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Dom Chambers
30 Dime NY Knicks +4.5
30 Dime NY Knicks +4.5
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Accuscore -- Bart Lopez -- NHL
Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators: Predators Win
Colorado and Nashville played for the first time this season on Tuesday. The Predators beat the Avalanche 4-1 in Colorado behind Pekka Rinne’s .97 save percentage. Nashville has been on a tear recently, winning five of its last six games. Colorado, on the other hand, has dropped two straight and is about to start a four game road stand. The Predators handled the Avalanche in Colorado, so I like their chances at home. AccuScore gives the Predators a 67.2 percent chance of victory.
Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning: Lightning Wins
The money line indicates that Tampa Bay is the favorite at -157, which is rough a winning percentage of just fewer than 60 percent. AccuScore’s forecast has the Lightning winning 65 percent of the time, which makes them a solid pick. These two teams have played each other three times this season with Tampa Bay winning two of the three, including the most recent matchup at home 5-2. The Lightning money line pick is a two star pick and AccuScore hot trend.Comment
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Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAY
St Mary's/ Gonzaga Over 142: Well after being with Brandon on today's radio show and hearing his pick on this game I went and did a little more homework work on it and found that I really like this play. I hope I don't jinx ya Brandon by making it my 5 unit play. LOL Both of these teams do pay good defense as Gonzaga has allowed 61.9 ppg, while the Gaels have allowed 60.8 ppg on the year, but tonight the offenses will take over. Gonzaga comes in averaging 75.2 ppg overall and 73.5 ppg on the road. They also shoot he ball very well, ranking 80th in shooting (46.2%), plus they have hit 39.1% from long range (32nd). St Mary's is another scoring machine as they have averaged 76.9 ppg (35th) on 48.2% shooting (27th), plus they have done very well from beyond the arc, hitting 36.8% of from long range (80th). The Gaels have really excelled at home, where they have scored 79.8 ppg on 48% shooting, while in their last 5 overall they have averaged 82.8 ppg on 50.7 % shooting overall and another 43.9% from long range. The Zags come in averaging 77.4 ppg on 48% shooting, including another 41.9% from long range in their last 5 games. This game really does have shooutout written all over it and also it should be a close game, which puts OT possibly in play, plus all those extra FT's at the end of the game as well. I expect this one to hit 150+.
4 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
George Mason/ Drexel Over 118: Neither of these teams like to run all that much, but I believe there are still points to be had in this one. George Mason comes in 194th in shots taken (54.3) and that have put up a solid 70.4 ppg on 47% shooting, and that drop off isn't all that much when they take to the road, where they have averaged 68.5 ppg on 46.1% shooting. The Patriots have stepped it up even more of last as they have averaged 71.8 ppg on 47.5% shooting in their last 5 games. Drexel has played good defense this year as they have allowed 55.6 ppg on 39.6% shooting overall, but they have struggled at times, allowing 69 pts to Fairfield, 60 to a weak Princeton offense, 71 to Delaware and 68 to Bradley. George mason ranks 123rd in scoring and of the 4 teams listed above the best offense they faced was Delaware's (173rd), while the other 3 are all ranked above 200 in defensive scoring. Very inconsistent defense and i see the patriots being able to crack it tonight. Drexel is one of the slower paced teams in the nation (305th in spg), but at home they have scored pretty well (68.6 ppg), including averaing 67.4 ppg in their last 5 at home. Tonight they have a good chance to match their last 5 at home as George mason has allowed 65.3 ppg on the road this year. Despite how well Drexel has played defense this year I don't see George Mason being held under 60 points in this one, while the Dragons should be good for 60= points of their pown vs a very average defensive team. Pace will obviously be key in this game and while Drexel will look to slow it down, I see the Patriots speeding it up enough for this game to go OVER the total. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Over in all games where the total is 119.5 or less and a team (Drexel) is off 2 or more consecutive home wins and they are a good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. This play is 38-15 the last 5 seasons.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Tennessee-Martin +11 over EASTERN ILLINOIS: UT- Martin comes in with a horrible 3-15 mark, bet they have played better in their last 2 games, losing by a combined 6 points in the two games and they have shot better in the two games, having hit 455 of their shots, compared to shooting under 40% for the year before those 2 games. Eastern Illinois comes in at 8-6 on the year and 5-1 at home but they have been inconsistent as their 3 division 1 home wins have been by 5 or less, while their lone home loss was by 33 points to Murray State, which is a team ETU lost by just 24 points on the road to. Now as i said the panthers have been inconsistent this year and one needs to look no further than their no- lined games to see a good picture of how inconsistent this team is. The Panthers have played 7 no-lined games and while they did beat Eureka by 31 in their first no-lined game, they have gone to OT in two others (1-1), won by just 3 at home in another and had 2 outright losses. This is a team that seems to have played down to their competition when it has been weak. E. Illinois has the offensive edge, but both teams have played very bad defense and I believe the EIU defense will allow this team to hang around. I look for a close one from start to finish.
Minnesota +11 Over INDIANA: Great scheduling spot for the Gophers. Indiana has played Mich State, OSU (Big Upset), Michigan and PSU in their last 4 games, with the last 3 all going down to wire. Now they must take on a Minnesota team that has lost 4 in a row, with a big game vs OSU on deck. This is still a young Indiana team nd i reallly see it hard for them to get up for this one. Despite losing their last 4 games, Minnesota has not played all that badly as they have been outscored by just 7.3 ppg, with 1 of the games going to OT and 2 others going down to the wire. Idiana has really played well overall this year and they will make some noise in March, but I just feel that covering a big number in a letdown spot vs a quality opponent is too much for this young team to handle here. Indiana by no more than 7 here.
Duke/ Virginia Over 128: Google News Play. Duke averages 89.6 ppg at home and they can score in a variety of ways. Inside the paint with Plumlee, plus the slashing ability of Rivers and his medium rang jumpshot as well and this team is deadly from long range as they have hit 41.9 % of their long range shots, which is 8th in the country. That just too many weapons for even a very good defense like the Cavs to hold down and I feel that at the very least Duke should be good for 70 points in this one. The Duke defense has not been that strong this year as they come in ranked 236 in points allowed (69.4 ppg), 244th defensive FG% (44.3) and 196th in 3pt defense (34.3%). Very un-Duke like numbers and It should allow an average Virginia squad to score on them here. Virginia does put up just 65.7 ppg (228th), but they shoot the ball very well, hitting 46.5% of their shots (67th), while on the road they are scoring 69 ppg on 48.3% shooting. Viginia on defense does allow 50.45 ppg on 38% shooting overall, but on the road they have allowed 61 ppg on 44.2% shooting, so I see no reason why a Duke team that averages 89+ at home can't get at least 70 in this one, while Virginia can't grat at the very least 59 points vs a below average Duke defense. Really I'm looking at 135+ in this one.
2 UNIT PLAYS
James Madison +14 over VCU: JAMES MADISON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons, while VCU is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons.
Tennessee +7 over MISSISSIPPI STATE: The Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAYS
Western Kentucky +7 over NORTH TEXAS: Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, with a losing record and off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 71-35 ATS the last 5 seasons.
Utah +22.5 over STANFORD: Play against a favorite after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games vs an opponent that has gone under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. This play is 24-4 since 1997.Comment
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Hoopsgooroo
cbb
542 VCU -14 @ 6p
544 Boston College +8
545 Wisconsin +3 @ 7p
616 Iona -13.5 @ 7p
558 Wisc-Milwaukee -8 @ 8p
560 Wisc-Green Bay -1 @ 8p
563 Minnesota +9.5 @ 8p
609 NC Greensboro +15 @ 8p
567 Oregon State +5.5 @ 8:30p
570 Miss St. -7.5 @ 9p
574 Duke -11 @ 9p
582 Stanford -23 @ 10p
595 Oregon Pick @ 10:30p
598 St. mary's -4 @ 11p
600 California -12 @ 11p
nba
504 Bucks -8 @ 8:05p
506 Knicks +4.5 @ 8:05p
508 Suns -7 @ 9:05p
509 Magic -3 @ 10:35pComment
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Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 30 Dime play is on the New York Knicks as a road underdog to cover against the Memphis Grizzlies. Checkang the sports books in Las Vengas at 7 a.m. and the Knicks are getting 4 ½ points. Always shop around to get the best numb%3%r.Comment
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Jeff Benton
Thursday's Action
40 Dime winner going out on the Duke Blue Devils as the home favarite tonight againnst the visiting Virginia Cavaliers. At the time I release this winner, the Blue Devils are listid as the 9 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.Comment
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