2-10-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports

Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Carolina Hurricanes @ Colorado Avalanche - Friday February 10, 2012 9:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 5.5 (-140)


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers @ Detroit Titans - Friday February 10, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: Detroit Titans -5 (-110)


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves - Friday February 10, 2012 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: Dallas Mavericks -2 (-110)


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic - Friday February 10, 2012 7:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 182.5 (+100)

[Mr. IWS]

Totals4U

BigBet
Oklahoma City/Utah over 200 1/2

---------------
NBA
Miami/Washington under 199 1/2
Chicago/Charlotte under 183 1/2
New Jersey/Detroit under 188
LA Lakers/New York over 186

[Mr. IWS]

Turner

NBA

Game: L.A. Clippers at Philadelphia
Pick: Over 189.5 (-110)

NHL

Game: Carolina at Colorado
Pick: Colorado -1.5 (+220)

Game: Anaheim at Detroit
Pick: Detroit -1.5 (+140)

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Friday Hockey Plays

Play Detroit -210 over Anaheim TOP PLAY
Play Buffalo -135 over Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NBA (Passing in College Hoops)

Philadelphia -4 over L.A. Clippers Pinnacle
We routinely see totals in the low 180's but when the Clippers play, the total is rarely under the mid 190’s. That's because they Clippers are the 4th highest scoring team in the league. They're coming off a loss in Cleveland and despite a 5-5 road record, they have lost to almost every respectable team they've played on the road. After beating the Warriors on the road to open the year, L.A. then dropped consecutive away games to San Antonio, Portland, Utah and the Lakers. They've won four of its last five road games but two of those came by less than two baskets and the other was in OT. They could conceivably be 2-8 on the road and now they'll play one of the best defensive and top home teams in the league. The Clippers are poor defensively and they're poor on the boards, as they rank 25th in both categories. By contrast, the 76ers rank second defensively and 7th in rebounding. They're also 13-4 at home after losing to San Antonio in their last game. A closer look reveals that Philly's last six games have come against Orlando, Chicago, Miami, Atlanta, the Lakers and San Antonio. They exceed the Clippers in almost all categories and even though they score less they hit a higher percentage of their shots. The 76ers are 15-2 when they lead in shot percentage. They're also 10-2 when they out-rebound their opponents and you can count on that hapenning here. Being 15-8 and now without Chauncey Billups, the Clippers’ record is significantly better than they are. Play: Philadelphia -4 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

Indiana +106 over MEMPHIS Pinnacle
The Grizzlies are a somewhat respectable 13-13 thus far. However, they've lost seven of their past 10 games and they're too erratic to trust giving away anything to quality opponents. The Pacers are pure quality. They come in here with a 17-8 record. On one day's rest like they have here, Indiana is 11-4 while the Grizzlies are just 10-9. We also like the fact that Indiana has lost four straight to this opponent and all four games were double-digit losses, including last year's 21-point loss here. Guaranteed that the Pacers are aware of the way the Grizzlies have handled them but for the first time in a while, Indiana is the superior team now and you can expect a response. Roy Hibbert is a beast in the middle, as he and the whole front court can seriously fill it up. The Pacers have few weaknesses while the Grizzlies have many. One figures the Pacers to want this one more simply due to the fact that they have four straight double digit losses to this host. Play: Indiana +106 (Risking 2 units).

UTAH +100 over Oklahoma City Pinnacle
The Thunder are scary good. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant are the league's most dynamic duo next to LeBron and D-Wade. On an even playing field they would absolutely bury this enthusiastic Jazz bunch but this near impossible situation for the Thunder screams for a play on the Jazz. OKC played in Sacramento last night. They played in Portland on Monday and Golden State on Tuesday. This will be its fourth game in five nights, its sixth game since last Friday and its final game of a five-game trip. Westbrook and Durant played 38 and 42 minutes respectively last night. Not only wll it be the Thunder's fourth in five and sixth game since Friday but one can't ignore the difficulty of playing in the high altitude in Utah under these extreme conditions. After this game, the Thunder will be off all weekend and won't play again until Tuesday. No question they'll be looking forward to three full days off, thus the Jazz and their 11-4 home record should be able to take full advantage. Play: Utah +100 (Risking units).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Los Angeles Lakers vs. New York Knicks
ESPNs Friday night twin bill tips off with a doozy as Kobe Bryant leads his Lakers (14-11, 11-14 ATS) into the Big Apple to battle a resurgent New York Knicks (11-15, 11-15 ATS) outfit looking to scalp their fourth straight opponent; The Madison Square Garden tip is set to go at 8:00 ET.

The Lakers current six-game road trip has been anything but kind since the team went into Denver and took advantage of a Nuggets team playing its third game in just four days to pull out the 93-89 outright road win and cover. Since then, LAs road woes have continued with it dropping back-to-back games at Utah and Philadelphia to fall to a pathetic 3-9 SU & ATS heading into Thursday nights clash with the Celtics in Beantown. Los Angeles will be playing this one on no rest; a scenario thats seen them go 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS on the year. The big three of Bryant, Pau Gasol, and Andrew Bynum lead the team in just about every statistical category imaginable, and the lack of solid bench play has really hurt this squad in the dying moments of most of their close games. The Lakers stand 1-2 SU & ATS the three times they were installed road favorites by oddsmakers to date.

Where the heck was Jeremy Lin at the beginning of the season? How on gods green earth did it take Coach Mike DAntoni and his staff this long to put him in the starting line-up? Amare has been dying to play pick n roll with a competent teammate ever since he bolted the desert and ended his beautiful playing relationship with Steve Nash. Though the big man only got to play with him once before tragedy struck his family, the Knicks have been benefitting from his tenacious style of play since being installed into the starting line-up against the Jazz. Theres no need to go back and look at the Knicks results pre-Lin, as they were terrible. Just know this, NY will go into tonights contest having won each of their last three games and each of their last six against the closing number; easily their best win streak of the strike shortened season. A win here would pull them even as a host as well as improve upon their 5-8 ATS record.

Los Angeles has made a mockery of this rivalry winning nine of the L/10 meetings and posting a 6-4 record against the spread; the under has cashed in each of the L/3 meetings. LA won and covered all three meetings last season which included going into MSG and handing the Knicks a 113-96 beatdown as three-point road favorites. The road team has covered five of the L/7 in the recent series, but Los Angeles has only covered three of its L/14 games away from the Staples Center. New York has covered each of its L/4 on a full day of rest, but has only come out a pointspread victor in one of their L/9 tussles against Pacific Division opposition.


PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 121.5 Penn/Harvard

50* Dartmouth +13

[Mr. IWS]

Free NBA Pick for Friday from Doc’s Sports (Doc has earned $100 bettors $2400 on the season for NBA picks and we are 8-0-1 this season for picks rated 5-Units or higher and we have a 5-Unit NBA Game of the Week highlighting a strong Saturday card this weekend – 6-0 this season for NBA GOWs)
#867 Take Dallas/Minnesota UNDER 192 (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
These are two middle-of-the-pack offenses and Dallas has one of the best defenses in the league and Minnesota has been playing much better in that area. We had this total handicapped in the high 180s so there is definitely a couple points of value here on Friday night. Both teams were off on Friday so both defenses should be ready to go in this one. The Timberwolves under at home has been one of the strongest bets in the NBA this season at 10-5. This team was pretty bad defensively last season but they have improved in that area and with scoring down overall in the NBA in this lockout-shortened season, the bookies have often posted too-high totals for Minnesota home games. We think that is once again the case for Friday. Minnesota has been playing very well recently on D, allowing an average of only 87 PPG in their last three contests. Dallas has a very stout defense and they allow only 91 PPG on the road this year. At the same time, the Mavericks offense scores only 91 PPG on the road this season. These teams met a couple weeks ago and the total went way over the posted number with the final calculating to 195. A close look at that game shows some abnormalities, however. The Timberwolves, who won the game, shot well above their season average from the field and they were lights out from three-point land (43% compared to their 33% this season, and they took a lot of three-point attempts in this game). They also got to the line for a whopping 33 shots and they made 28 of their free throws. As a result of that game the bookies have overadjusted this line (that one closed at 183.5). Since the Mavs were dominated last time we think they really clamp down on defense in this one and we expect the winner here to score around 95 with the loser a couple points back.

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
NBA 82-62 Season-to-Date +$2920
Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 186.5 -110

The Los Angeles Clippers are enjoying the spotlight with their high wire act in the paint in Blake Griffin, and top shelf distributor at the point in Chris Paul. Questions now arise with the missing experience of Chauncey Billups and his 15 points per game, 30 minutes a night, and 4 assists to complement Paul. They come to Philadelphia who has been iron clad and smothering at home on the defensive end where they have kept six opponents in the 70s or less on the season. They have come back taking it personally after allowing 100+ to go 7-0 to the UNDER in their next game. Overall they are 16-5 in their last 21 to the UNDER as a home favorite. The Clippers haven't had success either when facing a team that allowed 100+ in their previous game to produce a 6-1 mark to the UNDER in their last seven.
Play on the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo 2/10
L.A. Clippers +4
Buffalo Sabres -138
Indiana +1.5
Wright State -3
Utah +1

[Mr. IWS]

Free College Basketball Prediction From Indian Cowboy:

Take Vanderbilt over Kentucky (9 p.m., Friday, Feb. 10)
This is a dangerous game for Kentucky in several ways. For starters, they come off a thumping of Florida at home and, of course, as the No. 1 team their confidence is sky high. But, keep in mind that this is a Friday night game in Vanderbilt and the crowd will be rocking and if there was a spot for an upset to be made, or at least the public to get buried, then this would be that spot. Vandy is a team that is Tournament bound and has plenty of senior leadership. This is a team that had their starting seniors return simply to make a more consistent run at the NCAA Tournament rather than a one-and-done situation. I have Vanderbilt as a Top 35 team in the power rankings and note that they are Top 15 in the country in effective field goal percentage and 3-point field goals made. This is the same team that lost to Louisville by 2 points at home and beat Marquette outright on the road. Kentucky can have their letdown spots such as losing to Tennessee by just three p! oints on the road and losing to Indiana on the road as well in a very similar situation to what they face against Vandy. I like Vandy and their seniors to step up here in a big home game on Friday night television as they should keep this game close and stay inside the cover if not with a shot at a potential outright upset.

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman SportsCarolina Hurricanes vs. Colorado Avalanche (NHL) - 9:00 PM ESTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -129 Colorado Avalanche Play Title: Rocketman Sports 4* NHL play FridayCarolina @ Colorado 9:05 PM EST Play On: 4* Colorado -129 Colorado is 10-2 this year in non-conference games. Carolina is 6-20 on the road this year. Colorado is 7-0-2 SU at home vs Carolina since 1996. Hurricanes are 17-36 in their last 53 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Hurricanes are 17-38 in their last 55 games as a road underdog. Hurricanes are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Hurricanes are 5-13 in their last 18 vs. a team with a losing record. Hurricanes are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hurricanes are 6-20 in their last 26 road games. Hurricanes are 6-20 in their last 26 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Southeast. Avalanche are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference. Avalanche are 12-3 in their last 15 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games. Avalanche are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Avalanche are 11-5 in their last 16 home games. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Hurricanes are 3-12-1 in the last 16 meetings. Hurricanes are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado. We'll play Colorado for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Murphy
Mia vs Heat over 201
Twolves plus 2.5
Loyola Mary plus 2.5 cbb

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Atlanta/ Orlando Under 182.5: Defense is the key to this one and both teams have been playing excellent at that end of the floor this year as the hawks have allowed just 91.3 ppg, while the Magic have allowed just 91.6 ppg. On the road the Hawks have been even stingier where they have allowed just 89.5 ppg on 42% shooting, while in their last 3 away from home (regulation only), they have allowed just 78.3 ppg. Orlando's offense has been getting it going of late as they have put up 100 ppg in their last 5 games, but they are coming off a huge game with Miami and there are internal problems with Howard so this team might not be that focused at the offensive end tonight. Atlanta has averaged just 9.3 ppg on the road, while in their last 5 overall they have put up just 90.2 ppg. I expect this to be a defensive struggled tonight as both teams have been excellent at that end of the floor this year. This game should fall in the 170's with ease.

Oklahoma City/ Utah Under 201: On the surface it would look like a great over play as the Thunder's first 4 games on this trip have averaged 215.8 ppg, while Utah's last 5 games have averaged 201 ppg, but as Lee Corso always says "Not so fast my friend". This is the Thunder's 4th game in 5 days and their 2 time playing in BB games over that stretch and that has to have an effect on this team, especially when it comes to shooting the ball. Tired legs wont help them score as much or play the uptempo game they are used to. . What also won't help them score as much is the fact that Utah has allowed just 92.9 ppg at home on the year. Utah has averaged 99 ppg at home this year, but just 97.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall and while they will be playing a bad team< i don't expect them to hit more thn 95 in this one as the pace of the game should be slowed down, limiting the scoring chances of both teams. Judging by the numbers in the first part of this write up the OU line should be higher, but it stands at just 201. Hmmmm. Seems like someone wants us to take the Over but Ill head the other way and expect a game in the low 190's.

5 POINT TEASER--- Atlanta +10 & Portland -2

OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS

Chicago/ Charlotte Under 182.5: Talk about some tired legs. This will be Chicago's 8th straight on the road, so their shooting legs may not be all there. The Bulls have allowed just 87.7 ppg overall and 91.8 ppg on the road, while in their last game they allowed just 67 points to New Orleans. Charlotte has averaged just 87.2 ppg overall and 82.6 ppg in their last 5 games and should really be held in check by Chicago tonight. I really don't expect more than 80 from the Bobcats, while Chicago's tired legs should keep them at best 95 points.

UTAH +1 over Oklahoma City: I kinda like this play as well. OKC is playing their 4th game in 5 days (all on the road), while Utah has had a couple days rest and they are at home where they have gone a solid 11-4 on the year. This game should be close till we hit the 4th quarter, where i expect the Jazz to pull away from this tired team.

1 UNIT PLAY

DETROIT -2.5 over New Jersey: New Jersey has lost 4 in a row, while Detroit has won 3 in a row, including a win at NJ on Wednesday. Gonna go with the hotter team playing at home.