1-20-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks:



Friday January 20, 2013 (10:30pm ET)





Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Clippers



Western Conference action closes out ESPNs Friday night double-header when Kevin Love and the Minnesota Timberwolves (6-8, 9-5 ATS) invade Tinseltown to body up with Blake Griffin and the Los Angeles Clippers (8-4, 7-5 ATS); tip-off from the Staples Center is set to go at 10:30 ET.



Yes, the Timberwolves still bring up the rear of the Northwest Division with a 6-8 SU record, but Head Coach Rick Adelman has what has been a defunct franchise ever since Kevin Garnett took his game to Beantown on the up and up at the start of the young season. Reason being, Minny is not devoid of talent anymore evidenced by the impressive 1-2 punch of Kevin Love and rookie sensation Ricky Rubio. When taking a gander at the Timberwolves stat leaders, youll notice both Love and Rubio leading in a number of categories. However, the main reason Minnesota checks in as the fourth best bet in the league is due to its play at the defensive end of the court where its allowed the opposition to score an average of just 92.5 PPG (#11) on 43.2 percent shooting from the field. Theyll invade Hollywood winners in three of their L/4 (3-1 ATS) and with 2-3 SU & 4-1 ATS marks as a visitor.



You know, this Clippers team just might be one of the better teams the Western Conference has to offer this season. Even though injuries have kept some of their All Stars out of action Chris Paul is currently sidelined with a hamstring injury Coach Vinnie Del Negros squad has still taken care of business to the tune of playing .667 ball and treating their betting backers kindly by covering on seven of 12 occasions. Blake Griffin continues to be a beast (21.2 PPG), but hes getting solid contributions from Paul, Chauncey Billups, Caron Butler and Mo Williams who are all averaging better than 10 points per game. Last we saw the Clip Joint in action, they scored a last second outright win over the defending champion Dallas Mavericks as underdogs to move to 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS as a host.



After dropping these teams first meeting of the 2010-11 season (113-111), the Clippers went on to win and cover the next three to move to 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS in these conference rivals L/10 overall meetings; the under is 6-4 during that stretch. The road team has covered eight of the L/11 overall meetings, while the under has cashed five of the L/6 times these teams went at it in the Staples Center. Minnesota has covered five of its L/6 road games, but stands just 5-11 ATS the L/16 times it faced a Pacific division opponent. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS as favorites this season, but owns a poor 2-7 ATS record the L/9 times they took on a sub .500 opponent.




PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Manhattan -8

50* Over 127 Wisc-GB/Cleveland State

[Mr. IWS]

Turner

NBA: Tor Under 180
NY Under 191.5

NHL: Chi PL
Dal PL

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD

Philadelphia 76ers -5.5

Youngstown St +3.5

5* NFL Playoffs Game of the Year!
NY Giants +3 (-135)

4* AFC Championship SMASH!
Baltimore Ravens +9 (-125)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL

CAROLINA +107 over Washington Pinnacle
When the Capitals went into Montreal on Wednesday they were getting a takeback of +117. They beat the Habs 3-0 and now they're a -117 in Carolina? That alone tells us that we're going with the best of it in terms of value. These two played last Sunday in Washington and while the Caps did win 2-1, they were outshot 44-24. Add to the mix that this game is sandwiched between that win in Montreal and a featured NBC game on Sunday afternoon (12:30 PM start) against the Penguins and this one has even more appeal. Washiongton has won four of five but it's not believable. They continue to produce less scoring chances per games than anyone. Over its last 10 games (207 shots), the Caps are averaging about seven shots on net per period. Meanwhile, the 'Canes are playing much better lately. Joel Skinner is back and Eric Staal is producing again. Carolina has picked up points in three of its last four games and that includes a win over the Bruins and an OT loss in Pittsburgh. The 'Canes have won five of their past seven home games. Aside from that aformentioned win over Boston, they also beat New Jersey and Ottawa. They deserved to win in Washington last Sunday and now they catch those same Caps at precisely the right time. Wrong side favored. Play: Carolina +115 (Risking 2 units).

Tampa Bay +128 over DALLAS Pinnacle
Dallas has dropped three in a row and they continue to struggle offensively without the services of Jamie Benn and Mike Ribeiro. That pair remains out and as a result, Dallas has scored just three goals over its last three games. The Lightning snapped an ugly seven-game slide against the Bruins in their last game and one win does wonders for team morale. With its 1-3-1 trap style, the Bolts are likely not going to give up many scoring chances to this offensively challenged host. These two rarely play one another and with already low attendance and this one not having much appeal to the locals, a small crowd with no atmosphere can't help the Stars chances either. Play: Tampa Bay +128 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER
2* NBA* Boston Celtics under 183

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS

Indiana/ Golden State Over 188.5: Warrior games are beginning to look a little like last year as their last 6 games have averaged 208.7 ppg. In the last 5 games their offense has put up 102.6 ppg on a very nice 47.9 % shooting, while they have looked bad at the defensive end, allowing 104.6 ppg on 47.1% shooting over that stretch. The Warriors have averaged 94.7 ppg at home, but in their last 2 home games in regulation they have averaged 102.5 ppg and those 2 games were vs Miami and Orlando, which are 2 pretty good defensive teams. Indiana has not had great success at the offensive end this year (92.8 ppg), but this team does have scorers on their team and they should have an easier time tonight vs a GS defense that is beginning to look like the bad versions of years past. Indiana is a defensive minded team, as they are in the top 7 of every major defensive category, but I feel they will have a hard time slowing down the Warriors and their uptempo style tonight. The Over is 14-5 the last 19 in this series, with each of the last 10 between these two team putting up at least 202 points. I expect this one to eclipse 200 as well. KEY TRENDS--- INDIANA is 50-25 OVER in road games after playing a game as a road favorite since 1996, while GOLDEN STATE is 20-5 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Denver -7 over WASHINGTON: The Nuggets have gone 12-5 ATS the last 17 in the series, while they have gone 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings, with each one of those wins coming by double digits. Now Denver comes in playing some of the better ball in the league are they are facing the worst team in the league. Washington is off a shocking home win over a very good Thunder team, but they are still 2-12 SU and 4-10 ATS on the year. Denver checks in at 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS on the year. The Nuggets have really had their offense cranking of late as they have averaged a healthy 109.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while for the year they are 2nd in scoring (104.8 ppg) and 2nd in FG% (28.3%). Washington has scored 100+ points in their last 2 games, but they have still averaged just 87.6 ppg on the year, while at home they have averaged just 91.5 ppg. Defense has been a problem for this team, especially of late as they have allowed 109.8 ppg in their last 4 games and that number doesn't figure to get much better vs the Nuggets tonight. This could be a flat spot for the Nuggets after their big win over Philly and now taking on the worst team in the league, but that win by the Wiz over the Thunder should have the attention of this Denver squad and they will come in fully focused. Washing has lost 10 of their 12 games by at least 8 points and that will continue tonight with a solid DD win by Denver here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games, off a close home win by 3 points or less.

5 POINT TEASER--- Philadelphia -1 & Milwaukee +10.5

OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia/ Atlanta Over 184: The Hawks realize that they need to play an uptempo game in order to use the athletic ability of their team. This team has plenty of scorers, but they don't play well in a halfcourt offense. Tonight they get to play a high scoring Philly team that does like to run. PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 OVER in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

1 UNIT PLAY

Memphis/ Detroit Under 180: MEMPHIS is 25-9 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals since 1996. Both offenses have been futile this year and I expect it continue tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD

5* NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST*
Philadelphia 76ers -5.5

4* 100% Perfect NCAAB Friday Night SMASH!
Youngstown St +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

indian cowboy

4 units rider +16 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
Eddie Rambo
4* Boston Celtics-6
3* Orlando/LA Over 182
3* Marist+8

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
NBA 43-25 Season-to-Date +$2560
Game: Denver at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Denver -7 (-110)

The Washington Wizards pulled a huge upset in their last game at home vs. Oklahoma City as a +10.5 point underdog. Coming back as a home dog again in their next game leaves this 2-12 team very vulnerable as history shows they often letdown. At the same time their opponent, who may have taken this game lightly, bears down a little more and doesn't take the game for granted. The Wizards' wins have been rare this season and their covers after a win lately have been even rarer as they are 13-38 ATS after a straight-up win. Contrast that record with the Nuggets' momentum off a win that has seen them race to the cash window at 23-5-1 ATS following a win.
Play on Denver.

[Mr. IWS]

strike point
3 units s.antonio -11

[Mr. IWS]

R&R Totals
42-24 64% record this season

Under 164.5 - Rider/Iona

[Mr. IWS]

First Half Sports

10 Dimes - 805 Atlanta Hawks +3 (1st Half)
10 Dimes - 811 Memphis Grizzlies/Detroit Pistons OVER 91.5 (1st Half)
10 Dimes - 815 Los Angeles Lakers/Orlando Magic OVER 91.5 (1st Half)
10 Dimes - 842 Youngstown State +1.5 (1st Half)