3-1-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - NHL

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

All games include OT unless otherwise stated.


Buffalo +165 over SAN JOSE Pinnacle
The Sharks returned from a nine-game trip and in their first game back they scored 1:22 into the game and beat Philadelphia 1-0. The shutout is notable but it was not a great outing for the Sharks overall, much like the Sharks’ nine-game excursion. Now they're being asked to lay -185 against the surging Sabres in what has to be considered one of the biggest overlays of the week. Buffalo went into Anaheim last night and beat the red-hot Ducks 2-0. The Sabres have picked up points in six straight games, which includes a 6-2 win over Pittsburgh and 2-1 win over the Bruins. Buffalo is now five points out of the final playoff spot with 17 games remaining. What seemed like a far reach a couple of weeks ago is now within their grasp. Prior to last night's game, the Sabres had three full days of rest so fatigue will not be an issue. Besides, winning energizes a team and the Sabres are anxious to be back on the ice. The Sabres are in much better form than the Sharkies, they're better defensively, they have a big edge in net. These current Sharks do not warrant this type of billing. Play: Buffalo +165 (Risking 2 units).


N.Y. Islanders +174 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
The Flyers return home from a brief but difficult four-game trip that took them through Winnipeg, Edmonton, Calgary and San Jose. At Edmonton and San Jose they were shutout. At Winnipeg and Calgary they managed duplicate 5-4 OT wins. Conceivably, it could've been an 0-4 trip and it's not like they were playing four of the elite. They were playing two bubble teams, one reeling team and one bottom feeder. After this game, the Flyers will have two full days off before playing Washington on Sunday and as a result, this game has danger written all over it. The Islanders are on the verge of relevance. Their 61 points puts them on the same level as the Canadiens, Wild and Hurricanes but that's on paper only. Talent wise, the Islanders are loaded, they just have to learn how to close out games and win consistently. They're coming off a 3-2 OT loss in Washington in a game they led 2-0 with 3½ minutes to go. Prior to that one, they outplayed the Senators in a misleading 5-2 loss after beating the Rangers. Too much being offered here with a live dog against a Flyers team in a vulenerable spot. Play: N.Y. Islanders +181 (Risking 2 units).


St. Louis +165 over VANCOUVER Pinnacle
Win, lose or draw, taking back a tag like this on the Blues is simply too appealing to pass up on. The Blues are a defensive juggernaut that can frustrate or shut down anyone. They've already played the Canucks three times this season and have taken five out of a possible six points from them. The Blues get outstanding goaltending and they come in here red-hot with four consecutive victories and 10 wins in their past 13 games. St. Louis will play its third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs and that scenario certainly has influence on this price. However, it's not going to deter us, because the Blues barely broke a sweat last night in their 5-2 win over Edmonton and the Canucks return home from a six-game trip in which they split 3-3. You certainly don't need us to tell you that the Canucks are a great team but this isn't about wagering against them. This play is all about the price being offered on a hot Blues team that gives up the least amount of scoring chances in the league and that has the NHL's best goaltending. Play: St. Louis +165 (Risking 2 units).


WINNIPEG -½ +133 over Florida (REG) Pinnacle
This is without question the biggest game of the year for the Jets. The Jets sit in ninth place in the conference, just a point behind the 8th placed Capitals but Washington has two games in hand. After this one, the Caps will have three games in hand. Four points ahead of Winnipeg for first place in the division are the Florida Panthers. The Jets simply can't afford to fall six points behind the Panthers and below the Caps with three extra games played. The “must-win” theory is perhaps the most overplayed in sports betting and it has no influence on this choice. We were just setting up the importance of the game for Winnipeg in an arena that they've responded in all season long. When the Panthers were here on Jan. 21, they won in a shootout but were outshot 44-23. The Panthers have won three straight and have picked up points in four straight but have played Minnesota, Carolina, Montreal and Toronto over that span. Ask any playoff contending team to handpick the four teams they would like to play right now and they’d all choose that same quartet. Now the Panthers take a big step up in class at a difficult venue. On paper, the Panthers are seemingly warm when in fact they're hanging on by a thread against poor competition. Now the market has them overvalued and we plan on taking full advantage. Play: Winnipeg -½ +133 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports


TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

San Diego -3.5 over Pepperdine: Last year Pepperdine took all 3 meetings from the Toreros and this year San Diego gets to return the favor after taking the first 2 meetings of the year by 9 and 13 points. San Diego is just 7-9 in conference play, but they have played very well down the stretch as they won 4 of their last 7 games, which included road wins at Pepperdine and Loyola, plus just an 8 point loss at home to Gozaga. Pepperdine comes in with a 4-12 mark in the WCC and while they did win their last 2 conference games lets note that one of them was vs a Santa Clara team that was 0-14 in conference play and had lost 16 straight before that game and the other win was vs a Portland team that finished the season with a 3-13 WCC mark, so don't take too much stock in that little 2 game win streak. The Waves have had really problems scoring away from home as they have averaged just 66.1 ppg away from home overall and 56 ppg in their neutral site games. San Diego has scored just 58 ppg in their neutral site games, but they have scored 68.1 ppg when playing away from home in the conference, including 70 ppg in their last 7 WCC away games. San Diego has struggled with defense away from home as they have allowed 74.4 ppg on the road this year, but they have played better down the stretch as they have allowed just 62 ppg in their last 3 away from home. The Waves have been average on defense this year as they have allowed 66.1 ppg both overall and on the road, but down the stretch they have allowed a bit more at 71.8 ppg in their last 5 games. San Diego is the better team and while Pepperdine has won their last 2 overall, it was vs teams are just 3-29 in conference play. I look for the Toreros to complete the 3 game sweep in easy fashion here.

3 UNIT PLAYS

C. Connecticut State/ Wagner Over 137: These two teams met in the season finally and 139 points were scored in that game. It was the second game in a row that State scored 78 points and that has helped them average a solid 68 ppg in their last 5 games. CCSU has scored 68.6 ppg on the road and 67.7 ppg in conference play this year, while Wagner has allowed 62.3 ppg at home and 63.3 ppg in conference play. I feel that 65 points from CCSU would really be good in this game. Wagner is the highest scoring team in the Northeast Conference at 73.6 ppg and they have averaged 76.2 ppg at home. They also shoot very well at home, hitting 45.7% of their shots overall, 36.4% of their shots from long range and 74.5% of their FT's, so this team scores in all facets of their offense at home. Wagner did put up just 61 points in their season finale vs CCSU, but that game didn't mean anything and I expect them back to their normal selves in this one. Despite the 61 points, the Seahawks have still scored 77 ppg in their last 5 games overall and 78 ppg in their last 5 at home. Wagner should bounce back in this one strong as they will be taking on a CCSU team that has allowed a whopping 76.2 ppg on the road, to go along with allowing 47% shooting and 36.7% from long range. Even though that last game didn't mean anything, the Seahawks were still embarrassed in that game, so I really expect them to come out and get their points, and put about 77 points on the board, while CCSU should come in around 65 points. I expect this one in the 140's.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* USC +7.5

4* San Jose St +4

4* Portland Trailblazers +5

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Minnesota Timberwolves +5

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports for Thursday, 3/1
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Villanova Wildcats @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Thursday March 1, 2012 9:00 pm
Pick: ATS: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -4 (-110)


Sport: College Basketball
Game: Michigan Wolverines @ Illinois Fighting Illini - Thursday March 1, 2012 7:00 pm
Pick: TOTAL: Over 121 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

The Popular Choice

3* Virginia un 115
5* Phx Suns ML

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
CBB 280-249 Season-to-Date +$1330
Game: North Florida vs. East Tennessee State (2:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 126.5 -110

North Florida and East Tennessee State square off in the No. 4 vs. No. 5 game in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament, and one of these teams will put their uniforms away after the game. The Osprey have been a hot team, winners of three straight coming into this one, and the offense has come to life as they have averaged a robust 75.3 points per game in the process. Leading scorer Parker Smith went off for 46 points vs. Mercer and the Osprey are hot beyond the arc hitting 50% over their last two games. East Tennessee State is finding the offense as well, as their 156 combined points over their last two games is the highest two game production since conference play began. Both teams are clicking at the offensive end and should be able to shoot past the total in this one.
Play on the OVER.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Oregon -6

50* Over 201 Kings/Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Thu, 03/01/12 - 9:00 PM

double-dime bet 718 Clemson -6.5 (-110) Justbet vs 717 Va. Tech Analysis: PLAY: CLEMSON RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolfpack
The Nevada Wolfpack (23-5, 16-7 ATS) will attempt to lock up sole possession of the 2011-12 WAC Title Thursday night when they welcome the New Mexico State Aggies (22-8, 12-11 ATS) into the desert for the teams second meeting of the season; take this one in live from the Lawlor Events Center in Reno on ESPN2 & ESPN3.com starting at 11:00 ET.

The Aggies invade Reno in fine form having won each of their last five games (3-1-1 ATS) to giving them at the very least a shot at making the run to the regular season WAC Championship a bit more interesting. New Mexico State has already split with the pair of teams trailing it in the WAC standings, and if able to pull out the road win in tonights spot, the Aggies would pull to within a game of the Wolfpack with them closing out their regular season campaign at Fresno State on Saturday. Last the Aggies took to the hardwood, they toppled San Jose State by a 79-68 final tally, but the 11-point win came a couple buckets short of covering the 16-point closing spread; the defeat versus the oddsmakers line snapped their ATS win streak at three. Tonight will mark NMSTs first road game since early February they check in 6-4 SU & 5-4 ATS in true road games to date.

A quick glance of Nevadas regular season schedule would leave many unimpressed, and the ineptitude of their conference doesnt help their situation in the eyes of the selection committee. However, the Wolfpack have taken care of business in conference play winning all but one of their games with the lone defeat shockingly coming at home against an Idaho club it simply pounded in the road in the teams first meeting (73-55). Still, this is a very Feisty outfit that proved its ability to run with some of the big guns when it stuck with Iona in its own house over BracketBuster weekend. While their stats are far from eye-popping, theyre still competitive as the Wolfpacks 71.1 PPG average checks in as the countrys 101st best scoring offense, and the 64.8 PPG allowed garners the 111th ranking in points allowed. The Wolfpack will head into tonights grudge match 13-2 SU & 6-4 ATS as a host in their 10 lined games.

Nevada put an end to its two-game losing streak in its recent series with New Mexico State when it went into the Aggies house and handed them a 68-60 defeat as 4.5-point underdogs in the rivals first go round back in late January; the under cashed for the second meeting in a row and stands 5-3 in the teams L/8 overall confrontations. The Aggies have thrown gutter balls at each of the L/4 +.600 opponents theyve faced failing to cover the pointspread in each instance, and theyve also managed just 1-4 SU & ATS records the L/5 times they were dogged by four-points or less. The favorite has covered five of these teams L/7 meetings, but Nevada has only covered one of their L/5 following an outright win.

PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Guy Murphy Sports

NBA

3* Oklahoma City Thunder -1

2* Clippers/Kings OVER 200

NHL

2* Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (Puck Line)

3* Sabres/Sharks UNDER 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence | CBB Sides
Free pick 710 Illinois -2.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 709 Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Leiner

1000* Washington -7

[Mr. IWS]

HOOPSGOOROO

773 VMI +4 @ 6p
710 Illinois -2 @ 7p
715 Villanova +3.5 @ 9p
717 Va. Tech +6.5 @ 9p
723 Utah +17 @ 10p
714 Oregon -6 @ 10:30p
731 Wash. St. +9.5 @ 10:30p