11-9-08

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98671

    #31
    Re: 11-9-08

    Seabass

    300 Philly -3
    100 Bears +3
    100 SD -any number
    50 Tease NO +7.5/over 44
    50 Tease Oak +15/Under 43
    50 Tease Jax Pick/Pats +3
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98671

      #32
      Re: 11-9-08

      The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
      Date: Sunday, November 09, 2008
      $35.00 Guaranteed: We are now 364-198 since joining this web site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we have isolated a 91% NFC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR - ONLY $35 GUARANTEED!! 11/9/2008

      91% NFC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
      224 Minnesota -2.5 1:00 EST
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98671

        #33
        Re: 11-9-08

        Northcoast
        3'* N Eng
        3* Miami
        3* S Diego

        S/N: Philly


        Phil Steele
        4* N Eng
        3* Miami
        3* Minn
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98671

          #34
          Re: 11-9-08

          NSA
          20* NFL Miami -7.5
          10* NFL Chicago +3
          10* NFL Green Bay +2.5
          10* NFL Buffalo +4
          10* NFL St Louis +9.5
          10* NFL San Diego -14.5
          10* NBA Detroit -2
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98671

            #35
            Re: 11-9-08

            ASA
            Pro Football Picks
            11/9/2008
            12:00:00 PM UNDER 44,NEW YORK JETS
            -vs-St. Louis Rams
            ASA - This total is much too high in our opinion. The Jets may seem as if they are a high octane offense if one simply looks at their PPG numbers. They are 8th in the NFL on scoring at 26 PPG yet just 17th on total offense averaging 327 YPG. Something doesn't add up there. The fact is, the Jets have been somewhat "lucky" in a few games and racked up what seemed to be big numbers. In their game vs. Arizona where New York put up 56 points, many were given to them as the Cards had a ridiculous 7 turnovers. Last week they put up 26 points vs. the Bills yet that total was extremely skewed. The Jets actually had 13 points in that game with only one first down due to Buffalo's early turnovers. They had just 14 points going into the 4th quarter vs. San Diego but the Chargers were so far ahead they backed off and NY put up 15 in the final quarter. Their offense simply isn't all that explosive.

            Also, the Jets are making a concerted effort to run the ball more. Head coach Eric Mangini basically said as much. QB Brett Favre has been interception prone throwing seven in the three games leading up to Buffalo last week and Mangini wants to take some of the burden off his shoulders. He did last week when Favre threw it just 28 times. They will run much more often this week against a Rams team that allows 155 YPG on the ground. Look for the Jets to take advantage of that, keep the clock running and shorten the game.

            On the other sideline, don't expect the Rams to put up much on offense vs. an improving and solid New York defense. St. Louis is 30th in overall offense and they have topped 19 points just once this season. The Jet defense has allowed 17 points or less in three of their last four games. The Rams will also try and establish the run (even with Steven Jackson possibly out) to take pressure of QB Marc Bulger. The Jets have a top notch run defense, however St. Louis head man Jim Haslett knows that can't come in and simply wing the ball and expect to win as Bulger is completing just 57% of his passes on the year.

            The St. Louis defensive stats are scary bad. However, much of the damage was done early in the season when this team was out right poor. They have drastically improved overall and that includes the defense. After allowing 147 points in their first 5 games (at least 31 in each), they have now allowed 88 in their last four. That is also deceiving as three of those four games they were solid defensively. The only one that wasn't was last week vs. Arizona where they gave up 34 points, however one of those was a defensive TD for the Cardinals. Before that they allowed 17 @ Washington, 14 vs. Dallas and 23 @ New England. They are definitely playing much harder under their new coach with a record of 2-2 since Haslett took over for Linehan.

            We expect the Jets to run, run and run here. Look for a fairly close but low scoring game. We take the under.


            11/9/2008
            3:00:00 PM OVER 47,SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
            -vs-Kansas City Chiefs
            ASA - Entering week 10 of the NFL season, San Diego is definitely not the team they thought they would be coming into the season. They are 3-5 and have one of the poorer defenses in the league, which has been their downfall. They have the 25th ranked total defense and the WORST pass defense in the league; so it’s no surprise they allow 25 points per game! Despite their bad defense, they boast one of the best offenses in the NFL, scoring 28 points per game! Coming off their bye week, against another bad defensive team in Kansas City, expect the Chargers high powered offense to put up a lot of points; and their defense to also surrender a good amount of points on Sunday.

            Kansas City has done a good job of developing SOMETHING out of nothing with third string quarterback Tyler Thigpen. Over the last two games vs. the Jets and Buccaneers, Thigpen is a combined 39/61 for 444 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions; and in those two games they put up 24 and 27 points against two of the better defenses in the NFL. Thigpen has picked a good time to break out as now they face the worst pass-defense in the NFL. We expect another good showing from Thigpen and for the Chiefs to put up some good numbers on offense.

            There is a reason the Chiefs are 1-7, and I’m going to go out on a limb and say their 31st ranked total defense and their 32nd rank rush defense are the main reasons they haven’t been very successful this year. Believe me, Ladainian Tomlinson is drooling watching film of this defense trying to stop the run. LT hasn’t really had a breakout game so far this year; but we see no better time, coming off a bye week against the Chiefs, for LT to breakout.

            As I stated before, the Chiefs have done a good job of progressing their young talent on offense, and they’ve proved it by going OVER in 5 of their last 6 games. The Chargers have also gone OVER in 8 of their last 10 games coming off a loss. Two bad defenses is a recipe for disaster and we expect a high-scoring game that is sure to surpass 47.5 points.


            11/9/2008
            7:00:00 PM New York Giants (+3)
            over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
            ASA - The Eagles have yet to “live up to their potential” in my opinion. They looked really good early in the season vs. Dallas, however they have beaten the lower tier teams and struggled with the better ones. They have played four upper tier teams this season and lost to three of them. Their only big win was a 15-6 triumph over Pittsburgh while losing to Dallas, Washington and Chicago. They face the best team in the NFC and maybe all of football on Sunday Night. Philly is favored here and we will gladly take the much better team getting points.

            The Super Bowl Champs have been an underdog just once this year, two weeks ago at Pittsburgh. They took care of business there and beat up on a very good Steeler team 21-14. That gives the Giants a near perfect 11-2 spread record as an underdog going back to the 2006 season. Even more impressive, they have won 8 of those 13 games out right. Not only that, this team is THE BEST road team in the NFL by far. The G-Men are a very impressive 13-3 SU their last 16 road games. Even better, they are 14-2 ATS in those games. You simply cannot fade this team on the road, especially when they are getting points.

            The Eagle offense lives through the air as their running game has been somewhat pedestrian this year averaging just 97 YPG. However, against top 10 defenses this year, Philly has not even come close to those numbers. The Birds have faced three defenses currently ranked in the top 10 and here are their rushing numbers vs. those teams; 78 yards vs. Dallas, 65 yard vs. Pitt and 58 yards vs. Washington. The Giants currently are ranked 3rd in the NFL so expect similar ground numbers from the Eagles. That’s bad news for QB Donovan McNabb and company. That’s because the Giants have the second best pass defense in the NFL allowing just 175 YPG. New York also puts all kinds of pressure on opposing QB’s ranking second on the NFL in sacks just behind Pittsburgh. McNabb will be running for his life all night long.

            On the flip side, the Giants have the second best rushing attack in the league averaging 162 YPG. Their battering style wears down opponents at the game progresses. While the Eagles have a very good rush defense, they won’t be able to key completely on the ground game as the Giants have one Eli Manning who is among the best in the NFL. The New York offense is very tough to contain because it is so diverse. The Giants are the only team in the NFL in the top 5 in BOTH total offense and defense and it shows on the field.

            New York won both meetings last year and know a win here puts them comfortably in front in the very difficult NFC East. We side with the better running game and better defense getting points here. Take the Giants.
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98671

              #36
              Re: 11-9-08

              MTI


              5-Star NEW ENGLAND -3' over Buffalo - After starting 4-0 and looking like they were going to run away with the tough AFC East, the Bills have stumbled recently. Now they are tied at 5-3 with the Patriots and Jets for the division lead. The Patriots are just the team to drive in the stake.
              New England is off a road loss at Indianapolis last week in which they suffered a 2-0 turnover margin. This is the Patriots' best spot. They are 8-0 ATS after a straight up loss on the road, covering by an average of 15.8 ppg. They have had one active date this season - their 41-7 demolition of the Broncos on Monday Night football. In addition, the Pats are 7-0 ATS (+11.0 ppg) when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least +2, as long as they are not laying double-digits.
              Buffalo has lost two straight to divisional opponents and they looked bad doing so. Last week they had their chance to show what they are made of at home vs the Jets. They revealed that they are a mentally fragile team, losing 26-17 laying 5 points. Buffalo was 1-of-3 red zone attempts and Edwards was sacked five times.
              The Bills are a gutless 0-6 ATS on the road when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a divisional opponent, falling short of the linesmakers' expectations by an average of 13.6 ppg. Also, the Bills are 0-6 ATS the week after they attempted at least ten fewer rushes than their season-to-date average as a home favorite and 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) when they are on a two+ game SU and ATS losing streak, as long as they are not getting more than a TD. In addition, the Bills are 0-5 ATS (-12.5 ppg) as a road dog when they failed on at least two red zone attempts as a home favorite last week. Perhaps the most compelling stat of all is that Buffalo is 0-5 ATS as a dog when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 as a favorite. The young Bills simply adopt a defeatist attitude in this situation, losing every single one of the six games by double-digits, and failing to cover by an average of 13.3 ppg.
              Buffalo simply does not have the character and mental toughness to compete with the Patriots here. These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Cassell is getting better and more confident with each start and the Bills are falling apart. This is a key divisional matchup. The Patriots have played many important games just like this one. They know what is at stake. They are mentally tough. They are at home. They will man-up. Their defense will crush the Bills' struggling offense.
              Over the past two seasons, the Pats have been a home favorite by less than a TD only twice. They won those two games 38-14 and 41-7 respectively. Lay the 3'.
              MTi's FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 27 Buffalo 0
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98671

                #37
                Re: 11-9-08

                STEVE BUDIN
                50DIME EAGLES
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98671

                  #38
                  Re: 11-9-08

                  Steve merril

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Sunday, November 09, 2008
                  Handicapper: Steve Merril

                  Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
                  Pick: Total: 37.5/-105 Under


                  Handicapper: Steve Merril
                  Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
                  Pick: Money Line: -112 Houston Texans

                  Handicapper: Steve Merril
                  Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
                  Pick: Total: 43/-106 Over
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98671

                    #39
                    Re: 11-9-08

                    VEGAS RUNNER

                    vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
                    214 CHI 3.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 213 TEN
                    Analysis:
                    ** NFL 2* WAGER ** (BUY the 1/2 Pt to +3)




                    Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
                    215 BUF 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 216 NEP
                    Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **



                    Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
                    217 NOS (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 218 ATL
                    Analysis:
                    *** NFL 2* TOTAL TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***

                    OVER 43 NO/ATL & UNDER 51 STL/NYJ (2*)...Teaser...





                    Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
                    220 NYJ -9.0 (-110) SportBet vs 219 STL
                    Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **






                    Bonus NASCAR Bet :



                    1.) CLINT BOWYER (+2000) (1*)...



                    The obvious choice for today's Phoenix race is Jimmy Johnson, who is also the Chase Leader...He's won the L/2 there and is sitting on the Pole again this afternoon...But at a price of +300 or less, I just can't back him in this spot, because even though it's his to lose...there is just so much on the line that we may see JJ not take the risks he has been prone to in the past...

                    So I decided to look to another driver, that I feel has the ability to win on this track...and more importantly, is definately priced much higher than his probability of winning warrents...Let's back the "under-the-radar" Bowyer in this one, and see if he can get us a 20-1 Payday...VR
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98671

                      #40
                      Re: 11-9-08

                      MCGREW
                      GUARANTEED WINNER....Glenn's NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
                      (213) TENNESSEE TITANS
                      (214) CHICAGO BEARS
                      Take " (213) TENNESSEE TITANS "
                      Non-Conference Game of the Year - Tennessee.... The NFL's only unbeaten team, the Tennessee Titans, head to the Windy City on Sunday to take on the Chicago Bears, leaders of the NFC North. Both teams own strong defensive lines with the Titans allowing 92 yards rushing a game, the Bears just 82. The difference defensively is that Tennessee possesses much better linebacker and secondary units, which is why they allow a league-best 12.9 points per game. Over the last 12 games, only one opponent has scored more than 17 points on the Titans. Now that stop unit catches a big break, taking on a Bear's squad that will start erratic Rex Grossman rather than the injured Kyle Orton. Orton, who suffered a severe ankle injury, had guided Chicago to wins in 12 of his 14 starts at Soldier Field. Add in the fact the visitors are a money-making 16-6 ATS vs the NFC while the hosts are 1-7 both SU and ATS as a non-conference underdog and you've got a play on the streaking Titans.
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98671

                        #41
                        Re: 11-9-08

                        Bob Akmens

                        tenn -3
                        ny jets -9
                        grenn bay +2.5

                        san jose -150
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98671

                          #42
                          Re: 11-9-08

                          Stan Sharp

                          Eagles -3

                          Triple Dime
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98671

                            #43
                            Re: 11-9-08

                            Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
                            Date: Sunday, November 09, 2008
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                            6000* NFL SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH
                            232 Philadelphia -3 8:15 EST
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98671

                              #44
                              Re: 11-9-08

                              Heisman Trophy Club

                              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Htc Bears & Lions
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