2-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Super Tuesday tips off with a heck of a confrontation in the SEC when the 7th ranked Florida Gators (19-4, 9-8-1 ATS) storm Lexington looking to take down the top ranked Kentucky Wildcats (23-1, 8-14-1 ATS); take this one in live from Rupp Arena at 7:00 ET on ESPN.

The Gators find themselves dogged by oddsmakers for the first time since going into Syracuse back on December 2nd; Florida lost that game 72-68 but covered as seven-point pups to move to 2-0 ATS as underdogs after covering against the Ohio State Buckeyes back in Mid November. Head Coach Billy Donovan had himself a heck of a team a year ago that went 29-8 SU & 17-15-1 ATS while making a heck of a run in the NCAA Tournament before bowing out to Butler in the Elite 8. This squad has most of the ingredients a team needs to make a run at the 2011-12 title, and a win here would only help further cement that notion. Unfortunately, the Gators have had problems away from Gainesville already falling to lesser Rutgers and Tennessee UF checks in 2-4 SU & 3-3 ATS in its six true road games to date.

Though Kentucky got out to a stellar 17-1 SU start through its first 18 games played, it flat out killed its betting backers during that stretch managing just a 3-13-1 ATS record in the 16 lined games. However, after escaping Knoxville with a win mid January, the Wildcats have won each of their last six games played and only suffered one pointspread defeat during that stretch. Last we saw Head Coach John Caliparis super talented squad hit the hardwood, it handed South Carolina a beatdown for the ages winning 86-52 as 11.5-point road chalk. KY has flat out mauled each of its last four opponents beating the likes of Georgia, LSU, Tennessee, and the aforementioned Gamecocks by an average of 24 points per game. The Wildcats are faced with a daunting schedule to close out the regular season, so look for them to make the most of their four remaining home games where they stand a perfect 15-0 SU & bankroll bursting 3-10-1 ATS on the year.

These teams split their regular season meetings a year ago with Florida earning the 70-68 outright home win and cover as one-point underdogs before Kentucky evened the score at home with a 76-68 win that pushed against the closing number. The Wildcats took the season series when they pounded the Gators 70-54 as 1.5-point underdogs in the SEC Tournament Championship Game. The road team is 3-1-1 ATS the L/5 meetings, but the Gators have only covered one of their L/6 following an ATS win. The Gators stand 5-2-1 ATS their L/8 trips to Rupp, but the Wildcats have covered each of their L/4 within the conference. The under has cashed six of the L/8 times these rivals went at it in Lexington.


PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 205.5 Thunder/Warriors

50* Florida +9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | NBA Total - Tuesday, Feb 7 2012 8:05PM
707 SAC / 708 MIN UNDER 198 double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | CBB Sides - Tuesday, Feb 7 2012 9:00PM
726 Auburn 5.5 (-110) vs 725 Alabama double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | NBA Total - Tuesday, Feb 7 2012 7:35PM
705 CHL / 706 BOS UNDER 177 double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Toronto -101 over WINNIPEG Pinnacle
In a letdown spot last night, the Maple Leafs fell behind early and then awoke in time for a rather easy 6-3 victory. Toronto has now won three in a row and five of six with only loss over that span being that bizarre and unlikely one against the Penguins. The Buds have scored four or more goals in four of their past five and they've scored 11 times in their past two. For the first time in a very long time, the Maple Leafs can smell the playoffs. This is confident team that is on a roll and very dangerous at the moment. Despite playing the second game in two nights, winning is much less physically draining than losing and Toronto can't wait to get back on the ice. Winnipeg returns home from a six-game trip that saw them play on the road twice before the break and four times after it. They’ve scored two goals or less in every game of that trip, went 2-4 with the wins occurring in OT and they were held to 24 shots on net or less in the last five games. It's going to take a lot more than that to beat the ascending Leafs. Play: Toronto -101 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

Los Angeles +100 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
Dwayne Roloson is the confirmed starter for the Lightning tonight. In 24 games this year, he has a 3.65 GAA, a .882 save percentage and hasn't played since January 21. For the Kings, it'll be Jonathan Quick and his 1.87 GAA and .934 save percentage. Based on that alone, the Kings are worthy of a bet here, as goaltending often decides the outcome. The Kings would be a huge threat with some more scoring. It's no secret that their Achilles Heel all season has been a lack of production. However, the Bolts are not strong defensively and you can count on L.A. attacking with everything they have against a vulnerable 42-year-old, fragile netminder. Tampa Bay could get caught looking ahead to an upcoming three games in four nights road trip against the Rangers, Buffalo and Pittsburgh this coming Thursday, Saturday and Sunday respectively. Play: Los Angeles +100 (Risking 2 units).

New Jersey +150 over N.Y. RANGERS Pinnacle
The Devils remain the Rodney Dangerfield’s of the NHL. They keep getting offered these ridiculous prices and they keep rewarding their backers. New Jersey has won four straight since the break. They beat the Rangers, Philly, Montreal and Pittsburgh. They had a 6-0 lead on Philadelphia and beat the Pens 5-2. They scored four goals or more in all of the above, yet they keep being offered prices that you would find on teams like Calgary and the Islanders. Yes, they have goaltending issues and yes the Rangers are one of the best. However, the Devils can match anyone outside of goal, they're popping in goals at an eye-opening rate and they deserve much more credit than this. We're not always in the business of predicting the outcome of games. We're commonly in the business of finding value and letting the chips fall where they may. With this quality team and what is being offered, this one surely fits. Play: New Jersey +150 (Risking 2 units).

OTTAWA +107 over St. Louis Pinnacle
Ottawa is in a funk with six straight losses but one was in OT and three others were by a single goal. In other words, with a couple of bounces they could easily be 3-3 or even 4-2 over that span. The point is, they're the same team that was winning games earlier. They've just hit a little snag in the road. The Senators are not hanging their heads. They're competing with the same fire they've had all season and such diligence does not go unrewarded for long. Much of the focus here is on Blues goalie Brian Elliott, who played in Ottawa for 3½ years before signing with St. Louis this season. He never stood out for a second in his time as a Senator. This year though, he's an all-star and surely wants to have an impact upon his return to Ottawa. However, the Blues are just 2-5-2 in their past nine road games and 8-11-3 overall. The Blue Notes have scored one goal in five of their past seven games and that serious lack of production does not warrant them being chalk on the road. Finally, St. Louis has lost the last five matchups in Ottawa while not scoring more than two goals in any contest and this one isn't likely to be any different. Play: Ottawa +107 (Risking 2 units).

Vancouver +109 over NASHVILLE Pinnacle
The Canucks are almost always worth a look when taking back a tag and we certainly make no exception here. The Canucks are third in the NHL in points and they've picked up points in five straight and 14 of their past 17 games. The real kicker here is that they could also be in Pekka Rinne's kitchen. In two games this year against Nashville, Rinne was yanked both times after allowing four goals on 16 shots in the first game and five goals on 18 shots in the second. There's not a lot more to say other than reiteracting that we get one of the NHL's elite teams that is always tough to beat and we're taking back a tag against a goaltender they've owned this season. Play: Vancouver +109 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Power
Date Sport Game Pick View
2/7/2012 NBA Utah at Indiana 7:00 PM ET Indiana -8.5 Detail
2/7/2012 NBA Cleveland at Miami 7:30 PM ET Miami -13 Detail
2/7/2012 NBA Phoenix at Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee -7 Detail
2/7/2012 NHL Phoenix Coyotes at Dallas Stars 8:30 PM ET Dallas Stars -144 Detail
2/7/2012 NCB Purdue at Ohio State 9:00 PM ET over 130

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | CBB Total - Tuesday, Feb 7 2012 7:00PM
717 Maryland / 718 Clemson OVER 134 double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

MINNESOTA -6½ over Sacramento

The Kings appear to be on the rise with three consecutive wins and that allows us an opportunity to cash in on what most perceive as “too many points”, especially with Kevin Love suspended. Frankly, we'd be surprised to see Sacramento stay within double-digits of the Timberwolves. Two of the Kings three wins came at home against visiting Portland and Golden State, the former by three points and the latter in OT. They also defeated the (4-21) Hornets in New Orleans last night in a game they trailed by 13 at the half. Prior to those three wins, the Kings lost to Golden State and Utah, both by just three points. The Kings have played five straight intense games. Now they'll play their fourth game in six days, third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs. For sound teams, that's a daunting task. Sacramento is anything but sound. They rank 30th in the Association in both points allowed and assists per game. Meanwhile, Minnesota has won five of seven with only two losses over that span coming against the Lakers and Pacers. Look for the Timberwolves to give a little extra here in support of Love, who will serve the first game of his suspension. The T-Wolves have been off since Saturday and they really should have little trouble disposing of this weak intruder right from the tipoff. Play: Minnesota -6½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
CBB 208-184 Season-to-Date +$1530
Game: Iowa State at Oklahoma State (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oklahoma State -2 (-110)

It has been an unexpected joy ride through early February for the Iowa State Cyclones who bring a 17-6 mark with them to Stillwater. They have not had a lot of road games, and it has shown itself, as they have posted just a 3-4 mark on the road. The Cowboys are looking to even-up their record at 12-12, have still fared well here at 8-3 on the season. The Cowboys held their own vs. a rugged Baylor team before losing by 4 here, and pinned one of just two losses on Missouri here by 7. Winning has come frequently for the home-standing Cowboys, including vs. the number where they are 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 at home.
Play on Oklahoma State.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers CBB

Purdue +14 over OHIO STATE Pinnacle
The Buckeyes are among the best teams in the country and are a true threat to reach the Final Four this season. They are currently ranked #3 with a 20-3 record and an impressive 8-2 mark in the Big-Ten, where they've now won five in a row. Obviously, they are capable of crushing the inferior Boilermakers but in this scenario, we’re doubtful that they do. OSU is coming off two huge wins over #22 Michigan and #20 Wisconsin. They have second place and #12 Michigan State on deck and this one sits right in the middle of those three. After a two-point loss to Michigan and a two-point win in Northwestern, the Boilermakers can be excused for a lame showing against Indiana on Saturday. They have a slew of close losses this season against Alabama, Xavier, Butler, Wisconsin and Michigan, not to mention some notable wins as well. Purdue may be a class below some of its conference mates but they are battle tested and in a good situational spot here. Play: Purdue +14 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers CBB

Purdue +14 over OHIO STATE Pinnacle
The Buckeyes are among the best teams in the country and are a true threat to reach the Final Four this season. They are currently ranked #3 with a 20-3 record and an impressive 8-2 mark in the Big-Ten, where they've now won five in a row. Obviously, they are capable of crushing the inferior Boilermakers but in this scenario, we’re doubtful that they do. OSU is coming off two huge wins over #22 Michigan and #20 Wisconsin. They have second place and #12 Michigan State on deck and this one sits right in the middle of those three. After a two-point loss to Michigan and a two-point win in Northwestern, the Boilermakers can be excused for a lame showing against Indiana on Saturday. They have a slew of close losses this season against Alabama, Xavier, Butler, Wisconsin and Michigan, not to mention some notable wins as well. Purdue may be a class below some of its conference mates but they are battle tested and in a good situational spot here. Play: Purdue +14 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

indian cowboy

4 units evansville +5

[Mr. IWS]

Master Release Confidential
CBB Plays for Tuesday, February 7
Iowa State +2.5