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(CFB) Nebraska
(CFB) Oregon
(CFB) Stanford
(CFB) Nebraska
(CFB) Oregon
(CFB) Stanford
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Doc's Sports
#255 Take Wisconsin Badgers +5.5 over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 5 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year. Magnificent 7 Game
Wisconsin by 4
#250 Take Under 50.5 in Michigan State Spartans vs. Georgia Bulldogs (Outback Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 1 pm ABC)
#256 Take Under 71.5 in Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 5 pm ESPN)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Penn State +8 over HOUSTON
It’s difficult to even talk Penn State football these days with that huge “elephant in the room” hanging over the school. Regardless of the outcome, a football game cannot restore dignity in this historic program in one football game. Having said that, the Nittany Lions might not be in such bad shape here, as couldn’t have handpicked a more vulnerable Bowl team to run against. Penn State is bigger up front, they played a much tougher schedule than the Cougars and they played the last month of the season under extreme adverse conditions. They really could come out focused here and pull off the upset. Penn State has serious talent issues at the QB position but as mentioned, they’ll run left, run right and run up the middle all day long. Houston went 12-1 and put up some eye-opening offensive numbers. Case Keenam is an outstanding QB and comparing him to either one of PSU’s QB’s, Matt McGloin or Rob Bolden, is like comparing Drew Brees to Tim Tebow. However, Houston racked up points and yards against some pretty lame competition all season long and it’s truly difficult to get a read on what this team is capable of against good competition. The Lions are going to have to win this game with its defense and sustaining long drives on the ground and it’s quite possible that’ll happen. You’re always paying a price to wager on high scoring teams that seemingly can’t be stopped and that’s certainly the case here. Play: Penn State +8 (No bets).
Ohio State +118 over FLORIDA
An ugly year for the Gators is something that can’t be overlooked coming into this game. This is a Florida team that lost six of its last eight games with only wins down the stretch coming against Vandy and Furman. The Gators didn’t have an impressive win on their docket all season long while compiling several bad losses. Florida has a weak offense that did absolutely nothing against quality programs. They’re about to go through some serious changes in the off-season. It’s never been a good idea to play on teams that limp into this type of game in such a poor state of mind and that’s precisely the situation here. Ohio State also had a 6-6 record but there were few expectations and after the scandal and dust settled, this unit is feeling so much better about next year. That renewed attitude should carry over into this one for the Buckeyes even after losing their last three games. Those losses were to Purdue, Penn State and Michigan and all three were close. Prior to that, OSU won three in a row over Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana and one could argue that they had a very satisfying final six games and the momentum is unlikely to stop here. Play: Ohio State +118 (Risking 2 units).
Michigan State +3 +104 over Georgia
The Spartans lost the Big-10 Championship play on a roughing the kicker call that gave the Badgers a first down, allowing Wisconsin to run out the clock. The mental anguish of that loss is the only concern here for State but all indications are that the Spartans are focused and this is too good a team to be spotting points to. Michigan State has a significant edge in many key departments and that includes both lines up front, the ground game and special teams. Georgia has some weapons of their own and they did win a lot of games this year. However, when the going got tough, it rarely got going as losses to Boise State, South Carolina and LSU will attest to. The Bulldogs lost all three of those games by two TD’s or more. The Spartans are simply the more balanced team and we’re not convinced that the Bulldogs should be favored here. Play: Michigan State +3 +104 (Risking 2 units).
South Carolina –3 +100 over Nebraska
This is a really a cheap lay on the superior Gamecocks. South Carolina lost twice this season. One of those losses came early in the year against Auburn and the other came against powerhouse Arkansas. They closed out the year with three straight wins and they whacked Clemson 34-13 in the season finale. That was a statement win in a big game. South Carolina’s offense came on in the final six weeks. Its defense had one outstanding game after another all season and they should easily impose their will against a weak Nebraska offensive front. Nebraska lost just three games all season but that’s misleading, as they beat a lot of weak Big-10 schools among other weak teams to start the year. Its signature win on the season came against Michigan State in a big letdown spot after the Spartans won over Michigan and Wisconsin. In the final month of the season the Huskers beat Iowa and Penn State while losing to Northwestern and Michigan. This is a step up from the teams they lost to already and thus, nothing suggests they can compete with the Gamecocks. Play: South Carolina –3 +100 (Risking 2 units).
Wisconsin +6 over OREGON
It's tough for a top-10 team to be underrated but Wisconsin would be favored against at least four teams that are ranked above them. The Badgers are much like Oregon in that they’re a true offensive juggernaut with just enough defense to take home the conference championship. Apart from the thrilling twin bill with Sparty, the Badgers' only struggles were one poor half at Illinois and a "let-the-last-game-beat-you-twice" letdown against Ohio State the week after the Hail Mary in East Lansing. Otherwise, Wisconsin has utterly dominated its opposition, becoming the first team since 1950 to win each of its first six games by 30 points. The résumé includes complete domination over the standout defenses of Nebraska and Penn State. The Badgers are a complete team that belongs in this game. The Ducks score often and they score quickly. They run the two-minute drill all game long and they can really tire out a defense. However, in terms of talent, both offensively and defensively, the Badgers match up well and they’re in no way intimidated by this setting. As it turns out, Oregon allowed an alarming number of points to almost every team they played and that includes UCLA, Arizona, LSU and Washington State. The Badgers could go off for 40 or more and that means the Ducks are going to have to put up close to 50 to cover this number. Play: Wisconsin +6 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Oklahoma State –4 over Stanford
The Pac-12 is not up to its usual standards this season, as evidenced by the dismissal of a third of the league's coaches, as many firings as the SEC, Big 12, ACC and Big East suffered combined. Stanford benefited from the softest schedule in the league, along with the health and momentum built by not facing even a single winning team in the first half of the season. Even in blowout victories, several players admitted that the team's performance was not up to previous standards. Stanford dominated poor competition during the first half of the season but production faltered as the schedule stiffened down the stretch. This team is fatally weak in many areas but all of it was masked due to that poor competition. When they played Oregon, they were crushed and a similar fate is awaiting them here. The Cowboys' defense has been maligned all year thanks to poor national rankings in terms of yardage allowed. The reality is that the bulk of that yardage was surrendered in garbage time. The Cowboys feel slighted by the BCS but we can’t imagine them faltering here. Instead, we expect them to respond with a huge effort the disrespect they were shown by the committee. Stanford is good but they’re simply not in OSU’s class. Play: Oklahoma State –4 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).Comment
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