into the barn of Bill Mott. With an inside draw, she is tasty value at her 15-1 ML offering. Let’s close out the meet in style!

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20787

                            #14
                            Al Cimaglia: Miami Valley Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, March 29, 2026

                            by Al Cimaglia

                            Miami Valley begins the week with a 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                            Race 11 (7:30 PM EDT)

                            3-Alta Revelry N (5-1)-Finished a good 3rd facing the one below and comes right back with the same post at the same class. Looking for a hot pace and Trevor Smith can keep the veteran close to the leaders. Should be a square price and make the most of an efficient trip.
                            5-Little Rocket Man (2-1)-Starts inside of the main foe and has a short field to beat. David Miller will have the classy veteran cranked up when the wings fold. If dialed on high, can get the top and not look back.

                            Race 12 (7:51 PM EDT)

                            4-Seafire (2-1)-Went the back-half in 53.4 against better and that was only good enough to cash a 4th place. Drops, Miler does the steering with a nice post draw and should relish the company.
                            7-Moons Up (7/2)-Finished 2nd last time, won 2 back and has done well against this kind at MVR. Should be in the mix at the wire and has good tactical speed so the post draw shouldn't hinder chances.

                            Race 13 (8:12 PM EDT)

                            3-Rockin Airway (7-1)-Comes off some dull efforts and was hindered with outside post draws but now take a good drop in class. Does well racing near the top of the stack. Has won and then finished 2nd in the last 2 races versus this kind.
                            5-Book The Fight (3-1)-Came off the bench and raced without hopples for the 1st time and was hung the mile. The Hoosier shipper finished a respectable 3rd in the 1st race since 10-10 and will look for a more friendly trip this time.
                            10-The Bird Dance N (7/2)-Had the 8-hole last week after dropping to face this kind. Got on the point off the gate, then ended up with a 2 hole trip and faded down the lane. Starts from the 2nd tier but doesn't need to lead every step of the way to win.

                            Race 14 (8:33 PM EDT)

                            2-Boomerang (7/2)-Beaten chalk did race well in the 2nd start off the bench. Rallied with a .54 back half but didn't leave into a slower opening quarter. Chris Page should be more aggressive when the wings fold and could get a cozy trip.
                            5-Woodrow Blue Chip (4-1)-Couldn't gain any ground down the lane versus this kind in last. Did miss a start and now comes back in sequence. Could beat this crew if Trace Tetrick finds a live cover flow.

                            $1.00 Late Pick 4

                            3,5/4,7/3,5,10/2,5
                            Total Bet=$24

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20787

                              #15
                              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                              Sunland Park - Race #6
                              #4 Marka Price isn't going to be much, but she was super sharp in the score last time out when getting around two turns for the first time, and she looks in line for a great trip while sitting behind a few stretchout players.
                              #1 Country Club Crush Her overall form stacks up nicely, and I think she's going to get a really nice trip while likely tracking the one drawn just outside of her early. A question going long, but she's a reasonable alternative to the chalk.
                              #5 Holy Miss She's still eligible to face her winless friends, but she woke up quite a bit when going long for the first time last out, and while I don't see her turning the tables on the top choice, she wasn't embarrassed that day and wouldn't be a huge shock today if a couple things went her way.
                              Race Summary Marka looked really good handling some of these last time out, and there isn't much to suggest any of those horses are about to get the best of her today if she brings something similar.
                              Sunland Park - Race #7
                              #1 American Century Couple questions to answer here while rising into stakes company off the graduation run at first asking, but he seems likely to control the tempo while stretching out in a race without any serious pace. Should walk these the whole way.
                              #2 Buy Local He's quick enough to stay with the top choice early and just scored against some of these when trying a route run for the first time. Wouldn't argue too hard with you.
                              #4 Cash Waterfall He has been super honest, but he might be just a touch better going short right now and seems most likely to finish underneath here.
                              Race Summary American Century steps up with the debut score under his belt, and he should be the controlling pace today -- might be that simple.
                              Sunland Park - Race #8
                              #9 Renato's Spirit Not sure who you're supposed to be afraid of in here, so I'll give this one the first look on the tote and track. Would be dangerous here if he has any kind of positional pace at all.
                              #8 Torreado Don't trust him to stay at all, but he is really the only confirmed pace in here, and that at least gives him some chance to shake free and forget to come back. Dicey, but seems in the mix.
                              #1 American Secrets Reliable finisher is clearly one of the ones, but just feel like he might wind up with too much to do in a soft-paced race.
                              Race Summary Renato's Spirit is a fresh face in a soft race, and he draws well to find a spot into the first turn in a field full of horses who want to sit back and launch one rally late.
                              Sam Houston - Race #2
                              #1 Better Day He has shown just enough chasing pace to think he can be in the mix early against this group, and he's getting some class relief after racing for more than twice this price in Florida. In the mix -- but probably not at the 15/1 ML offering.
                              #2 Spunoutofmymind He has been third in all three lifetime starts at this level, and he's probably in line for another really nice pressing trip from close range. Dangerous for the new team.
                              #7 Faith's Spirit He was no serious threat in the lane at 70 cents on the dollar in his local debut, but he's probably capable of something a bit better than that. Still, I don't love the fact that he has given ground away late in every race on his page and has continued to do so while dropping down the ladder. He can win this, but you can have him.
                              Race Summary Better Day might get an OK run of things if he can show a little bit of pace from the fence, and there might be some upside while dropping in class and getting Lasix with the change of scenery.
                              Sam Houston - Race #3
                              #5 E Z Words Not much special on the page here, but he is fairly honest for a horse at this level and should find a good first-over kind of spot. Reliable player at the level gets the edge.
                              #7 Take This City Turnback player could get an OK tracking trip while applying his tactical route pace at this shorter trip, and he was only a length or so out of the exacta last time out despite the big beaten margin.
                              #6 Red Dirt Alley The two-back local stakes run was not all bad, and he has been in with better throughout his entire career, but the overall form is dreadful and doesn't produce a ton of confidence that even this easier spot will wake him up.
                              Race Summary E Z Words meets some horses with upside, but I think the fact that he's proven at the level counts for something. Good trip gets him home today?
                              Sam Houston - Race #8
                              #7 Kentucky Angel She has decent finishing form and has been in with some solid groups over the last year, and I think the move back to the turf gives her enough upside to make her interesting with these.
                              #2 Heavenly Dream She ran well in that short two-turn trip at Evangeline last summer, but I worry that this trip is going to really stretch her as far as potential distance limitations go in a spot with the potential for enough prompting pace to keep her honest.
                              #11 Enticing Sunset She's another with some speed and an outside draw to attack any of the other pace into the first turn, and I really like that she can tap the brakes just a bit and press/spy the speed if she needs to. Worried she gets bet, but she feels legit here.
                              Race Summary Kentucky Angel might offer an OK price while getting back on the lawn, and something like that September Remington turf run probably makes her competitive with this group.

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