Saturday 6/13/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372091

    #1

    Saturday 6/13/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372091

    #2
    Jeremy Plonk: Delaware Oaks Saturday Late Pick 5 Hit & Split


    June 11, 2026 | By Jeremy Plonk

    It’s a 6-stakes Saturday at Delaware Park as the local Derby and Oaks highlight the big card in the First State. The nation’s top riders will be here, including Irad Ortiz Jr., Jose Ortiz, John Velazquez and Luis Saez. First post is 12:20 pm ET with a dozen races offered, including a late pick 5 in which horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can take advantage of a $2,500 Hit & Split promotion.

    Let’s get to work.

    Race 8: $150,000 Obeah Stakes
    Key local Delaware Handicap prep lured 8 entries with Brad Cox (#6 Chasten) and Bob Baffert (#7 Cash Call) always formidable. Cash Call makes her second start off the layoff with a perfect allowance sprint prep. She won sprint-to-route in the Summertime Oaks around this time last year at Santa Anita. Chasen was even against tougher in the La Troienne on the Kentucky Oaks undercard at Churchill when snapping a 2-race winning streak. She fits here and will be moving late. Rail speed from #1 Amalfi Drive, another impeccable Godolphin home-bred could play well exiting a pair of 1-turn races while in sharp form.

    Race 9: $200,000 Cape Henlopen Stakes
    I was head over heels for #1 Desvio when he returned to Keeneland for the Elkhorn in April, only to run a big second that paled to the monster performance of Burnham Square that day. Trainer Madison Meyers could have stayed home in Maryland for the Henry S. Clark and prep toward the Dinner Party at Laurel on Preakness Day, but took the confident bite of the apple instead. That leaves Desvio in excellent timing now for the Cape Henlopen and a summer campaign. Also note John Velazquez passes up the mount on Todd Pletcher’s Grande at Monmouth in the Salvator Mile to take on these Delaware assignments. Desvio will be my single in a race in which #8 Soleil Volant, #5 Just a Touch (who may struggle with 12 furlongs) and #4 Il Siciliano would be the backup options in case of a scratch.

    Race 10: $300,000 Delaware Derby
    #3 Out of the Woods has been a vastly improved horse in his 2 starts since leaving California for Phil D’Amago and should be able to get to the rail with early speed here and reduce a lot of variables in his first stakes start. John Velazquez rode to a Kentucky Derby Day allowance score at Churchill and has a great knack for piloting rail speed and floating rivals on the clubhouse turn, taking an edge. #5 Sovereign Law was a half-length back of the top pick in Louisville and Brad Cox turns the reins over to Irad Ortiz Jr., a move clearly capable of erasing the deficit all things equal. #4 Litmus Test hasn’t been anywhere near the colt at 3 that many expected to see after a solid juvenile campaign. Bob Baffert turns to Jose Ortiz fresh off a Belmont Stakes victory last Saturday.

    Race 11: $300,000 Delaware Oaks
    Several good options exist in this 1-1/16 miles Grade 3 test that includes alumnae of the Kentucky Oaks, Black-Eyed Susan, Eight Belles and Beaumont. Delaware can be a deeper surface that not all shippers take to, so Black-Eyed Susan runner-up #1 Jumping the Gun’s 3-for-4 local record last year could be a valuable bullet in the holster. Though both exiting sprints, #7 Luv Your Neighbor and #9 Sneaky Good ran very well against better competition in the Fair Grounds Oaks and Honeybee around 2 turns earlier in the spring. Both can be big factors on the return to the route game. #2 Pashmina is well-drawn and twice finished just behind Love Your Neighbor, though the move to red-hot Jose Ortiz could spell a reversal.

    Race 12: maiden
    A field of 10 turf route maidens line up (plus a main-track only entrant) in the nightcap. #3 Sound Bite gets an excellent post after a couple of even Florida efforts. Trainer Miguel Clement’s barn is going very well of late and it could be graduation day. #9 Scanner was his own worst enemy in his Laurel debut. Trainer Graham Motion got him off the training center at Fair Hill and worked locally in the 4 weeks since and perhaps gets his mind right with Irad Ortiz Jr. taking the return call. I’ll hold with that pair while considering #11 Don’t Tell Tim and #4 Practical Joker has viable alternatives in case of scratches.

    The Ticket:

    6,7,1 with 1 with 3,4,5 with 1,7,9,2 with 3,9 = $36 for 50 cents

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372091

      #3
      Race of the Week: Sat's Salvator Mile at Monmouth


      June 10, 2026 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      Saturday's trip to Monmouth Park boasts a quartet of 6-figure stakes, including the Eatontown, Pegasus, Monmouth and Salvator Mile. It's the latter that intrigues most as a Grade 3 that goes as Race 9 of 10. Todd Pletcher and Brad Cox trainees are back among some familiar visitors to the Jersey Shore.

      Horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet take advantage of 10X 1/ST Rewards Points on the entire Saturday card at Monmouth.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 1 winner EAST AVENUE and Grade 2 winners BISHOPS BAY, POINT DUME and GIOCOSO are among the headliners, while GRANDE has won at the Grade 3 level. GRAND MO THE FIRST is Grade 1-placed. This group rates stronger than most Grade 3s.

      Pace:
      Very competitive early, but that's to be expected at Monmouth and in a middle-distance mile like this. Even so, any bit of patience and ability to pounce could be the winning move.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      1-GIOCOSO: Both bred for and raced primarily on turf, last year’s Grade 3 Commonwealth winner at Churchill Downs finds a difficult spot for his first dirt success. Trainer Keith Desormeaux has pulled some shockers over the years, and this one does get a rapid pace set-up if able to relax some like past seasons, but in both starts this year he was too involved early for his own good in this race.

      2-GRANDE: Todd Pletcher exits a highly forgettable Saratoga skid during the Belmont Stakes Festival and the barn had lost 32 in a row coming into this racing week, dating back to May 23. The mercurial Grande is 4-for-4 at Gulfstream, but runner-up in Aqueduct’s Wood at 3 and most recently sixth in a strong edition of the Alysheba at Churchill. John Velazquez jumping off isn’t a ringing endorsement and there’s concern this colt is in a no-lead, no-pass situation at what figures to be an underlay price while giving 6 pounds to nearly all his rivals.

      3-POINT DUME: His General George and Grade 2 Carter wins back-to-back at 7 furlongs, the latter beating last week’s True North winner Book ‘em Danno were career-best efforts. He regressed mightily in the tough Grade 1 Churchill Downs Handicap on Derby Day and now we have to wonder if he’s over-the-top after an extraordinary 32 straight races in the same form cycle without a major, extended break. Much better around 1 turn and a need-the-lead type routing in the past, while the 6-pound allowance he gives most all his rivals increase the level of difficulty.

      4-GRAND MO THE FIRST: 2024 Florida Derby third-place finisher and Kentucky Derby alum raced only once in 2025 and once so far this year for Victor Barboza. Steps back up in class off a Gulfstream 1-turn mile allowance victory and gets a rider change back to Paco Lopez. Hasn’t won around 2 turns on dirt and is 1-for-4 with a turf score in that situation. Still, like where he’s at in the form cycle and worth a look.

      5-OTTER MISCHIEF: Parx-based allowance runner has been favored in 7 straight races and now takes on easily the toughest test of his career. He should be part of a contested front group of speed players. Lupe Preciado trainee is 2-for-6 around 2 turns and doesn’t appear to have a path to victory vs. these.

      6-BISHOPS BAY: Defending Salvator Mile champ, despite a Grade 3-to-Grade 3 move, makes a significant class drop. This Brad Cox trainee faced Grade 1 winner Antiquarian last out and prior to that elite runners Forever Young and Nysos in the Saudi Cup. While racing mostly around 1 turn of late, he’s won 3 straight around 2 turns and is a head shy of 5 straight 2-turn victories dating back to 2023. Should be the one to beat on the title defense under Flavien Prat, whose 2025 Monmouth summer raids netted 4 stakes wins (9: 4-2-2).

      7-SEA STREAK: Monmouth’s 2024 Long Branch winner missed 1-1/2 years before a dull return in an allowance sprint in March. Takes a huge bite of the apple here and difficult to recommend as part of what looks to be a contended pace of simply better performers.

      8-OFFALY COOL: Parx-based stakes winner hasn’t been seen since last August’s Mayors Mile in greater Philly and changes barns to Julio Rodriguez. Shows perhaps the best finishing ability in this race among a field of primarily speed and pressing-types. Won off an 11-month layoff late in 2024 so he’s shown some ability when freshened. Only prior Monmouth foray came in 2023 when second by a head in the Long Branch Stakes after leading late.

      9-EAST AVENUE: Classy colt’s 3 career wins all came in wire-to-wire fashion, most notably the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland in 2024. The Brendan Walsh trainee looks much closer to his best form in 2 starts this year after facing a razor-sharp foe Nu Whats Nu in an Oaklawn Mile second and a classy group in the Grade 2 Alysheba at Churchill when fourth. The outside draw and surrounding pace pressure will make the test a challenge, but he’s capable. Until he passes a horse in any race it’s reasonable to pass on him at a shorter price.

      Most Likely Exotics Contender:
      BISHOPS BAY is 14 for 15 in the exacta lifetime and defending champ proven at this track and trip.

      Best Longshot Contender:
      Value can be found in well-traveled GRAND MO THE FIRST and the come-backing OFFALY COOL.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $75 exacta BISHOPS BAY over GRAND MO THE FIRST. $25 exacta BISHOPS BAY over OFFALY COOL.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372091

        #4
        Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays


        June 13, 2026 | By Scott Shapiro

        In addition to the stakes action in the Mid-Atlantic and the final Saturday of live racing at Santa Anita Park until the fall, Churchill Downs has yet another solid weekend slate to attack. Their 11-race card features a pair of non-graded stakes and offers a plethora of horizontal wagering opportunities. Here are a few horses I will be building my Saturday afternoon around under the twin spires.


        Race 3:
        My first play comes in this auction-restricted MSW event for 2YO fillies at 4.5-furlongs over the main track where I have little interest in any of the three runners with experience. Of the first-time starters, I landed on #1 Countthetrue. The Enticed filly comes into her first lifetime start off a steady series of local drills for veteran conditioner Wayne Catalano. Catalano has not won a springtime 2YO race at Churchill in some time, but that comes with a limited sample size. This Stephen Fidel homebred is out of a To Honor and Serve mare that won on debut over this surface back on 9/5/24. The rail draw in these 4.5-furlong dashes can be a major advantage if you get out of the gate in good order. Hopefully, jockey Victor Carrasco is able to do just that to kick off a middle Pick 5.

        Play: #1 Countthetrue (7-2 ML)
        Picks: 1-7-4


        Race 7:
        This third-level allowance at one-mile over the grass drew a compact group of seven where the inside three mares are likely to take the lion’s share of public support. #1 Austere was made the 2-1-ML favorite for Brendan Walsh with Matt Shirer conditioned #3 She’s Lookin Lucky listed as the 5-2-second choice. #2 Smiling Ellie is right behind them at 3-1 and my top choice. The daughter of Midshipman ran well in both of her 2026 starts, including last time out when she was between rivals, mid-pack much of the way before battling for clear sailing and almost springing the upset at odds of 14-1. Smiling Ellie was out finished that day by the 5-2-favorite that got a dream run up the inside and would be a significant favorite versus this bunch. Francisco Arrieta should be able to save ground early with the Mark Casse trainee and come with a late run strong enough to earn this gal’s sixth lifetime victory.

        Play: #2 Smiling Ellie (3-1 ML)
        Picks: 2-3-1


        Race 8:
        My final spot play of the day in Louisville comes in this $62,500 claimer at 7.5-furlongs over the main track where I will take a big swing with #8 Tom Cat Tuesday. It has not been a good spring in Kentucky thus far for trainer Genaro Garcia, but maybe his colt can take advantage of a field that appears to have a seriously lack of early speed. #7 Big City and #10 Bernin Hot are likely to be prominent early, but Tom Cat Tuesday exits a strong allowance race at 6-furlongs and has become accustomed to races that are run much faster over the first half mile. The son of Bolt d’Oro has earned 2 of his 3 career victories over this surface and should be a huge price. Hopefully, jockey Edgar Morales is far more aggressive on the stretch out than he was last time. If so, this colt should outrun his odds at the very least.

        Play: #8 Tom Cat Tuesday (20-1 ML)
        Picks- 8-3-9
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372091

          #5
          Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Spot Plays


          June 13, 2026 | By Al Cimaglia

          Tonight, all eyes will be on Woodbine Mohawk Park as the $1,000,000 Pepsi North America Cup is the headliner of the 13-race card. It is a stakes heavy program with over $2.2 million in purses. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

          Race 7 Armbro Flight Final-$215,000 Purse (9:00 EDT)

          6-Yo Tillie (7/2)-Comes off a tough loss to a 58-1 shot who was driven perfectly and came out of the pocket to win. That was at Oak Grove on 5-16 and Tillie got the top off the gate just before the 1/4 pole after leaving from post 7. If Todd McCarthy had to do it all over again, he probably wouldn't have gone a (27.2) 3rd quarter, especially after the 2nd chalk broke stride at the top of the last turn. That was then and this is now. Tonight, Tillie starts from the choice post and is a perfect 2-2 at Mohawk. Not sure the 7/2 morning line holds up but won't be 1/2. Looking for a rebound, and to take its 3rd picture in 4 starts this season.

          6-Yo Tillie To Win
          Exactas
          6/1,8,4


          Race 9 Mohawk Gold Cup-$100,000 Purse (9:49 PM EDT)

          7-Prince Hal Hanover (4-1)-Started the year with 3 straight wins. Then came 3rd the last time at Wbsb on 5-30 to snap the streak. Was used to get the top early in the mile on that night. Did put away the race time chalk who immediately posed a challenge. Sizzled the 3rd quarter in 26.2, didn't get a breather and finished a game 3rd. Flew home from a tough spot to lose by only a nose in the Battle of Potomac at Nfld in its last race. This is a big, powerful horse who is versatile and wins on large and small ovals. Might be overlooked here and offers some value at the morning line price or higher. Todd McCarthy should be aggressive and has the gate speed to get a close-up early seat.

          7-Prince Hall Hanover to Win
          7-9-3


          Race 11 Pepsi North America Cup-$1,000,000 Purse (10:45 PM EDT)

          4-Sweet Lovin Lou (9/2)-The son of Sweet Lou is the "other" Elimination winner, and isn't getting much respect. The 2nd Elim was the main event, it had the advertised match-race between Odds On Mr Mamba and the unbeaten Beau Jangles. That said, Lou is kind of an afterthought coming into the Final, but my eyes say he comes off a very impressive score. The Dan Lagace pupil will get a new set of hands in Scott Zeron as James MacDonald will drive Odds On Mr Mamba. Zeron has more than one gear to use on this 3-year-old who has hit the board in 10 of 11 at Wbsb and has taken 4 pictures. The colt should be forwardly placed, and there will be a spicy pace as soon as the wings fold. Will look for Zeron to be in striking range at the top of the last turn and then roll by them all down the lane at a square price.

          4-Sweet Lovin Lou to Win
          4-3-10-5


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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372091

            #6
            Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita Park - Race #8
            #1 Friendly Confines He's capable of something better than he showed last time out, and the price is going to be appealing enough to see if he can get back to one of his better tries. Still has some appeal sprinting in the second start back.
            #10 Zio Jo He might have a little upside in the second start of the summer after the flat Middle East run, but he has been running into some tough customers and fits here with his best.
            #11 Freedom's Not Free He has been solid going short in the past and could fire fresh while turning back off the bench, and he's got the kind of quality that stacks up nicely with this group.
            Race Summary Friendly Confines may offer an OK price while going second off the layoff after a dull comeback run, and I think his better stuff classes up well with this crew. #5 Irish Royalty and #12 Sumter both feel realistic for shares.
            Santa Anita Park - Race #11
            #6 Bank Shot She might have her hands full with a couple of the flashier players, but she landed a couple graded-stakes placings earlier in the year and feels good enough to land this, especially if the next one doesn't move forward.
            #1 Mizumi Her debut score was pretty sharp, and she has the pedigree and profile to carry that talent around two turns while stepping up in class. Still, the more brings up a few questions at what may be a short price.
            #7 Marjoram She handled the dirt just fine in the debut score at Churchill, and her recent form stacks up well with that Grade III turf score to her credit. In the mix.
            Race Summary Bank Shot may be a decent enough price while Mizumi and Marjoram take the cash, but I think she has the quality to stick with those two after a couple of OK -- if unspectacular -- runs in graded company.
            Santa Anita Park - Race #12
            #5 Anti Slapp She got past a few horses late while offering a mild rally in the debut run, and I think she could be in the frame here with any reasonable step forward off that first start. Capable.
            #9 Butterfly Beach Not totally sure what to do with her, as her last would keep her in the mix, but her previous form had been pretty dull. Possible, but I'm not that enthusiastic.
            #4 Sissy Girl There are a handful of fresh faces lined up in here, and I'm not totally overwhelmed by what is on paper in this spot, so take a look at her and the others on the track and tote ahead of this.
            Race Summary Anti Slapp looks interesting enough after an even kind of debut run that got her past some horses late -- some expected upside might do the trick in what feels like a soft race for the local level. Could see something better coming from #11 Forza Palermo, too.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372091

              #7
              Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


              Woodbine - Race #4
              #2 MIGHTY TANNER (2-1) Figures tough with move forward off comeback try, today’s Best Bet.
              #1 LADY DAYRELLS (8-1) Lone entrant not in for a tag has speed, rail and light weight in first long sprint.
              #7 LEMON SWEETS (6-1) Some late kick on all-weather track but must stay in closer contact.
              Race Summary MIGHTY TANNER backed off the lead duo on the backstretch, appeared ready to strike after awaiting room on the turn but lacked stretch punch in her seasonal debut. She has the best long-sprint form in the field, removes the blinkers and get the nod for top connections. Bet to win and place and play 2-1 and 2-7 exacta.
              Woodbine - Race #6
              #8 MIGHT BEE TROUBLE (8-1) Right set-up, right price in speed-laden field in third start of cycle.
              #3 CAYENNE KISS (2-1) Comeback romp at distance, can stalk and pounce for 19-perecent ‘repeat’ barn.
              #6 CITORI (5-2) Speed of the speed gets leading jockey to ride but picks up 8 pounds.
              Race Summary MIGHT BEE TROUBLE will have every chance to upstage a series of in-the-money finishes in her third start this year. She gets plenty of pace to rally into from the outside post and has a 5-1/2F win on her resume in a field that is a combined 2-for-22 at the distance. Bet to win and place and play a 3-6-8 exacta box.
              Woodbine - Race #8
              #2 VELOCITA (8-1) Shocking upset with Lasix was no fluke, but can she do it again in longer sprint?
              #6 HYMN TO HER (4-1) Rallied for third, then faded from up close in two starts this year.
              #3 BOLD RIPASSO (6-5) Earned her top speed figure when third at 7F off an 11-month layoff.
              Race Summary VELOCITA continues to be plagued by slow starts, but she added Lasix for her seasonal debut, advanced quickly into contention, then shot through a rail opening to run away from the 3-to-5 favorite in the stretch. No reason to think she can’t pull off another upset carrying light weight. Bet to win and place and play a 2/3, 6/ALL trifecta.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372091

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
                PURCHASE
                Delta Downs - Race 9 Exacta/Trifecta(.50 min.)/Superfecta(.10 min.)
                SO $15,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 90 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 9:35P
                QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR ANY CLAIMING PRICE IN THEIR LIFETIME OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * GEAUX PARTY GEAUX: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. BLOOD KISS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it g ets out of the gate fast. TF JESS DOING CURLS: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). JESS SO BLESSED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dist ance/surface. JESS JOSEPH M: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                8 GEAUX PARTY GEAUX 5/2 5/1
                5 BLOOD KISS 7/2 6/1
                7 TF JESS DOING CURLS 12/1 8/1
                4 JESS SO BLESSED 8/1 8/1
                6 JESS JOSEPH M 6/1 10/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                1 BELLA CAN FLY 1 8/1 Average 81 78 0.0 0.0 0.0
                2 JESS DIVI THE CASH 2 6/1 Average 84 77 5.4 0.0 0.0
                3 PILOT POINT TRAIN 3 9/2 Average 82 83 5.4 0.0 0.0
                4 JESS SO BLESSED 4 8/1 Slow 87 83 6.9 0.0 0.0
                5 BLOOD KISS 5 7/2 Fast 87 88 0.0 0.0 0.0
                6 JESS JOSEPH M 6 6/1 Average 84 82 4.4 0.0 0.0
                7 TF JESS DOING CURLS 7 12/1 Slow 93 86 0.0 0.0 0.0
                8 GEAUX PARTY GEAUX 8 5/2 Average 89 91 4.3 0.0 0.0
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372091

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park
                  PURCHASE
                  Canterbury Park - Race 5 Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
                  Claiming $15,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 7:10P
                  (RAIL AT 15 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES WILL BE RUN AT 6 FURLONGS AND RACES FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FLYING MARTINI is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MATT'S LUCK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FLYING MARTINI: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LATIN FORCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                  5 MATT'S LUCK 3/1 3/1
                  1 FLYING MARTINI 2/1 6/1
                  3 LATIN FORCE 4/1 9/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  1 FLYING MARTINI 1 2/1 Front-runner 85 77 76.9 66.8 58.3
                  5 MATT'S LUCK 5 3/1 Stalker 96 97 75.0 80.8 75.8
                  3 LATIN FORCE 3 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 80 81 78.3 74.5 70.0
                  6 OUTLAW RUN 6 5/2 Alternator/Trailer 86 85 64.5 63.5 58.0
                  2 ARJUN FOR KARZ 2 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 75 81 72.0 37.2 29.7
                  4 MORE MONEY MO 4 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 76 71 23.1 46.6 37.1
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372091

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 26

                    FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. 1# A INFERIORES ALLOWED 1 LBS. 2# A DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 4 KING ROBERT 2/1
                    # 2 PRINCIPE JORDAN 5/1
                    # 5 ELEMENTO E 10/1
                    KING ROBERT looks to be a very strong contender. Has been running solidly lately and will most likely be up on the front end early on. Always hard to beat Morales and Figueroa working together, winning 16 percent of their races. Earning some nice profits in dirt sprint events. PRINCIPE JORDAN - This colt has some longshot handicapping angles I like to play. ELEMENTO E - This pony enters today's race with second time Lasix.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372091

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Legacy Downs

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 50

                      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED A RACE IN THE STATE OF NEBRASKA IN 2026.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 4 ECHO SISTER 2/1
                      # 2 AMAZING JOURNEY 5/2
                      # 1 STARSHIP YENTA 4/1
                      ECHO SISTER has a quite good shot to take this race. Cunningham has a win percent of 28 over the last month. Ran a strong last race. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this field of horses. AMAZING JOURNEY - With a nice Equibase class figure average of 62, has one of the top class advantages in this field. STARSHIP YENTA - This filly looks strong in this race since Ramaekers has a strong win percent with horses going this distance. This trainer has the most respectable ROI in this group of animals with entries racing at this distance and surface.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372091

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Churchill Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $71,000 Class Rating: 85

                        Rating:

                        #6 INSIGHTFUL MISS (ML=8/1)
                        #5 TALKIN IN CURSIVE (ML=9/2)
                        #2 DON'T SAY IT (ML=6/5)
                        #7 PATTY CAKES (ML=5/1)


                        INSIGHTFUL MISS - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. Last out, this one was in a race at Oaklawn Park in a race with a class rating of 91. Dropping drastically in class rating today puts her in a solid position right here. TALKIN IN CURSIVE - I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return to racing. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Surely on edge for a good one today. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class pts like this one did last race out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class. DON'T SAY IT - This horse has shown the class to win at different tracks. Making the move from Keeneland for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run. She has the uppermost earnings per race. Take a long look at this one. PATTY CAKES - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the ability to make her presence felt. When Machado and Jacobson unite on horses the return on investment has been terrific at +182. This mare's last speed rating is high enough to triumph here, I'll play her back again today. Came home in fast time last time around the track. A positive sign.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SASSY AND BOLD (ML=7/2),

                        SASSY AND BOLD - Tough to support any thoroughbred that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. Doubtful that the speed figure she notched on May 15th will be good enough in this race.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #6 INSIGHTFUL MISS on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,6] Box [6,7]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
                        SUPER HI-5 WAGERS: [5,6] with [2,5,6,7] with [2,5,6,7] with [2,3,4,5,6,7] with [2,3,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372091

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                          PURCHASE





                          Monmouth Park - Race #10 - Post: 5:33pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 102

                          Rating:

                          #4 POST COMMAND (ML=8/1)
                          #5 GOLDEN CHANNEL (ML=4/1)
                          #8 RELATIVE VALUE (GB) (ML=7/2)


                          POST COMMAND - Always beware the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Don't often see a positive ROI like +180. This jockey/conditioner pair has done well together over the last year. Last race out on the grass, this animal was great. Anything close in this race, and this one should win. GOLDEN CHANNEL - Finished sixth at Belmont at the Big A last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 4/1 in this field, he looks like a possible contender. I think Monmouth Park players know a good thing when they see the jockey/trainer duo of Marin and Weaver. Their win pct together has been great. If you review the PP's for this animal, you'll see he has recorded the top Equibase speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat race in this field and this horse has a superb chance to win. Look two races back where the horse finished second. You can excuse the last race where he bounced a bit. I see a return to form today. RELATIVE VALUE (GB) - Brown has a very great win pct in turf routes. This colt should be fit and ready to go.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #10 DEBT LIMIT (FR) (ML=5/2), #12 PRIME MOTIVE (ML=9/2), #6 LATE CALL (ML=6/1),

                          DEBT LIMIT (FR) - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended layoff and no drop in level of competition. The speed figure last race out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this mount as a likely underlay. PRIME MOTIVE - Ran his best speed fig last time out, but the 'off conditions' may have had something to do with it. LATE CALL - This pony ran a mediocre fig last out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely lose in today's race running that fig.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POST COMMAND - Don't look at the finish position in the last race, but take a look at how many lengths back he was from the victor. Should improve enough to grab the brass ring in today's event.


                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 POST COMMAND is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,8]
                          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,8] Total Cost: $6
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [4,5,8] with [4,5,8] with [2,4,5,8,11] with [2,4,5,8,11] Total Cost: $36
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