2-2-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Turner

NBA

Game: Utah at Golden State
Pick: Under 194.5 (-110)

Game: Memphis at Atlanta
Pick: Under 182.5 (-110)

NHL

Game: Dallas at San Jose
Pick: San Jose -1.5 (+150)

Game: Chicago at Edmonton
Pick: Edmonton (+145)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

50* Wright State-Butler over 115.5
100* Portland-Sacramento over 190
1000* Pac-12 hammer TBA

[Mr. IWS]

POWER PLAY WINS

ATLANTA -4 over Memphis
SPURS -9 over Hornets



POWER PLAY WINS

DUKE -3.5 over V. Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS

Atlanta/ Memphis Over 184: Memphis comes in struggling a bit on offense as they have averaged just 86.4 ppg in their last 5 games, but I feel they are due to breakout a bit in this one. Atlanta has allowed 92 points or more in 4 of their last 6 game and they do allow 92.2 ppg and I feel that the Grizzlies should be good for at least 92 points in this one. Atlanta has been a very so,id team on offense this year as they have averaged 97.6 ppg on 45.6% shooting, while at home they have averaged 103.8 ppg on 46.7% shooting. The Hawks are also a very good 3pt shooting teams as they have hit 40.4 % of their long range shots overall and 38.8% of them at home. Neither team is great from the line, but if both teams hit their percentages we should be fine. This is a low OU line for an Atlanta home game where 196 ppg have been scored and i would expect this one to hit 190 or higher.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

New Orleans/ San Antonio Over 183.5: Like the Grizzlies above, the Hornets have had problems scoring this year as they have averaged just 88.1 ppg on the year, but they have picked it up a bit of late as they have averaged 92.6 ppg in their last 6 games and 99 ppg in their last 2 games. Now in a game with an OU line of 183.5 and where the Spurs are expected to win, if the Hornets hit 92 points in this one, then this will be an easy over. It won't be that easy to hit though as the Spurs have allowed just 89.6 ppg at home and 87 ppg in their last 5 games overall, but the Hornets did put up 102 points on them in their last game, so i feel that the Hornets should at least hit 90 points in this one. The Spurs on offense have been pushing the ball a bit more this year and it has resulted in 97 ppg overall, including 101.8 ppg at home and they should be able to score plenty on a Hornets team that has allowed 95.4 ppg on the road and 98.2 ppg on a whopping 49% shooting their last 5 overall. Even if the Hornets are held to around 89 or 90 points, i have to believe that the Spurs are good for at least 95 points and that will still get us the OVER here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Over in all games where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points and the road team is a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG) off a game where the combined score was 205 or higher, vs an average defensive team (92-98 PPG). This play is 43-16 since 1996.

Utah/ Golden State Over 194.5: I sense a pattern here LOL. Utah games have been a bit high scoring of last as their last 6 games have averaged 203.8 ppg. The Jazz have been excellent at the Offensive end of late as they have hit the century mark in 7 of their last 10 games, while scoring an average of 102.1 ppg over that stretch. Now they get to face a Golden State team that has allowed 99.2 ppg overall and 98.3 ppg at home The Warriors on offense have averaged 96.2 ppg overall, while in their last 3 (all at home) that number has jumped to 101 ppg. Utah has not played great defense on the road this year, where they have allowed 102.7 ppg, while they have also allowed 103.2 ppg in their last 5 overall. Both teams have their offenses clicking a bit right now and that should translate in about 200 points or more in this one. KEY TRENDS--- UTAH is 25-12 OVER in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons, while GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 OVER in home games off a close home win by 3 points or less since 1996.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Portland -3.5 over SACRAMENTO: The Kings are not a good team and while Portland has struggled on the road this year, they are the better team and should be able to win this one with ease. Let's also Play against home teams shooting <=43% with a defense that allows >=46% on the season against opponent after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less. This play is 24-5 since 1996.

5 POINT TEASER--- Utah +9.5 & San Antonio -4

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL

Nashville +108 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
Since Dec 17, the Flyers are just 9-10. They were laboring before the break and they lost at home to the Jets, 2-1 in their first game back after the All Star game. Philly has several injuries to key personnel that include both James Van Riemsdyk and Daniel Briere. Another issue is goaltending. It seems like every goaltender the Flyers sign, draft or trade for ends up a bust. Ilya Bryzgalov was supposed to be the guy this time around but he's choking under the pressure of playing in a hot market, unlike his time spent in Phoenix and Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Preds have one of the league’s best puck stoppers in Pekka Rinne. They're also the hottest team in the league with five wins in a row, 10 wins in their past 11 and 13 wins in 15 games. They were flat off the break and trailed Minnesota 4-1 going to the third period on Tuesday. A furious rally ensued and the Preds extended their winning streak. Also note that the Preds have allowed two goals or less in nine of 11 while scoring four or more six times over that span. Sticking with the hot squad at price. Play: Nashville +108 (Risking 2 units).

Minnesota +122 over COLORADO Pinnacle
The Wild blew a 4-1 third period lead in first game off the break against the Preds and while they didn't even pick up a point, they still had the hottest team in the league on the ropes. That is something they can take to the dressing room and apply to this game in much the same way the Maple Leafs did last night when they responded to the same situation by beating Pittsburgh. The Avalanche are not the Penguins either. This is a young Avs team that could be very fragile after three straight losses to beatable teams including a loss to Edmonton in their first game back after the break. Colorado has just two wins (Florida and Dallas) in its past 10 games and they're just too flimsy right now to trust as the chalk. Backup goaltender J.S. Giguere is the confirmed starter. Play: Minnesota +122 (Risking 2 units).

Montreal +133 over NEW JERSEY Pinnacle
The New Jersey Devils are much more appealing as the dog than they are in the favorite's roll and once again it's because of weak goaltending. GM Lou Lamoriello has openly stated that he's going to give Brodeur a heavy dose of playing time over the next few weeks in an attempt to get him sharper or perhaps to see whether or not he has to dip into the trade market to strengthen the team. Time will tell but what we do know is that the Devils have lost three of four and needed a goal in the final minute to prevent that losing streak from reaching four. Prior to the break, the Devils outshot Buffalo 28-14 and lost. They outshot Philly 31-20, Boston 31-25, Calgary 38-14 and lost all three. How can the Devils be trusted laying juice when every puck stop is a battle? Conversely, Carey Price is among the best goalies in the game. Montreal has recent wins over Detroit, Toronto and the Rangers. They also have two recent shootout losses to Ottawa and Pittsburgh. In other words, the Habs are playing with a bit of a swagger right now under new coach Randy Cunnyworth. Combine the Canadiens strong efforts with the goaltender mismatch and an upset is a distinct possibility. Play: Montreal +133 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard | CBB Sides Thu, 02/02/12 - 7:00 PM

double-dime bet 519 James Madison 11.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 520 Old Dominion Analysis: Pregame is offering a Special today only. Get Bryan Leonard's 7 & 30 Day Packages at 20% Off. If you sign up today your 7 or 30 Days start tomorrow.

James Madison at Old Dominion The Dukes lost at home to the Monarchs 67-61 exactly one month ago, in a game in which Old Dominion shot 45% from downtown. The Dukes were pounded on the glass by 17 rebounds and still only lost the game by six points. Old Dominion is currently riding a three game winning streak, including a 68-44 thrashing of William & MaÕry the last time they took the court. The Monarchs have home court revenge on deck against George Mason in a series that has been a dogfight in recent years. Old Dominion has beaten James Madison seven straight games, and we can clearly see the host going through the motions here as they look forward to the bigger game on deck against a hated rival. PLAY JAMES MADISON

[Mr. IWS]

MASTER RELEASE CONFIDENTIAL

02 FEB
Virginia Tech +4.5
Oregon State +3
UCLA +4

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers- 40 Dime LA Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Accuscore - NHL - Bart Lopez

Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning: Lightning Wins
Neither teams are especially good with similar near .500 records, so this game all comes down to home ice advantage. The Jets are a lousy 8-14-4 on the road while the Lighting is 14-7-1 at home. The money line has Tampa Bay as a slight favorite at -132. AccuScore gives the team better odds. The forecast indicates the Lightning have a winning percentage of 63.3. I like the Lightning to win another home contest against the Jets.

Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers: Over 5.5 goals
I like the over pick in this matchup because of the Predator’s consistency on the road and the Flyers’ play at home, in combination with the Tuesday return of Jaromir Jagr. The Predators are a solid 15-9-1 on the road this year, with a very respectable goal differential. The Flyers, on the other hand, score more and give up more goals at home. Philadelphia score 3.5 goals and allows 3.14 goals in front of their fans. In addition, Jagr was back on the ice Tuesday and collected an assist in the SO loss. AccuScore gives the Flyers a forecasted winning percentage of 55.9.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NBA

Memphis +155 over ATLANTA BET365

The Atlanta Hawks are hot. They've won an astounding 16 of 22 games including past three on the road. However, we’re not buying it and that allows us to take advantage of a phony line. When the dust settles, the Hawks are very likely going to be around the .500 mark. When we look at the Hawks’ most recent games, we see that they defeated Detroit, New Orleans and Toronto. The last two quality teams they’ve played, Philly and San Antonio, produced losses by 14 and 22 respectively. Now with a 16-6 record and returning home from a five-game trip, an overvalued Atlanta side will play a team that they rarely see and one that the Hawks know have dropped four of last five. One could not blame the Hawks for looking past this to their upcoming game with the Sixers. Memphis is coming off a nice win over Denver that snapped a four-game losing streak. Prior to that, the Grizz had reeled off seven in a row. They're also 3-0 in their past three games against the East. Atlanta is ripe to be taken here. Play: Memphis +155 (Risking 2 units).


NEW YORK +145 over Chicago BET365
This is the Knicks’ second game since Saturday night. They played Tuesday against Detroit and barely broke a sweat in an easy 27-point win. The Bulls played last night in Philly and lost by 16. They also played Sunday and Monday making this their fourth game in five nights and sixth in nine nights. Regardless of anything else, such scheduling heavily favors the Knicks and that alone makes them worth a wager here. It sure doesn't hurt that Carmelo Anthony is back and has that one game against Detroit under his belt. Incidentally, he scored a modest 25. The Knicks have many flaws, mainly on defense, but this isn't about that. This is a big ticket game in New York and one they'll take very seriously. That up tempo style the Knicks play should bode well here against what should be an exhausted Bulls team minus two key bodies (Hamilton and Deng). This one sets up well for the straight up win and the money line call. Play: New York +145 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Chicago Bulls vs. New York Knicks
One of the most storied Eastern Conference rivalries around is set to write another chapter in the first half of TNT’s doubleheader on Thursday night when Derrick Rose and his Chicago Bulls invade Madison Square Garden to battle Carmelo Anthony and the New York Knicks; tune to TNT for the opening tip at 8:00 ET.

Though Chicago currently sits atop the Central Division standings by 2.5-games over the Indiana Pacers and possesses the conference’s top overall record, it’s been forced to deal with injuries to key players over the course of the last couple weeks. Derrick Rose has since returned to the starting line-up but is still battling his turf toe injury, while veteran Richard Hamilton is once again nursing his nagging groin injury. Though it’s believed Luol Deng will return to action for this one, he’s missed Chicago’s last six games with a torn ligament in his left hand and will no doubt be rusty if he gives it a go. Still, the rest of the crew has gotten the job done leading the Bulls to a road win and cover at Washington a night after falling to the Heat in their epic showdown last Sunday. As long as Coach Thibodeau’s defense continues to allow 87.4 PPG (#2) or less, it’s gonna be awfully hard for the weaker teams in the league to overcome that. Chicago’s 9-4 SU & ATS away from the Windy City to date.

And then there are the New York Knickerbockers… A team many expected to compete with the Boston Celtics for the Atlantic Division title this season. That prognostication looks horrendous right now with NY sitting in third place seven-games in back of the surprising Philadelphia 76ers. The team did go out and take it to the Detroit Pistons their last time out winning 113-86 as nine-point home chalk, but a win over a team that’s won just four overall games hardly makes one confident that NY has turned it around. After pounding Charlotte last Tuesday, NY then went on to drop each of its next three games to Cleveland, Miami, and Houston by an average of 11 points per game. As it is, the Knicks check in 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their L/10 games and 4-6 SU & 2-8 ATS in front of their hometown fans.

New York took two of three from Chicago last season, but split both of the games they hosted SU & ATS; the ‘under’ is 7-1 the L/8 times these squads went at it in the Big Apple. The Bulls are 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS when playing on no rest this season (@PHI Wed night), and check in a money-making 9-4 ATS versus the L/13 sub .500 teams they’ve faced. New York’s failed to cover or win each of the L/5 times it was dogged by four-points or less, and has gone a pathetic 4-11 ATS in its L/15 match-ups with Central Division opposition.

PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers CBB

VIRGINIA TECH +4½ over Duke Pinnacle
Let's see if we have this right. The Hokies are at the bottom of the ACC standings with just one win in the conference. They've lost six of their past seven games and overall they're a pedestrian 12-9. They virtually have no shot of competing in this year's Madness and they've also lost three straight at home. Va Tech's last home win was over Eastern Michigan on De3cember 22, well over a month ago. Meanwhile, Duke is 18-3 overall and 5-1 in the conference. They're ranked #5 in the nation and remain one of the most popular teams in the country, especially to those that don't follow college basketball closely. Football bettors are looking for teams to parlay with their Super Bowl choice on Sunday and you can be sure this one will be on their radar. The books have made the Dukies an enticingly short favorite and that's a red flag for us. If Baylor was a -7 point choice at Texas A&M yesterday, how can the Blue Devils be just -4½ at Va Tech? Forget x's and o's. It's no secret that Duke is the vastly superior team here. However, we know a trap when we see one and this is one we’re not going to get caught in. Play: #514 Virginia Tech +4½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Thursday's Action
40 Dime winner going out on the Colorado Buffaloes as the home favorite against the visiteing Oregon State Beavers. At the time I release this winning selecthon to you, the Buffs are a 3 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
Thursday's Plays...

30 Dime Play on the SOUTH DAKOTA STATE JACKRABBITS as the favorite against Oral Roberts. As I release this selectaon at 1 PM Eastern, South Dakota State is -2 1/2 point favorite in Vegas and offshore.











30 Dime Play on the WEBER STATE WILDCATS as the favorite against Portland State. Weber State is -11 point favorite at the majoriety of books offshore and in Vegas.








30 Dime Play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK as the favorite against Utah State. Nevada is a -7 1/2 point favorhte at the majority of books offshore and in Vegas.