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PORTLAND -4 over San Antonio Pinnacle
The Spurs were involved in a close one last night in Utah. It was tight throughout and came right down to the wire. Prior to that one, San Antonio won in OT against the Clippers. They've been involved in four close games in a row. They've also played six road games in a row and this is their seventh. In summarizing, the Spurs have gone from Toronto to Los Angeles to Utah and now to Portland. That's four different time zones in four successive games. It's also the Spurs third game in four days and fifth in seven. They'll play this one with no sense of urgency whatsoever but they'll play it as a tired and rather satisfied group. That opens the door for a solid Blazers team to take advantage of. Portland will ruin any team that comes into the Rose Garden not ready to play at full speed. They also owe the Spurs one from a 16-point loss they took in San Antonio in mid January. The Trail Blazers have won 12 of 17 home games and after losing to the Lakers last night in a game they trailed by 30 at one point, they won't be in any kind of gracious mood tonight. Play: Portland -4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Jeff Benton
Tuesday's Action 40 Dimewinner going out on the Virginia Cavaliers as the road favarite agdainst the Virginia Tech Hokies. At the time I release this selechion, the Cavs are a 2 1/2-point favorite against the Hokies both here in Vegas and offshore.
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kentucky Wildcats @ Mississippi State Bulldogs - Tuesday February 21, 2012 9:00 pm
Pick: 5 units (Normal) ATS: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (-105)
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kent State Golden Flashes @ Miami Ohio Redhawks - Tuesday February 21, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Kent State Golden Flashes -140
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes - Tuesday February 21, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 5 units (Normal) ATS: Ohio State Buckeyes -15.5 (-101)
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Georgetown Hoyas @ Seton Hall Pirates - Tuesday February 21, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Georgetown Hoyas -125
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Philadelphia 76ers @ Memphis Grizzlies - Tuesday February 21, 2012 8:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 180 (+100)
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Sacramento Kings @ Miami Heat - Tuesday February 21, 2012 7:35 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 203.5 (-110)
Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat: Under 202.5 points
I like this pick because of the Kings. Miami can score with the best of them and is averaging 103.3 points per game. I have no doubts that the Heat will break the 100 point barrier in a win tonight. The issue is Sacramento, which averages a lowly 93.1 points per game. I don’t think the inexperienced Kings have the firepower or the poise to drop 100 points against a swarming Heat defense on the road. The under pick has an AccuScore probability of 58.3 percent.
Portland Trail Blazers (-4) vs. San Antonio Spurs
This is certainly not the obvious pick as I’m sure most people are going to go with the scorching Spurs that have won 11 straight games. I know I said the Blazers looked bad last night against the Lakers, but that was a road game. Portland is a completely different team in front of its crazed fans. The Blazers are 12-5 at home with a point differential of 11.1 points. I think the Spurs’ winning streak will come to an end as the Blazers bounce back from a bad loss.
Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks: Red Wings Win
This game with definitely be a close one. The money line essentially has it being a toss-up, although with a slight edge to Detroit. AccuScore’s forecast gives the Red Wings slightly better odds with a forecasted winning percentage of 54.8. The Blackhawks have been solid at home, averaging around 3.4 goals per game, and the Red Wings have been average on the road. Even with that in mind, I like the Red Wing’s defense and the team on a six game winning streak.
Los Angeles Kings at Phoenix Coyotes: Coyotes Win
This game will be a battle of goaltenders. The Kings’ Jonathan Quick has been magnificent all year, allowing just 1.87 goals per game with a save percentage of .934. The Coyotes’ Mike Smith hasn’t been that ridiculously impressive (2.25 goals against and .928 save percentage), but he is unbeaten in his last seven starts and has allowed just .99 goals per game. The difference maker in this game will be offense. The Kings are last in average goals per game at 2.03, and have failed to give Quick the support he deserves on numerous occasions. I think that will be the case tonight.
JIMMY THE GENT SPORTS PLAYS
MISSISSIPPI ST +9.5 (BEST BET)
MISS ST -KENTUCKY UNDER 138.5 (POD)
KENT ST-MIAMI OHIO OVER 132.5 (COLD COCKED)
WISKY GB +1.5
WISKY GB - CLEVE ST OVER 129
WOFFORD -2
GTOWN-SETON HALL UNDER 124
UNC-NC STATE OVER 148
COLORADO STATE +6
COLORADO ST-NEW MEXICO OVER 135
NORTHWESTERN -1.5
3-0 (+4.54 Units) - Last Night. Great way to start off the week. Baylor comes back from 10 down to win outright. Orlando had to battle the entire game but came away late as well. Phoenix keeps The Wizards below their season average to seal our 3-0 night. Thats 3 straight winning days and 4 out of the last 5 days. Lets keep that trend going tonight.
NHL
Philly Over 5.5 -125 (2.5 Units) - By now you know we love a good over in NHL games. When your hitting 63% on overs like Philly is it makes things a little easier. Philly has gone over the total 7 of the last 8 while Winnipeg has gone over 4 out of the last 5. Looks good to us.
NCAAB
Virginia -1.5 (2 Units) - Virginia is 7-2 ATS on the road this season with the two losses coming over the last 2 road games against UNC and Clemson. Virginia Tech is essentially out of the NCAA tournament so they aren't really playing for much. Vtech is just 3-9 ATS at home, and will have a tough time tonight with a stingy Virginia Defense. We love Virginia tonight, expect the line to increase.
UNC/NC St Under 149.5 (1.5 Units) - This total is again very high, the last time these 2 faced off the end total was 129. North Carolina has played in 3 straight unders. NC st is hitting 71% overs at home but the totals are usually not this high. 150 is an ass load of points in college hoops and we expect this to go under by more than a few.
NBA
New Orleans Hornets +11 (1.5 Units) - New Orleans comes in on a 4 game ATS win streak mostly on the road. The Pacers on the other hand have lost 8 out of their last 9 ATS. The Pacers spotted the Bobcats 11 last night as well but New Orleans is far better than Charlotte. We expect a much closer game.
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