Monday 5/4/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371107

    #1

    Monday 5/4/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371107

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


    May 4, 2026 | By Al Cimaglia

    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    Yonkers Raceway has a 9-race card. The $1.00 Pick 5 with a $10,000 guaranteed pool rolls in Race 5. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6 (8:45 PM EDT)

    1-All Alone (5/2)-Drops to a level where a win could happen. Has had the 8-8-7 posts in the last 3 races. Will benefit from this post draw and the new pilot Joe B, will have in play when the wings fold.
    6-The Ideal Dancer A (6-1)-This race could set up for a stalker and Pat Lachance could go that route. The price is right to use because the veteran has back class and has enough gate speed to be in play early on. Could pay off at a price with the right trip.

    Race 7 (9:05 PM EDT)

    3-Vicious (5-1)-Comes off a 3rd place finish at PPc and was flying late. Raced from the backfield, was 10 lengths from the leader at the first call. Missed 3 weeks before the last race, and now regular pilot Tyer Buter is back. Will look for an aggressive drive and could be over looked.
    4-Copperfield (5/2)-Was used hard off the car at PcD on a sloppy track and faded to come 5th. Jason Bartlett is not in the house tonight so Colin Kelly steers for Engblom and will look for a big try.
    5-It’s a Me Mario (5-1)-Not sure what to think here. Started the Borgata Series with a 2nd place finish and a win. Then was put away and requalified on 4-24 and won. Now comes back to face a beatable field if 100%. Using at a 5-1 ML and will hope the Tritton trainee is dialed on high.

    Race 8 (9:25 PM EDT)

    1-Quote Me Not N (3-1)-Came 2nd against the $30k claimers and hasn’t connected versus this kind. Same can be said for the entire field. The Engblom trainee lost by 1/2 length in the last 2 starts and will look for better leaving from the 1-hole.
    5-Alta Classic A (9/2)-Has been close against the $30k claimers but hasn’t won a race since January. Brent Holland had the pedal down and left from post 6 into a .27 1st quarter. Worked to get on the point and then faded. This time could get a pocket ride or land on the point and may have an easier time off the gate. Does come back in sequence and had missed a start before the last race.

    Race 9 (9:45 PM EDT)

    4-Always A Thrill (9/5)-The Alexander trainee lands in a soft spot. The same could be said for Mattai Phil but he draws the 8-hole. Matt Kakaley should be able to work the right trip for a win. Could leave, get on the engine, and not look back.

    $2 Late Pick 4

    1,6/3,4,5/1,5/4
    Total Bet=$24
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371107

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Thistledown - Race #4
      #1 Truest Air Probably not much of a price here, but she looks like the controlling pace from the fence while dropping in for a tag for the first time. Should run these off their feet.
      #3 Bobber's Rocket She has landed far underneath a few times but has yet to be a serious threat to a winner, and while she's getting into a cheaper spot like this for the first time today, I think she has some work to do to land this.
      #4 Miz Biondetti She debuts here with reasonable expectations at this level, and she's not meeting much on paper outside of the top choice -- and even that one isn't bringing a ton of sharp form.
      Race Summary Truest Air isn't meeting much other pace, and she has shown speed against better groups. Guessing that kind of pace will translate into something tough in a bad race.
      Thistledown - Race #7
      #6 Parlay Charlie She was a good fit with this kind of group last year and should be in line for a good run of things while tracking the pace from the outside draw. Dangerous if she's ready to roll.
      #4 Instigation She's super reliable and almost always brings her A-game from close range, and her baseline effort probably makes her tough with these. Price will reflect it.
      #1 Credit Check Positional speed could work out an OK trip from the fence, and she was in the frame with the top choice when they met last year, so the hike isn't a huge concern right now. One of the ones.
      Race Summary Parlay Charlie landed a few shares with similar here last season, and she should get a really good spying trip against this group today. Would be playable as the second choice.
      Thistledown - Race #8
      #7 Zippin Gigi Dangerous pace isn't meeting a whole lot of other serious speed in this one, and I think his better stuff will make him a handful with these. Controls this one the whole way?
      #6 Oleg He's another forward player who should be in the frame early with the top choice, and his ability to tap on the brakes just a bit can help him here, too.
      #4 Harbour Bridge Honest finisher tends to settle underneath, and I'm not totally sold that he's going to get a big pace setup to help him get over the top -- makes sense for a piece.
      Race Summary Zippin Gigi and Oleg have a little bit of pace in a race that otherwise doesn't have much, and I think the former will be able to control the tempo and see this one out.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371107

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Louisiana Downs - Race #3
        #2 GOODMORNING GRACIE (4-1) Takes some catching on surface switch despite class jump.
        #5 LOST ART (6-5) ‘Fractious’ behavior in lone turf try but overall form looks ok in this field.
        #6 IT’S JUST SIMPLE (6-1 No factor in Maiden Special Weight company on Fair Grounds lawn.
        Race Summary GOODMORNING GRACIE dueled and held second in a pair of dirt sprints at Fair Grounds and could get loose up front in her first start on turf. Her dam, Gunnite Gracie, was 21/6-6-2 on turf and a one-mile allowance winner while campaigning for the same barn. Bet to win and place and play 2-5 and 2-6 exactas.
        Louisiana Downs - Race #5
        #6 BARRICADE (4-5) Class should tell in this spot, key on top in all gimmick wagers to try and get value.
        #5 STANS HOME RUN (5-1) Texas invader has finished in the money in 22 of 33 stars on the main track.
        #4 Z Z’S PRINCE (6-1) Been facing better on turf, starts fresh for new barn with 7-29 record intact.
        Race Summary Hard to look past odds-on choice BARRICADE despite a voided claim two starts ago. He was all-out to prevail as the 1-to-5 choice in a route race at this level, but the $232k earner should out-class six rivals who are a combined 3-for-76 since 2025. Make a flat win bet and play 6-4 and 6-5 straight exactas for better value.
        Louisiana Downs - Race #6
        #3 LEWIS MEMORIAL (4-1) Should sit ideal stalking trip on return to the lawn, good value play.
        #2 RANDY DAYTONA (8-1) Idle since fall, solid works, tries to carry speed at maiden-breaking distance.
        #5 PRINCE PERFECTA (7-2) Runs okay for Dominguez, with only one win and a pile of seconds.
        Race Summary LEWIS MEMORIAL held off next-out, wire-to-wire winner Witchology to break his maiden at one mile on the main track. Now he looks to turn the tables on speedy RANDY DAYTON when he ran second to that rival in his lone start on turf. Bet to win and place and play 3-2 and 3-5 exactas.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371107

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
          PURCHASE
          Louisiana Downs - Race 3 Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / .50 Pick 5 (Races 3-4-5-6-7)
          Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 54 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 5:01P
          (RAIL AT 20 FEET). (INCLUDES UP TO $20,700 OTHER SOURCES) FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF LESS THAN $20,000). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS)
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SHOW' EM NOLA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHOW' EM NOLA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOST ART: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          3 SHOW' EM NOLA 3/1 3/2
          5 LOST ART 6/5 4/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          5 LOST ART 5 6/5 Front-runner 61 55 66.4 42.7 38.7
          1 FLOWER GIRL 1 8/1 Front-runner 0 0 49.3 9.5 0.5
          2 GOODMORNING GRACIE 2 4/1 Front-runner 52 43 38.6 38.6 32.1
          3 SHOW' EM NOLA 3 3/1 Alternator/Front-runner 65 57 76.8 61.6 57.1
          6 IT'S JUST SIMPLE 6 6/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 52.4 37.0 29.0
          4 LIL BIT FORGOTTEN 4 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 39.8 39.8 31.3
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371107

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
            PURCHASE
            Mountaineer Park - Race 6 $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 3 (races 6-8) $1 Wheel
            Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4-6 CR: 59 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 9:05P
            FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MIA'S MYRIGE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MIA'S MYRIGE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PAT'S BUTTON : Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
            2 MIA'S MYRIGE 2/1 5/2
            1 PAT'S BUTTON 7/2 7/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            7 PRINCESS HONOR 7 9/2 Front-runner 58 45 60.8 38.8 33.3
            2 MIA'S MYRIGE 2 2/1 Stalker 61 50 70.4 55.1 50.1
            3 PIGEON CAY 3 8/1 Trailer 67 42 21.5 38.3 31.3
            1 PAT'S BUTTON 1 7/2 Alternator/Trailer 61 61 47.8 44.8 38.3
            5 SPRINGTIMEPRINCESS 5 10/1 Alternator/Trailer 62 55 47.2 44.8 38.3
            4 CONTINUE 4 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 35.3 9.9 0.0
            6 FIFTH GEAR 6 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 21.6 25.5 18.0
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371107

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 68

              Rating:

              #4 FALL IN LOVE (ML=8/1)
              #2 MY LUCKY DEIA (ML=7/2)


              FALL IN LOVE - I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class rating pts like this one did last out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class. MY LUCKY DEIA - True, this horse is coming off a layoff, but this mare runs well fresh. Baird drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this thoroughbred should run well at this level. This mare is very familiar with the winner's circle at Mountaineer Park. I expect a repeat trip right here in this race. I may not be the top handicapper in the world, but I know a good thoroughbred when I see one. Last three races before this one have been strong for this horse. Based on that, should do well in this field.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SHE GRINS (ML=2/1), #7 R CANDY (ML=9/2),

              SHE GRINS - Hasn't raced or had any drills since April 7th. Not much value on this morning-line favorite. R CANDY - Had to give me more than that last time out. Never made much of an impact. Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance contests in order to bet on her.

              GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FALL IN LOVE - I've checked and double checked my historical statistics. This equine is the only dominant stalker in this group. Should make a big move turning for home on her way to the winner's circle.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 FALL IN LOVE to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371107

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12200 Class Rating: 72

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 4. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 CANDY CRUSHEM 3/1
                # 4 AGNELLO'S DREAM 10/1
                # 5 AULD LANGE SYNE 6/1
                CANDY CRUSHEM looks to be a decent contender. His 72 average has this gelding with among the most favorable Equibase speed figs in this event. Has to be carefully examined based on the solid Equibase speed fig earned in the last race. With a strong 72 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. AGNELLO'S DREAM - Is a strong contender based on figs put up recently under today's conditions. AULD LANGE SYNE - Risk takers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. With Rodriguez aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out sharply in this contest.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371107

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 74

                  Rating:

                  #6 NO MOR STONES (ML=6/1)
                  #1 THE TIRE MAN (ML=3/1)
                  #2 IT'S AUTHENTIC (ML=6/1)


                  NO MOR STONES - Taking a class drop in class rating points from his April 13th race at Parx Racing. Based on that element, I will give this animal the edge. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. THE TIRE MAN - Was in a non-classified race race at Parx Racing in the last race. That affair had a class figure of 83 and he is moving down right here. A certain strong challenger. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per race entered. A powerful effort in this event can add to the lifetime total. IT'S AUTHENTIC - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier group than last time around the track at Parx Racing.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CARLIN CONTENTION (ML=7/2), #5 ACCELERATED DATING (ML=4/1), #4 WEEK'S STRONG (ML=9/2),

                  CARLIN CONTENTION - This come from behinder should have a rough go of it to be along in time with the paucity of early speed in this race. ACCELERATED DATING - Sophomore versus older for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first. No speed in this field to help set-up his closing rush. WEEK'S STRONG - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable competitor.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 NO MOR STONES to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with [1,2]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371107

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 54

                    FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 1 MILE
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 5 LOST ART 6/5
                    # 3 SHOW' EM NOLA 3/1
                    # 2 GOODMORNING GRACIE 4/1
                    LOST ART looks very good to best this field. This filly with Dominguez in the saddle makes her a definite contender. Keep this filly in your exotics as Dominguez has given backers some double digit gains. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good handicapping key. This one ranks at the top in this lot. SHOW' EM NOLA - West has this filly running well and is a very strong selection based on the very good speed figures put up in route races as of late. GOODMORNING GRACIE - Should come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently.
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                    • HandyAndy
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2024
                      • 531

                      #11
                      LA DOWNS TIPS - MONDAY, MAY 04, 2026
                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
                      RACE #1 LA DOWNS $10,500 Claiming
                      7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 1-1 1 Home Visit A Castillo
                      PLACE 2-1 5 Purrrfect Rhythm E J Barrera
                      SHOW 3-1 4 Izzys Baby Boy J Nava-Marin
                      WILD CARD 8-1 3 A Million Stars E Nieves
                      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Muffin Nuts J Pena
                      * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
                      RACE #2 LA DOWNS $7,500 Maiden Claiming
                      7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET
                      #1 SHEZADEVIL
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 1 Shezadevil E Nieves
                      PLACE 1-1 5 Well Received H Hernandez
                      SHOW 6-1 4 Shelbis Star A Castillo
                      WILD CARD 7-2 2 Andale Muchacha J Dominguez
                      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 3 Rainy Day E Santiago
                      * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                      RACE #3 LA DOWNS $26,000 Maiden Special Weight
                      1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 6:01 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 6-5 5 Lost Art J Dominguez
                      PLACE 4-1 2 Goodmorning Gracie A Castillo
                      SHOW 3-1 3 Show Em Nola E Santiago
                      WILD CARD 6-1 6 Its Just Simple R Williams
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Flower Girl E J Barrera
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Lil Bit Forgotten J Rodriguez
                      * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                      RACE #4 LA DOWNS $10,000 Claiming
                      1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:29 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-2 6 Sir Mack E M Murray
                      PLACE 2-1 3 Cali Dreamin A Castillo
                      SHOW 9-2 1 Due We Dare E J Barrera
                      WILD CARD 5-1 5 Midnight Halo R Williams
                      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Go Brother Go J Dominguez
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Little Warrior J Pena
                      * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                      RACE #5 LA DOWNS $8,500 Claiming
                      7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:57 PM ET
                      #2 CRYPTOZONIC
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 7-2 2 Cryptozonic J Dominguez
                      PLACE 4-5 6 Barricade H Hernandez
                      SHOW 15-1 3 Wise Verdict J Pena
                      WILD CARD 6-1 4 Z Zs Prince E M Murray
                      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Stans Home Run J P Vargas
                      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Face Value A Castillo
                      * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
                      RACE #6 LA DOWNS $12,000 Claiming
                      7 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
                      #3 LEWIS MEMORIAL
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 4-1 3 Lewis Memorial J Ramirez Jr.
                      PLACE 7-2 5 Prince Perfecta J Dominguez
                      SHOW 2-1 6 Friendly Hint C Lozada
                      WILD CARD 6-1 8 Parole Drama J A Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 4 Mr. Brads Cowboy A Castillo
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 M L Brodys Gem J Nava-Marin
                      * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
                      RACE #7 LA DOWNS $8,500 Claiming
                      5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:53 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 4-5 1 Speightful One J Rodriguez
                      PLACE 6-1 4 Custom Cadillac H Hernandez
                      SHOW 5-1 7 Chez Whiz C Lozada
                      WILD CARD 20-1 5 Leaving Shadows J Pena
                      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Safe Bet J A Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Huey Duey R Williams
                      * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

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