Friday 5/8/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372233

    #1

    Friday 5/8/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372233

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays


    May 8, 2026 | By Scott Shapiro

    The card at Churchill Downs on Saturday is a bit different than the 14-race slate last week, but as often is the case, the racing on the weekend in Louisville offers plenty of solid opportunities for horseplayers. The lone stakes race is the William Walker for 3YOs sprinting over the grass, which I will discuss on the 1/ST Call Podcast with Jeremy Plonk, but here are the plays I will build my day around to start what should be a fun weekend of action prior to focusing on Maryland and the second leg of the Triple Crown.


    Race 5:
    My first play of the day comes in this MSW over the grass at 9-furlongs where I expect #3 Royal Causeway to put in a career best performance. The son of Not This Time makes his first start since the winter at Fair Grounds when he put in a better than looks fourth-place finish to close the stand in the Louisiana Derby (G3) Day opener. The Gervais Racing ridgling not only raced against the flow losing to a long shot gate-to-wire winner, but also was caught wide on a turf course that very much favored the inside. The Dallas Stewart trainee moves inside, retains Tyler Gaffalione and should offer better value than he did in New Orleans. Hopefully, it is good enough to earn his first lifetime win.

    Play; #3 Royal Causeway (8-1 ML)


    Race 8:
    #3 Love’m Or Liam is the runner I like most in this first-level allowance event at one-mile over the grass after missing by a neck at Keeneland versus similar last month. The Cheyenne Stables colt has only competed in two-turn turf races twice and both saw him finish with good energy late despite earning third in both cases. I expect that to change in this spot where jockey Jaime Torres should get an honest tempo to run at in his first try aboard the son of Liam’s Map. He is unlikely to offer a big price, but I like his chances to get to the winner’s circle in his first start in Louisville for Hall of Famer Bill Mott.

    Play: #3 Love’m or Liam (4-1 ML)


    Race 9:
    This third-level allowance at 1 1/8-miles over the main track kicks off the late Pick 3 and is headlined by the return of #1 Admiral Dennis. The $425k son of Constitution was made the 7-5-ML favorite in his first start since a third-place finish in last year’s Ellis Park Derby. The Brad Cox trainee was more of a second-tier colt for the barn, but definitely should be fast enough to be there at the wire if ready to fire fresh. The question is will 9 furlongs be too difficult a task off the layoff and will #2 Bernin Hot get the jump. I am banking on the latter.
    Bernin Hot makes his first start since the Gulfstream Park Mile (G3) in late February. He gets class relief and as importantly finds a field where his early speed should be a major weapon. Trainer Rohan Crichton legs up Ben Curtis. Curtis won four on the Twilight Thursday card and has been onboard in 2 of this gelding’s 7 career wins. He should be able to make the lead with little issue. Hopefully, he has enough energy late to get the final furlong.

    Play: #2 Bernin Hot (6-1 ML)

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372233

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


      May 8, 2026 | By Al Cimaglia

      Yonkers Raceway has a loaded 9-race card. The headliners are the Finals for the Borgata Pacing Series and the Ursula McIntyre Trotting Series both at a distance of 1 1/4 miles. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6 and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 6 (8:25 PM EDT)

      1-Ima Perfect Choice (5-1)-Was in too deep facing some tough winners in the Series. Fits better here and can get sucked around with this post draw. Jordan Stratton can work a cozy trip. This is one that could benefit from the added distance and offer a square price.
      2-Aye Aye Captain N (3/1)-Recent form has been dull and tries Lasix for the 1st time. Could get a stalking trip and be close enough to the leaders at the 3/4 pole to roll by down the lane. Likes Yonkers (39-12-9-5) and will respect its back class.
      8-Sweet Beach Life (8-1)-This 5-year-old has recently shown the ability to close, and it always had big gate speed. My take is Matt Kakaley will have the pedal down and could out leave those on the inside. Needs a sharp steer but the Alexander trainee is racing well hitting the board in the last 4 Legs of the Borgata.

      Race 7 (8:45 PM EDT) (McIntyre Final $456.000)

      2-Louies Girl N (7/5)-This is the winner of Legs 3-5 in the UM Series and is an obvious threat at a small price. Can win on the engine or coming off cover. Jason Bartlett could get the top or the 2-hole and either could work for a win.
      6-Costal Babe (4-1)-In 4 Legs the Bako trainee has 3 wins and a 2nd place finish all with tonight's pilot Yannick Gingras between the pipes. Has the gate speed to get the top despite the post draw and should be very tough to tackle as was the case last time.

      Race 8 (9:05 PM EDT) (Borgata Final-Purse $478,000)

      3-Donegal Luther N (3-1)-Won on 4-27 with Jordan Stratton at the controls and came off cover to do so. Gingras is the usual Yonkers driver and he is back. Versatile 8-year-old has the gate speed to be put in play early but doesn't need to lead every step of the way to win.
      4-Captain Albano (6-1)-Going to fade Coaches Corner the 6/5 chalk who leaves from the rail. Will look for some value and thinking the race won't set up very well for the morning line choice. The Captain may benefit from this post draw but not expecting a 6-1 price.
      5-Huntinthelastdolar (5-1)-This is the "other" Engblom entry and make no mistake it isn't a slouch. Dexter Dunn steers and his task isn't an easy one. But has good gate speed and overall is fast as in 1.50 speed on this oval. The price is right to use and could benefit from the extra distance.

      Race 9 (9:25 PM EDT)

      2-Front Page Story (4-1)-Team Lachance entry has been stuck with outside draws in the last 3 starts and does its best work with inside posts. Drops and with a smooth trip could have her way with this field.
      4-Glittering Hope (6-1)-Brent Holland steers and he should be aggressive off the gate at this level. This is another who should enjoy the company and has done well at YR (14-3-4-2). Will look for a top of the stack trip, can roll hard late, and should like the added distance.

      $1 Late Pick 4

      1,2,8/2,6/3,4,5/2,4
      Total Bet=$36

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372233

        #4
        Santa Anita Super High 5/Friday, May 8


        May 8, 2026 | By Frank Carulli

        Santa Anita Park’s Super High 5 wager isn’t as easy as 1-2-3. Nor was it as easy as 1-2-3-4 when the top four finishers in the ninth race Monday were dismissed at single-digit odds. Hence, the $1 wager that requires bettors to pick the top five finishers in exact order goes to the post this Friday with $21,413 in the carryover pool. It won’t be easy again with eight California-bred maidens scheduled to run 6F on the turf in the last race on the card.

        Santa Anita 8th Race (7:37 p.m. EST)

        Top Spot: BUTTERFLY BEACH is re-united with California-bred rivals and is the key to unlocking a potential big payout in her second start off a 10-month layoff. She saved ground in a 6-1/2 sprint for the same price, appeared to be dropping back into the turn, but found a little bit of a second wind to finish fifth before galloping out in front of the two favorites. The race winner went wire-to-wire at 5-2 odds, the class-dropping favorite ran second to improve to 8-for-10 in the money and the fourth-place finisher returned with a 12-1 upset under the same conditions.

        Second Spot: JENNYS WINE GIRL “fought” her way into contention in three consecutive MSW grass routes at one mile. She forged a narrow lead at the stretch call twice before settling for minor awards. She tries sprinting on the turf for the first time and will be the most popular play on the Super High 5 tickets.

        Third Spot: ISLE OF ANGELS stepped it up a notch with a :48-2/5 gate work leading to her debut. Her dam, Annangel, went wire-to-wire in all three non-stakes races after she arrived in the U.S. from England. She’s one of two runners in Leg C on our ticket. Trainer Peter Miller has a 60-percent in-the-money rate with maiden claimers on the turf the last three years when they are dismissed at single-digit odds. BLAME IT ON ABBY burned a lot of money in her five starts but fits the bill, nonetheless. (Note: Use her stablemate, Baby Needs Shoes, if she draws into the race).

        Fourth and Fifth Spots: With plenty of room on the ticket if it is alive to this point, go ‘ALL’ in the final two spots of the sequence.

        Suggested $1 Super High 5 Ticket
        Top Spot: 5
        Second Spot: 7
        Third Spot: 6, 8
        Fourth Spot: ALL
        Fifth Spot: ALL
        Cost: $40
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372233

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita Park - Race #6
          #2 Uecker He's always a little bit of a question mark to stay late, but he looks like the controlling pace with a little bit of OK turf form in a small field. Dangerous up top, and potentially playable thanks to the presence of the next guy.
          #5 Start the Ride Turf debut for him as he takes a huge class drop back in with statebred allowance friends after trying a couple graded spots on the road to the Derby. Turf is a question, but he's the one on class for sure, as he graduated in a stakes spot on the main here in January.
          #1 Beeblebrox He's got some mild finishing form that might keep him in the picture if he just hugs the fence and sits behind the pace throughout, and you could probably make an OK risk/reward case if he goes to post at double digits. Mild reach.
          Race Summary Uecker and Start the Ride figure to command the attention here, but the former has a big pace edge and a bit of proven turf form -- that's enough for me if he's the second choice on the board.
          Santa Anita Park - Race #7
          #7 Gogotiz I don't trust her a whole lot, but she she should get a good go of things while racing right near the top, and a better break today gives her a lot of room to rebound. Think she'll show up on the drop.
          #4 Bitter Truth She stretches out with some pretty decent finishing form for a horse at this kind of level, but that can often be a trap when going long for the first time. Think she's there on talent alone in a spot without much depth, but I don't think I'd be that excited to sign on at something like the even-money ML offering.
          #2 Despite Could see her having a little run for it from the inside while moving around two turns, as her mild tactical sprint pace might keep her in the forward group while going long.
          Race Summary Gogotiz gets into an easier spot with an excuse for the last one, and her only other dirt route try was pretty solid against a tougher group than she'll find today.
          Santa Anita Park - Race #8
          #11 Baby Needs Shoes Her only turf sprint try wasn't all bad and came against better, and she might be able to finish with a bit more punch today while turning back off an OK try at this level last time out. Worried the price gets a bit shorter than it should as an obvious alternative to the next one.
          #7 Jenny's Wine Girl She has just been coming up empty late going long with better, so the cutback offers hope that she'll see this one out after hitting the top in a few of her previous tries. The one to beat, but I don't totally trust her.
          #8 Blame It On Abby She's back fresh while racing with Lasix and trying a turf sprint trip for the first time, and she should at least be in a pretty nice spot heading into the turn. Wouldn't argue too hard with you.
          Race Summary Tough to split the top trio, but I'm hoping Baby Needs Shoes stays a mildly playable price thanks to the presence of the other two listed above, as I think she gets a good trip from the outside today while trying this trip with this kind of company for the first time.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372233

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita - Race #2
            #5 CODE DUELLO (Even) Chased wicked fast winner when second at Turf Paradise, now he’s the target.
            #3 CARIBBEAN KING (8-1) Lightly-raced 6yo won three photo-finishes sprinting on turf, enters new barn.
            #2 WIZARD OF WESTWOOD (3-1) Six-figure earner on turf and dirt hasn’t sprinted on lawn in 3 years.
            Race Summary CODE DUELLO chased but couldn’t reach the 5-to-2 winner as the favorite in a 5F turf allowance at Turf Paradise. But don’t sell the performance short. The winner, Sawasdee (43/10-10-7, $342k) led by 1-1/2 lengths or more at the stretch call in 8 of his last 11 starts. The door is open for CODE DUELLO to go wire-to-wire in this field. Bet to win and place and play 5-2 and 5-3 exactas.
            Santa Anita - Race #3
            #3 NEEZER DALTON (7-2) Needed one on comeback trail, will she need another with a good trip expected?
            #1 HEADSTRONG WAYS (9-5) Edged away in win for $10k, earned top speed fig on class hike in latest.
            #6 ALOHA DREAMIN (2-1) Caught by class-dropping second favorite at this level two starts ago.
            Race Summary NEEZER DALTON ranged up 5-wide on the leaders into the turn but back-pedaled under strong urging off a 1-1/2-year layoff. She has the right running style in this speed-laden field but obviously will have to improve off her comeback try. Bet to win and place and play 3-1 and 3-6 exactas.
            Santa Anita - Race #5
            #7 LAHAR (5-1) Turned heads at Los Alamitos, faces all first-time starters today.
            #2 SENTIENT SOON (5-2) One of four to start from the gate for fastest-of-35 work last Friday.
            #1 STAY BOSSY (8-1) Dam’s first two foals romped and just missed in MSW debuts at Santa Anita.
            Race Summary LAHAR zipped around Los Alamitos during three strong April workouts leading to her debut. Her sire, Straight Fire, produced 12 of 49 first-out winner, including seven as 2-year-olds. Her dam, Destiny’s Journey, finished first or second in 10 of 21 starts with a $108k bankroll. Bet to win and place and play 7-1, 7-2 and 7-3 exactas.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372233

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
              PURCHASE
              Delta Downs - Race 3 Exacta/Trifecta(.50 min.)/Superfecta(.10 min.)/Daily Double(Races 3-4) ($1 min.)/Pick 3(Races 3-5)
              Maiden Claiming $50,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 73 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 7:05P
              QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DIFFERENT CORONA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase S peed Rating. OUR RUNAWAY TRAIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FLY SWEETS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position n ext to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I AM JETTIN AWAY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Ra ting at the distance/surface.
              8 DIFFERENT CORONA 7/2 9/2
              6 OUR RUNAWAY TRAIN 6/1 5/1
              10 FLY SWEETS 5/2 9/1
              9 I AM JETTIN AWAY 10/1 10/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              2 CORONA BATTLE 2 12/1 Average 68 66 0.0 0.0 0.0
              4 B CALLS DIBS 4 20/1 Average 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
              5 TRAIN IS ZOOMIN 5 20/1 Slow 69 58 8.2 0.0 0.0
              6 OUR RUNAWAY TRAIN 6 6/1 Average 79 71 4.0 0.0 0.0
              7 SAN LORENZO PEARL 7 8/1 Slow 62 55 8.4 0.0 0.0
              8 DIFFERENT CORONA 8 7/2 Fast 80 68 2.1 0.0 0.0
              9 I AM JETTIN AWAY 9 10/1 Slow 78 55 6.3 0.0 0.0
              10 FLY SWEETS 10 5/2 Fast 66 63 1.2 0.0 0.0
              Unknown Running Style: LOSALAMITOSLOUISIANA (9/2) [Jockey: Alvarez Arturo - Trainer: Sanchez Noe R], RP EAGLE KISSES (15/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Yaidel - Trainer: Rubio Jorge E].
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372233

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont at the Big A
                PURCHASE
                Belmont at the Big A - Race 7 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 7 &8
                Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Outer Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 79 • Purse: $82,000 • Post: 4:13P
                (RAIL AT 12 FEET). OUTER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ONE LAST KNOCK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DISCO STAR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SACRED GODDESS: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. FLOY JOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the la st 30 days. ALPINE GIANT: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25.
                1 ONE LAST KNOCK 7/2 5/1
                2 DISCO STAR 4/1 6/1
                11 SACRED GODDESS 6/1 8/1
                8 FLOY JOY 8/1 8/1
                14 ALPINE GIANT 12/1 10/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                14 ALPINE GIANT 12 12/1 Front-runner 78 72 88.3 70.4 54.9
                5 DANCINGWITHDESTINY 5 8/1 Front-runner 78 74 86.4 71.4 58.9
                8 FLOY JOY 7 8/1 Front-runner 77 71 82.5 67.3 58.3
                9 SCORCH 8 12/1 Stalker 75 69 86.4 70.1 52.1
                1 ONE LAST KNOCK 1 7/2 Stalker 85 79 80.0 77.6 72.6
                13 FEDUPWITHTHEFED 11 15/1 Stalker 78 72 77.8 60.5 38.0
                4 BOSTON'S PHINEST 4 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 85 79 91.0 73.9 62.4
                16 TOP OF THE TABLE 14 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 80 73 73.5 63.4 49.9
                11 SACRED GODDESS 9 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 77 73 71.1 73.7 64.2
                2 DISCO STAR 2 4/1 Trailer 86 82 53.3 79.3 72.3
                3 REDWINEANDWHISKEY 3 30/1 Trailer 75 79 52.1 56.9 40.4
                7 IRISH FORTUNE 6 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 85 77 70.1 68.9 57.9
                12 FIFI LA FUME 10 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 67 69 65.8 65.6 44.6
                15 SUNSHINE LILY 13 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 81 66 64.5 53.1 33.6
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372233

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 8 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 69

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2026 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 4 ANOTHERSUNNYDAY 5/1
                  # 3 FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 2/1
                  # 1 SINGING BELL 5/1
                  My pick for this event is ANOTHERSUNNYDAY. Has to be considered in this race if only for the very good speed figure recorded in the last race. FASTESTGIRLINTOWN - She has been racing soundly as of late while recording strong Equibase speed figs. This mare looks good in this race since Brown has a sharp win percent with horses going this distance. SINGING BELL - Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372233

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 78

                    SA - R8 - FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 10 UP FOR THE HUNT 8/1
                    # 7 JENNYS WINE GIRL 1/1
                    # 12 MAGIC CARPET RIDE 12/1
                    UP FOR THE HUNT has a decent shot to take this outing especially at 8/1. Has been travelling solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. JENNYS WINE GIRL - Her 75 average has this filly with among the best speed figures for this race. Had one of the strongest Equibase speed figs of this group in her last competition. MAGIC CARPET RIDE - Recently Knapp has provided investors with a very strong winning percentage with horses racing in turf sprint races. With one of the best jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this filly out.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372233

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 8:02pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,300 Class Rating: 57

                      Rating:

                      #3 WARRIOR'S NOTION (ML=3/1)


                      WARRIOR'S NOTION - Any early pace setter that is breaking from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this field. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a sharp outing is a good signal. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough outings since the layoff and should be fit.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 STREET PLAYER (ML=9/5), #1 WAR THUNDER (ML=7/2), #4 STINGRAY SHUFFLE (ML=4/1),

                      STREET PLAYER - This morning-line favorite may be out of condition without any recent morning activity. WAR THUNDER - Going to have a tough go of it with all of the other early speed in this race. STINGRAY SHUFFLE - This gelding finished out of the money on March 28th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either.

                      GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - WARRIOR'S NOTION - Posting a better speed rating each of his last couple of affairs. This gelding is a prime candidate to win today.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #3 WARRIOR'S NOTION to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Skip
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372233

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Prairie Meadows - Race #8 - Post: 9:09pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $48,580 Class Rating: 74

                        Rating:

                        #10 MUFFIN THIEF (ML=9/2)


                        MUFFIN THIEF - Taking this rider/conditioner combination is a good choice. A repeat of that recent effort on Feb 14th where she garnered a speed fig of 59 looks lofty enough to triumph in this clash. Arnett drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to think this horse has a darn good chance at this level.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SUGAH DOWN (ML=3/1), #6 NOVALIE (ML=4/1), #9 ANSWER TO ADELYN (ML=5/1),

                        SUGAH DOWN - The Brain always cautions me to stay away from horses in short distance events that haven't hit the board in short distance affairs recently. Don't believe this horse will make an impact in today's event. That last fig was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. NOVALIE - This filly hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance affairs. Tough to play her in this contest. Notched a most unsatisfactory speed fig last race out in a $24,000 Maiden Claiming race on February 21st. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. ANSWER TO ADELYN - This filly hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance events. Tough to invest in her in this race.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #10 MUFFIN THIEF on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: 10 with 8
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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