12-30-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

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Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Bob

2* Tulsa

2* Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lang

My 100 Dime Major Money Move Winner #3 in a row is a selection on Iowa State -1 over Rutgers. The current line is -1 at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore.

My 50 Dime College Bowl Underdog Shocker is on Iowa over Oklahoma. The currsnt line is +13 1/2 at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Lang's Free Pick is Mississippi State -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT SPREITZER'S FRIDAY ULTIMATE KNOCKOUT! 100%!!


Take : MISSISSIPPI ST

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness bowl Total of the Year..... Miss St /Wake - OVER the total

[Mr. IWS]

Root Full Card 12/30

Primetime.................Tulsa
Millionaires................Oklahoma
No-Limit....................Rutgers
Pinnacle...................Wake Forest

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' Superstar Triple Play-Friday Bowls (4-0 L10 days)-12:00 ET!
My 8* plays are on Tulsa and the Over at 12:00 ET.

The Cougars opened the season by playing on each of this year’s first nine weekends but after October, BYU played just three games over the season’s last five weekends. BYU’s first two games in November were identical 42-7 wins at home over Idaho and New Mexico St in Provo. The Cougars have done some juggling at the QB position this season, opening with Jake Heaps, turning to Riley Nelson (who gave the team a HUGE boost) and then returning to Heaps when Nelson was hurt in the Idaho game. Heaps started and led BYU to that 42-7 win over New Mexico St in the team’s final home game, completing 21-of-36 for 238 yards with four TDs and just one INT. However, Nelson was back healthy for BYU's season-finale, a 41-20 win inHawaii on Dec 3. He passed for a season and career-high 363 yards (previous best was 219 yards) in the win, completing 25-of-37 passes with three TDs and zero INTs. Nelson insertion into the lineup rejuvenated a BYU rushing attack which was anemic in the season's first month and BYU finished the year averaging 165.8 YPG on 4.4 YPC.The Cougars opened 1-2 but won EIGHT of their final nine games, topping 40 points in each of their last three. However, it's hard to ignore that BYU lost 38-28 at home to TCU in that 8-1 closing stretch, with its lone victory over a winning team coming 27-24 at home to Utah St, which finished 7-6 after a bowl loss to Ohio (not exactly a murderer's row of opposition). In comparison, Tulsa faced football 'heavyweights' Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Boise State) out of the chute in the first four weeks of the year. The Golden Hurricane opened 1-3 (lone win over was 31-3 over a Tulane team which finished 2-11) but then won SEVEN straight games, before falling apart late vs then-unbeaten Houston on their home field (November 25). Tulsa’s seven straight wins came by an average margin of 23.0 PPG but then against Houston, Tulsa allowed four TDs to the Cougars in the span of about 10 minutes (late third quarter into the mid-fourth), as the Cougars extended a 20-16 lead into a 48-16 rout. Tulsa owns a very balanced offense. The team runs for an average of 204.5 YPC on 5.0 YPC, as Douglas (884 yards / 8.2 YPC) and Watts (843 yards / 5.1 YPC) are a dynamic duo. QB Kinnie has played all season without the team's best all-around threat, Demaris Johnson. Here's player who had led the nation in all-purpose yards each of the last two seasons. Johnson had 872 yards receiving, 560 rushing, 904 on kickoff returns and 292 on punt returns last season while scoring 13 TD. He also was set to enter this season as the NCAA's career record-holder with 3,417 kickoff return yards but off-the-field issues have kept him from performing at all. Still, Kinnie increased his completion percentage (up to 64.1 from 59.8), although his passing yards have fallen (2,876 from 3,650), as has his TD-to-INT ratio (from 31-10 to 25-12). This will be the seventh consecutive bowl appearance for BYU under Bronco Mendenhall. The Cougars have won four of those six games, including a 52-24 victory over UTEP in last year's New Mexico Bowl. Meanwhile, this marks Tulsa's SIXTH bowl in the last seven years with the Golden Hurricane going 4-1 in the previous five. That includes three straight wins in '07, '08 and last year, with Tulsa 'ringing up' 63, 45 and 62 points .I doubt the Tulsa defense can stop the BYU offense but I believe the Tulsa offense can outscore the Cougars. BYU has hardly been tested this year, while all four of Tulsa's losses this year have come vs teams ranked in the top-10 at the time of those meetings (Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Boise State and Houston). The Houston loss was a bitter pill to swallow for fifth-senior QB Kinnie, playing in his final home game. The Golden Hurricane have been itching to get back on the field since that November 25th loss (day after Thanksgiving) and I expect a HUGE game from Kinnie and the boys. These two schools last met back on September 15, 2007, when Tulsa outscored BYU 55-47. I'll take that final here. It's Tulsa and Over.

My 8* play is on Miss St at 6:40 ET.

Mississippi State and Wake Forest each barely reached bowl-eligibility at 6-6 but I don't sell these teams short (at least not, Miss St). Both schools bring to this game recent bowl successes. The Demon Deacons are seeking their third consecutive bowl win and SIXTH in seven postseason appearances since 1992. The Bulldogs are going for their FIFTH straight bowl victory, occurring over a 13-season span. Wake Forest lost its season-opener in brutal fashion at Syracuse (blew a 15-point 4th quarter lead and lost 36-29 in OT!) but rebounded to win four in a row, after a 35-30 win over then-No. 23 Florida State. However, Wake's fortunes went south from there, losing FIVE of their final seven games. The lone wins came over 3-9 Duke (1-7 in the ACC) by one point and 31-10 over Maryland (2-10 / 1-7 in the ACC). According to Wake's head coach, he feels as if his team played OK this year. "I thought that we played hard all year," coach Jim Grobe said. "We got good effort out of our guys, and we were leaking a little bit of oil at the end of the season -- we'd played so many good teams in a row. "... We didn't bring much into the Vanderbilt game, but I thought throughout the season, we got as much out of these guys as we could." I'm not sure I agree. Wake no longer runs the ball well at all, averaging 118.9 YPG on 3.4 YPC. However, sophomore QB Tanner Price has blossomed after an inconsistent freshman campaign. He has completed 60.9 percent of his passes with 20 TDs and only six interceptions (none in the last four games!). Mississippi State head coach Dan Mullen is said to be on a very short list to become the next coach at Penn State (will it really be a great job anymore?) but he sure didn't add much to his resume in his third season at Starkville. The bar was likely set unrealistically high after last year's 9-4 finish, so TY's 6-6 record had to be considered a let down. The spread offense that Mullen imported from his days as Urban Meyer's offensive coordinator at Florida had its ups and downs. Chris Relf had a sloppy season and was often replaced by Tyler Russell (considered the better passer but that was hard to prove). Dylan Favre (Brett's nephew), a redshirt freshman, also got some late-season snaps. Mullen has been non-committal as to which QB will get the start or take the majority of snaps in this game. RB Vick Ballard had 1,009 yards rushing (5.6 YPC) but after scoring 19 TDs last year, he enters the bowl game with just eight. You often here how tough it is to play in the SEC and it gets old. However, it's also very true. Consider this. Miss St's six losses came against teams which went a collective 61-13 (.824) this season. Note that FIVE of those losses came against teams which finished in the top-16 in the final BCS standings (No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Alabama, No. 6 Arkansas, No. 9 South Carolina and No. 16 Georgia). Take away those five contests and the Wake D (with a small front-seven) will face an offense which averaged 36.3 PPG on 487.0 YPG in its seven games other than those five, top-16 BCS teams it faced (averaged 10.4 PPG on 170.4 YPG vs that illustrious group). Note that against another 6-6 SEC team in Vandy (similar to Miss St), Wake Forest was beaten 41-7 on its home field, allowing 481 yards. I just don't see any way the Demon Deacons will slow down the Bulldogs. lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* Bowl Total of the Year (11-3-1 w/10* CFB totals TY))
My 10* Bowl Total of the Year is on Wake Forest/Miss St Over at 6:40 ET.
Mississippi State and Wake Forest each barely reached bowl-eligibility at 6-6 but I predict an interesting and high-scoring affair. Wake Forest lost its season-opener in brutal fashion at Syracuse (blew a 15-point 4th quarter lead and lost 36-29 in OT!) but rebounded to win four in a row, after a 35-30 win over then-No. 23 Florida State. However, Wake's fortunes went south from there, losing FIVE of their final seven games. The lone wins came over 3-9 Duke (1-7 in the ACC) by one point and 31-10 over Maryland (2-10 / 1-7 in the ACC). Mississippi State head coach Dan Mullen is said to be on a very short list to become the next coach at Penn State (will it really be a great job anymore?) but he sure didn't add much to his resume in his third season at Starkville. The bar was likely set unrealistically high after last year's 9-4 finish, so TY's 6-6 record had to be considered a let down. The spread offense that Mullen imported from his days as Urban Meyer's offensive coordinator at Florida had its ups and downs. Chris Relf had a sloppy season and was often replaced by Tyler Russell (considered the better passer but that was hard to prove). Dylan Favre (Brett's nephew), a redshirt freshman, also got some late-season snaps. Mullen has been non-committal as to which QB will get the start or take the majority of snaps in this game. RB Vick Ballard had 1,009 yards rushing (5.6 YPC) but after scoring 19 TDs last year, he enters the bowl game with just eight. According to Wake's head coach, he feels as if his team played OK this year. "I thought that we played hard all year," coach Jim Grobe said. "We got good effort out of our guys, and we were leaking a little bit of oil at the end of the season -- we'd played so many good teams in a row. "... We didn't bring much into the Vanderbilt game, but I thought throughout the season, we got as much out of these guys as we could." I'm not sure I agree. Wake no longer runs the ball well at all, averaging 118.9 YPG on 3.4 YPC. However, sophomore QB Tanner Price has blossomed after an inconsistent freshman campaign. He has completed 60.9 percent of his passes with 20 TDs and only six interceptions (none in the last four games!). Both schools bring to this game recent bowl successes. The Demon Deacons are seeking their third consecutive bowl win and SIXTH in seven postseason appearances since 1992. The Bulldogs are going for their FIFTH straight bowl victory, occurring over a 13-season span. It's hard to forget that they routed Michigan 52-14 in the Gator Bowl on New Year's Day of last season (my Bowl Total of the Year!). I like the karma of playing my Bowl Total GOY on a second straight Miss St game but it's MUCH more than karma that has me doing so. You often here how tough it is to play in the SEC and it gets old. However, it's also very true. Consider this. Miss St's six losses came against teams which went a collective 61-13 (.824) this season. Note that FIVE of those losses came against teams which finished in the top-16 in the final BCS standings (No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Alabama, No. 6 Arkansas, No. 9 South Carolina and No. 16 Georgia). Take away those five contests and the Wake D (with a small front-seven) will face an offense which averaged 36.3 PPG on 487.0 YPG in its seven games other than those five, top-16 BCS teams it faced (averaged 10.4 PPG on 170.4 YPG vs that illustrious group). Note that against another 6-6 SEC team in Vandy (similar to Miss St), Wake Forest was beaten 41-7 on its home field, allowing 481 yards. I just don't see any way the Demon Deacons will slow down the Bulldogs. As for Wake, they can't run, so Price will be charged with keeping his team in the game. That's a great recipe for an over and the fact that neither team turned the ball over much (Wake had 12 on the year and Miss St, 16), gives me even more season to think we'll having a scoring-fest. In fact, expect this game to approach the total by halftime.
Good luck...Larry