Tuesday 7/28/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:11 AM

Scott Shapiro: Saratoga Spot Plays

July 28, 2026 | By Scott Shapiro

The first five-day racing week of the summer is upon us in Saratoga Springs, which means a Wednesday of thoroughbred action in New York. The first of several “Hump Day” cards over the next several weeks commences at 1:10 PM local time with a MSW event out of the Wilson chute. The mid-week card is headlined by the return of Bill Mott conditioned Chief Wallabee. The fourth-place finisher in the Kentucky Derby (G1) and Belmont Stakes (G1) is set to take on five rivals in a spot where he is likely to be odds-on. Here are my thoughts on the Curlin Stakes, as well as a couple of horses I am most interested in to kick off the racing week.

Race 1:
#5 Wedelia and first-time starter #3 Maria Louise are expected to take the lion’s share of the wagering based on David Aragona’s morning line in this MSW for fillies and mares 3YOs+ at one-mile over the main track. Wedelia was made the 7-5-top choice off a pair of underneath finishes over the sloppy going at Churchill Downs, while the $850k daughter of Gun Runner is listed at 9-5. Debuting out of the Wilson chute suggests to me that Maria Louise is using this as a race to prepare for a true two-turn test in her second start, while I am concerned about Wedelia’s lack of early zip over a course that has played towards speed the first several weeks. I will try to beat them both with #1 Noble Glow. The Juddmonte homebred debuted in a 7-furlong sprint in Louisville in late November where she battled on the front end while wide on the backstretch, eventually got the best of the other speeds at the top of the lane, but had little left late for those coming from off-the-pace. She has been given plenty of time since that first start and should be fit for her return to the races. Flavien Prat was in the saddle on debut and is back once again. I like her chances with a clean break from her rail draw.

Play: #1 Noble Glow (5-1 ML
Picks: 1-5-6

Race 6: Curlin Stakes
The aforementioned Wednesday feature is this $150k 1 1/8-event over the main track for 3YOs which have not won a graded stakes race. The clear class of the field is #4 Chief Wallabee. The 4-5-ML favorite has not won since a stylish debut victory at Gulfstream in January, but finished second in the Fountain of Youth (G2) followed up by third beaten a half-length in the Florida Derby (G1). His Kentucky Derby was better than looks based on flow and trip, but he fell flat in the Belmont over this surface. The class relief should help him, but he is likely to get hammered exiting the Triple Crown runs.

I prefer #1 Blackout Time. The son of Not This Time was very good as a juvenile, including a runner-up effort to Ted Noffey in the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) before heading to the sidelines until late winter. Kenny McPeek brought him back off the bench in the Rebel (G2) where he disappointed much like he did in the Arkansas Derby (G1) leaving him out of the Triple Crown series. McPeek gave him three months off before bringing him back in a competitive allowance in Kentucky where he romped over the sloppy going. He draws the rail and has some upside still making him my play in this year’s Curlin.

Play: #1 Blackout Time (3-1 ML)
Picks: 1-4-3

Race 7:
My final play of the day comes in this second-level allowance at 9-furlongs over the grass where I like #1 Tirupati. The Mitole mare makes her second start of the form cycle for trainer Jonathan Thomas after getting a much different trip in an allowance at Ellis Park than I anticipate on Wednesday afternoon. It was Umberto Rispoli aboard in Kentucky in early July and he did not ride this gal as aggressively as I expect Luis Saez to in her first try over the Saratoga grass. Rispoli was somewhat passive out of the gate, which led to Tirupati getting caught between rivals while mid-pack in the early stages. This allowed the eventual winner to get the jump on her. Saez is unlikely to have Tirupati on the lead, but I expect him to ride for position out of the gate and sit a favorable ground saving pocket trip throughout. If so, she has a big shot to get the money.

Play: #1 Tirupati (9-2 ML)
Picks: 1-5-6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:12 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1

#2 Trail of Roses	She'll make her local debut in this second career start after an OK chasing debut try at Penn. Think she's quick enough to find a spot right up near the top in a race without at on of serious early sprint pace.
#5 Deference	Cutback pace is probably going to be tough in here after a couple of decent New York runs, but the price will likely be short in a race with no other standout.
#7 Moonpie Delight	She has given away ground late in all three starts, but she's got the positional pace to at least be in a good spot turning for home, and maybe she can plug away for a share from there. Wouldn't be a total shock on top, but I think it'll be one of the top pair.
Race Summary	Trail of Roses gets the edge here with some upside while going second time out, and I think he might move forward on the new footing -- sire Munnings has posted about 22% winners here over the last six years.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#5 Going Up	Think he's on the attack the whole way here in a short field, and he has been competitive with some of these in the past. Dangerous if he's ready to fire fresh.
#4 Souper Forces	He's a stakes winner going long on the grass, but he won his career debut going short here last season and should have at least a fair pace to kick at with a couple potential pace types lined up.
#2 Spirited Sol	Always been a big fan of his and wouldn't put it past him to score in this one -- he posted a 34/1 stakes upset here a couple starts back and returns to his best game today after the Monmouth dirt try. He's more fun when he's overlooked.
Race Summary	Going Up might get the right kind of prompting run off John Dutton, and he has been very reliable outside of some stakes tries that darken his otherwise sharp form.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #4

#1 Its Satisfactual	You've got a few speed players and a couple other pressing/spying types lined up -- so I want someone who can chill for a bit and get the last laugh. The recent form here is really flat, but she owns a couple of OK finishing tries on her page earlier this year. Hoping she's a clunk up winner at a big number.
#4 Cocktail Kisses	She's probably the most likely beneficiary of the speed-forward race flow here, as she can relax and avoid getting caught up near the pace, but she's far more tactical than the top choice. Dangerous.
#9 I'm Blushing	I don't trust her form a whole lot, but she has bounced back off flat runs in a couple of those recent starts, so maybe it's worth forgiving her last one. The two-back try was competitive at this local level -- can't move into this pace too early.
Race Summary	Its Satisfactual is a price swing in a race that could come undone late. Would also want #7 Old Fashioned Girl on the tickets with some closing potential.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:12 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Louisiana Downs - Race #1

#2 RIDDICK (5-1)	Duplicate of lone grass sprint puts him in the winning mix at a good price.
#6 EAGLE IN THE AIR (6-5)	Looks best on paper but has yet to finish 1-2 in a dozen starts.
#7 SKY WITNESS (6-1)	Showed speed in both starts, changes surfaces with new pilot.
Race Summary	RIDDICK returns to the turf for his new barn, two races removed from earning a competitive speed figure for a $25,000 tag. He gave way chasing the 2-to-1 winner, who was dropping from MSW company and finished behind I Tiz Divine, who returned with a wire-to-wire MSW victory. Bet to win and place and play a 2-6 exacta box.

Louisiana Downs - Race #5

#5 BOSS KID (4-1)	Useful debut, angled and drifted wide, barn on 3-for-4 run with blinkers added.
#3 HAND (5-2)	Rallied past Boss Kid and into photo-finish view after he came in at the break.
#7 ELECTRIC MAN (6-1)	Solid work tab for high-percentage barn that is 1-for-34 with first-time starters.
Race Summary	BOSS KID breezed 5F in a 1:01 leading to a well-bet debut on the lawn. He chased the dueling leaders but angled out and drifted in the stretch. He finished willingly but out of the money, now wears blinkers for his second go-round. Bet to win and place and play a 5-ALL exacta.

Louisiana Downs - Race #7

#8 FORT CAMPBELL (5-1)	Deserves another chance after burning money in turf-to-dirt stateside debut.
#9 STAR ROCK STAR (5-2)	Strong grass numbers, won allowance race the last time Hernandez rode.
#2 AMBRIDGE (9-5)	Rallied for back-to-back wins at 1M on the lawn but not in latest for twice this much.
Race Summary	FORT CAMPBELL, bet down to favoritism in his U.S. debut, vied for the lead until the stretch in a longer turf-to-dirt route race before tiring. He gets Lasix today for top trainer Jonathan Wong, who is 41-for-139 with turf entrants in the last year. Bet to win and place and play 8-2 and 8-9 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis
PURCHASE

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 9	Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 10 Cent QH Only Grand High 5 (Pentafecta - Separate Carryover)
Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 6:15P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HF JUST RENO: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SEEUDONTWANNABU: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equi base Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). POLITICAL WINNR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Hor se ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BEACH CHICKZ: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	HF JUST RENO	8/5	9/2
3	SEEUDONTWANNABU	15/1	6/1
6	POLITICAL WINNR	8/1	7/1
2	BEACH CHICKZ	9/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	RUNAWAY DELUXE	1	15/1	Average	70	62	4.8	0.0	0.0
2	BEACH CHICKZ	2	9/2	Average	73	69	4.7	0.0	0.0
3	SEEUDONTWANNABU	3	15/1	Average	79	74	5.6	0.0	0.0
4	HF JUST RENO	4	8/5	Slow	80	76	6.2	0.0	0.0
5	FLYIN IVORY	5	30/1	Slow	63	57	7.7	0.0	0.0
6	POLITICAL WINNR	6	8/1	Slow	79	69	6.3	0.0	0.0
7	DASHIN QUICK CORONA	7	3/1	Average	71	70	5.8	0.0	0.0
8	PHILOMINA	8	6/1	Average	66	63	5.2	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 4:33P
(INCLUDES UP TO $4,700 OTHER SOURCES) FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 28, 2026 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CLASSIC EMBRACE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CLASSIC EMBRACE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
1	CLASSIC EMBRACE	1/1	6/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	MAJOR MOVE	3	7/2	Front-runner	44	41	51.0	34.2	27.7
1	CLASSIC EMBRACE	1	1/1	Stalker	68	64	52.4	61.0	58.0
2	ROSEIGH ALL DAY	2	3/1	Stalker	46	46	36.0	37.9	32.4
4	SHELBI'S STAR	4	10/1	Trailer	46	34	38.2	33.8	24.8
5	MOM'S HANDS	5	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	55	51	35.0	33.0	27.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:13 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $28800 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. *PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 BAXLEY 1/1
# 5 IF YOU INSIST 2/1
# 3 SCAT FACTOR 9/2

BAXLEY is the most respectable wager in this race. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 87. He has a quite good distance/surface win record - 1 for 2. Has formidable early speed and will almost certainly fare admirably versus this group. IF YOU INSIST - Has solid front speed and will probably fare quite well against this group. Is a key contender - given the 83 speed fig from his most recent race. SCAT FACTOR - Is a sharp contender based on numbers garnered as of late under today's conditions. Going in a dirt route race gives this gelding a very strong shot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 6:39pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#7 GARNET AND GOLD (ML=5/2)

GARNET AND GOLD - Trainer Rice moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face much lower class horses. Look for a nice race in this race. Barbosa should have her moving big on the turn. This mare is in nice physical condition, having run a nice race on Jul 13th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FLOAT AWAY (ML=3/1), #3 RUNAWAY BREEZE (ML=7/2), #4 MISS M M (ML=4/1),

FLOAT AWAY - This horse didn't race too well last out finishing third. No reason to expect any betterment today. RUNAWAY BREEZE - If you keep playing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down regularly. This mare ran her top speed figure in some time on the dirt in a sprint race. There may be a strong performance bounce today. MISS M M - This mare is always in the money, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to wager on her on the win end.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - GARNET AND GOLD - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top racer in earnings per start. This horse looks good to me so I'm making a prime bet on her.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 GARNET AND GOLD to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 51

Rating:

#10 CONTINUE (ML=5/1)
#7 MO BREEZY (ML=12/1)

CONTINUE - Barrios is back for another event today after getting on board this animal for the first ride on Jul 7th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I like that most recent outing on July 7th at Mountaineer Park where she ran second. MO BREEZY - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the class to make her presence felt. Just missed hitting the board on July 5th at Belterra Park. With respectable odds in this event, she has my interest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 COLLECTED MIST (ML=5/2), #3 BRAND NEW DANCE (ML=9/2), #5 GORDA (ML=6/1),

COLLECTED MIST - June 13th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. I can't play this continual non-winner. Gets the task finished from time to time. BRAND NEW DANCE - Hasn't been close at all recently. This filly garnered a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. GORDA - There's speed, zip, and more early zip in this event. Doesn't look too promising for this horse.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #10 CONTINUE on the win end if we get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-28-2026, 07:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 JIMMY RULES 9/2
# 6 NANTUCKET 4/1
# 8 WHISKEY POINT 2/1

JIMMY RULES looks to be a solid contender. He must be carefully examined given the quite good speed figs. This gelding looks strong in this race since Anderson has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. His earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at him. NANTUCKET - Looks competitive for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. This gelding with Barbaran in the saddle makes him a definite contender. WHISKEY POINT - Recently Puhl has provided bettors with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Should definitely be given a shot in this event if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last affair.

**HandyAndy** · 07-28-2026, 09:45 AM

ASSINIBOIA DOWNS TIPS - TUESDAY, JULY 28, 2026
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $13,200 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-2	1	Rugged Rooster	A Whitehall
PLACE	3-1	2	Twolefttoload	M Bennett
SHOW	6-1	3	Mini Glazed Donut	D Bynoe
WILD CARD	10-1	4	Pickin Riffs	S Chickeness

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	5	Maibella	N Stephenson

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $21,500 Maiden Special Weight 5 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	4	Get Some More	A Budhu
PLACE	2-1	3	C Js Mayzee	D Dalrymple
SHOW	3-1	6	Beer Budget	A Whitehall
WILD CARD	5-1	2	J P Finigan	N Stephenson

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Buckdens Spirit	S Townsend
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Circle the Bird	K Khelawan

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

RACE #3 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $10,000 Maiden Claiming 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	1	Little Tribune	R Hewitt
PLACE	3-1	2	Grenache	D Bynoe
SHOW	4-1	4	Moonshine Boogie	C Pruitt
WILD CARD	7-5	6	La Canonica	M Bennett

ALTERNATE 1	7-1	3	Trish	S Townsend
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Twilight Ride	N Stephenson

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

RACE #4 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $10,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 9:50 PM ET
#6 DISTINCTIVE DEB

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	6	Distinctive Deb	D Bynoe
PLACE	3-1	5	Miss Z	R Knights
SHOW	5-1	2	Smooching	D Prescod
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Valerie Valeski	C R Mamdeen

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Cressons Lil Charm	R Brewster
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	3	Donnas Final Word	S Townsend

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #5 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $21,500 Maiden Special Weight 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 10:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	5	Sum Up the Silver	C Pruitt
PLACE	3-1	3	Madeline Tothe Max	J R Patterson
SHOW	9-5	4	Off the Payroll	T Nelson
WILD CARD	10-1	7	Emerald Blaze	R Cumberbatch

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	When I Saw You	S Chickeness
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Point Maid	D Bynoe

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #6 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $15,200 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 10:40 PM ET
#3 STEAL YOUR SOUL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	3	Steal Your Soul	S Balroop
PLACE	6-1	7	Shes So Croatian	C R Mamdeen
SHOW	3-1	5	Starship Paradise	D Dalrymple
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Catch the Dream	M Bennett

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	8	Apple Fest	R Knights
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Mineral Rights	C Pruitt

* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

RACE #7 ASSINIBOIA DOWNS $13,200 Claiming 7 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:05 PM ET
#7 SENSE OF AWE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	7	Sense of Awe	J R Patterson
PLACE	7-2	4	Princess Aleska	C R Mamdeen
SHOW	8-5	1	Kikilove	S Townsend
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Stand by Time	R Cumberbatch

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Midnightcandystorm	T Nelson
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Hardly Mischievous	A Whitehall

* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX

Tuesday 7/28/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 7/28/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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