Wednesday 4/22/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Keeneland - Race #4

#5 Operation Overlord	He ran well at this kind of trip last time out in Florida, and another perfect trip right up on the pace should be waiting for him today. Dangerous.
#1 My Boy Tony	He's back fresh after the form went a bit sour toward the end of his 2025 campaign, but there are some races on his page that would stack up OK with this crew if he were able to get back to them today. Bit of a reach, but not impossible.
#10 Relative Value	He's another threat in a fun race, as he probably still has some upside after just the two starts, and he might find a perfect spot while racing up close at this longer trip.
Race Summary	Operation Overlord probably takes some cash here, but I'll try to get My Boy Tony in the picture with him at a price to make things a bit more interesting.

Keeneland - Race #6

#3 Coco Abarrio	She has been in pretty decent form and has stayed in the frame with some solid runners in recent starts, but she's probably still going to offer an OK price on the board in a competitive race. Enough to like.
#4 Big Trouble	She caught a nice winner in the last one who ran a huge race that day, but this one's baseline is still pretty well in line with what it might take to land this one. Reliable finisher should show up.
#8 Pandora's Gift	Class couldn't hang on the synthetic in her last start of 2025, but she has been in with far tougher groups than she's going to find today, so a score wouldn't be any kind of surprise -- likely at a mild price.
Race Summary	Coco Abarrio has been super reliable with the exception of a dull dirt run on her page, and she's just tactical enough to avoid being outrun in the early stages.

Keeneland - Race #8

#12 Bull Shoals	He finished up nicely in the career debut when outrunning those 67/1 odds, and there is some reasonable upside here after just the one start. Wonder if the connections might help keep the price interesting.
#9 Intuitive Wisdom	He's back off a long layoff, but the form on the page is appealing enough to wonder if he might be able to outrun his price in this spot -- always a little intrigued when these types are brought back.
#6 Mortal Lock	Wouldn't surprise with something like his typical effort, but he has had his share of chances and is getting short on excuses at this point. Wouldn't argue too hard, but I'm not sure how much you're supposed to trust him.
Race Summary	Bull Shoals gets the edge with some room to come forward at second asking, and his wide draw may help keep a point or two on his price on the board. Think he might be a handful here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1

#7 LADY LYLA (4-1)	Could control pace but ran well from off of it last out, running out of chances.
#1 CURLINA STAR (2-1)	Needs some pace flow, rail draw and added ground should help.
#5 WINNING SHOT (9-5)	Finished second three times in last four main-track route attempts.
Race Summary	Three of the favorites reunite at a longer distance than their last meeting. LADY LYLA changed tactics from an outside post, loomed boldly on the turn before she was passed by WINNING SHOT and offers the best value. She changes riders and could be back on the engine in a pace-less race. Bet to win and place and play 7-1 and 7-5 exactas.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #2

#2 CENTERFOLD GUY (5-1)	Better post, tactical edge if he breaks alertly, good betting value.
#6 IF I WERE YOU (8-5)	Piling up the checks at this level going a route of ground.
#1 AWESOME ENTRY (9-2)	Just missed at 101-1 odds two back, ‘improved’ in follow-up try.
Race Summary	CENTERFOLD GUY drew post 7 out-ward in 7 of his last 8 starts. He conquered this distance when he last won and should be the controlling speed from post 2 if he averts a troubled break that surfaced twice recently. Bet to win and place and play a 2/1, 6, 7/1, 4, 6, 7 trifecta.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4

#8 MESSI THE GREAT (7-2)	Can make good use of his speed on the class drop from the outside.
#6 BREATH DEEPLY (3-1)	Best numbers, best company lines, but do they offset a 1-27 record?
#1 COERCIVE (5-2)	Beaten favorite at this level two back, enters new barn, gets Marin to ride.
Race Summary	MESSI THE GREAT has speed, starts fresh, gets class relief and gets the nod. He finished second twice in six starts at 6F in a field that is a combined 1-for-30 at the distance. Bet to win and place and play 8-1 and 8-6 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis
PURCHASE

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $1 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 2:41P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * WHEN'S FOREVER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SAKRA'S QUEST: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ra ting. PRAYER'S BEAUTY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Ho rse race). GET EVEN KID: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	WHEN'S FOREVER	5/2	7/2
6	SAKRA'S QUEST	5/1	5/1
5	PRAYER'S BEAUTY	6/1	9/1
3	GET EVEN KID	2/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	PRAYER'S BEAUTY	5	6/1	Front-runner	64	57	67.0	47.8	38.8
6	SAKRA'S QUEST	6	5/1	Front-runner	69	63	65.4	60.4	56.4
3	GET EVEN KID	3	2/1	Stalker	67	70	39.4	55.7	49.2
2	WHEN'S FOREVER	2	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	76	65	51.4	64.2	61.2
1	DREAMING GIRL	1	12/1	Trailer	68	60	47.8	52.8	45.3
4	CHARMING JAZEL	4	4/1	Trailer	73	66	35.1	49.3	44.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
PURCHASE

Equibase Special - Race 1	Leg 1 of the Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Allowance • 1 1/2 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $120,000 • Post: 2:36P
KEE - R4 - (RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OVER NINE FURLONGS ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 22 ALLOWED 5 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND FIVE-EIGHTHS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MY BOY TONY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. THE DOVER SPECTER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LAZLO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WARLANDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TELESCOPIC: Horse's average winni ng distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
1	MY BOY TONY	12/1	6/1
13	THE DOVER SPECTER	20/1	7/1
8	LAZLO	8/1	7/1
3	WARLANDER	15/1	7/1
11	TELESCOPIC	10/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	WARLANDER	3	15/1	Front-runner	101	97	97.4	91.4	83.4
8	LAZLO	8	8/1	Front-runner	100	101	89.2	95.6	87.6
5	OPERATION OVERLORD	5	5/2	Front-runner	93	92	85.7	85.7	75.2
2	ENGLISH LAW	2	10/1	Stalker	95	87	85.4	89.4	77.4
10	RELATIVE VALUE (GB)	10	4/1	Stalker	93	89	77.8	85.5	70.5
13	THE DOVER SPECTER	13	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	100	100	81.7	93.7	78.7
12	KICKING CLEAR	12	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	87	79.9	82.7	63.7
6	HALL MONITOR	6	5/1	Trailer	89	91	86.4	86.2	68.7
9	DEVIL ANSE	9	20/1	Trailer	92	93	52.6	78.8	62.8
4	CALL ME JOHNNY	4	30/1	Trailer	66	62	33.6	59.1	32.1
1	MY BOY TONY	1	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	99	103	93.8	96.2	84.2
14	MAXIMUM PROMISE	14	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	101	88	90.6	86.4	73.4
11	TELESCOPIC	11	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	99	95	81.8	91.3	80.8
7	ZAPRUDER	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	84	64.9	79.0	58.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 4:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#9 JULLIAN IN PARIS (ML=5/1)
#8 HAPPY DOES (ML=6/1)


JULLIAN IN PARIS - This gelding garnered a good fig of 85 in his last event. That speed fig should be lofty enough to prove victorious this time out. This one isn't the morning line favorite, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in his last race (Apr 8th at Turf Paradise). HAPPY DOES - Thoroughbred didn't hit the board in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground in the lane. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 THIRD WHEEL (ML=5/2), #7 RULER OF ANGELS (ML=9/2), #3 HALO UNCLE (ML=5/1),

THIRD WHEEL - Didn't land in the top three on Apr 8th after the very long layoff. Be doubtful of this horse this time around. RULER OF ANGELS - You always believe this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he just misses most of the time. HALO UNCLE - Tough to put any dough on this gelding on the win end. Likes to hit the board though.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HAPPY DOES - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm making a wager. Wasn't too far from the winner last race out.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #9 JULLIAN IN PARIS to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 14 G ONE BOUND 10/1
# 3 CHEFETA 9/2
# 11 BEAUTIFUL EMMA 9/5

My selection in this competition is G ONE BOUND especially at a such a nice price. Must be given a shot in this race if only for the quite good speed figure posted in the last outing. CHEFETA - Has garnered strong Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. Could beat this group given the 67 speed figure put up in her last outing. BEAUTIFUL EMMA - Has to be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last race. Overall the speed figures of this horse look decent in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 1:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,900 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#1 COLOR BEARER (ML=9/2)


COLOR BEARER - A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a good race is a good sign. This gelding's last fig is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll play him back again this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SMOKIN JOE (ML=2/1), #4 AUTHENTIC COWTOWN (ML=5/2), #5 SILENT DRILL (ML=5/1),

SMOKIN JOE - Can't wager on this steed in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race recently. I think this probable favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a much better rating than last out to battle in this dirt sprint. AUTHENTIC COWTOWN - Hard to put your cash on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does. SILENT DRILL - Tough to take this entrant at the price after the result (sixth) in the last event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - COLOR BEARER - I'm betting on this mount today. Should relax at the start then get clear in the homestretch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 COLOR BEARER on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 22, 2026 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 FLAMINGPROPOSITION 9/2
# 6 INTERLOCK EMPIRE 2/1
# 1 SPECIAL DISPATCH 15/1

My pick in here is FLAMINGPROPOSITION. Will probably be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the halfway point of the contest. Is a strong contender based on numbers posted lately under today's conditions. INTERLOCK EMPIRE - He must be given a chance given the very good speed figs. With a competitive 90 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. SPECIAL DISPATCH - Ought to be given a shot - I like the figs from the last contest. A solid 96 avg class figure may give this horse a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race.

[HandyAndy]

THISTLEDOWN TIPS - WEDNESDAY, APRIL 22, 2026
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 75% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 THISTLEDOWN $33,900 Maiden Special Weight 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	7	Exponentially	B Bays
PLACE	3-1	2	Spectacular Tango	V R Fernandez
SHOW	5-1	1	Dollar Dance	F Salazar Becerra
WILD CARD	15-1	9	Electric Eden	B Tapara
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	5	Golden Haul	A Chavez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	Beachglass	R Bowen
* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
RACE #2 THISTLEDOWN $21,900 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	3	Smokin Joe	L R Rivera
PLACE	5-2	4	Authentic Cowtown	E Barbaran
SHOW	9-2	1	Color Bearer	J Skerrett
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Silent Drill	A I Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Merger	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Jims River Runner	Y Yaranga
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 THISTLEDOWN $12,600 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	4	Holiday Lights	A Chavez
PLACE	5-1	2	Quick Recovery	J J Radosevich
SHOW	7-2	1	D Kitten	V R Fernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Blazing Zenna	A I Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Fiona	J Simpson
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #5 - Taking Charge Desi
RACE #4 THISTLEDOWN $28,000 Allowance 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Petesoldfashioned	L Negron
PLACE	9-2	4	Full Spectrum	L R Rivera
SHOW	7-2	1	Red Chili Pepper	R Bowen
WILD CARD	5-2	7	Bigpiclittlepic	J A Bracho
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Frosty Paws	L A Batista
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Coastertothemoon	D L Parker
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #5 THISTLEDOWN $27,500 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	2	Paint the Town	J Simpson
PLACE	8-1	1	Oaks Honey	J A Bracho
SHOW	4-1	3	Relish the Ride	J Skerrett
WILD CARD	5-2	6	Oklahoma Joe	A I Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	5	Wetzel	D J Haldar
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #4 - I Wanna Win
* REPLACE WITH: Horse #6 - Oklahoma Joe
RACE #6 THISTLEDOWN $28,000 Allowance 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
#1 TOTAL SILENCE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	1	Total Silence	J A Bracho
PLACE	3-1	7	Game Performer	L R Rivera
SHOW	12-1	2	Axcel	M Cedillo
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Distant Galaxy	E Barbaran
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	3	Lous Legacy	Y Yaranga
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #4 - Go Jack Go
* REPLACE WITH: Horse #6 - Distant Galaxy
RACE #7 THISTLEDOWN $41,500 Allowance 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
#5 CITY SCENE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	5	City Scene	L R Rivera
PLACE	2-1	2	Candlelight Hours	T D Houghton
SHOW	5-1	6	Lionistic	E Barbaran
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Practicallyelusive	C Keiser
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Belle Bottoms	F Salazar Becerra
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #1 - Buckeye Cruiser
RACE #8 THISTLEDOWN $26,400 Maiden Special Weight 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
#3 TAQDEER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	3	Taqdeer	V R Fernandez
PLACE	5-2	1	Lady Midshipman	L A Batista
SHOW	8-1	7	Hope Rising	L A Gonzalez
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Roughnthepassenger	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	6	Blondieness	E Barbaran
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
LATE SCRATCH: Horse #2 - Tia Lupe