1-23-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

500* NBA Suns/Mavericks Over 183
100* CBB Kansas/Texas A&M Over 124.5
50* CBB Iona -9.5

[Mr. IWS]

CHAN 1-23
1/23/2012 NBA Washington at Philadelphia 7:00 PM ET under
1/23/2012 NBA Washington at Philadelphia 7:00 PM ET Washington
1/23/2012 NBA Houston at Minnesota 8:00 PM ET Minnesota
1/23/2012 NCB Texas A&M at Kansas 9:00 PM ET Kansas
1/23/2012 NHL St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings 7:30 PM ET Detroit Red Wings
1/23/2012 NHL PL San Jose at Edmonton 9:30 PM ET Edmonton

[Mr. IWS]

DOM CHAMBERS

My 30 Dime play is on the Atlanta Hawks as a road favorite to cover against the Milwaukee Bucks. Checkang the sports books at 7 a.m. and the Hawks are a 1-point favorite. Alwdays shop around to make sure you get the best numbtr.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors
The Southwest Division leading Memphis Grizzlies (9-6, 8-7 ATS) will attempt to rattle off their seventh straight win when they invade Oracle Arena to battle the Golden State Warriors (5-10, 7-8 ATS) on Monday night; NBA TV will handle the live coverage of this one starting at 10:30 ET.

Even though the Grizz have lost the services of big man Zach Randolph for the foreseeable future, Head Coach Lionel Hollins’ squad hasn’t skipped a beat winning each of their last six games to catapult themselves to the top of the Southwest Division standings. Last Memphis took to the hardwood, it threw the gauntlet down upon the Sacramento Kings at home winning 128-95 as near 10-point chalk. The pointspread cover was the team’s fourth in a row and fifth in eight tries as a host. Tonight’s game will be the first of a four-game road trip that begins here in Oakland and ends in Phoenix on Saturday night. To date, the Grizzlies stand 3-4 SU & ATS away from the FedEx Forum, but they posted wins and covers in their two most recent road stops at New Orleans and Detroit. Memphis has taken care of business at both ends of the court scoring an average of 96.1 points per game (#12) while giving up 92.5 PPG (#11).

It’s been three long seasons since the Warriors posted a winning mark by the Bay, and at the rate they’re going on the young season, it looks to be another low end finish within the Pacific Division for this defunct franchise. New Head Coach Mark Jackson has gotten Golden State to play a bit better at the defensive end of the court (#26 at 99.4 PPG), but the injury to Stephen Curry has taken away some much needed offensive firepower from what’s normally a potent Warriors offensive attack. The former Davidson standout did return to the starting line-up in Golden state’s 94-91 loss to the Indiana Pacers their last time out, but he only went for 12 points on 5-of-15 shooting from the field. Monta Ellis (23.3 PPG) and David Lee (18.6 PPG) have held up their end of the bargain, but need someone else to step up offensively to start notching more dubs. Golden State’s dropped five of its eight home games both SU and against the closing number on the year.

The home team has flat out dominated this series dating back to the 2009 season winning each of the L/7 games SU while beating the oddsmakers six times; the ‘over’ is 4-3 during that stretch. Memphis has been great to its betting backers when matched up against Pacific Division opposition covering 13 of the L/19 match-ups, but it’s only covered three of its L/10 road games. Golden State has covered six of its L/8 games when playing on two days rest, but has only defeated the closing pointspread against Southwest Division opponents twice in its L/7 tries.
PICK: Golden States -pts

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL (1-0 +210 Sunday)

Columbus +210 over NASHVILLE Pinnacle
In an 82-game schedule, there are going to be many games where emotion will emerge over talent. This one sets up that way. The Predators are rolling along with seven wins in their past eight games, now sitting eight games above .500. Nashville just returned home from a three-game trip on Saturday and promptly beat the league-leading and one of its biggest rivals, the Chicago Blackhawks, 5-2. They embark on another three game trip beginning tomorrow in Chicago, making this one a sandwich between two, three-game trips with a pair against the Blackhawks. With Pekka Rinne carrying the league's biggest workload among goaltenders, there's a good chance Barry Trotz will give Rinne the day off here in favor of Anders Lindback. Nashville just went into Columbus during that recent three-game trip and beat them 3-0. The Blue Jackets outshot the Preds 38-25 and a similar effort here could certainly get us to the cashier's booth. Price and situation dictates strong underdog possibility. Play: Columbus +210 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. Islanders +120 over TORONTO Pinnacle
In a huge game this past Saturday, with a chance to pick up two vital points, the hated and troubled Canadiens rolled into Toronto to play its third game in four days. The favored Maple Leafs were dreadful and fell to Montreal 3-1. It was without question, the worse loss of the year for the Buds. It's one thing to play hard and get stonewalled by a hot goaltender but that wasn't the case. The Leafs, having missed the playoffs for nine straight years and fighting for a spot this year, came up lame. In terms of excuses, there are none. Now the Islanders roll into town, playing some outstanding hockey. New York has won three straight over Washington, Philly and Carolina and outscored that trio 9-2 with the first two coming on the road. John Tavares is smokin' hot with a 12-game points streak (eight goals, 13 assists), which is the longest streak in the NHL this season. The Islanders are having fun again and they're playing loose with great results. Conversely, the Maple Leafs are feeling pressure and folding under it, just like they do every year.. Play: N.Y. Islanders +120 (Risking 2 units).

CAROLINA -½ +137 over Winnipeg (REG) Pinnacle
No doubt the Winnipeg Jets deserved a better fate on Saturday night against Florida. They outhit, outchanced, outworked and outshot the Panthers but lost in OT, 4-3. That was a big loss because the Jets had a chance to leapfrog past the Panthers into the final playoff spot in the conference. Now they'll take to the road where they're just not the same team as they are at home. Winnipeg has just seven road wins in 23 games and things don't figure to get easier here. The Hurricanes last four home games have come against Washington, Boston, Philly and Buffalo. Their only loss in that set was a 2-1 defeat to the Flyers. The 'Canes have picked up points in four of six games and that also includes a 2-1 OT loss in Pittsburgh and a 2-1 OT loss on the Island. Carolina is in better form than the Jets and they have a huge edge in net with Cam Ward over either one of the Jets’ netminders Play: Carolina -½ +137 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo 1/23

1.5-Unit Play. Take #741 Northeastern (+7.5) over Old Dominion (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)



1-Unit Play. Take #747 Hofstra (+13.5) over VCU (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)


1-Unit Play. Take #757 Loyola Marymount (+1) over Santa Clara (10 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #744 Cincinnati (+5.5) over Syracuse (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #762 Georgia Southern (-9.5) over Citadel (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #759 Iona (-5) over Siena (7 p.m.) AND Take #744 Cincinnati (+10.5) over Syracuse (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #762 Georgia Southern (-4.5) over Citadel (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23) AND Take #741 Northeastern (+12.5) over Old Dominion (7 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Illuminati


Carolina/Winnipeg UNDER 5.5 -125
Sam Jose/Edmonton UNDER 5.5 -135
Ottawa/LA OVER 5.5 +135

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy



4-Unit Play. #750. Take Georgia State -11.5 over James Madison (Monday @ 7pm est).

Georgia State is a top 75 team this year and they have done well thus far. This is a team that has quietly gone 13-6 thus far this year as Ron Hunter has done a good job with this team and he has established them as a strong defensive team as they are rated top 10 in the country in defense. Georgia State is 5-3 in conference play thus far and they are top 30 in the nation in turnover percentage. And, this team ranks in the top 50 in most defensive categories as well. Georgia State comes off tough back to back conference losses on the road to the likes of Northeastern and Delaware which both losses combined to a total of 6 points (3 points in each game with the Delaware loss happening in double-overtime). Needless to say this team is frustrated and they will look to take it out on James Madison who they have revenge from last year's loss in addition to the fact that James Madison is outside the top 200 in the power rankings. James Madison is outside the top 200 both in offense and defense and when they face teams in the top 100 on the road such as VCU they have lost by 20 points. I think we will be fine laying the points here as Georgia State will look to take out plenty of frustration in this game and of course, the revenge angle is always nice as well. The Dukes of James Madison are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when facing a team with a winning record and the Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7 to 12 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports CBB



2-Unit Play. #757 Take Loyola Marymount (Pk) over Santa Clara (10 p.m., Monday, January 23)

These are two WCC schools going in opposite directions. And quite frankly they couldn't be farther apart on different ends of the college basketball spectrum. The Lions are red hot, winners of five of their last seven, and what's most impressive is their current 7-0 ATS run. Their two losses are both to BYU, but both times Loyola Marymount covered the number. Right now, their isn't a better bet in college basketball. Santa Clara, on the other hand, have lost six straight and haven't won a game sense late December. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games and are rightfully dogs at home here. Loyola is going too good right now to be slowed by a bad team. We back the hot hand, and that's Loyola Marymount in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastman CBB


3-Unit Play. Take #749 James Madison (+11.5) over Georgia State (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)
This Georgia State team got off to a great start to the season. But they are 0-3 ATS in their last three games after covering the spread nine straight times. The books and public have caught up with this team. They lost as a favorite against Delaware and Northeastern. They also only beat Towson by 15. This James Madison team has had a very difficult schedule. They are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games and they are catching too many points here. GSU continues to lose value and JMU is gaining it. Bet against the public and the trends here and cash with me on the Dukes.
2-Unit Play. Take #748 VCU (-13.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 23)
The Rams are nearly unbeatable at home in CAA play. They have won four straight and are 3-1 ATS in those games. This team has won three of their four games by 13 or more points. The teams they were beating are better than Hofstra here. The Pride is just 1-6 SU in their last seven games. They lost by 17 at home in the first matchup this season and I think they will lose by just as much on the road in this one. VCU is 5-2 ATS in the last seven home meetings against Hofstra and they will get another blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

5 Unit Play Take #757 Loyola Marymount +1 over Santa Clara (10:00pm est):

Loyola Marymount should have their full focus coming into this one as the Lions dropped all three games to Santa Clara last season but all three games were very close (decided by 8 points or less) with of the one losses coming in overtime. Confidence should also not be a factor here as LMU is playing it's best basketball of the season right now after pulling off a huge upset road win last game at BYU and doing so by 14 points as a big 17.5 point underdog!!! The hidden reason behind the Lions recent great run has been they are finally healthy and have a full team on the floor, when this is the case LMU goes from being just an average team to a pretty good one. The bad stretch of injuries started last season as top scorer Drew Viney missed a handful of games along with most of the other top players in the Lions lineup. In fact only one player last season played in every game for LMU. Compare this to their opponent in this game Santa Clara who lost just one combined start last year from their top four scorers in all 38 of their games played. This year it's been the same thing for SC as their top 7 scorers have played in all 18 of the Broncos games so far. The same sort of bad luck started this season for LMU as Viney and their 3rd leading scorer Ashley Hamilton each have missed over half the LMU games this year. In fact these two didn't play together in a game this year until just four games ago at San Diego. In that contest they were the top two scorers for LMU in that game. In their four games together so far the Lions have not only played their best basketball of the season but they have covered all four games including their huge upset of BYU last week. That is now six straight ATS covers for LMU heading into this game here.

Santa Clara looks to be a little down this season compared to last year when they had their first 20 win season under their now 5th year head coach Kerry Keating. Much of the same thing was expected this season but the Broncos lost forward Marc Trasolini before the season and that along with the loss of WCC Defensive Player of the Year Troy Payne has killed the Santa Clara defense this season. They have only covered one of their last six games overall, one of their last six at home and one of the last five against a team from the WCC. Just a simple comparison of WCC games this year shows the big difference between these two teams as SC lost to the same BYU team that LMU just upset and lost by 17 points to the Cougars. Both schools have also played San Diego with SC losing by 13 points and doing so at home while LMU beat San Diego by 11 and did so in their game at San Diego. LMU lost a hard fought 4 point game to Gonzaga as SC was hammered by 22 in their defeat to them.

Santa Clara just played Saturday in a big game in front of their home crowd and were crushed by 16 to St. Mary's while LMU had the whole weekend off to prepare for this big game tonight. The Lions are healthy, confident and have the all important revenge angle working for them also in this one. Take LMU to get the win here. Another winning weekend for me at Doc's Sports as my big NFL Playoff Game of the Year got there for me and my clients yesterday. This eight unit selection was one of my bigger plays ever in all sports. I have now made over an amazing 120% profit in all sports combined since the start of last baseball season in each sport combined. Things don't get much better than that. I am going to make 2012 my best year ever as I plan on taking things to whole other level this year. No one works harder to be the very best at this than I do. I apologize if all of this sounds a little brash as that is not my style at all or my intentions here instead I am just stating the facts and my results in the past year and I would love nothing more than for you to join along with me going forward. I love knowing that I am helping people make money in this very difficult business.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo NHL

4-Unit Pick Take #12 Los Angeles (-135) over Ottawa (10:35 pm, Monday, January 23)

[Mr. IWS]

11th Hour Early NCAAB Plays:

3u 751 Towson +7.5 1st half
3u Towson +13.5 gm
3u 761 The Citadel +9.5
3u 765 Ark PB +6
4u 758 Santa Clara -1

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NBA

NEW ORLEANS +4½/+171 over San Antonio Pinnacle

One just needs to look at the Lakers and Celtics to see how this relentless schedule is working out for veteran teams. The Celtics are three games under .500 and the Lakers haven't defeated a quality team all season. The Spurs are in that same category. There are just too many miles on these bodies to compete every night at this unforgiving pace. The Spurs are just 1-6 on the road. They'll play their seventh game in 10 nights here. They're coming off back-to-back losses at Houston by three and at home against Sacramento by a bucket. San Antonio's home record of 9-1 has them looking a lot better than they're playing. New Orleans isn’t much. They've dropped seven in a row and they have just three wins in 16 games. However, there is some light at the end of this tunnel. The Hornets are coming off a two-point loss to Dallas and a two-point OT loss at Houston. Five of their past six losses have been by seven or less and they've had a fourth quarter lead in most of them. In what is expected to be a tightly contested, low-scoring game (178 total), the Hornets figure to be in a strong position to finally close out a game Play: New Orleans +171 (Risking 1 unit) Play: New Orleans +4½ (Risking 1.07 units to win 1).

PHILADELPHIA -13 over Washington Pinnacle
In years past, we'd be reluctant to lay the big lumber. In this, the year of the blowout, we have no reluctance when it calls for it. The Wizards last four games, in which they were victorious once and lost by eight or less in the others, has them overvalued in this spot but we're not buying it for a second. All of those games were at home, as have eight of their past 10. The Wiz have only played six road games all year. In four of those contests, they lost by 18 or more, another was by 14 at Chicago (minus Derrick Rose) and the other was by eight in Boston. They are certainly among the most unorganized, uninspired and flawed teams in the league. When they went into Philadelphia 10 days ago, the Wizards lost 120-89. That was when Philly was not in the foul mood we may find them in tonight. The 76ers come into this one off a blowout loss to Miami and are losers of two of three. Philly is one of the top four teams in the East and should remain there all season long. They'll have no sympathy for a dysfunctional invader playing their third game in four days, seventh game in 10 days and tail end of back-to-backs. Play: Philadelphia -13 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

GOLDEN STATE -1½ over Memphis SportsInteraction
The Grizzlies have won six in a row and as a result, their stock is higher than it's been all season long. That provides us with a great opportunity to lay a small number against them. A close look reveals that five of those six wins came against Sacramento, New Orleans twice, Detroit and the Knicks. That has masked most of the Grizzlies flaws but their 3-6 start did not. Memphis' first three wins came against Houston, Minnesota and Sacramento again. One could argue that the Grizzlies only credible win this year came against Chicago. However, that win against the Bulls occurred with Chicago playing its sixth game in eight nights. When Memphis played in Chicago two weeks earlier, the Bulls won by 40 (104-64). Meanwhile, the Warriors are just 5-10 with majority of games having been played without Stephen Curry. He returned last game against Indiana, as did the Warriors from a four-game East Coast trip. They lost by just three to a tough opponent and they'll be fresher and well-prepped here. Golden State already has wins over Chicago and Miami and numerous close games against quality opponents. Of the 15 games they've played, nine have come against teams with a record over .500. The Warriors are a focused bunch under the strong guidance of new coach Mark Jackson. Jackson has them playing defense and playing confidently. Undervalued vs overvalued gets the call. Play: Golden State -1½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).