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The Bulls are warm with four wins in their last five games. Their only loss came in their last game at Syracuse in which they lost by eight but gave the Orange a serious scare. South Florida is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games overall, 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games, and 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record. In other words, its stock is high and it sure doesn't hurt that they own the best defense in the Big East with just 58 points allowed per game. However, this is a matchup problem for them. The Bearcats have four players averaging double digits. They've quietly won five of six and they have some nice road wins recently too. Cinci has recent wins at Georgetown, UConn and St. John's. They have a “good” OT loss at WVU. Additionally, Big East teams have not fared well the game after playing Syracuse and USF backers really have to be concerned about the Bulls 314th ranked offense, as the Bearcats play outstanding defense too. Lastly, the Bearcats have played the tougher schedule, their have more signature wins than the Bulls and they average 10 more points per game. Play: Cincinnati +2½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
If the Sharks somehow find some energy and outplay the Wild, which is highly doubtful, we still have a significant edge between the pipes with Niklas Backstrom over Antti Niemi or Thomas Greiss. Niemi started in Nashville last night and was pulled after allowing three goals. San Jose lost 6-2. Now this physically and mentally drained team will play the final game of a grueling nine-game trip less than 24 hours after getting whacked in Music City. San Jose will play its fifth game in seven nights, third game in four nights and tail end of back-to-backs. The Sharkies have won twice on this trip in eight tries. They beat the reeling Caps and were lucky to beat the sinking Maple Leafs. They finally return home on Tuesday and play the Flyers. In the last six games on this trip, they've allowed five goals or more in half of them. The Lightning and Jackets combined to score 11 goals against them. The Sharks goaltending is a mess, the defense is an even bigger mess and losing is a lot more draining than winning. As a road favorite in this spot, the Sharks offer up nothing but grief. We'd talk about the Wild if it were relevant but it's not, as this is all about taking back some weight against an extremely fragile guest in an extremely vulnerable spot. Play: Minnesota +128 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Islanders +133 over OTTAWA
It was just six days ago when the Senators went into Long Island and whacked the Islanders 6-0. Different circumstances here. First, the Islanders were forced to go with third string goaltender Kevin Poulin. They're a different team with Evgeni Nabokov in net and he'll be today's starter. Secondly, the Sens were in dour full days of rest in that game and came out with plenty of energy. This time they'll play the second game of back-to-backs in less than 24 hours after a rather intense affair with the Bruins in Ottawa last night. A late third period rally had the Sens within one when they pulled the goalie and just fell short. That certainly had to take something out of them. Now it's the Sens that are forced to go with their back-up goaltender in back-to-back games for the first time this year, as Craig Anderson remains out and Alex Auld played last night. They could even lean to monor league call-up, Robin Lehner here. The Islanders come in rested after a nice win over the Rangers in Nabokov's first game back from the flu. Statistically, the Islanders are superior on the power-play, the penalty kill and goals allowed. Expect a much better effort from them in response to that 6-0 humiliation they took just six days ago. Play: N.Y. Islanders +133 (Risking 2 units).
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