Tuesday 6/16/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[HandyAndy]

FINGER LAKES TIPS - TUESDAY, JUNE 16, 2026
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 FINGER LAKES $27,300 Allowance 1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	4	Burn Notice	L E Perez
PLACE	2-1	3	Seams Like Destiny	R Gutierrez
SHOW	5-2	2	Dear Chairman	C Elliott
WILD CARD	3-1	5	Passioned	K J Coa
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Skylers Starship	J Cruz
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #2 FINGER LAKES $11,200 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:24 PM ET
#2 SHES A FREUD
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Shes a Freud	K Navarro
PLACE	3-1	5	Diva Banker	M A Davila Jr.
SHOW	5-1	3	Honorable Lilly	J Flores
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Latest Edition	A S Worrie
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Kaymus	K J Coa
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Mrs Bell	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #3 FINGER LAKES $13,800 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:53 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	5	Blue Eyed Scout	S Fret
PLACE	5-2	2	Cue the Music	C Russell
SHOW	4-1	1	Grand Golden Road	A S Worrie
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Glory Bound Clara	J A Davis
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Jessicas Race	J Flores
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Tomaki	J J Diaz
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE #4 FINGER LAKES $20,000 Starter Optional Claiming 1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Olazabal	J Flores
PLACE	7-2	3	Big Rich	C Russell
SHOW	3-1	5	O P Firecracker	M A Davila Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Mad Magic	L E Perez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Allure of Money	E De Diego
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Anointed Spirit	A S Worrie
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #5 FINGER LAKES $26,500 Allowance 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:51 PM ET
#5 VICTORIAS SHANCES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	5	Victorias Shances	E De Diego
PLACE	3-1	6	Hot Rod Hottie	L E Perez
SHOW	6-1	2	Good Mission	J Flores
WILD CARD	5-1	8	Mobelladream	C Elliott
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Bald Kitten	A S Worrie
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Boiling Point	K J Coa
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
RACE #6 FINGER LAKES $13,700 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
#5 PEELING OUT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	5	Peeling Out	L Pena
PLACE	7-2	1	Real Eleve	J A Davis
SHOW	6-1	8	Addysons Dream	O Gomez
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Support the Cat	K J Coa
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Dignified Response	S Fret
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Just a Guy	J Flores
* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
RACE #7 FINGER LAKES $26,900 Allowance 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-2	7	Lord King	R Gutierrez
PLACE	9-2	5	King Phoenix	L E Perez
SHOW	7-2	1	Cast a Coin	C Russell
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Without Pretence	A S Worrie
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Rock Star Rebel	S Vives
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Camm Duke	K J Coa
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #8 FINGER LAKES $14,000 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Turnupthemusic	K Navarro
PLACE	5-2	2	Oh Mrs. Maisel	L E Perez
SHOW	6-1	6	Ligons Legacy	J Flores
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Pure Elegance	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Dharma	J Ventura
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Miss Pab	J Cruz
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays

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June 16, 2026 | By Scott Shapiro

After a big weekend in the Mid-Atlantic and closing week out west at Santa Anita Park focus for most horseplayers will shift regions over the next couple of weeks. The Ohio Derby card at Thistledown headlines the stakes racing this weekend, but most of the best action leading up to that will be in New York and Kentucky.

My focus for the next couple of weeks will be my old stomping grounds of Churchill Downs. Derby weekend is the best, but some of the strongest wagering opportunities in Louisville come over the final few weeks of their spring meet. Hopefully, we can make the most of it starting with Wednesday’s nine-race card that kicks off at 12:45 PM eastern. Here are a few horses I like on the first of five racing dates under the twin spires this week.


Race 3:
My first play of the week comes in this $50k maiden claimer at 7-furlongs over the main track where class dropper #5 Life’s Reward is likely to take a lot of public support. Not only does he exit protected maiden races last summer, but he is a Brad Cox trainee that will be ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr. The Gary & Mary West homebred is obviously capable of winning, but is almost guaranteed to be an underlay regardless of result. For that reason, I will side against him with a runner that has some upside still.

#8 My Lucky Penny debuted against slightly tougher at Keeneland in late April for trainer Matthew Sims. The son of Connect did not break particularly well that afternoon and then was moved up the inside to battle with the 6-5-favorite in the early stages. Not only is being down on the inside taking pressure not ideal for a debut runner, but the track did not favor that trip either on April 24. Therefore, I can forgive the fact that My Lucky Penny faded badly late to finish fifth. Now, Sims has given him nearly two months and he draws to the far outside in this compact group of 8. This should allow jockey Luan Machado to relax his gelding a bit more in the early stages, which ideally leaves him with far more energy late. At his 8-1-ML offering, I am very much willing to take my chances.

Play: #8 My Lucky Penny (8-1 ML)
Picks: 8-7-5


Race 5:
The pace scenario is murky in this seven-furlong dash over the main track for $50k starter allowance foes, but the price should be right to take a swing with #3 Frosty Indulgence. The 5YO gelding has earned 2 of his 3 career victories over the all-weather, but ran very well on the surface switch and cutback to a sprint in mid-April for trainer Chris Davis. In fact, he lost by a nose at odds of 25-1 in a first-level allowance at Keeneland, but was placed first via disqualification. The concern is whether jockey Luan Machado can avoid getting caught in a tight spot along the inside off a moderate early tempo, so I will need close to his morning line price to gamble. That said, his dirt race prior to this at Ellis last summer saw him get caught up in an early battle and tire badly late. That is not likely to occur in this spot, but I am hopeful he can use some of that gate speed to find early forward position. If so, I am confident he enters this spot in the best form of his career.

Play: #3 Frosty Indulgence (10-1 ML)
Picks: 3-6-8


Race 8:
The pace should be honest at the very least in this $141k allowance at 6-furlongs over the main track given the presence of #4 Tough Catch and #8 Macho Music. Neither 4YO colt enters this spot in their best form regardless of pace and are unlikely to have much left late in the final furlong. I am hopeful the pace is fast enough to set things up for #6 Thoughtthatcounts. The son of Sky Mesa makes his second start of the meet after his second consecutive runner-up finish since returning to Kentucky this spring. The prior one came at odds of 22-1 at Keeneland and in both starts he was done no real favors. Last out over the off track here at Churchill Downs, the 5YO gelding ran into an off-track front running monster in Harrodsburg and prior to that he nearly overcame being caught wide throughout at a big price. Given his previous success over this racetrack and his ability to finish, Thoughtthatcounts looms large in the Wednesday feature.

Play: #6 Thoughtthatcounts (9-2 ML)
Picks: 6-2-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Royal Ascot Betting Primer & Wager Guide | Tues 6/16

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June 15, 2026 | By 1/ST BET

Today’s Skinny:
Day 1 of 5 from the prestigious Royal Ascot stand is headlined by a trio of Grade 1 races and some names quite familiar to American racing enthusiasts. Last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Notable Speech should go as favorite in the Group 1 Queen Anne in the meet’s opening race for Godolphin, Charlie Appleby and William T. Buick.

Undefeated Bow Echo looks for five straight as England’s headliner in the Group 1 St. James’s Palace, where 2025 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Gstaad stands in the way for Coolmore, Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. Kentucky Downs’ 2025 Nashville Derby winner Wimbledon Hawkeye takes his shot in the 10-furlong Wolferton Stakes.

The Group 2 Coventry is the meet’s first juvenile dash and goes with 22 entered – while the Group 1 King Charles III lines 26 across the grass in a 5-furlong melee. Jockey John Velazquez has the call on Irish trainer Joseph O’Brien’s Aeronautic in the Copper Horse.

Free Wagering Guide:
Download the free Sky Sports Racing Royal Ascot Wager Guide for today’s full card.
ACCESS THE GUIDE https://cdn.prod.spl.timeformsportin...0260616asc.pdf

Extra Incentives:
Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can enjoy a 15% boost on successful win bets – up to $25 total per day per player – during each race of the Royal Ascot meeting.
VIEW OFFER https://www.xpressbet.com/5083-royal...winnings-boost

Today’s Lineup:
9:30AM ET | Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes | 1 mile
10:05 AM ET | Group 2 Coventry Stakes | 6 furlongs
10:40 AM ET | Group 1 King Charles III Stakes | 5 furlongs
11:20 AM ET | Group 1 St. James’s Palace Stakes | 1 mile
12:00 PM ET | Ascot Stakes Handicap | 2-1/2 miles
12:35 PM ET | Wofterton Rated Stakes | 1-1/4 miles
1:10 PM ET | Copper Horse Stakes | 1-3/4 miles

Featured Races | This Week
Tuesday | Group 1 Queen Anne, Group 1 St. James’s Palace
Wednesday | Group 1 Prince of Wales’s
Thursday | Group 1 Ascot Gold Cup
Friday | Group 1 Commonwealth Cup, Group 1 Coronation Stakes
Saturday | Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes

Wagering Particulars | Commingled World Pool
17.5% takeout Win & Place
17.5% takeout Quinella
17.5% takeout Omni (2 of 3 must finish top 3)
19.5% takeout Exacta
25% takeout Trifecta
25% takeout Pick 3
26% takeout Place Pick 4
27% takeout Place Pick 6
30% takeout Superfecta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #2

#3 MIDNIGHT LEGACY (4-1)	Ascending speed figures, couldn’t catch stablemate, third start of cycle.
#4 RIOJA ALTA (5-2)	Takes some catching with duplicate of latest start at this distance.
#1 WHICH SIDE R U ON (6-1)	Runner-up in $25k debut, outrun in MSW company, good fit for $15k.
Race Summary	MIDNIGHT LEGACY saved ground, bid at the quarter pole but couldn’t gain on his winning stablemate. He has improved with Lasix and appears rounding to a winning effort in his third start this year. Bet to win and place and play 3-1 and 3-4 exactas.

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #3

#6 HUNGRY REGGAE (5-1)	Perhaps bounced on short rest after maiden romp, can use her speed well.
#1 LADY CHAOS (2-1)	Impressive rally in 5F debut, runner-up came back with 9-1/2-length MSW romp.
#2 TURBO LADY (9-2)	Piling up the checks at various distances, beaten favorite five times.
Race Summary	HUNGRY REGGAE stalked the dueling top pair in the 5-path and couldn’t gain in her first allowance test. But she romped to a maiden victory off nearly a year layoff in the race prior. She figures up close to a softer pace in this field and gets more rest between starts. Bet to win and place and play 6-1, 6-2 and 1-6 exactas.

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #4

#7 KEEPIN IT CLASSY (6-1)	Hit board in all six starts last year, second off similar layoff, has 10 wins here.
#1 COACH KNIGHT (9-2)	Four thirds in last five starts for a claiming tag, class drop could make difference.
#3 MR. SENSEI (3-1)	Wire-to-wire winner two back at Betfair Park can use his speed well in this spot.
Race Summary	KEEPIN IT CLASSY compiled a 6/2-2-2 Horseshoe record as a 9-year-old last year, mostly at this level. He was last seen in October, overcoming early trouble to finish third behind Prince of Pennies (5-23, $65k), who went wire-to-wire in an open $5,000 claimer at Turfway Park next out. Bet to win and place and play a 1-3-7 exacta box.

Fairmount Park - Race #1

#7 LAST CANDY (7-2)	Kept quality company as a 2-year-old, like her chances in local debut.
#5 RAZ ON FIRE (4-5)	Battling severe case of seconditis, spanning 5F to one mile.
#1 FANCY FEET (9-2)	Finished behind ‘Raz’, appears best of the rest, moves outside in.
Race Summary	LAST CANDY, stakes-placed when last seen in a long sprint at Hawthorne in October, figures tough if ready for her first start as a 3-year-old. Her company lines stand out. She met winning favorites Special Sauce, Zee and Tiz China before the stakes race and that trio is a combined 21/6-7-4 with $185k in earnings to date. Bet to win and place and play a 7-5-ALL trifecta.

Fairmount Park - Race #3

#5 AWESOME SUNDAY (6-5)	Ideal spot to end year-long winless drought, stands 5-17 at 6F.
#7 ALTERNATIVE GRACE (5-1)	Awakened in this barn, troubled in three-peat try, sheds 7 pounds.
#1 SCRAPBOOK (15-1)	Steadied into turn, regrouped to finish second to 6-to-5 winner.
Race Summary	AWESOME SUNDAY stalked the pace 4-wide and was in range of odds-on winner What’s Crackin (6-29, $135k) and next-out winner Bethy until late stretch. She gets class relief and holds a tactical advantage in a field that lacks speed. Bet to win and place and play 5-1 and 5-7 exactas.

Fairmount Park - Race #4

#7 WIN WITH COLOR (Even)	Rallied wide for second in sprint, can stalk and pounce from up-close in here.
#1 LUTION (8-1)	Running lines dotted with next-out winners, hit board in last three tries at one mile.
#6 GIRLS KNICKS NOW (5-2)	Improved in this barn, plays catch-me-if-you-can at new distance.
Race Summary	WIN WITH COLOR broke sharp, settled off the pace and rallied 4-wide to finish second to the late-running favorite. The 6F race timed 4/5 slower than a same-day, $10,000 optional claiming race, so give her the nod in here for top connections. Make a flat win bet and play 7-1 and 7-6 exactas and a 7-1-ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis
PURCHASE

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $1 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 2:41P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. AMAZING MIKE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AMAZING MIKE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. RIOJA ALTA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MEGA WI CH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COAXED: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MIDNIGHT LEGACY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	AMAZING MIKE	6/1	5/1
4	RIOJA ALTA	5/2	6/1
7	MEGA WICH	3/1	7/1
6	COAXED	10/1	9/1
3	MIDNIGHT LEGACY	4/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	RIOJA ALTA	4	5/2	Front-runner	64	66	76.3	44.5	39.0
7	MEGA WICH	7	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	67	61	53.2	41.2	33.2
6	COAXED	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	62	50	50.3	43.9	36.9
3	MIDNIGHT LEGACY	3	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	55	41.9	42.2	32.2
5	AMAZING MIKE	5	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	66	58	31.0	44.8	39.3
1	WHICH SIDE R U ON	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	39	43.2	41.3	33.8
8	I'M A KEEPER	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: BAYOU LOVER (10/1) [Jockey: Mendoza Amir - Trainer: Eggleston Tim].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Royal Ascot
PURCHASE

Royal Ascot - Race 2	Win, Place, Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Swinger
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 99 • Purse: $250,000 • Post: 10:05
COVENTRY S. - GRADE 2 FOR TWO YEARS OLD ONLY. WEIGHTS: COLTS AND GELDINGS, 129 LBS; FILLIES 126 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * GREAT BARRIER REEF (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. NIGHT IN VEGAS (IRE): Horse's win per centage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. THE HARV (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ADAAY OF SCARLETT (IRE): Horse's win percentage a t today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MRAIR (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ROYAL HERITAGE (GB): Horse's win percentage at today's distan ce(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
10	GREAT BARRIER REEF (IRE)	9/2	7/1
20	THE HARV (IRE)	30/1	8/1
15	NIGHT IN VEGAS (IRE)	6/1	8/1
14	MRAIR (IRE)	20/1	10/1
16	ROYAL HERITAGE (GB)	10/1	10/1
1	ADAAY OF SCARLETT (IRE)	20/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure

Unknown Running Style: TREASURER (IRE) (60/1) [Jockey: Scott Rowan - Trainer: Fellowes Charlie], ARIZONA RAIDER (IRE) (60/1) [Jockey: Lee William James - Trainer: Mulvany Michael], GREAT BARRIER REEF (IRE) (9/2) [Jockey: Lordan Wayne - Trainer: O'Bri

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - SA - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 79

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2025 - 2026. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 ROCK STAR PARKING 3/1
# 9 MACI'S WORLD 5/2
# 3 CRIMSON NIGHTS 5/1

ROCK STAR PARKING looks to be a decent contender. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 20 percent - at this distance & surface. Should be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Always seems to be close up on the wire. MACI'S WORLD - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this equine look decent in this outing. Looks like a solid player for the exotics. CRIMSON NIGHTS - Win percentage one of the best in this field. Shows signs of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 64 speed rating which is one of the most favorable in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Louisiana Downs - Race #4 - Post: 5:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#4 FOSFORITO (ML=4/1)


FOSFORITO - Ran last race out against much better company at Louisiana Downs. The move down the class ladder should suit him well. Have to like the way Witt has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. I think Louisiana Downs players know a good thing when they see the rider/handler tandem of Lozada and Witt. Their winning percentage together has been wonderful. Has a good chance to break maiden changing to the main track in this event. This animal is not the morning line choice, yet he finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together. Just see his last fig, 66. That one fits well in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DOES NOT COMPUTE (ML=7/2), #8 DIXIE STRONG (ML=7/2), #7 JONESBOOGIE (ML=9/2),

DOES NOT COMPUTE - Today's event is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last 60 days. Not the best of signals. Shins may have soreness since they added front bandages in the last race. DIXIE STRONG - This gelding is always in the money, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to play him on the front end. Improbable that the speed rating he registered on May 26th will hold up in this contest. JONESBOOGIE - Hasn't been close to winning at all lately. Doubtful that the speed figure he recorded on June 8th will be good enough in this event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FOSFORITO - This mount has recorded gains in his speed figures over his last two events. Don't overlook this gelding in your wagering.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 FOSFORITO to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - SO - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE JUNE 16, 2024 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 WINNERS OF AN OPTIONAL CLAIMING RACE OR STARTER ALLOWANCE SINCE MARCH 16, 2026 WILL BE ASSIGNED ADDITIONAL 2 LBS. EACH ADDITIONAL OPTIONAL CLAIMING RACE OR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 OLAZABAL 5/2
# 7 MAD MAGIC 5/1
# 2 OCTOBER BLISS 10/1

OLAZABAL is my choice. Sells has this gelding racing well and is a decent pick based on the strong Equibase Speed Figures earned in route races lately. Has been running soundly lately and will probably be up on the front end early on. The average class rating alone makes this horse a solid contender. MAD MAGIC - Ferraro is trying to score with this horse by bringing him back so quickly. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Ferraro running at this distance are the most favorable in this field. OCTOBER BLISS - Montanez has him trained admirably to break quickly out of the starting gate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 4:24pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating:

#5 MOR SPRING SPIRIT (ML=8/1)
#3 RIDING A DREAM (ML=3/1)
#6 GOODIE GOOMER (ML=8/1)


MOR SPRING SPIRIT - This gelding won at this distance on January 23rd and was at a higher class than today. This horse could be tough this time around, especially since Rojas rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. Faced tougher last out at Presque Isle Downs. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders. You have to bet this animal at a track he likes. There's nothing like being comfortable out on the track when it's time to race. RIDING A DREAM - Lots of positive 'vibrations' connected with this horse and his stable. GOODIE GOOMER - A big drop down in class figure points from his June 1st race at Presque Isle Downs. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Arriagada. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Gallardo was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This horse wins a lot of money per race. I believe he can augment that bankroll today. Lets try to beat the favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty decent race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SPAN OF CONTROL (ML=5/2), #2 SMOKIN' HOT (ML=4/1), #4 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON (ML=5/1),

SPAN OF CONTROL - Registered a substandard speed rating in the last race in an $8,000 Claiming race on May 18th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure. SMOKIN' HOT - He's probably going to get roasted on the front end. STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON - Hard to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint races in order to back him. Even though victorious in last, didn't finish the way you'd like to see when stepping up to face stronger competition.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #5 MOR SPRING SPIRIT on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass