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N.Y. ISLANDERS +105 over Los Angeles Pinnacle
The Kings play their fifth straight on the road here and in three of those games they scored one goal or less. That's not a good recipe for playing chalk on the road. Their one win on this trip was in Tampa Bay but losses to Carolina and Florida are inexcusable. The Kings’ lack of production and resulting frustration has not been rectified. Defensively, L.A. is one of the best teams in the league, which has been its saving grace. However, when you have to rely on your goaltender to keep coming up big in order to win, it’s an added pressure and it makes it difficult to be slotted in the favourite’s role. The Islanders picked up points in five straight games before losing to the Canadiens in their most recent. They remain a tough out for any opposing team because of their balanced scoring, current run and the suddenly hot goaltending of Evgeni Nabokov. Also note that this game is a 1:00 PM EST start and for the Kings, that's highly unusual. Wrong side favored. Play: N.Y. Islanders +105 (Risking 2 units).
Nashville +140 over BOSTON Pinnacle
1:00 PM EST. The Bruins’ Stanley Cup hangover has occurred much later than expected but it has arrived. Boston has dropped three of its last four games and was outscored 11-1 in the process. That's one goal in three games against Buffalo, Carolina and Buffalo. Now Tim Thomas is being hounded by the media for all his political statements since not showing up at the Whitehouse and instead of letting it fade away, Thomas made more political statements on his Facebook page recently. All this coincides with the Bruins funk and while it may not mean anything, one can't ignore the distractions it has caused and what affect that it's having. Conversely, the Predators are as sound as can be. They're strong defensively, they're scoring goals, they have an outstanding netminder and they rarely endure any prolonged slumps. Nashville had won five straight before losses to Philly and Vancouver in OT and that's nothing to hang one's head over. They've still picked up points in two of their past four games and that includes a 3-1 win over the NHL's hottest team, the St. Louis Blues. The Preds are always a live pup. Against a suddenly fragile B's club, the Preds offer up some strong value here. Play: Nashville +140 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +101 over PHOENIX Pinnacle
This selection has nothing to do with the “due” factor as that is an angle we don't subscribe to. It has everything to do with the Blackhawks being a high quality club that has to be sick of losing. The Blackhawks’ annual prolonged trip is turning into a nightmare after losing in San Jose 5-3 last night and running their streak to seven straight losses. A game against the Coyotes couldn't have come at a better time. Playing in Phoenix is like playing in a mausoleum. There's no atmosphere whatsoever, as the building is three-quarters empty and it's demoralizing for a host club to endure that. Phoenix has won four in a row but we're not buying it for a second. They didn't outplay any of those clubs but instead got very lucky in wins over Detroit, Calgary, Dallas and San Jose. That has their stock inflated. Now the Coyotes will host a ravenous beast that hasn't eaten in almost three weeks. The superior club digs down deep here. Play: Chicago +101 (Risking 2 units).
Montreal +129 over TORONTO Pinnacle
The Canadiens are playing better than they have all season with three straight wins over Winnipeg, Pittsburgh and the Islanders. They also had a strong showing in a 5-3 loss in New Jersey prior to that but the Devils had four of the most bizarre goals in one game that you'll ever see. The real kicker here is that the Maple Leafs will retire Mats Sundin's jersey tonight. This is an angle we love. The host will stand around for 45 minutes on their own blue line while the Habs will be sitting in the dressing room getting properly prepared. These ceremonies look nice for TV and all but they are a big hindrance to the host. Along with everything else, there is Ron Wilson's stubbornness to go with the lesser James Reimer in net over Jonas Gustavsson. Reimer has been inconsistent and can look shaky in net while Gustavsson's form is sharp. Carey Price is among the best and is playing like it. Toronto has dropped two straight and can feel the pressure of hanging onto that final playoff spot. Current form and goaltending edge both go to the Canadiens. Play: Montreal +129 (Risking 2 units).
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
The Kentucky Wildcats (24-1, 9-14-1 ATS) will look to continue their recent onslaught of SEC opponents Saturday night when they travel to Nashville to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (17-7, 10-10 ATS) in ESPNs game of the night; tune in at 9:00 ET to take this one in live!
Only six games stand in the way of Kentucky going through its SEC schedule unscathed. The Wildcats improved to a perfect 10-0 SU within the conference on Tuesday night after taking the 7th ranked Florida Gators out behind the woodshed and serving up a good old fashioned southern beating. The most impressive aspect taken away from that game was certainly the ease in which KYs defense shut down Floridas sharpshooters. The Gators are one of the best shooting teams in the country both from two and three-point range, but the Wildcats limited them to a paltry 34.9 percent conversion rate from the field which included a woeful 6-of-27 effort from beyond the arc. Frosh sensation Anthony Davis once again made a huge impact scoring 16 points while swatting away four shots and collecting six rebounds. Kentucky is allowing an average of just 57.7 PPG and possesses the nations top FG percentage defense (35.8%). Theyve won five of their six true road games (3-3 ATS) to date and will be playing on a five-game ATS winning streak.
Its been a tale of two seasons for the experienced Commodores in 2011-12 pre and post Festus Ezeli. Without the big man in the line-up, Head Coach Kevin Stallings kids went 5-3 SU & 3-3 ATS in their six lined games. With him back clogging the paint, the Dores have gone 12-4 SU & 7-7 versus the closing pointspread. Most recently, Vanderbilt put an end to its two-game SU & three-game ATS losing streak by defeating LSU at home 76-61 as 11-point home favorites. Ezeli and John Jenkins were simply sensational combining to score 41 of the teams 76 point output, with guard Jeffery Taylor putting forth the most complete stat line with 19 points, two steals, two assists, and six rebounds. The win moved the Commodores to 11-4 SU but just 4-7 ATS as a host on the year. For Vanderbilt to have any shot of competing in this one, the defense is going to have to force turnovers and the offense is going to have to limit turnovers and take high quality shots. This game will mark just the third time theyve been dogged in SEC play (1-1 SU & ATS), and first at home.
These conference rivals split their two meetings a year ago with Vanderbilt winning 81-77 as one-point home underdogs in the first go round and Kentucky squeaking out the 68-66 win as hosts three weeks later; Vandy covered both contests. Kentucky has covered each of its L/5 SEC battles, but has only defeated the oddsmakers at a 2-7-1 ATS clip the L/9 times it opposed a +.600 opponent. Vanderbilt checks in just 8-20 ATS its L/28 match-ups against +.500 road teams, but is also 4-1 SU & ATS the L/5 times it was dogged by six-points or less.
4:00 PM EST. The Aggies have played better lately but it’s not showing up in the win column. A 2-4 record in their past six is not as weak as it may seem after facing some top tiered teams. They basically did what was expected record-wise but they did stay close to some of the top teams in the country. Now they'll travel to Iowa State after that difficult set of games. The Aggies are leaving the conference after this season so that last game against Texas was a farewell if you will. Texas/Texas A&M is one of the most historic rivalries in all of sports and the intensity level for the entire 40 minutes was extremely high. They have Texas Tech on deck, followed by a home game against Mizzou. The Aggies can't have much left in their tank right now. They also have key injuries to two of their best players and even if one or both go today, it's unlikely to matter. The Cyclones are right in the thick of this thing with a 7-4 conference mark. They're home for the first time since Jan 31, where they're 12-2. ISU just split its two-game trip to Oklahoma/Oklahoma St and can't afford to leave this one in doubt for a second. This is a quality Cyclones squad that can score and rebound. They should have little trouble beating an Aggies team that they manhandled on Jan 7th by a 70-54 count and against a visitor that is on an 0-5 road run, coming off its biggest game of the season. Play: #586 Iowa State -7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Totals4U 2/11
Kansas State/Texas under 133
Orlando/Milwaukee under 188 1/2
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Denver/Indiana under 200
Philadelphia/Cleveland over 185
New York/Minnesota under 194
Phoenix/Sacramento under 196 1/2
Louisville/West Virginia under 133 1/2
Connecticut/Syracuse under 132
San Diego State/UNLV under 142 1/2
Maryland/Duke over 152 1/2
Michigan State/Ohio State under 128
Kentucky/Vanderbilt over 138
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