1-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

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Note:

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[Mr. IWS]

Doc sports

4* Cincy Bengals +3

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

HOUSTON -3½ over Cincinnati

Had Pete Rose bet on this Cincinnati team to make the playoffs this year, he would have made a bundle. The Bengals were supposed to have a down year but somehow found their way to the post-season. Rookie QB Andy Dalton was a big help. While his numbers were moderate, perhaps good for a rookie, he offered some stability where it is needed most. His poise and leadership disseminated to other young teammates and it has changed the landscape in Cincy. However, there is still a ways to go. Cincinnati’s only win against an above .500 team, was against the dicey Titans. When losing twice to both the Steelers and Ravens, the Bengals failed when it counted most. Granted, the current version of the Texans isn’t at the level of some of the winning teams that the Bengals lost to. Injuries to key personnel have this team on a three-game slide heading into the playoffs. While that’s never a good thing, Houston can take some comfort in that its last win occurred against these Bengals, a month ago in Cincinnati. That was Tyler Yates’ second start as a pro. He will now be at home with Andre Johnson back in the line-up and a top-notch running game behind him. We saw Baltimore’s Ray Rice slice through these Bengals on two occasions this year. Arian Foster can do the same and with Houston’s staunch defense behind him, Yates and Co. should be able to get Houston its first-ever playoff win. Play: Houston -3½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


NEW ORLEANS -10½ over Detroit

New Orleans was a 10½-pt. choice at this time last year before being shockingly bounced by the inferior Seahawks. If we’re Lions’ fans, that can’t be good. New Orleans does not need any extra motivation. The Saints are in some sort of crazed zone right now. They haven’t lost since October. They have not lost at home this season, outscoring their visitors by a whopping 329-143 count. Detroit was one of the teams that stopped by this season and were neatly disposed of in a 31-17 loss. Of course, this dynamic offense is orchestrated by the record-setting arm of Drew Brees. Brees is a precision passer, complimented by an array of superb offensive stars. The emergence of TE Jimmy Graham and the addition of RB Darren Sproles, has made this unit more potent than ever. The Lions are not equipped to slow it down. Detroit allowed the 22nd most points in the league. Just last week, in a game they needed to win in order to avoid flying here, the Leos allowed Packers’ backup QB Matt Flynn to carve them up for 480 yards, six TD’s and 45 points in his second lifetime start. While Detroit has some offensive weaponry of its own, the Saints defense is an unheralded group that has enough talent and experience to hold the Lions at bay. Detroit is thrilled to participate in its first playoff since 1999. It is definitely something to build on but this stop is where the ride comes to abrupt stop for now. Play: New Orleans -10½ (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

JASON SHARPE
Saturday January 7th 2012

5 Unit Play Take #102 Houston -3 over Cincinnati (4:30pm est)

[Mr. IWS]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 SMU vs. Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7)

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

3 Unit Play. #265 Take Over 47 SMU vs. Pittsburgh (1:00p.m., Saturday, Jan. 6 ESPN Compass Bowl)

4 Unit Play. #102 Take Houston -3 over Cincinnati (1:00p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7 NBC)

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. Take #102 Houston (-3) over Cincinnati (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 38.5 Cincinnati at Houston (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7)

1-Unit Play. FIRST QUARTER: Take 'Under' 7.5 Cincinnati at Houston (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 59.0 Detroit at New Orleans (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 7)

[Mr. IWS]

BUDIN 100 DIMER - Teaser

New Orleans -4 1/2 and Over 53.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

NCAA fb
Pitsburgh -3

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

3% Houston -3.5 Must be less than -4

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE PHONES NFL:

4* New Orleans (Sat)

3* Houston (Sat)

2* Atlanta (Sun), under in Pitt/Denv (Sun), under Cincy/Houst (Sat)

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON WILDCARD WEEKEND

TEXANS -3 (-120) vs bengals
SAINTS -10 (-120) vs lions
SAINTS / LIONS OVER 59.5
GIANTS -3 vs falcons
BRONCOS +10 (-130) vs steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Saturday’s Comp Play

NFL
Detroit +10.5

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Cincinnati at Houston (Saturday 1/07 4:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 38.5 -110

The Houston Texans will be playing their first playoff game in franchise history as they host the Wildcard round vs. the Cincinnati Bengals. This will be a rematch of a game that took place less than a month ago when Houston scored on the last play of the game for a 1-point, 20-19 win. That total in that game was set at 37.5, so the oddsmakers have bumped it a point, moving to Houston for this one. The Houston offense has struggled since the loss of Matt Schaub at QB. Although TJ Yates has managed the games fairly well, there is no question that the Houston offense has been reduced. The 10 games started by Schaub saw the Texans score 27.3 points per game. With Yates under center that has dropped to 17.0 ppg. The Bengals have some concerns of their own as Andy Dalton spent Wednesday in the hospital with an illness. He should be ready to go on Saturday, but there are other concerns. Dalton threw for 200+ yards in six of his first eleven games, but just once in his last five. And his yards per attempt over the last two games has been down to 5.3 and 5.0 - a pair of the lowest of the season. Defenses now have a lot of tape on Dalton and he isn't suprising defenses as much as he did to start the season. Since the loss of Shaub, Houston's real strength now is their defense. This team is ranked #4 in points allowed and #2 in yards allowed. They gave up 12 or less points in half of their home games. I look for the defense to play with a lot of passion here as they know it is one and done and the offense needs them to come through. With the Bengals defense giving up 221 yards on the ground last week, expect a lot of Arian Foster and Ben Tate here with the clock ticking. The Texans are 8-2 to the UNDER in their last 10 at home and 9-1 UNDER this season as a favorite. Under Marvin Lewis, the Bengals are 31-18 UNDER vs. teams that complete 61%+ of their passes. My computer matchup for this game (not official picks) likes the Trxans to cover. My official play is on the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Marquette +11.5 over SYRACUSE: I have had the pulse of this Marquette team for much of the year (6-1 in their games) and I feel this is definitely a spot to back them again. The Golden Eagles are off a crushing come-from-ahead loss to the Hoyas the other night, but this team did show they can play with big boys as they had a big DD lead at times in that game. Marquette also has a nice win in Wisconsin and a 2 point neutral court win over Washington on their resume, plus they did win one of those early season tourneys, so this team does play well away from home. Today they will be taking on an undefeated Syracuse team that really has a bullseye on their backs and they truly do get everyone's best shot. The Orange has started off 3-0 in the Big East, but 2 of three wins were vs Providence and Depaul and now they really take a step up in competition. The Orange has crushed their opponents at home by an average of 25 ppg, but they have gone just 3-3 ATS in their last 6 their, with a couple of single digit wins vs Marshall and Florida thrown in there. This is the toughest team that Syracuse will have faced this year and according to KenPom they have played the 118th toughest schedule so far, while Marquette has dealt with the 70th. Last time out Marquette allowed GTown to shoot 76% in the second half and it cost them the game. This is a team that is one of the better defensive teams in the nation, so you can expect them to tighten the screws at that end of the floor. I expect their defense to keep them close in this one. Cuse win this one, but just by single digits.

2 UNIT PLAY

Tennessee/ Florida Over 146: FLORIDA is 15-3 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons and 19-4 OVER after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

1 UNIT PLAY

Georgetown/ West Virginia Over 131.5: W VIRGINIA is 12-4 OVER after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons