Thursday 4/30/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371063

    #1

    Thursday 4/30/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • HandyAndy
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2024
    • 529

    #2
    DELTA DOWNS TIPS - THURSDAY, APRIL 30, 2026
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 3 Hf Mama Says A X Morales
    PLACE 4-1 8 Wild Blood Fortunes P C Espinosa
    SHOW 5-2 5 Lollito C P Aguilar
    WILD CARD 6-1 6 Favorite Train V M Urieta Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Jedi One U Luna
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 9 Shes Hot Blooded L Rodriguez
    * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
    RACE #2 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET
    #7 APOLLITICAL FAST
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 7 Apollitical Fast L L Vivanco
    PLACE 3-1 5 Sheza Sneakin Bayou J F Garcia Jr.
    SHOW 6-1 2 Lm Jess a Lady R Edison Jr.
    WILD CARD 8-1 6 Dashing Robin H Vital
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Jjj Sea Yacht J J A Rodriguez
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Freight Up E R Hernandez
    * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
    RACE #3 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 7 Big Daddys Innocent J A Rodriguez
    PLACE 5-1 9 Comanche Spirit B Ransom
    SHOW 3-1 1 Hold On Tight L L Vivanco
    WILD CARD 4-1 5 Tg Apolitical Mama J Ramirez Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Beautiful Heart J F Garcia Jr.
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Downtown Perry U Luna
    * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX
    RACE #4 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-5 7 She B Zoomin U Luna
    PLACE 5-2 6 Jrs Mucho Speed F Vargas
    SHOW 5-1 1 Golden T P C Espinosa
    WILD CARD 6-1 4 Dlj Dashing Millie D Blake
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Ivory Toasted V M Urieta Jr.
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Guidrysboodietrain N Castaneda
    * EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
    RACE #5 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
    #4 KJ DASHIN GIRL
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 4 Kj Dashin Girl V M Urieta Jr.
    PLACE 6-1 8 Alekca Cj U Luna
    SHOW 8-1 1 Jess Lika Train F Vargas
    WILD CARD 8-1 7 Whoozthatlady P C Espinosa
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Dlj Shes Ivory Girl D Blake
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Country Roads J Ramirez Jr.
    * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
    RACE #6 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:50 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 9 Rf Rampaging Blood L Rodriguez
    PLACE 4-1 7 Dahlonega Stone U Luna
    SHOW 5-1 1 Innocent Game J F Garcia Jr.
    WILD CARD 6-1 8 Streakin Caroline R Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Listen to the Train P C Espinosa
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Railroad Jenny A Alvarez
    * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
    RACE #7 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 8:15 PM ET
    #5 ILLEGAL LADY
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-5 5 Illegal Lady R Edison Jr.
    PLACE 6-1 3 Ace Up My Sleeve F Vargas
    SHOW 7-2 9 Mp Giveahoot H Vital
    WILD CARD 5-1 4 Ttt Streakin Ivana R Cabrera
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Rdd Reasons for B L Rodriguez
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Lovin My Wine J F Garcia Jr.
    * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
    RACE #8 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 8:40 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 8 Gracefully Broken R B Edison
    PLACE 3-1 7 Kj Ferarri J F Garcia Jr.
    SHOW 15-1 2 Tf Im Dashing H Vital
    WILD CARD 4-1 4 Special Ivory Kisses N Castaneda
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Tf Five Bar Honey J Blalock
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Gem Dandee P C Espinosa
    * EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
    RACE #9 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:05 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-5 3 Goldaintyourcolour R Edison Jr.
    PLACE 3-1 5 Jes Innocent P C Espinosa
    SHOW 12-1 8 Imperial Fire J F Garcia Jr.
    WILD CARD 12-1 6 Kj Man Elealicious Y Rodriguez
    ALTERNATE 1 15-1 7 Luziana Women N Castaneda
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Ivorys Secret Bb B Ransom
    * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
    RACE #10 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:30 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-5 8 Mc Blue Cartel J J Garcia
    PLACE 9-2 5 Cherub Rock L Constantin
    SHOW 12-1 2 Along Came Mary P C Espinosa
    WILD CARD 12-1 4 Apollitical Vodka J F Garcia Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 20-1 9 Aye Witness U Luna
    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Mda Spicy Riptide F Vargas
    * EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
    RACE #11 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Two Times the Dash H Vital
    PLACE 4-1 8 Rc Leaving Presence J A Rodriguez
    SHOW 5-1 7 Jrs Shes Macho A Alvarez
    WILD CARD 6-1 6 Miss Incredible J F Garcia Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Rose Night B Ransom
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Sixes Streakin Blood N Castaneda
    * EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
    RACE #12 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 10:20 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 5 Shez Jess Innocent J F Garcia Jr.
    PLACE 5-1 9 Kj Corona Girl Y Rodriguez
    SHOW 7-2 8 Fully Loadedd L Rodriguez
    WILD CARD 8-1 4 Jrs Cos I Shine R Edison Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Ivory Sweetheart F Vargas
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Sweetheart Eagle V P C Espinosa
    * EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX
    RACE #13 DELTA DOWNS $10,000 Trials
    330 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 10:45 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-5 5 Mucho Man Shortstop C P Aguilar
    PLACE 7-2 7 Hollie Lou Ya L Rodriguez
    SHOW 8-1 6 Jessa Train B J J Garcia
    WILD CARD 10-1 9 B One Wild Card J F Garcia Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Dj Ghostrider S Ramirez
    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Zoomin Legacy R Edison Jr.
    * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX

    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371063

      #3
      Santa Anita, Gulfstream Carryovers Abound Thursday


      April 30, 2026 | By 1/ST BET

      Thursday's action at Santa Anita and Gulfstream get boosted by a series of carryovers.

      SPECIAL WAGERS
      Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 | Gulfstream 7-8; Santa Anita 1-2-3
      Sunset 6 | Gulfstream 6-7-8; Santa Anita 6-7-8
      Pick 6 | Santa Anita 4-5-6-7-8-9

      NOTABLE CARRYOVERS
      Sunset 6 | $7,388 | begins GP Race 6 | 3:53 pm ET
      Coast-to-Coast Pick 5 | $68,707 | begins GP Race 7 | 4:23 pm ET
      Pick 6 | $44,113 | Santa Anita | begins Race 4 | 5:39 pm ET
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371063

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Churchill Downs - Race #9
        #2 Minaret Station He's got his work cut out for him with this group, but he has done little wrong through four starts and fired fresh off a layoff last year. He obviously has some issues with the long layoff lines, but he might be able to play with this crew if he brings his game off the bench.
        #9 West Hollywood He rolled in a Grade III in his only career stakes try, and he was back off the break with a nice score in Louisiana last time out. Ability to settle and finish might serve him well in a race with a couple fairly committed pace players.
        #8 Lagynos He can be tough after pulling off a couple scores in New Orleans, but I just worry that he's pretty much got a baseline run and not a whole lot more to offer than that. It's a classy, capable baseline, but he might be vulnerable to someone jumping up with a big one.
        Race Summary Minaret Station is a question mark. He turned in a solid stakes score in his only start as a 3-year-old, and he's now back for his first start of this campaign with what I'm hoping is a tiny bit of upside into the 4-year-old year. Not sure we know how good he is yet, but I think he's good enough to stay in the frame with these.
        Churchill Downs - Race #10
        #3 Be You He's an honest enough finisher who doesn't have to be totally outrun early today based on the race flow on paper, and there's no Knightsbridge or Book'em Danno in this lineup. Happy to land here at something shorter than the 4/1 ML offering.
        #1 Concrete Glory Don't love him here, but I think he's the only super-committed pace player in a spot where all the other speedy types can at least tap on the brakes. Chance he sneaks off at some point?
        #9 Maximum Bourbon Class test today for a guy who has turned out pretty nicely for a $50,000 debut claim, but he might be in line for a really good spying trip from out here and may still have some upside with just five career starts to his name.
        Race Summary Be You probably gets bet a little bit in here? I'm OK with that -- I think his recent form looks like a handful compared to these, as he has been running big races against the kinds of horses you'd expect to dust a crew like this if they showed up here instead of running in the Grade I Saturday. Think he's going to roll these.
        Churchill Downs - Race #11
        #11 Blushing Justice She's a bit of a reach here, but she impressed me plenty in the Fair Grounds debut score and presumably has plenty of upside with just the one run under her belt. Worth a swing in case she's a really nice one.
        #5 Cy Fair She got beat last out but makes a lot of sense here while going second off the layoff, and she's not going to be have to be a whole lot better today to beat this crew. Best stuff would do.
        #3 Final Accord She couldn't hang late when stretching out for that Breeders' Cup try last year, but she's back to what is probably her ace trip today and seems like one of the ones.
        Race Summary Blushing Justice is meeting a Breeders' Cup winner in just her second career start, so I acknowledge that the ask here is significant. But I was excited to see her run back wherever she ended up after a really nice finishing score at first asking. Willing to give her a shot on the huge hike in hopes there is a ton of upside.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371063

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Aqueduct - Race #2
          #2 BOURBON CHASE (9-5) Might remember how on the class drop in this field, all-or-nothing type.
          #3 FEVER NIGHT (2-1) Shook pesky rival near lane, romped on day when first five winners rolled up front.
          #1 ENDURING SPIRIT (10-1) Rallied for third in his last three starts at 6F, last win was at 7F.
          Race Summary BOURBON CHASE drops below his recent claim level, sheds the blinkers and changes riders as he looks to recapture some of his lost form that led to nearly a quarter million in one-mile earnings. He was hard-ridden while 4-wide on the turn in his second start off a year layoff but lost contact with the 2-to-5 winner and the runner-up who came back to win an allowance. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3 exacta box.
          Aqueduct - Race #4
          #4 BABY SASSICAIA (9-5) Been keeping good long-distance company, could return quick claim dividend.
          #3 SHADYSIDE (2-1) Raced evenly in fast-paced sprint, sheds 7 pounds, runs for cheapest tag yet in 1M debut.
          #2 MITOLE’S GIRL (7-2) Chased 2-1 winner, held safe the favorite for runner-up spot at this distance.
          Race Summary BABY SASSICAIA exited a pair of ‘key’ route races, then got beat 7 lengths at this distance by Nilos Rose (4-10, $165k). She toyed with a weak sprint field last out and could offer better than her 9-5 morning-line value in a repeat bid off the claim. Bet to win and place and play a 3, 4/2, 3, 4/ALL trifecta.
          Aqueduct - Race #6
          #6 EL PACO (3-1) Claimed out of sharp maiden victory at this distance, Franco sticks.
          #1 EGYPTIAN (9-2) No match for runaway fave, faces better, projects ideal stalking trip from rail.
          #7 COME FULL CIRCLE (6-1) Steady form, alert start key for 20-percent route-to-sprint barn.
          Race Summary EL PACO romped to a 79 Beyer speed figure against NY-breds at this distance after he held second against next-out, $35k starter allowance winner Projectability in the race prior. He raced in-hand to the top of the stretch, kept busy to the finish and continued strong on the gallop out. Bet to win and place and play 6-1 and 6-7 exactas.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371063

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
            PURCHASE
            Camarero - Race 5 Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
            Maiden Claiming $27,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 21 • Purse: $9,200 • Post: 4:30P
            FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 1# A CLASFS.$27,000 ALLOWED 1 LBS. 2# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BRAVO JOHN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BRAVO JOHN: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
            7 BRAVO JOHN 10/1 4/5

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            5 HARLAN'S EMPIRE 5 5/1 Front-runner 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
            7 BRAVO JOHN 7 10/1 Alternator/Front-runner 40 33 38.9 31.3 24.3
            6 CORTISOL 6 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
            4 EXITOSO 4 2/1 Trailer 32 16 16.8 7.7 1.2
            3 NO TE QUITES 3 3/1 Trailer 26 10 11.4 9.5 3.5
            8 TIO PEPE G 8 20/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
            9 ABUELO WILLY 9 20/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
            Unknown Running Style: HE'S SO FINE (7/2) [Jockey: Diaz Juan C - Trainer: Falcon Eduardo], ELEMENTO E (10/1) [Jockey: Gonzalez Sanchez J L - Trainer: Baez Edison].
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371063

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
              PURCHASE
              Equibase Special - Race 1 Leg 1 of the Tropical Turf Pick 3
              Claiming $17,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 79 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 12:50
              GP - R1 - (RAIL AT 45 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500, IF FOR $16,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. (IF NO THREE YEAR OLDS ARE ENTERED, OLDER WEIGHT WILL REVERT TO 123). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE TAPETA COURSE AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS)
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OPERATION TORCH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OPERATION TORCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PEPPERMINT MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GIURO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
              8 OPERATION TORCH 9/5 3/1
              5 PEPPERMINT MAN 2/1 9/2
              7 GIURO 9/2 8/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              8 OPERATION TORCH 8 9/5 Front-runner 87 83 93.8 80.7 77.2
              5 PEPPERMINT MAN 5 2/1 Front-runner 87 78 84.4 74.5 69.5
              7 GIURO 7 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 84 76 81.6 75.0 69.0
              3 SARATOGA CRUISER 3 15/1 Trailer 76 66 57.4 77.0 67.0
              2 STARSHIP MAGELLAN 2 20/1 Trailer 80 70 53.3 64.6 50.6
              1 FORZA AZZURRI 1 5/1 Trailer 71 62 23.7 64.5 55.0
              6 SPONGE TIME 6 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 80 72 84.1 68.5 56.0
              4 CANDY ADDICTION 4 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 73 67 76.4 62.5 53.0
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371063

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 59

                QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 8 A STREAKIN HAWKEYE 4/1
                # 4 ROLL WITH CHILITOS 9/2
                # 3 BULL ET PRUFF 8/1
                A STREAKIN HAWKEYE is tough to overlook as the wager in here. Very strong venture today now going off Lasix. Posted a decent speed rating last time out. Don't let this gelding slip past you. Could win at big odds. ROLL WITH CHILITOS - Will most likely go to the front end and should never look back. He has solid class ratings, averaging 70, and has to be given a chance for this event. BULL ET PRUFF - This lot is much softer than the last one he faced. I like Martinez on this gelding to give him a competitive chance to hit the wire first.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371063

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Santa Anita - Race #9 - Post: 5:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 86

                  Rating:

                  #9 JUSTIVAR (ML=5/2)
                  #8 EGYPTIAN MISTRESS (ML=9/2)
                  #6 WINIKA (ML=4/1)


                  JUSTIVAR - Looking at the information on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this horse. In this race here, this magnificent animal has notched the highest Equibase speed fig at the distance, so I have to give her the edge. This thoroughbred may have too much power on the grass for the rest of the field. When the field turns for home, she could put these away. Another way to judge class is earnings per start. This entrant has the highest in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish line. EGYPTIAN MISTRESS - Look for this one to go gate to wire in victory at some decent odds right here in this race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the end. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (71-83-87) make this horse a dominant contender. WINIKA - This filly should give a strong showing of herself in today's affair.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #10 FIRE BAN (ML=3/1), #3 TIPITAP (ML=7/2), #11 DATS MS. BLAME (ML=6/1),

                  FIRE BAN - Finished fourth last time out. Would have to move up to hit the board today. TIPITAP - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. DATS MS. BLAME - This horse just hasn't looked fit lately.

                  GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - EGYPTIAN MISTRESS - I'm making a bet on this one today. An easier group is going to make a big difference. Will be strong today.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #9 JUSTIVAR to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 9 with [6,8]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [6,8,9] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [6,8,9] with [6,8,9] with [3,6,8,9,11] with [3,6,8,9,11] Total Cost: $36
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371063

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 87

                    SA - R5 - FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 9 INFINITY DREAM 6/1
                    # 5 VIOLENCES OHR 12/1
                    # 3 PREEM 7/2
                    INFINITY DREAM figures to be the bet in here. Difficult to pass on this filly with Ayuso in the irons. The speed figure of 86 from her last affair looks competitive in here. Ayuso has recent ROI figures which make this one a strong bet. VIOLENCES OHR - Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. PREEM - Ought to be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run as of late.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371063

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Churchill Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $78,000 Class Rating: 99

                      Rating:

                      #7 TEJON PASS (ML=6/1)
                      #3 SURF CITY (ML=12/1)
                      #6 YOU AIN'T POPPN (ML=7/2)


                      TEJON PASS - This gelding seems to run pretty good after a vacation. SURF CITY - Don't throw this one out due to his last contest at Keeneland where he ended up eighth on the soft turf. Should improve this time around. YOU AIN'T POPPN - Really think this thoroughbred is going to be really close at the wire.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BANNED FOR LIFE (ML=8/5), #4 STAR'S IMAGE (ML=9/2), #2 OPTICAL (ML=6/1),

                      BANNED FOR LIFE - Generally I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance affairs in order to bet on him. STAR'S IMAGE - This gelding hasn't had any positive efforts in short distance contests in the last couple of months. OPTICAL - A pattern of deteriorating speed figs 96/75/60 for this steed. A come from behinder like this one needs an early battle to set things up and he isn't likely to get one in this one.
                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #7 TEJON PASS on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,6,7]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [3,6,7] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                      SUPER HI-5 WAGERS: None
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