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Re: 11-8-08
Malinski:
6-col St,
5-nc St,
4-oh St, Ark, Gt Under
Malinski:
6-col St,
5-nc St,
4-oh St, Ark, Gt Under
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Re: 11-8-08
Red Dog Sports (Northcoast Community Line)
36-24 (60%) in college FB
3* Okla State at Texas Tech (Sat.)
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Over 69.5
These 2 played a 49-45 (94 points!) game last year as Harrell was 46-67 for 646 yards and 5 TD's with 0 int's. The total in that game was 72. Okla State has played unders in 3 of their last 4 games (which keeps this total down below 70) but have gone over in 17 of their last 24 games.
The OSU Cowboys are led by QB Zack Robinson, who can pass and run. In last year's game there were only 4 punts. I think the line in this game will go up to 70 or more. Look for plenty of points.
Okla State/TT over 69.5 pointsComment
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Re: 11-8-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 10* graded play OVER Texas Tech/Oklahoma – AiS shows an 87% probability that there will be 70 or more points scored in this game. There is a 94% probability that both teams will score 28 or more points and although that only gets part way to the posted total it does place TT in a strong over role. TT is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. TT also in a series of strong roles noting that they are 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons; 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=6.25 yards/play since 1992. Oklahoma State is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992; 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after outgaining opposition by 225 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. TT is also 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons; 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. TT HC Leach is also in a strong over role noting he is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after a dominating performance with 34+ minutes TOP and 24+ First downs; 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. Take the OVER.
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Baylor - I am not surprised at all with this grading from the AiS showing that Baylor will lose this game by 28 or fewer points. I nailed Baylor last week against Missouri and they pushed Missouri the entire game and Texas will still be feeling the pain fro last week's epic battle in Lubbock. That was a truly bruising game and the wear from it will have an effect on Texas. Texas will certainly win the game, but the Bears will push them. Baylor's running game has improved greatly since the beginning of the year. Last week against Missouri they gained 155 rushing yards on 44 plays and the week before at Nebraska they gained 216 yards on 33 attempts. Baylor is a run dominated team, but the OL has really come into it's own and will be able to control the LOS for a majority of the game. Texas defense is a tired group right now having to play all of the marquee games in recent weeks. They gave up 217 rushing yards to Oklahoma State and a 105 yards to the pass happy bunch from Lubbock. The Texas running game has spurted in recent weeks gaining just 113 versus Oklahoma State and just 71 at Texas Tech. No doubt Texas will want to establish the running game first so that they can protect McCoy and set-up easy play action pass routes. Their play calling will be very conservative looking for long time consuming scoring drives. This style will keep Baylor in the game far longer than if this game was taking place in the first few weeks of the season. They know that they could be NUMBER 1 Sunday night with any sort of win against Baylor. yes, Iowa has a solid chance at home versus Peen State, Oklahoma State could defeat Texas Tech and yes LSU could finally play up to their potential and ruin 'Bama's title hopes. Take Baylor.Comment
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Re: 11-8-08
Stephen Nover
TITLE: SEC Game of the Year
REASON FOR PICK: There's tremendous hype surrounding the coaches, especially Nick Saban returning to his former coaching ground. But this matchup will be won in the trenches - and that's where Saban's Crimson Tide holds a decisive edge.
The Crimson Tide can run the ball better and stop the run better. They've won nine straight with only Mississippi topping 92 yards rushing versus them. Alabama is surrendering an average of just 2.6 yards per rush and 65.6 yards rushing per game.
They are going to load up the box daring LSU to throw. The Tigers need an effective ground game to win. But the Tide, featuring 380-pound nose tackle Terrance Cody, won't allow it.
For LSU to win, redshirt freshman quarterback Jarrett Lee will need to step up. His inexperience, this is just his sixth start, and history in big games doesn't suggest that. LSU was crushed by Florida and Georgia when stepping up in competition.
Lee has just a 12-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Opponents have returned half of Lee's interceptions for touchdowns. Alabama quarterback John Parker Wilson plays his best in big games. He's the more steadier quarterback.
Wilson has thrown only four interceptions and the Tigers have an SEC-low eight takeaways. The Tide takes the pressure off Wilson, rushing for an average of 202 yards per game.
Emotionally, Alabama is in a revenge situation and wants to prove it is deserving of the No. 1 ranking. The Tide has covered eight of the past 10 times when playing on the road against a team with a winning record.
LSU, by contrast, is 3-9-1 against the spread in its past 13 conference matchups. The Tigers have failed to cover in their past four home contests.
This is a five-unit play for me.Comment
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Re: 11-8-08
Scott Rickenbach
TITLE: 9-2 SEASON! #1 SAT. TOP PLAY
REASON FOR PICK: Game #163 – 2* (Top Play) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+) @ Boston College @ 8 PM ET – The Eagles are struggling badly and their swoon is quite likely to continue here. Boston College has lost their game each of the last two weeks and is now just 2-3 in ACC action. Also, with a 5-3 record on the season, there suddenly is real concern in Chestnut Hill about the Eagles even getting their sixth win to be bowl eligible. Remaining games, after hosting Notre Dame, include two ranked teams and two road games for Boston College. The Eagles have road games at Florida State and Wake Forest and then host Maryland in their season finale. As you can see there is tremendous pressure on the Eagles to get that sixth win this week and pressure is the last thing that QB Chris Crane needs! The Boston College quarterback is struggling badly. They tried to go with a more conservative attack against Clemson last week but that back-fired as they looked very poor offensively against the Tigers. However, if they open up the playbook again Crane is likely to struggle with turnovers. Notre Dame has proven to be a very opportunistic team this season and Crane has 12 interceptions and only 8 touchdowns. More concerning than the overall stats is that Crane threw three interceptions in back to back weeks before the Eagles “limited the playbook” last week. He didn’t throw any picks last week but the Boston College QB averaged just 3 yards per pass attempt and the Eagles weakness at QB is a major concern this week.
Unlike the Eagles, Notre Dame is getting improved play from the quarterback start as the season has gone on. QB Jimmy Clausen has 18 touchdowns against 9 interceptions on the season but what has been especially impressive is that he’s got 12 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions in the last five weeks. The Fighting Irish are coming off of a tough overtime loss versus Pittsburgh as it was a game that Notre Dame never trailed in during regulation. However, there is no concern about an inability to bounce back here because the Irish certainly won’t be flat for this game. The Eagles and the Irish are the only two big Catholic schools playing college football as a major program. As a result, this series carries extra meaning and the Irish are determined to win at Chestnut Hill for the first time since 1998. The series actually ends after next season’s game and that game will be at Notre Dame so the Fighting Irish know that it’s now or “who knows when” in terms of coming up with another win at Chestnut Hill. The Irish would love nothing more than to take down the Eagles in their own stadium and they will do just that.
Not only does Notre Dame have a big edge at quarterback, we also feel that Boston College’s indefinite suspension of their kicker Billy Bennett is very significant because the punter will be handling kickoff duties this week and, also, the Eagles missed two field goals in last week’s game versus Clemson. Taking a look at the game, Boston College got down big 17-0 and only got back in the game because of a blocked punt and thanks to some interceptions. In other words, that had a chance to be a home blowout loss and it shows you just how susceptible the Eagles are right now. No longer having Matt Ryan at quarterback is a huge difference and after dominating the Irish in South Bend last season, it will be payback for Notre Dame this time around. This Eagles team is simply not what anywhere close to the team that the Irish played last season and Boston College’s defense was supposed to be it’s strength this season but they’ve allowed 31.5 points per game the last four weeks. Don’t be fooled by their full season stats as that included some very weak offenses. The Eagles defense is struggling and they’re very shaky at quarterback. The Irish will take advantage and win this “statement” game on national TV as they are in much better position, unlike Boston College, to secure their sixth win for bowl eligibility. Play Notre Dame plus the points as a Top Play selection.Comment
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Re: 11-8-08
Chris Jordan
Saturday Winner ...
Analysis by 10 a.m. eastern
BLANK CHECK ALABAMA - I see the line on this game is -3 and -3-1/2 everywhere. I want you to buy the 1/2-point down and lay only -3 points. This is extremely important with a game like this, as we will not get beat by the hook in the event of a 3-point game
1,000? MINNESOTA -Comment
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Re: 11-8-08
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, November 08, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: TWO WORDS...LATE STEAM!!! That is what I have for you today! This is so BIG it can only be rated as my COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR! and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and you will pay only after you WIN! We are currently on a 81-36 run with all selections and we are 29-14 in College Football the this year! WE ARE ON FIRE!!! GET THIS WINNER!! 11/8/2008
COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR
133 Florida -23.5 8:00 ESTComment
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Re: 11-8-08
Kelso's 100 unit play for Saturday.
Saturday, November 08, 2008
Houston by 35 points
100Houston (-16) over Tulane
8:00 PM -- John O Quinn Field at Robertson Stadium
Houston by 35 Points
TV: CBSC Comments: Houston (4-4) is catching Tulane (2-6) at just the right time for a blowout win. Tulane has had more injuries in the last 3-4 weeks than any 10 teams in college football and it has really impacted what was once a high-powered offense. The Green Way have been able to muster just 27 points in it last two games and is now facing a Houston team that can run it up. Houston also has to be in a bounce-back mode after a 37-23 loss at Marshall and comes into this game off a bye week. Meantime, Tulane had to play at LSU last week and lost 35-10 in a game in which the Tigers called off the big dogs in an act of mercy. It also is of note this is homecoming at Houston and the Cougars love to win these games. My figures say it will never be close.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.Comment
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Re: 11-8-08
ProCappersNetwork
Here are three premium plays off of my large college card for today:
128 Wake Forest -3 1/2 Even (3 Unit Play)
156 Clemson/Florida State Under 44 -1.09 (3 Unit Play)
202 Florida Atlantic -22 1/2 Even (3 Unit Play)
In addition to the above three plays I have seven more 3*'s, five 4*'s and one 5 * selection which is my first five star selection since October 25th where I used Oklahoma as a 17 1/2 point favorite and won 58-35. For those interested you can pick up this sixteen play card right now by going to procappersnetwork and purchasing a seven day college football pass for just $25. For only $10 more you can also get all of tomorrow's NFL as well and I will even throw in my NBA & NHL plays for that period as well. Sign up today and start winning with me.
Oscarxena SportsComment
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Re: 11-8-08
Bill Bravenec
Week 11 College Football Picks
November 6th, 2008
Saturday, November 8
Air Force - 10 vs. Colorado State
This pick is based on Air Force’s better defense and a mismatch between Air Force’s rushing offense and Colorado State’s rushing defense. Air Force’s defense allows 298 yards (#22) and 17.3 points (#17) per game, while Colorado State’s defense allows 409 yards (#99) and 32.7 points (#106) per game. Air Force rushes for 274 yards (#4) per game and 4.3 yards per carry, and Colorado State’s defense allows 181 rushing yards (#95) per game and 5.3 yards per carry. Air Force should be able to run all day. Colorado State’s strength is their passing game (#30), but Air Force is #6 against the pass, allowing only 158 passing yards per game and 5.9 yards per pass attempt.
Minnesota - 8 vs. Michigan
This pick is based on Minnesota’s better defense and a mismatch between Minnesota’s passing offense and Michigan’s passing defense. Minnesota’s defense allows 363 yards (#65) but only 17.9 points (#20) per game, while Michigan’s defense allows 394 yards (#91) and 30.9 points (#97) per game. Minnesota passes for 240 yards (#36) per game and 7.3 yards per attempt, and Michigan’s defense allows 253 passing yards (#102) per game and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Minnesota has a +15 turnover margin and Michigan has a -9 turnover margin.
New Mexico - 3 1/2 at UNLV
This pick is based on New Mexico’s better defense and a mismatch between New Mexico’s rushing offense and UNLV’s rushing defense. New Mexico’s defense allows 334 yards (#42) and 22.6 points (#49) per game, while UNLV’s defense allows 437 yards (#108) and 35.0 points (#110) per game. New Mexico rushes for 212 yards (#15) per game and 5.4 yards per carry, and UNLV’s defense allows 232 rushing yards (#116) per game and 5.2 yards per carry. Like Air Force, New Mexico should be able to run the ball at will. UNLV’s QB Omar Clayton, who is also the team’s 2nd leading rusher, is out with an injury so they will play sophomore Mike Clausen, who is only 11-of-21 for 110 yards with 0 TD’s and 0 INT’s. Clausen does have 2 rushing TDs but only has -6 rushing yards in 17 attempts.Comment
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