1-16-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports

4 Unit play on Bulls/Grizzlies over 177.5 (game goes at 1:05 EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports
5 unit Boston/Flor under 5.5
4 unit Rutgers -2.5
4 unit Clev/Char under 194
4 unit Atl -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAY
3 UNIT PLAY

Memphis/ Chicago Over 177.5: The Bulls defense has been awesome of late as they have allowed just 69 ppg in their last 3 games, but Washington, Toronto and Boston have not been great offensive teams this year. Today they will be taking on a Memphis team that has scored very well at home this year, averaging 103 ppg on a solid 47.8% shooting. Memphis has also allowed points at home as teams have scored 94.8 ppg vs them here, while the Bulls come in averaging 98.9 ppg on 47.1 % shooting on the road. Now despite the good defense that Chicago has played of late this team has allowed 93.2 ppg an the road, compared to the 66.8 ppg they have allowed at home this year.Chicago has also allowed teams to shoot 45.5% overall, including 39.4% from long range on the road this year. This is not a Chicago home game, where their games have yet to hit 170 points in a game, but rather a road game where their games have averaged 192.1 ppg, while Memphis home games have put up 197.8 ppg. Both teams should be able to score in this one as this game hits 180+ with ease.

POWER ANGLE PLAY
PHILADELPHIA -8.5 over Milwaukee: 25.2 ppg. Are You serious? Well the Sixers are and that's how much they have won their home games by this year. Philly has averaged 104.2 ppg on 50.2 % shooting at the Wells Fargo Center, while allowing just 79 ppg there, which is 2nd in the league behind the Bulls. Philly has allowed just 37.6% shooting overall and 18.3% from long range at home as well. None of that bodes well for Milwaukee, which has dropped six of its last seven in Philadelphia including both visits last season as the teams split their four-game overall series. Making matters worse for the Bucks, who are undefeated at home, is the fact they're an NBA-worst 0-7 on the road and have been outscored by 9.9 ppg away from home. Going up against a team that plays great defense like Philly is not good for a Milwaukee team that has averaged just 87 ppg on 39.9% shooting on the road this year. Philly also gets the rebounding edge and they are tops in the league in turnovers per game (12.5). This is just too much for the Bucks to overcome here as the Sixers win another home game by 15+ points. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on home favorites after they beat the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against an opponent that has gone over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games. This play is 38-14 over the last 5 seasons.


5 POINT TEASER--- Portland/ New Orleans Over 176.5 & Cleveland/ Charlotte Under 198.5

OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAY

Washington/ Houston Under 189.5: WASHINGTON is 16-5 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

1 UNIT PLAY

Chicago -3.5 over MEMPHIS: CHICAGO is 27-13 ATS in January games over the last 3 seasons and 30-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Monday Hockey Plays

Play Detroit -220 over Buffalo TOP PLAY
Play Boston -180 over Florida

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Monday January 16, 2012 (10:30pm ET)
Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The second leg of TNTs Martin Luther King Jr. Days NBA doubleheader closes out with the first meeting of the year between the Dallas Mavericks (8-5, 9-4 ATS) and the Los Angeles Lakers (9-5, 7-7 ATS); tip-off from the Staples Center is set for a 10:30 ET start.

The 2011-12 season didnt start off too well for the defending champs who dropped each of their first three before splitting their next two against the Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves. Many thought the Mavs had gotten rid off too many important pieces to the puzzles, and while that may be true, Dallas found its sea legs almost two weeks into the season and enters tonights spot winners of five in a row both SU & ATS. They invade Staples in excellent form having buried both Sacramento and Milwaukee by an average of 32.5 points per game. Dirk Nowitzki (17.7 PPG) and Jason Terry (14.9 PPG) are still the two main scoring threats, but the Mavs recent success has not been because of the offense, but because of the defense which has allowed an average of just 89.7 PPG (34) on 42.8 percent shooting from the field (#7). Dallas has dropped three of its five games outright as visitors, but covered three of those contests against the closing number.

Though not as bad, the Lakers too got off to a slow start to their current campaign splitting their first six games of the season both SU and ATS which included an ugly 100-91 loss in their first road game at Sacramento. However since, Head Coach Mike Browns outfit has turned course winning six of their last eight games, and just had their five-game winning streak snapped by the in-city rival Clippers on Saturday night. Because of it, Kobe Bryant and his mates trail Blake Griffin and his for top honors by just half a game in the Pacific Division standings. The big three of The Black Mamba, Pau Gasol, and Andrew Bynum are the only double-digit scorers on this team checking in with 32.0, 16.4, and 16.4 PPG, while the latter two have combined for nearly 24 rebounds per game to allow the Lakers to outboard its opposition by 5.79 rebounds per game (#2). That season opening loss at home to the Bulls has been the only time LA has been defeated as a host; its won each of its next eight since and covered the closing number six times.

You can bet the Lakers will be pumped for this match-up since its the first time they will have squared off against the Mavericks after they swept them in the Western Conference Semis last season. Dallas stands 6-4 SU & ATS in these rivals L/10 overall meetings and its also won three of its L/5 trips to Staples both SU & ATS. The over has cashed in seven of the L/10 overall meetings, as well as in three of the L/5 times these squads went at it in Tinseltown.
PICK: Mavs/Lakers OVER

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR Houston over WASHINGTON - Houston is finally starting to put things together. While their record is poor, look at the teams they have lost to. Everyone is surefire playoff team as well as a couple of the teams they've beat. They should be able to handle a team like Washington without problem.

Houston won home games Friday and Saturday over Sacramento and Portland. The Rockets are 8-0 ATS (8.8 ppg) since November 26, 2007 on the road on Monday after playing on Friday and Saturday.
That Saturday game went to overtime where Houston prevailed 107-105. The Rockets are 8-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since March 29, 2006 as a favorite off an overtime game as a dog.
Houston was able to overcome Portland's length, as the Blazers held a 11-4 advantage in blocks. The Rockets are 7-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since December 22, 2007 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.
Washington has now lost three straight again after their first win on Tuesday. The last two came against Philadelphia and they shot miserably in both. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since February 25, 2009 when they shot less than 25% from the three-point-line in each of their last two games.
They also did not get much help at the charity stripe in that one. The Wizards are 0-10 ATS (-11.3 ppg) since January 26, 2010 as a dog with at least one day of rest after a game at home in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
The game on Saturday was a 103-90 home loss. They committed 18 turnovers with Philly having 12 steals. The Wizards are 0-8 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since April 15, 2009 with at least one day of rest after a game in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.
John Wall was the biggest culprit with eight turnovers. The Wizards are 0-11 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since January 05, 2011 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which John Wall had at least 5 turnovers.
Javale McGee had yet another strong statistical game, going 11-of-13 for 23 points. The Wizards are 0-11 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since December 16, 2010 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Javale Mcgee shot better than 66% from the field.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Houston 103, Washington 87
4-STAR Cleveland and CHARLOTTE Over -Cleveland is a team which is looking to push the ball at every opportunity. It didn't always lead to high scoring early in the season as they got used to it but its starting to now. Look for this one to get into the triple digits.
Charlotte played Saturday night and got a 112-100 win over Golden State. They shot 50% from the field in the win. The Bobcats are 10-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since February 11, 2009 with at least one day of rest after a double digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.
The normal key contributing Boris Diaw had just nine points for the Bobcats in that one. The Bobcats are 6-0 OU (8.8 ppg) since January 12, 2011 at home after a win in which Boris Diaw scored fewer than 10 points.
Prior to that, they had lost six straight games. The Bobcats are 6-0 OU (9.0 ppg) since February 22, 2005 at home off a home win that broke at least a five-game losing streak.
Cleveland is coming off a hard fought 97-92 loss at the Lakers Friday night. They didn't get much from their two starting veterans as Anthony Parker went 2-of-7 for four points and Antawn Jamison was 4-of-16 for nine points. The Cavaliers are 5-0 OU (14.7 ppg) since March 04, 2011 on the road after a loss in which Anthony Parker shot worse than 33% from the field. Also, the Cavaliers are 5-0 OU (15.3 ppg) since December 02, 2010 after a loss in which Antawn Jamison scored fewer than 10 points.
These teams have already met once this season, and that was a high scoring affair with Cleveland winning 115-101. Cleveland was led by Kyrie Irving with 20 points as Anderson Varejao added nine. The Cavaliers are 6-0 OU (10.1 ppg) since December 07, 2010 after winning the previous matchup in which Anderson Varejao was not the Cavaliers' high scorer.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Cleveland 106, CHARLOTTE 101
4-STAR Dallas over LA LAKERS - The big story line of this game will be Lamar Odom and an inspired performance from the former Laker certainly could help. But either way Dallas has found its stride with Delonte West in the starting lineup and as we know are a bad matchup for LA.
Dallas has now won and covered five straight games. Their last two are 25+ point wins. The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since March 31, 2010 when they covered by double digits two games straight.
Sacramento shot just 26% in their 99-60 loss to Dallas Saturday. They weren't just 2-of-21 on threes. The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since February 19, 2010 after a game at home in which their opponent shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than 25% of them.
No Maverick had to play more than 29 minutes in that game. Jason Terry played 23 and led Dallas with 21 points. The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (9.5 ppg) since March 27, 2011 after a win in which Jason Terry played fewer than 30 minutes. Also, the Mavericks are 7-0-1 ATS (8.1 ppg) since February 10, 2011 after a win in which Jason Terry was the Mavericks' high scorer.
LA had a five game winning streak going as well before losing Saturday night to the Clippers, 102-94. The Lakers are 0-6 ATS (-14.3 ppg) since November 15, 2009 at home with at least one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a four-game winning streak.
The Lakers had just nine turnovers in that loss. The Lakers are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since February 05, 2010 at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average.
They had 24 assists in that game and that's part of a great increase in assists for the Lakers this season. The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since February 26, 2010 on the road with at least one day of rest when at least 63% of their opponents baskets at home have been assisted season-to-date. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Dallas 97, LA LAKERS 92

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL + 608.00 on Saturday / Passed Sunday

OTTAWA -½ -106 over Winnipeg (REG) Pinnacle
The Jets have played some very good hockey in their own building and even went on a serious run at one point. However, their play on the road has been another story and their overall play over the past month sees them appearing to have run out of gas. The Jets are dealing with injuries to four starting defensemen, including Dustin Byfuglien and Zach Bogosian and they're simply not deep enough to compensate. Winnipeg has just scored just once over its past two games and just six times over its last five games. They have six road wins in 21 games. The Senators are showing no signs of slowing down. They've won four in a row and eight of their past nine. The Sens have outscored the opposition 17-7 over the past four games and only once in their past nine have they been held touinder three goals. The Sens are at home, they're healthy, confident and in great form while the Jets are the complete opposite right now. Play: Ottawa -½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

N.Y. ISLANDERS +105 over Nashville Pinnacle
1:00 PM EST. The Predators play on the Island this afternoon and they play at Madison Square Gardens tomorrow. They've played here just twice since '06 and at MSG just once since '06 so it wouldn’t surprise if the Preds completely overlook this game in anticipation of playing one of the league's top teams in one of the league’s shrines. This is really a vulnerable spot for an overvalued guest that is quite average and quite beatable on the road. Despite a poor record, the Islanders have several good parts. They've won five of eight games and they're 4-1-0 in their last five at home. The Islanders are ranked in the top 10 for both power play and the penalty kill and that's a sign of good things to come. They had goaltending issues early in the year but Evgeni Nabokov has solidified the position and the team as a whole has stepped it up. The Islanders are coming off a recent 5-1 victory over the Red Wings and a 4-2 win over the Sabres. They're in a favorable spot here while offerering up some great value as a pooch in their own barn. Play N.Y. Islanders +105 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

TOP PLAY 5* NBA *BEST BET*
5* Celtics +3.5

'Never Lost' ESPN Big Monday SMASH!
4* Kansas -6

[Mr. IWS]

CHEERS MASTER RELEASE CONFIDENTIAL
January 16, 2012. USA Issue #23.
Record: NFL 5/3, CBB 24/8, CFB 5/5
Double Dime players are up $35,000.00
Cost of CMRC service...Free (expires 1/17/12)

Monday's CMRC:
CBB: Rutgers -3
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[Mr. IWS]

Master Release Confidential
Plays for Monday, January 16
CLASSIC
CBB
Rutgers -3

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
NBA 35-22 Season-to-Date +$1710
Game: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -8.5 (-110)

After a long stretch of looking up at the teams in the Atlantic Division, the Philadelphia 76ers are coming of age and have opened the season at 9-3 and already have a three-game lead in the division. They have catapulted to the top by winning eight of their last nine games. They have nine wins on the season, and have done it in spectacular fashion as all nine wins have come by 10 points or more. The Bucks have been futile of late on the road, losing their last two by a combined 42 points. They are simply out-manned here and are running into a buzz saw. The Bucks have yet to break through on the road at 0-7 and are 1-6 ATS as well, and Philly certainly hasn't been a healing place where they have covered just one of the last seven trips into the City of Brotherly Love. No love here, so play on Philly.

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor NHL Early Pick


New York Islanders +104

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

500* Over 136.5 Baylor/Kansas
50* Rutgers -3

100* Over 177.5 Bulls/Grizzlies

[Mr. IWS]

Falcon Sports

Overall: 274-195 (+112.00 units)

Jan: 14-17 (-9.50 units)

Rutgers -2.5 (-1.10) 2 units CBB