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Cleveland opened up at -2 point favorite and the line is slowly beginning to come down. Of course nearly 70% of the public favors Cleveland here and this is despite the fact that Chicago just hammered the Suns at home. Remember, this is a big revenge game for Chicago after losing to Cleveland on the road. Hinrich and Gooden are both listed as questionable in this game. I actually lean on Chicago to get it done at home today, the only thing is, not knowing Hinrich and Gooden\'s status for this game. Remember, since the mid-season trade last year, these two teams are not fond of each other. Regardless of the injuries, I can see the Bulls once again winning this game but of course, one can never count out Cleveland with Lebron. Either way, I can see the Bulls likely winning this game outright at home getting their revenge from an earlier season loss just last week.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total
dime bet712 POR / 711 MIN Under 192.5 Bookmaker
Analysis: Portland is finally favored on a game this season, after being the dog on their first five games of the season. Today they will face the Wolves at home, who is coming from two wild games. The team suffered 250 points in the last two games and coach randy Wittman questioned the defensive effort of the team:
"Until we're committed defensively, we don't have a chance," he said. "I don't care who we're playing. We don't have a chance. We're not committed right now. We're not committed individually; we're not committed as a team. We get intense and we get after it, then we dig ourselves a hole. It's been that way for five games."
"Some of that is embarrassing," he said. "Individual, one-on-one defense as well as then if a guy breaks down, nobody coming over and helping him. You watched it. What you're seeing and what I'm seeing is blatant. Our main guys that play at the start have to be more committed. We have to be more committed defensively."
But we can't forget the team will play their 3rd game in 4 days and the team played a double overtime against the Spurs and yesterday they were involved in a wild run and gun game at Sacramento. The team will naturally be tired and in these cases of back to back games, normally it's the other team which will dictate the pace of the game.
Well, Portland last season was one of the most powerful defensive teams of the league, especially at home, however that isn't happening this game. But we need to refer that they have faced the Lakers, Phoenix, Utah and Houston, who are teams who always score a lot of points. Portland will finally face a team who can easily be stopped by them. I remember that last season, Portland went 11-5 Under in home games after winning at home in the previous game. Also they have gone 10-2 Under after winning a game at home and it went over!
Today they will face a tired team, who was highly criticized by their own coach due to their poor defense and so, they will try their best to improve on their defense. This is the ideal opportunity for the Blazers to show that they are a good defensive team and I expect the Wolves to have a lot of problems on the offense tonight and not even reaching the 90 points mark. Take the under in here.
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710 MIL 5.5 (-110) Bookmaker vs 709 PHO
Analysis: The Suns lost last night at Chicago by 83-100 and today they will play at Milwaukee, which will be their last game on their road trip on the East. Everybody is expecting a bounce back from the team of Arizona, with the public being 92% on Phoenix! Amazing! I say amazing, considering the spot the Suns have on this game and for the fact they are 5,5 points favorites in here.
Well, the team will play their 4th game in 5 days and even though Terry Porter had decided to rest Shaq yesterday, the truth is that Phoenix is still far from their best offensively. It may seem weird for me to say this, considering that before yesterday's game, the Suns were leading the league in %FG and ppg. However, Phoenix is committing a lot of turnovers and terrible decisions on the offense. Looking at this road trip, we saw that they have committed 19 TO against the Nets, 16 TO against the Pacers and yesterday 18 TO against the Bulls. Obviously that when they do 30 or 32 assists on a game, like they did against New Jersey and Indiana, there is no problem, but the team can't do that on a consistent basis and yesterday was a good example of that. The team will need to improve their ball movement tonight and it's in here that the question of their playing their 4th game in 5 days tonight will certainly cause problems.
The Bucks are a team in progress, but they are getting better, as they are 3-0 ATS on their last 3 games and they have players who can adapt well to the style of the Suns. The team lost yesterday at Boston by 89-101, but while the Celtics didn't put a lot of pressure on them, they had the lead. The question is that the Suns won't pressure them like the Celtics did. Michael Redd is day to day, but Ramon Sessions is a player who is on fire right now. The Bucks are a team who is extremely dangerous when they aren't pressured and I predict this game to be an authentic ballgame and where any team may win. So, come to this I have no problems in taking the 5,5 points and bet on the home team. Take Milwaukee in here.
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706 NOH / 705 MIA Over 191.5 Bookmaker
Analysis: The Hornets are currently on a rare losing streak for them, as they have lost their last two games against the Hawks and the Bobcats, when they were favored by 9 and 7 points. The team has just scored 79 and 89 points in those games and now they will have a back to back game against a team who is coming from a big win. The question in here is to know if the Hornets are currently on an offensive crisis or not. After all, scoring 79 and 89 points doesn't correspond to the offensive quality they have. I don't think so and I think it was just a question of focus. I remember the Hornets scored last night just 7 points during the second quarter, but they scored 28, 26 and 28 points on the other quarters of the game. The best example happened with Chris Paul, who went scoreless until halftime, just to score 20 points during the second half! After Paul regained his focus, the Hornets woke up and fought for the win. David West ended the game with 3-12 FG and he will look to bounce back today. The Hornets won't underrate their opponents, especially Miami who is coming from a big win against the Spurs.
Miami won by 99-83, in a good offensive game, where they shot 47% FG. Already in their previous game they had scored 106 points against the Sixers and that shows how they are confident right now. The Heat allowed just 83 points on their last two games against the Sixers and the Spurs, but will they will able to stop the fired up offense of the Hornets? I don't think so. First of all, the Sixers committed 25 turnovers and yesterday without Tony Parker, the Spurs lost their biggest offensive weapon. The defense of the Heat is being overrated in here, as we can't forget they allowed 120 and 100 points on their other two road games this season.
The Hornets will naturally bounce back on this game and they will play much better than on their previous games and it won't be hard for them to reach the 100 points mark. I remember last season when the Hornets were home favorites from 8 to 11,5 points, they finished with a 12-4 Over record, as they couldn't be stopped and today I expect the same to happen. Miami is coming with a lot of confidence, so I expect a good offensive game from them too. Take the over in here.
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3 Unit Play. #56 Take Over 5 ½ in Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia (7:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Lighting have gone over in back-2-back games against teams that traditionally play to the under (New York & New Jersey). Now they are facing an offensive minded Flyer team and expect this score to go way over the posted number. We will not worry if Philadelphia can cover this big number and just collect with the over.
You know what, you could consider this a let down game for Texas Tech. You could certainly make a case for that but in my mind, you'd come up short. Every one wants to talk about the let down game and yes, teams do let down but I don't see that happening with Texas Tech. What people don't understand about let down games is they tend to take place after a big win when a team sees a lesser opponent the following week. They don't practice as hard, they know they are going to win just by showing up and all of a sudden they find themselves in a battle with a team they are much better then.
That's not the case this week. Believe me, Okie State has the attention of the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Tech is on revenge as we have all seen the way they lost last year with the dropped pass in the end zone.
But here's the thing. If this team could dominate Texas like they did in the first half of last week's game, they can certainly do the same, or even worse to Okie State. In my mind, Texas Tech is the more complete team and at home,they are flat out great. Oklahoma State has to go there and play the perfect game and I don't see that happening. They could barely beat this team last year at home and Texas Tech is much better this year then they were last year.
This is a 14 point win minimum I feel. They shut down the Texas offense last week and remember, Texas beat Oklahoma State. There will be no letdown, there will be no upset. What there will be is a huge win for the Red Raiders. 14 points minimum and it could be much worse. Take TT
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