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Two for Tuesday December 27, 2011 3:00 AM by GT Staff
2 for Tuesday by Richard Saber
1) Louisville +1 vs. NC State (45)
The Wolfpack have gone a perfect 5-0 in their last five bowl appearances and are 8-1 in bowls under head coach Tom O’Brien. NC STATE.
2) BELK BOWL, Charlotte
Same as above, only this time we talk totals. Look for a hard-hitting defensive battle. UNDER.
last week ATS: 2-0; 2011 record: 53-47.
2 for Tuesday by Mark Mayer
1) Providence +1 at St. John’s (cbkb)
Two up and comers in the Big East, each with seven-game winning streaks, match up in NYC. It’s been a long time for the Friars, which gives them the edge. PC.
2) Pittsburgh -1½ at Notre Dame (cbkb)
The Panthers come in angry after stunning loss to Wagner. Irish 0-6-1 ATS in board games. PITT.
Western Michigan +1.5 Over Purdue 20 Dimes
I think this is a great match up for Western Michigan. The Broncos are a pass-heavy team, as they average 328 passing yards per game, which ranks number one is the MAC and eighth in the nation. Meanwhile, they are going up against a defense that ranks near the bottom in the Big Ten, as they allow more than 26 PPG. The Boilermakers also have some off-field issues, as wide receiver O.J. Ross, punt returner Waynelle Gravesande, and linebacker Dwayne Beckford, the team’s leading tackler, are all suspended.
Prediction: 34-28 Western Michigan
North Carolina State -2.5 Over Louisville 10 Dimes
Wunderdog:
Game: Western Michigan vs. Purdue (Tuesday 12/27 4:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Western Michigan +3 (-120) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Western Michigan finished the season at 7-5, and will tangle with Purdue in the Little Caesar's Bowl. The Boilermakers at 6-6 just made it, and it required a win on the road in their last game at Indiana to get here. Purdue struggled all season on offense failing to top the 27 point mark in nine games. The lack of consistent offense eventually took its toll on the defense which started the season allowing 20ppg in their first six, but finished allowing 35.4ppg in the last five. Purdue barely threw for 2,300 yards all season, and at the same time had no back that gained as much as 700 yards. Western Michigan can move the chains, as they put up 38 or more points in seven of their games this season. They have a QB in Alex Carder that threw 28 TD passes and over 3,400 yards, and a reciever in Jordan White that caught 128 passes this season for over 1,600 yards and 16 TD's. The duo will be the most dangerous combination on the field for this o ne. The Broncos have covered eight of their last 11 and are a perfect 7-0 ATS after passing for 280+ in their last game. Purdue has not covered any of their last eight played on field turf as they don't have the speed to take advantage of it. Buy the half point to +3 if you can, otherwise play at +2.5 with low juice. Western Michigan is the play here.
My 50 Dime play is on North Carolina State to cover againat Louisville in the Belk Bowl. Checkning the sports books in Las Vegas at 9 a.m. and the Wolfpack is a 1-point favorite. Always shop around for the best numbir.
ANALYSIS
This game shapes up to be a defensive struggle.
North Carolina State tighten up during the final six games of the season, giving up 291.7 yards per game in those games. The Wolfpack has 24 interceptions, with David Amerson leadiag the way with 11 interceptions.
Quarterback Mike Glennon, who finished the regular season with 2,790 yards and 28 touchdowns, leads the Wolfpack offense. Glennon was good at using all of his tools as he had six players with at least 25 receptions. The top receiver is T.J. Graham with 39 catches and 641 yards and five touchdnowns.
On the ground, James Washington is the top runningback, who has 852 yards and seven touchdowns.
Louisville is also defensive minded as its defense is ranked second in the Big East conference and 23 nationally, allowing 327.8 yards per game.
Louisville is a young team, with 10 freshman starters. One of those starters is quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. He has been inconsistent at times. He has thrown for 1,855 yards and 12 touchdowns. But he has also thrown 9 interceptiins. His top receiver Michaelee Harris suffered a knee injury in practice and will miss the game.
Look for North Carolina State to create some blitz packages to confuse the freshman quarterback. That will lead to some turnovers.
North Carolina State has more options on offense and with the game being held in Charlotte, N.C., will have the home crowd.
Take the Wolfpack.
Jeff Benton Tuesday's Action 40 Dimerelaase going out on the Louisville Cardinals as the slight undnerdog againit the NC State Wolfpack. At the time I release this winner to you, Louisville is a 1 1/2-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore.
ANALYSIS
Let me refresh your memory...N.C. State closed the regalar season by upsetting Clemson 37-13 at home back on November 19th, then followed with another home win over Maryland in a game they trailed by like a million points in the second half. Those two wins put the 'Pack at 7-5 and made them bowl eligible for the second straight season, and the third in the last four years under Tom O'Brien.
Kudos to the Wolfpack for making it to the Belk Bowl, but I am siding with the up-and-coming Cardinals to close their surprisning season with a win tonight as the small underdog. Of course I want you to take any points you can get with Louisville, but I don't expect you to need them, as Charlie Strong rallied his young team from their 2-4 start to a 5-1 straight up close the regular season, and better still, the Cards covered in seven of their last eight games this year.
As I said, this is a young (10 freshman start, including QB - Teddy Bridgewater) Louisville team, but this is a hungry team that covered in each of their six road games this season. Under Charlie Strong, Louisville has become a money-making road machine, as they have covered 11 of 12 away from home under Strong, including the Beef "O" Brady's Bowl last year against Southern Miss!
Mike Glennon has matured nicely for the 'Pack, but this Louisville defense is quite stout, and I expect the Redbirds to shut the passing game down and force State to rely on their shaky running game to win this game. I don't see that happening.
At a near pick, I am taking the Louisville Cardinals to close their season strong, and be one of the teams to watch out for come next year.
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