Thursday 4/23/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 370764

    #1

    Thursday 4/23/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 370764

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Keeneland - Race #7
    #12 Les Is Best The back turf form is compelling enough to think she might be competitive with these on the rise for the new team. I think her better stuff might be closer to the better ones in here than the price might suggest.
    #2 Classic Appeal Think she has some price intrigue while getting on the turf here, as she is quick enough to be right up near the top, and the price will be right to see if she can stick around for a share.
    #3 Worry Be Gone Wouldn't be any surprise off the good Turfway form for a top team, but I do have at least a mild concern that her turf debut is coming around the time local synthetic racing disappears until the fall -- might be more forced than it is thinking it's her preference. Obvious player, but she's surely going to be overbet. I have questions.
    Race Summary Interesting race -- Worry Be Gone races for a team that could easily have had her on the lawn in New Orleans this winter, so I am at least a little curious about making her prove that she is ready to thrive here. Maybe I'm overthinking it. Les Is Best should be a fun enough price to take a little swing.
    Keeneland - Race #8
    #9 Army's Marauder She has been a little one-paced late in her races, but she turns back for this one while adding blinkers seems good enough to land this.
    #1 Beach Mandy Check her out on the tote and track, as she's bringing a couple of decent local works with her to this debut, and I'm not totally sold that this one is full of standouts.
    #3 Haunting Echoes Reliable Parx form might be a little light to land this, but she should find herself in a decent spot while tracking the pace, and I could see her sticking around for a piece at an OK number.
    Race Summary #2 Aegis and #10 Poise both have some appeal on paper, too, but I think Army's Marauder is a good fit while cutting back with blinkers. She may find a decent spying trip.
    Keeneland - Race #9
    #5 Whitehorn She couldn't hang late in the last behind an easy winner on the main track, and her two-back turf try was pretty solid from a great spying spot. She might get the run of the race right up top.
    #10 Marcinkowski She needs to bring something better to land this one, but her Ellis runs last year weren't all bad, and I think she's one of the more likely big numbers to bring a solid run.
    #11 Peachy Canyon She finished up well in Florida in her first stateside start, and I wouldn't be surprised to see her take a step forward off that...wouldn't need a big one to land this.
    Race Summary Would want to have #6 American Debutante in the mix on the plays as another one who is likely to bring a solid effort, but I think Whitehorn is the right one with enough pace to get a big jump on the capable finishing threats into the far turn.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 370764

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Penn National - Race #3
      #3 MAGICAL WAYS (3-1) All-or-nothing type on class drop of Ness claim, works indicate readiness.
      #1 TAKE THE PLEDGE (5-2) Late runner blew past PA-breds at 1M in prior start at this level.
      #7 MR. RIPPLE (4-1) Beat 13 rivals total at 1-to-9 odds in allowance 3-peat at Finger Lakes last year.
      Race Summary MAGICAL WAYS posted some big speed figures in 2X allowance company during a winless 2025 season, but he faltered badly in his only two starts since September. He was claimed for twice this price by Ness but shows a pair of fast workouts to get ready for his return. Bet to win and place and play 3-1 and 3-7 exactas.
      Penn National - Race #5
      #6 GUS’ TEN (2-1) Was aided by fast pace but had to overcome trouble to finish second last out.
      #5 SUPREMELY WICKED (15-1) Ran to fast works in much-improved try with Lasix, big price.
      #1 PASSIONFORGLORY (9-2) Survived 3-way duel but couldn’t fend off onrushing odds-on favorite.
      Race Summary GUS’ TEN lost a couple of lengths when he checked midway on the backstretch, but he regrouped with a 6-wide rally on the turn and got up to finish second behind the tiring leader. He benefitted from a lively pace but should get ample pace flow to launch a winning rally in the same spot. Bet to win and place and play a 1-5-6 exacta box.
      Penn National - Race #7
      #10 KARLWITHANRL (3-1) Last three times he won were by a nose, head and neck, new barn on a roll.
      #3 BERMUDA RUN (6-1) Stretches out, doesn’t shy from photo-finish camera, popular at the windows.
      #9 RADAUTI (6-1) Compromised by slow pace in latest, fits well on best in third start for this barn.
      Race Summary KARLWITHANRL, claimed for the third consecutive start out of a starter allowance victory at Turfway Park, could need his top effort to overcome post 10 in this field. But he should get a fast enough pace to rally into as he tries to continue trainer Brandon Kulp’s torrid 25-for-59 run with new acquisitions. Bet to win and place and play 10-3 and 10-9 exactas.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 370764

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Keeneland
        PURCHASE
        Keeneland - Race 7 Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Superfecta ($.50 min)-$3 Late Pick 3 (Races 7, 8, 9)
        Allowance • 1 1/2 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $120,000 • Post: 4:12P
        (RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OVER NINE FURLONGS ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 23 ALLOWED 5 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND FIVE-EIGHTHS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TRICKY KITTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ETAWA (IRE): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WORRY BE GONE: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts).
        6 TRICKY KITTY 3/1 6/1
        4 ETAWA (IRE) 6/1 6/1
        5 ONTARIO 4/1 6/1
        12 LES IS BEST 12/1 9/1
        3 WORRY BE GONE 2/1 10/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        2 CLASSIC APPEAL 2 15/1 Front-runner 88 86 79.7 63.2 44.7
        9 JERSEYS PARADE 9 20/1 Front-runner 80 83 53.8 74.0 55.5
        11 GIGI'S WORLD 11 20/1 Stalker 88 81 70.4 79.8 63.8
        5 ONTARIO 5 4/1 Stalker 95 89 68.4 85.8 77.3
        8 SHEILA'S LION 8 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 87 80 66.0 82.2 68.7
        12 LES IS BEST 12 12/1 Trailer 90 87 73.4 83.0 70.0
        6 TRICKY KITTY 6 3/1 Trailer 94 88 68.4 83.6 78.6
        3 WORRY BE GONE 3 2/1 Trailer 88 80 67.2 75.3 66.8
        1 SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 1 20/1 Trailer 81 72 62.5 76.8 59.3
        4 ETAWA (IRE) 4 6/1 Trailer 97 93 56.9 76.8 71.8
        10 MALIBU SMART 10 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 87 69 69.0 83.4 69.4
        7 SMOKIN HOT BLONDE 7 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 78 78 79.6 67.2 51.2
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 370764

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick Four
          PURCHASE
          Cross Country Pick Four - Race 5 Leg E of the Cross Country Pick 5
          RH • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 5:34P
          OP - R8 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE EARNED A RATING NUMBER OF 50 TO 1 AT TIME OF ENTRY. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 23, 2026 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 23, 2025 ALLOWED 5 LBS. (HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 3 LBS.) (WINNER OF THIS RACE IS NOT CONSIDERED AN ALLOWANCE VICTORY).
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Lone Stalker. END OF INNOCENCE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MORNING MIRACLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MO SENSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PINK RUBY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rati ng. END OF INNOCENCE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races.
          6 MORNING MIRACLE 5/1 6/1
          10 MO SENSE 4/1 6/1
          5 PINK RUBY 9/5 6/1
          4 END OF INNOCENCE 12/1 7/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          8 RELEVATE 8 15/1 Front-runner 82 68 73.0 56.2 38.2
          6 MORNING MIRACLE 6 5/1 Front-runner 89 80 68.7 75.9 70.9
          5 PINK RUBY 5 9/5 Alternator/Front-runner 85 85 82.0 74.0 65.0
          4 END OF INNOCENCE 4 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 78 80 75.3 76.0 61.0
          10 MO SENSE 10 4/1 Trailer 87 82 55.2 74.8 69.8
          1 ESPERANZA'S SPIRIT 1 15/1 Trailer 81 73 54.4 72.6 59.6
          2 TARTARIA 2 12/1 Trailer 88 69 46.6 62.5 54.0
          9 KENTUCKY STARLET 9 20/1 Trailer 68 70 45.8 61.8 46.3
          3 CRUSHED ICE 3 7/2 Alternator/Non-contender 86 69 79.6 70.4 63.4
          7 CLEARLY CREEPS 7 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 82 82 62.4 58.8 47.8
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 370764

            #6

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

            PURCHASE
            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.



            Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $110000 Class Rating: 84

            KEE - R9 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND ONE-EIGHTH ON THE MAIN TRACK.
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 11 PEACHY CANYON (IRE) 9/2
            # 14 VIA VENETO 4/1
            # 1 MISS PHARAOH 15/1
            PEACHY CANYON (IRE) is my choice. There is a formidable chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. Ought to be given a shot - I like the figs from the last competition. Entries trained by Robson in turf route races are frequently reliable. VIA VENETO - Had one of the strongest speed figs of this field in her last race. This filly with Saez in the saddle makes her a contender. MISS PHARAOH - Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this pony look formidable in this contest. Has been running soundly lately and will almost certainly be close to the front end early on.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 370764

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Oaklawn Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:02pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $110,000 Class Rating: 81

              Rating:

              #6 PRIME SUSPECT (ML=8/1)
              #4 DEVILISH ACT (ML=6/1)


              PRIME SUSPECT - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Mendoza gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. Ran a winning race March 13th, but just couldn't catch the victor. Don't discount that last race. The animal fired out with good early speed, only to drop back and then hold ground to the finish. Carrying 6 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot. DEVILISH ACT - Dropped in class last time around the track, running against the same type today.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BILOBA (ML=8/5), #2 ABOUT FACE (ML=5/2),

              BILOBA - This morning-line choice ran on Mar 28th and hasn't had a morning drill since then. ABOUT FACE - Don't think that this colt has value at 5/2 this time out.
              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 PRIME SUSPECT to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 370764

                #8

                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE





                Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:53pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,300 Class Rating: 63

                Rating:

                #8 SPATULA (ML=3/1)


                SPATULA - I think that today's shorter distance should help this filly. Believe in this horse. No other viable speed gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. Was in an $8,000 Claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs last time around the track. That race had a class rating of 70 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain win candidate.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GENECHO (ML=6/5), #5 SWEET MANHATTAN (ML=9/2), #1 HALA BLUE (IRE) (ML=8/1),

                GENECHO - Would have to get better off that third place finish last time to make an impact here. Not probable that the rating she registered on March 21st will hold up in this contest. SWEET MANHATTAN - This animal doesn't have a winning character. Habitually finishes close, but no cigar. HALA BLUE (IRE) - This filly finished outside the top 3 on March 4th and wasn't close to victory last time around the track either.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SPATULA - This filly has the top speed figure last race with a very good 59. She is the top wager here.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #8 SPATULA to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with 2
                TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 370764

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 3 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 61

                  QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 7 DASH JESS QUICK 2/1
                  # 9 REGAL KING 3/1
                  # 5 MISS NEVER TO LATE 4/1
                  DASH JESS QUICK is my choice. Is a contender - given the 69 speed figure from his most recent race. Looks to have a formidable class edge based on the latest company kept. He has been running admirably lately while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. REGAL KING - He has been running well and the speed figs are among the most respectable in this field. Looks strong versus this group of animals and should be one of the front-runners. MISS NEVER TO LATE - This pony enters today's competition now going off Lasix. Has to be given a chance - I like the figs from the last race.
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