Saturday 6/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372191

    #1

    Saturday 6/6/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372191

    #2
    Belmont Stakes Festival: Jeremy Plonk's 2-Day Special Wagers


    June 3, 2026 | By Jeremy Plonk

    The Belmont Stakes Festival includes a pair of 2-day special wagers connecting Friday and Saturday stakes at Saratoga. The 2-day all-turf pick 5 and the 2-day all-dirt pick 6 add to a stuffed wagering menu. Because I’m not an everyday NYRA player – due to an inability to be successful there over the years on several attempts at the daily product – these additional stakes-only wagers offer a lot of appeal to my handicapping interests and abilities.

    Let’s get to work.

    2-Day All-Turf Pick 5 (50-cent minimum, 15% takeout)

    Friday Saratoga Race 9: Wonder Again Stakes
    #8 Lion Lake is solidly favored at 7-5 morning line, but has a history of burning money and picks up weight while not having that major of an advantage to give away. She’s making her sixth straight start in her form cycle and that doesn’t often provide any major improvement. I’ll swing against her to start the sequence and go with #2 Fitz Right and #5 Time to Dream. The former is moving the right direction and gets tested for more class while the latter was a dynamo over this course last year and perhaps can reawaken with a trip to her favored course.

    Friday Saratoga Race 11: New York Stakes
    At 10-1 morning line, sign me up for #6 Cankoura at anywhere near that price. The French Oaks third-place finisher last year makes her second start off the vacation and first trip stateside. Everything about her screams this 1-3/16 miles trip against a modest American group. #9 Gezora changes barns (to Bill Mott) after a public breakup between owner Peter Brant and former trainer Chad Brown. There’s no doubt the reigning Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf winner can bounce back from her defeat on Derby Day when considering her prior French form.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 7: Just A Game Stakes
    The ledger for #3 Segesta (7-5 morning line favorite) looks outstanding historically, but my evaluation of the First Lady, Matriarch and Jenny Wiley is that those 3 Grade 1 races didn’t come up nearly as strong as some recent years. While she could just be in super form and ready to add another, her sixth-place effort in this race last year in her only start at the Spa raises additional concern. Let’s try to topple Segesta with #4 Mandanaba and her Chad Brown stablemate #2 Sandtrap. The French invader Mandanaba kept exceptional company lines oversees and got a perfect tune-up for her 4-year-old debut at Longchamp. Sandtrap could be next in line of a long series of Lope de Vega offspring to become stars under Chad Brown’s care. #8 Deep Satin is 12-1 morning line for the Kentucky Derby combo of Cherie DeVaux and Jose Ortiz and this filly has run her best races at Saratoga. Perhaps she wakes up at a price as we’ve seen this barn have some big undercards on major racedays.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 9: Jaipur Stakes
    Last year’s 1-2 Jaipur finishers, #6 Ag Bullet and #10 My Boy Prince, absolutely make for logical considerations here and are in the hunt. Same goes for #5 Reef Runner, who has developed into a turf sprint ace for David Fawkes and takes his game anywhere he goes. But don’t sleep on 15-1 morning line longshot #1 Governor Sam for an elite turf sprint trainer in George Waever and an elite turf sprint jockey in Paco Lopez. Speed, rail and stellar marks over the course and distance are all in his favor. Let’s roll 4-deep here and get some intra-race action in the win and exotics with Governor Sam.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 12: Manhattan Stakes
    The mile and three-sixteenths distance of the Grade 1 Manhattan will be a huge test for the American players here, many of whom have starred at shorter trips and / or failed to come home with much zest late in previous tries. That conspires to make the internationally accomplished #6 Bright Picture an absolute standout. French legend Andre Fabre doesn’t bring many to America these days, but he ships this Group 2 winner and Group 1 recent runner-up into a great situation at a distance right in his sweet spot. Pair him with local ace stakes pilot Flavien Prat and there’s not even the overseas rider concerns to mount.

    The Ticket: All-Turf Pick 5

    2,5 with 6,9 with 4,2,8 with 1,10,6,5 with 6 = $24 for 50 cents

    //

    2-Day All-Dirt Pick 6 (20-cent minimum, 15% takeout)

    Friday Saratoga Race 10: Acorn Stakes
    A compact field of 5 makes for weak in-race betting of the 1-1/8 miles Acorn as 4 Kentucky Oaks alumnae re-match. #5 Always a Runner was our top-pick winner in Louisville and the lightly raced filly has yet to be beaten. But if she takes any flattening or regression in form, #3 Meaning has proven her California talent on the road and could sit a dynamite, first-over trip behind the race’s likely longshot leader #4 Maximum Offer. I’ll go 2-deep here with the top-2 morning line choices.

    Friday Saratoga Race 12: Phipps Stakes
    Morning-line favorite #5 Nitrogen’s best races have been at Saratoga, but I’m not sure the chalk made any significant leap forward from age 3 to 4 this winter/spring at Oaklawn. I’ll try to beat her with #1 Fully Subscribed and #3 Alpine Princess. There’s not a lot of pace in this race and 9-furlong heats at the Spa start near the clubhouse turn, giving inside pace an edge. I’m anticipating Flavien Prat and Irad Ortiz Jr. on these couple of chances drawn inside to take advantage.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 8: True North Stakes
    Like we’ll see in the Met Mile, a couple of standout horses at the head of the toteboard will be difficult to separate and even more difficult to topple. #3 Bentornato clearly would be the horse to beat here at 6 furlongs; #6 Book’em Danno likely owns the True North if at 7 furlongs. That they’ll clash over 6-1/2 furlongs makes this such an interesting matchup. Bentornato flashes early, Book’em Danno late. No shame in splitting this ticket. If you wanted to add a price consideration #8 Illuminaire (10-1 ML) highly impressed me at Keeneland and should love the distance, but gets the ultimate class test against the nation’s 2 best sprinters. I think he’s worth the upside in price projection if he pulls it off.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 10: Woody Stephens Stakes
    Similar to the featured Belmont Stakes, quality options abound in this 3-year-old showcase for sprinters. #6 Crude Velocity is the single-or-spread option here, but you’re settling for 8-5 morning line if taking the former approach and I don’t see big prices abounding throughout this sequence. My approach will be to get some coverage even against this standout performer because the alternatives are high-quality and you’re not just going fishing for something that’s not there. #2 Obliteration, #7 Englishman, #8 Civil Liberty, #1 Gilded Bandit, #5 Solitude Dude and #3 Six Speed also are in play and can help drive up the payouts (listed in order of preference).

    Saturday Saratoga Race 11: Metropolitan Handicap
    A strong either-or with #1 Nysos and #7 Journalism gets you most of the way home in terms of confidence in the Met Mile. You get one who should be near the pace and one as the strongest finisher. Those complimentary running styles make for a good 2-deep, even if accepting the fact that they’re favorites. A strong lean one way or the other certainly helps your budget spend elsewhere or double the ticket strength, and I’d go with Journalism if having to make that differentiation.

    Saturday Saratoga Race 13: Belmont Stakes
    In what looks like a classic, single-or-spread situation, the Belmont Stakes is at least 5-deep with legitimate win contenders that don’t offer a lot of separation. I’ll take the road less traveled and single my top pick, #7 Commandment, who could be between 6-1 and 10-1 odds. He was given a panicked ride in the Kentucky Derby and now switches to John Velazquez, Saratoga’s all-time leading jockey with more than 1,000 local wins. He’s not the most likely winner in the sequence but offers me the most value to spread in other legs and make the best score if I’m right.

    The Ticket: All-Dirt Pick 6
    5,3 with 1,3 with 3,6,8 with 6,2,7,8,1,5,3 with 7,1 with 7 = $33.60 for 20 cents
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372191

      #3
      Race of the Week: Saratoga's Met Mile on Saturday


      June 3, 2026 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      The prestigious $1 million Metropolitan Handicap, the Met Mile, highlights Saturday's Belmont Stakes Day undercard at Saratoga. The 14-race card includes 7 major stakes, featuring the final jewel in the Triple Crown. We've got you covered for that one in the 1/ST Belmont Stakes Wager Guide. But the Race 11 Met Mile is annually one of my favorite races and will be the focus here.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 1 winners NYSOS, JOURNALISM, ANTIQUARIAN and SAUDI CROWN are among the field of 7. KNIGHTSBRIDGE is a multiple Grade 3 winner. Knocking off the G1 winners here will be a tall ask.

      Pace:
      Sprinter RATED BY MERIT, rapid miler SAUDI CROWN, KNIGHTSBRIDGE and inside-drawn VIBE and NYSOS should all employ some degree of early speed and provide a rapid pace. A strong finisher has every chance if he fires.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      1-NYSOS: The Baffert-Prat tandem won this race 2 years ago with National Treasure and this big-time threat is only 1-1/4 lengths from perfection from 9 starts. He’s 44-and-change fast when necessary but hasn’t shown that kind of pace of late. Expect some early ask from the rail coming out of the chute as this one has been freshened since February and working fast as you’d expect for the barn. Horses cutting back in trip, like he and Journalism in this field, win 16% in Saratoga chute races (13% for those returning at a mile, 12% for those stretching out off their most-recent race).

      2-VIBE: Improving class riser scratched from last week’s Blame Stakes at Churchill for this more difficult test, a sign the horse should be doing well. Outran a graded-stakes winner in Bullard on the Kentucky Derby undercard, so there’s some measure of quality. But there are in a different league. Has employed a first-over trip to win 3 straight but will have to work very hard to get that kind of journey Saturday.

      3-ANTIQUARIAN: Deep-closing Jockey Club Gold Cup winner over this surface last year at 10 furlongs surprised me by his handiness to win the 1-turn Westchester last out at Aqueduct, beating Cigar Mile hero Bishops Bay. John Velazquez wins 26% in Saratoga chute races so he’ll give him every chance in a Met Mile he’s won 5 times downstate. Todd Pletcher won this race with more brilliant Quality Road and Palace Malice. Likely to be overlooked, but not without a chance behind a great pace set-up.

      4-SAUDI CROWN: $3.6 million earner flutters between elite race placements and easier spots, diving back into the deep end Saturday after scoring twice this season against lesser competition. The 2023 Jim Dandy runner-up was solid in his only previous Spa appearance and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. is a 24% winner from the Saratoga chute, while Brad Cox has won 6 of 18 such races (33%). Does his best work on the lead, and that makes for a more difficult assignment while other pace abounds.

      5-RATED BY MERIT: Brings sprint speed to the Met Mile and has made the lead in 5 of 6 career starts. Suffered his only defeat last out in the Grade 2 Carter when fourth, his only start since October’s win in the Discovery. Chad Brown trainee gets Dylan Davis on a rider change and will be the biggest price of his career while facing easily his stiffest test. He certainly plays a role in how the race will be run (and likely won).

      6-KNIGHTSBRIDGE: The air came out of the tires on Kentucky Derby Day when he faded through the lane to finish sixth in the Churchill Downs Stakes. That snapped a 4-race winning streak that saw him win a trio of Grade 3 stakes. His series of 3 workouts since that last start indicate he’s no worse for the wear and a rebound candidate. This field looks tougher overall and there’s no shortage of early heat, but the pace probably won’t be as sharp over a mile as it was at 7 furlongs, and that chould keep him in the hunt. Bill Mott and Junior Alvarado teamed to win the 2023 Met Mile with Cody’s Wish.

      7-JOURNALISM: Classy 2025 Belmont Stakes runner-up was a clear-cut second in his only try over the Saratoga surface and returns while making his second start of the ’26 season. All 6 career wins (and 11 of 12 starts) have come in traditional, 2-turn races; the mile chute configuration here and trip are the obvious hurdles. Lost his composure in the gate at Oaklawn in his only try this year so it will be important to see if he keeps his cool pre-race. Loading last could work to his benefit, and nobody is riding better than Jose Ortiz, who teams back up with Kentucky Derby winner Golden Tempo in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes. The pace scenario should suit his tenacious style and note the Californians have won both Met Mile editions held at Saratoga – National Treasure in 2024 (Bob Baffert) and Raging Torrent in 2025 (Doug O’Neill).

      Most Likely Exotics Contender:
      JOURNALISM is 12-12 in the superfecta lifetime, experienced over the track and gets a positive race shape in front of him to rally.

      Best Longshot Contender:
      ANTIQUARIAN at 6-1 morning line isn’t a huge price, but is off the radar as fourth choice and would not surprise to be in the exacta.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $75 win JOURNALISM. $25 exacta JOURNALISM-ANTIQUARIAN.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372191

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Santa Anita Park - Race #4
        #5 Matt at Five He'll stretch out for the first time, but he obviously has a bit of talent and has now rattled off a couple sharp scores in a row. Might have to tap the brakes a bit or deal with some company early.
        #2 Prince Dolce He flashed some talent early in his career and seems to be running back to it again in recent races, just finishing third in a decent stakes spot behind a pretty tough top pair. Dangerous with these.
        #4 Maury Wills He's better than he showed in that last one, so there is some obvious room for him to bounce back, but he's also going to have to do it while getting around two turns for the first time. Not impossible.
        Race Summary Matt at Five and Prince Dolce seem like the obvious pair here, but the former should get a decent jump into the far turn and has so far not shown any signs of weakness through four starts.
        Santa Anita Park - Race #5
        #4 Positive Times He has some pace and stayed on well with a cheaper group last time out, but he wasn't embarrassed in a couple of starts at this level here earlier this year and might be able to shake free turning for home.
        #3 Confidence Man He was a distant third behind a talented winner on the turf last out, and he has been working quickly on the main track since that run, suggesting the surface switch may not be an issue. More tactical today?
        #8 Zakiel Doesn't feel like a ton of depth in this one, so check out this fresh face on the tote and track ahead of the debut while getting a good draw out wide.
        Race Summary Positive Times has some pace on the rise here, and I wonder if he's quick enough to kick clear of the other forward players and hold off what might be a solid effort from Confidence Man.
        Santa Anita Park - Race #8
        #4 Lilo Lil She graduated in that stakes win last time out, showing better pace and digging in well to score. She's meeting a few other potential forward players here, but she's a danger right back at another nice price if you take that one at face value and hope she brings it back again today.
        #9 Light Won Up She has never been around two turns, but she is bred to handle it and has some pretty reliable finishing form going short. She has some quality to her with some competitive Grade III tries on her page, so she might be tough here.
        #3 Dreaming of Alys Her big claim to fame was the 61/1 stakes upset at Del Mar last year, but I wonder if she has some room to come forward today in the second start off the layoff while getting back around two turns. Would want her on at least some backup plays.
        Race Summary Lilo Lil stepped up her game to score in that stakes spot last out, beating some of these along the way, and I think she's probably a bit overlooked again with this group based on the longshot nature of her win last out.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372191

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #2
          #7 PERNICIOUS (2-1) Failed at odds-on in return, adds blinkers, should beat this field.
          #1 CATTY JUSTICE (8-5) Contended for this far in slow-paced MSW route, completes exacta.
          #4 LO MACHAR (5-1) Dueled to quarter pole in last pair, lugged in through lane, held second at 5-1/2F.
          Race Summary PERNICIOUS towers over this field on her best day, but she raced only four times last year and fired a blank for her new barn at 4-to-5 odds in her 2026 debut. If she gets focused with blinkers on for the first time, she can control the pace throughout. Bet to win and place and play a 7-1 exacta and 7-1-ALL trifecta.
          Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #4
          #2 AUMOE (5-1) Much-improved try chasing the odds-on favorite, good value play in third start of cycle.
          #1 FOGONERO (10-1) Progressed as 2-year-old, gets Lasix for return and gets pace to rally into.
          #4 RANK RANDY (7-2) Worked fast for debut, caught wide from post 10 as the beaten favorite.
          Race Summary AUMOE saved ground tracking the fast-paced leaders, angled 3-wide for the stretch drive and finished second to the runaway 3-to-5 winner. He posted his top speed figure by far in his second start off a layoff and second start with Lasix. Bet to win and place and play 2-1 and 2-4 exactas.
          Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #5
          #9 MONEY WAR (10-1) Decent turf resume against better, could end winless drought at a price.
          #4 JAILHOUSE JUSTICE (3-1) Steady turf route form, gets in light-weighted, use in all gimmicks.
          #12 TEXAX CYCLONE (12-1) Won going away in dirt mile for 19-percent ‘repeat’ barn, draws post 12.
          Race Summary MONEY WAR hasn’t won in 2 years, but he has a 7/2-1-2 grass record, a useful 5F tune-up on the Horseshoe lawn and runs at his best distance for the cheapest claiming price of his career. It adds up to a win and place bet at 10-1 on the morning line. Also play a 2-4-9-12 exacta box.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372191

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Monmouth Park
            PURCHASE
            Monmouth Park - Race 6 Win, Place and Show Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta Daily Double (Races 6-7)/$3.00 Late Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
            Claiming $40,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $23,500 • Post: 3:32P
            (RAIL AT 36 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MAY 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $30,000 1 LB. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $28,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BOSSY DISH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DAKOTA CAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BELLA BELLO BANKER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. HERE'SYOURTROUBLE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distan ce (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). DOPPIO ESPRESSO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            6 BOSSY DISH 5/2 9/2
            8 DAKOTA CAM 6/1 7/1
            2 BELLA BELLO BANKER 5/1 7/1
            5 HERE'SYOURTROUBLE 6/1 9/1
            3 DOPPIO ESPRESSO 9/2 10/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            4 RUBY RUBY 4 6/1 Front-runner 65 59 89.1 59.7 48.2
            6 BOSSY DISH 6 5/2 Front-runner 76 72 82.4 71.4 67.4
            2 BELLA BELLO BANKER 2 5/1 Front-runner 72 73 58.1 60.1 48.1
            1 NO DENYING 1 8/1 Stalker 69 61 58.1 58.1 49.6
            5 HERE'SYOURTROUBLE 5 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 72 71 62.8 60.2 48.7
            7 WOODRUFF 7 5/1 Alternator/Stalker 67 60 59.4 60.8 52.3
            8 DAKOTA CAM 8 6/1 Trailer 72 61 59.7 63.5 53.5
            3 DOPPIO ESPRESSO 3 9/2 Alternator/Trailer 68 61 53.3 56.2 51.2
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372191

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
              PURCHASE
              Special Wager - Race 3 Leg 3 of the All Turf Pick 3
              SO $20,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 3:32P
              DEL - R7 - (RAIL AT 22 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN 2025 - 2026 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 - $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 6, 2026 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $16,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT NOT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH)
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MAGICAL WAYS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL DE LARRY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CLOUD MUSIC: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at le ast 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BAYTOWN PARFAIT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance /surface.
              4 MAGICAL WAYS 5/1 7/2
              7 EL DE LARRY 8/1 7/1
              11 CLOUD MUSIC 5/2 7/1
              6 BAYTOWN PARFAIT 9/2 10/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              8 FROSTY THE GIANT 8 20/1 Front-runner 92 87 111.0 79.2 68.7
              11 CLOUD MUSIC 11 5/2 Front-runner 95 94 109.0 95.4 79.9
              5 ESCAPE KEY 5 10/1 Front-runner 91 82 107.2 70.4 57.9
              1 J J'S RANGER 1 15/1 Front-runner 93 90 98.8 73.8 57.3
              6 BAYTOWN PARFAIT 6 9/2 Front-runner 95 87 90.8 83.9 76.9
              3 FINAL DRAMA 3 10/1 Front-runner 85 83 69.7 77.4 60.9
              7 EL DE LARRY 7 8/1 Stalker 91 83 83.4 87.4 79.9
              4 MAGICAL WAYS 4 5/1 Trailer 91 91 70.6 96.1 90.1
              9 KING'S RIVER 9 7/2 Trailer 92 87 58.4 85.6 73.1
              10 VANCE SCHOLARS 10 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 102 92 81.7 52.9 36.4
              2 EMBRACE MY UNCLE 2 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 93 85 50.2 55.0 46.0
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372191

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 7 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $13800 Class Rating: 92

                QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 4 WALK WHEN I WALK 2/1
                # 3 VGK ZIGFIELD FOLLIES 4/1
                # 6 FAIRLEA FLYIN 5/2
                I think WALK WHEN I WALK is a competitive choice. Has ran strongly in short races. Ramirez will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early in this contest. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed rating - 92 - of her last outing. VGK ZIGFIELD FOLLIES - Reliable average Equibase speed figs in short races make this racer a solid choice. With Nicasio aboard her, this filly ought to be able to break out early for this event. FAIRLEA FLYIN - Is a key contender - given the 82 speed fig from her most recent race. I would favor this filly on the rider and conditioner numbers alone.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372191

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Century Mile - Race #2 - Post: 4:15pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 67

                  Rating:

                  #5 BIZNESS ACCOUNT (ML=5/2)
                  #4 GENIE'S RIDE (ML=9/5)


                  BIZNESS ACCOUNT - Nelson comes to get aboard after getting to know the gelding in the last race. I'll forgive that last performance on May 23rd when he was beaten as the public choice. That race was pretty good for a $16,000 Maiden Optional Claiming race and this gelding's speed fig was solid. The addition of Lasix might make this horse wake up and run well in this event. This gelding is in good condition. Ran third on May 23rd. GENIE'S RIDE - This gelding is in superb physical condition right now. Ran second in the last race and comes back soon. The most recent speed rating of 73 is the best last race speed figure in the bunch.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DR BROKER (ML=3/1), #3 MAX BOOSTER (ML=4/1), #2 FORCED TO RUN (ML=9/2),

                  DR BROKER - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in short distance events in order to bet on him. Speed figs of 75/56/52 are pointed the wrong direction. Difficult to put any cash on this gelding on the win end. Likes to finish in the money though. MAX BOOSTER - Can't play this entrant in today's sprint of 7 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint contest lately. FORCED TO RUN - A pattern of dropping speed figures 63/54/51 for this entrant. Didn't end up on the board on September 21st at Hastings Park. Followed it up with another lackluster effort.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 BIZNESS ACCOUNT to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372191

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 2 - Stakes - 10.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 100

                    BELMONT S. PRESENTED BY NYRA BETS SAR - R13 - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 4 RENEGADE 2/1
                    # 3 CHIEF WALLABEE 3/1
                    # 9 GOLDEN TEMPO 9/2
                    I've got to go with RENEGADE. Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the halfway point of the outing. Must be given a chance - I like the figures from the last outing. He has earned very good figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group of animals. CHIEF WALLABEE - May best this field here, showing very good numbers of late. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a definite contender. GOLDEN TEMPO - When this jock and trainer team up, bettors often make money. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372191

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Louisiana Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:07pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 74

                      Rating:

                      #6 JAYDYN CAT (ML=6/1)
                      #4 WHERE'S AUNT J (ML=7/2)


                      JAYDYN CAT - Williams was aboard this mare in the last race and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This mare faced open company last time out. Moving into a restricted state bred today. Is well worth a look. Last out, this one was in a race at Evangeline Downs in a race with a class number of 80. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time out puts her in a solid position in today's race. WHERE'S AUNT J - Mare's last race was against tougher open company. She's in with easier 'state breds' today. I am keen on that recent effort on May 11th at Louisiana Downs where she finished second.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 WICKEDLY ROYAL (ML=1/1), #5 HONOR HIS HALF (ML=5/2),

                      WICKEDLY ROYAL - Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two difficult stretch runs. She probably can't repeat that last homestretch effort and win against this field. HONOR HIS HALF - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently.
                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #6 JAYDYN CAT to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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