1-1-12

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern Wildcats - Sunday January 1, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: Penn State Nittany Lions +8.5 (-110)

Sport: NFL Football
Game: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Sunday January 1, 2012 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 37.5 (-110)

Sport: NFL Football
Game: Tennesse Titans @ Houston Texans - Sunday January 1, 2012 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Houston Texans +1.5 (-110)

Sport: College Basketball
Game: Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ South Florida Bulls - Sunday January 1, 2012 12:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: South Florida Bulls -4 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

MARQUETTE -10.5 over Villanova: The Golden eagles had a rough showing last time out as they lost by 17 points at home to a hot Vandy squad. Marquette was never in that game and were truly embarrassed on their home floor so I expect a much more spirited and focused effort this time out. Even with that rough showing they have still outscored their opponents by 21.9 ppg at home as they have averaged 81.6 ppg on 48.2% shooting, while allowing 59.7 ppg on 36.5% shooting there. Today they should get back on track vs a Villanova squad that isn't expected to much in the Big East this year. Villanova is 7-6 on the year, but 0-3 in their true road games and they have been outscored by 13.7 nppg in the 3 games, while losing each one by at least 11 points. Villanova has allowed 78.7 ppg on a whopping 47.2 % shooting in their road games this year and will not be able to stop this KEY TRENDS--- VILLANOVA is 3-16 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons, while MARQUETTE is 13-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.


Southern Illinois/ Illinois State Over 124.5: Normally when ya think of the Salukis ya think defense, but that has not been the case this year as they have allowed 66.8 ppg overall, including 82.8 ppg in their last 4 games. They have played great defense at home this year (59.2 ppg), but they haven't really played anyone there yet and they will be taking on an Illinois State team that has been hot of late, putting up 70.8 ppg in their last 4 games. The Redbirds have allowed just 57.2 ppg on the year, while the Salukis have put up 62 ppg on the year and I do expect at least 60 form them here and that would be golden for us as I expect no less than 65 from the Redbirds. Illinois State's last 5 have averaged 127 ppg, while SIU's last 5 have averaged 147 ppg. Look for this game to fall somewhere between the two numbers.

2 UNIT PLAY

Rutgers/ South Florida Over 118: The Bulls offense has not been great this year as they have averaged just 60 ppg overall, but at home (Tampa is a home game for them) they have averaged 69.9 ppg. Rutgers has averaged 70 ppg on 44.7 % shooting this year, while they have averaged 77.5 ppg on 47.7% shooting in their last 4 games. Those last 4 games for Rutgers have averaged 142.5 ppg. The Bulls have played good defense this year (58.9 ppg), and they have allowed 55 ppg at home, but this hot Rutgers offense should be able to crack this defense for more than that. South Florida home games have averaged 124.9 ppg and i do expect no less than 125 here. KEY TREND--- RUTGERS is 10-1 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. Average points scored 144.5 ppg.

1 UNIT PLAY

Minnesota +7 Over MICHIGAN: This gophers team is really playing well this year as they stand at 12-2 and they haven't lost a beat with the loss of Mbakwe. The Gophers are coming off a loss at Illinois, but they did take them to OT in that game. Michigan is off to a fine start this year as well and they are 1-0 in the Big 10, but playing Minnesota is a whole lot different than playing Minnesota. I look for the Gophers to keep it close here.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 1/1
842 S. Florida -4 @ 12p

843 Villanova +10.5 @ 1p

847 Akron +8.5 @ 4p

850 Michigan -6.5 @ 4p

851 Syracuse -14 @ 5p

854 Duke -22.5 @ 5p

857 Penn St. +8 @ 7p

302 Eagles -8 @ 1p
306 Rams +11 @ 1p
307 Bears +1.5 @ 1p
309 Lions -4.5 @ 1p

314 Saints -8 @ 1p

316 Texans +1.5 @ 1p

321 Colts +3.5 @ 1p

323 Jets +3 @ 1p

325 Bills +10.5 @ 1p

304 Falcons -10.5 @ 4:15p

317 Ravens -3 @ 4:15p

319 Steelers -7 @ 4:15p

327 Chargers +3 @ 4:15p

330 Broncos -3.5 @ 4:15p

332 Cards -3 @ 4:15p

312 Giants -3 @ 8:20p

[Mr. IWS]

James Jones Premium
Tampa +10.5
San Diego +3
Minn -2

[Mr. IWS]

**SuperSportsGroup NCAAB** - 1.1


Villanova v. Marquette 1pm
PICK: Nova +10.5 Game
Illinois St v. So Illinois 3pm
PICK: So Illinois +4 Game hidden Gem
PICK: So Illinois +2.5 1H
Minnesota v. Michigan 4pm
PICK: Minny +7 Game

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo NBA

801 Celtics -7 @ 6:05p

803 Nets +3 @ 6:05p

808 Heat -14 @ 6:05p

811 Grizzlies +8 @ 8:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Charliesports
500
Jets
Balt under
Dallas under

[Mr. IWS]

The Duke's Sports

3' Units Cincinnati +3

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
Christy Meadow

San Diego Chargers+2.5
KC/Denver Over 37.5
Rutgers/South Florida Under 117.5

[Mr. IWS]

ind cowboy college basketball 4 canisius 4 nba DEN

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4* College Basketball: Canisius +16.5 over Fairfield
4* NBA: Denver -4.5 over Lakers
4* NHL: Under 5 Calgary vs. Nashville

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 200 lock sf 75 balt 50 n.e. 10 gt's

[Mr. IWS]

sixth sense

SAN DIEGO/OAKLAND OVER 47

[Mr. IWS]

Matchup: N.Y. Jets at Miami
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)


Play: Over (39.0 -105)
Line Source: PINNACLE
Posted on: December 31, 2011 @ 3:32:45 PM EST

The Dolphins and Matt Moore need to show the Jets that they are a lot different team than they were on Monday Night in week five, when the Jets kept the them winless with a 24-6 thrashing on Monday Night football. The Dolphins’ offense, which has struggled mightily, is finally getting in sync behind Matt Moore. Over the first seven games of the season, Miami was 0-7 and averaged 15.3 ppg. Over their last eight games, Miami is 5-3 straight up and has averaged 25.4 ppg. The Jets can’t win low scoring games like they used to be able to. In the five games this season that the Jets scored fewer than 24 points, they are 0-5. In the seven games that they scored more than 24 points, they are 7-0. This is a must win for the Jets, so we expect them to try to score more than 24 points, rather than play a battle of field position. The Dolphins, certainly, will be aggressive. The Jets are 10-0 OU (+9.7 ppg) as a dog the week after a straight up loss in which they attempted at least ten more passes than their season-to-date average, 9-0 OU (+8.6 ppg) as a dog the week after a straight up loss in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average and 7-0 OU (+9.6 ppg) vs a divisional opponent when they faced non-divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks. More to the point, the Jets are 7-0 OU (+12.1 ppg) as a dog after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The SDQL text is:
team=Jets and D and p:points+10<=tA(p:points) and 20071021<=date
Finally, the Jets are 11-0 OU (+7.2 ppg) after stopping their opponent on at least 10 third down attempts.
As for the Dolphins, they are 9-0 OU (+11.7 ppg) at home when they lost 1-3 points last week. The SDQL is straightforward:
team=Dolphins and H and -3<=tp:margin<0 and NB and 20041220<=date
Finally, for Miami, they are 8-0 OU (+8.9 ppg) as a home favorite after a straight up loss. Let’s go over this low number.
MTi’s FORECAST: MIAMI 30 NY Jets 27

[Mr. IWS]

Matchup: Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)


Play: Indianapolis (+4 -110)
Line Source: STRATOSPHERE
Posted on: December 31, 2011 @ 3:32:45 PM EST

The Colts normally don’t do well in week 17, but they are usually not 2-13 either. The Jaguars do not have a high-powered offense and the Colts have won two straight and covered four straight. We expect the Colts to be able to stay within this number. Indianapolis came from behind to upset the Texans last week 19-16. This victory was celebrated enthusiastically and we expect the Colts to be riding high and want to end the season on a three-game winning streak after starting 0-13. Indianapolis is 10-0 ATS after a win over a divisional opponent in which they trailed at the half, covering by an average of 14.4 points per game. See for yourself with this SDQL text:
team=Colts and p:W and p:DIV and p:M2<0 and 20001015<=date
In addition, the Colts are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.4 ppg) as a road dog after a straight up win, winning six of the eight straight up.
The Jaguars, on the other hand, are 0-10 ATS when they are off any loss to a divisional opponent, as long as they were not a double-digit dog in that loss. The SDQL text is:
p:L and p:DIV and p:line<10 and team=Jaguars and 20080914<=date
Note that Jacksonville has failed to cover by an average of 12.8 ppg in this situation and that they have only won one of the ten straight up.
Anchoring this play is a very nice week 17 ONLY system. It states: “The league is 17-50 ATS in week 17 when they are a favorite by 5 points or fewer over a team that has 1-5 fewer wins in the season.” The Jaguars qualify for this 74+% play-against system. The SDQL text is:

week=17 and 0Note that this trend goes back to the start of the database in 1989, so it could be even better than this. Note further that there are THREE other qualifying games this week. According to past history these four should go 3-1 ATS. Grab the points with the Colts and consider playing on the other three qualifying teams as well.
MTi’s FORECAST: Indianapolis 17 JACKSONVILLE 16