3-3-12

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Ducks/Kings un 5.5

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Georgetown at Marquette

The Golden Eagles look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a favorite of 1 to 6 1/2 points. Marquette is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Eagles favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 3 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 515-516: Pittsburgh at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 61.863; Connecticut 68.306 Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 135 Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 131 Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-5 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: West Virginia at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 65.645; South Florida 67.144 Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 115 Vegas Line: South Florida by 3; 118 Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+3); Under

Game 519-520: Eastern Michigan at Toledo (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 50.394; Toledo 57.039 Dunkel Line: Toledo by 6 1/2; 112 Vegas Line: Toledo by 5; 115 1/2 Dunkel Pick Toledo (-5); Under

Game 521-522: Memphis at Tulsa (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.686; Tulsa 64.517 Dunkel Line: Memphis by 3; 142 Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2; 134 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: St. Louis at Duquesne (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 66.332; Duquesne 63.394 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3; 126 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 5; 130 Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+5); Under

Game 525-526: Wake Forest at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 51.130; Georgia Tech 57.682 Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 6 1/2; 132 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 127 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-4 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: George Washington at Dayton (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 55.204; Dayton 65.963 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 11; 139 Vegas Line: Dayton by 9 1/2; 135 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-9 1/2); Over

Game 529-530: Nebraska at Minnesota (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 57.616; Minnesota 65.435 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8; 117 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10; 121 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+10); Under

Game 531-532: South Carolina at Georgia (1:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 56.619; Georgia 66.427 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 10; 124 Vegas Line: Georgia by 5 1/2; 119 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-5 1/2); Over

Game 533-534: Oklahoma State at Kansas State (1:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 64.197; Kansas State 72.784 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 8 1/2; 131 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 12 1/2; 134 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+12 1/2); Under

Game 535-536: LSU at Auburn (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LSU 60.863; Auburn 60.022 Dunkel Line: LSU by 1; 117 Vegas Line: Auburn by 1 1/2; 120 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LSU (+1 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Georgetown at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 68.564; Marquette 76.357 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 8; 135 Vegas Line: Marquette by 4 1/2; 131 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-4 1/2); Over

Game 539-540: Cincinnati at Villanova (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 65.164; Villanova 64.915 Dunkel Line: Even; 133 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 136 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+1 1/2); Under

Game 541-542: Charlotte at Xavier (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 51.204; Xavier 64.972 Dunkel Line: Xavier by 13 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Xavier by 11; 137 Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-11); Over

Game 543-544: Bowling Green at Buffalo (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 54.831; Buffalo 61.899 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 7; 131 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 135 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-5 1/2); Under

Game 545-546: St. Bonaventure at LaSalle (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 65.708; LaSalle 66.207 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1; 142 Vegas Line: LaSalle by 4; 135 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+4); Over

Game 547-548: Boston College at Miami (FL) (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 50.600; Miami (FL) 70.050 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 19 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 15 1/2; 130 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-15 1/2); Over

Game 549-550: Northwestern at Iowa (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 65.116; Iowa 66.598 Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Iowa by 3; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3); Under

Game 551-552: UTEP at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 56.716; SMU 55.987 Dunkel Line: UTEP by 1; 118 Vegas Line: SMU by 1; 114 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+1); Over

Game 553-554: Boise State at New Mexico (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 55.088; New Mexico 72.411 Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 17 1/2; 127 Vegas Line: New Mexico by 15; 131 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-15); Under

Game 555-556: Alabama at Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 66.753; Mississippi 66.315 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4; 120 Vegas Line: Alabama by 1 1/2; 124 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-1 1/2); Under

Game 557-558: Colorado State at Air Force (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 60.964; Air Force 59.325 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2; 129 Vegas Line: Colorado State 2 1/2; 124 Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+2 1/2); Over

Game 559-560: Vanderbilt at Tennessee (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 70.819; Tennessee 67.129 Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 1 1/2; 136 Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-1 1/2); Under

Game 561-562: Texas A&M at Oklahoma (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 59.936; Oklahoma 64.509 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4 1/2; 127 Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 5 1/2; 122 Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+5 1/2); Over

Game 563-564: Louisville at Syracuse (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 65.211; Syracuse 76.524 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 9; 133 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-9); Over

Game 565-566: Temple at Fordham (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Temple 64.198; Fordham 52.425 Dunkel Line: Temple by 12; 137 Vegas Line: Temple by 14; 141 Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+14); Under

Game 567-568: Rhode Island at Massachusetts (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 50.406; Massachusetts 63.071 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 12 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10 1/2; 150 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-10 1/2); Under

Game 569-570: Missouri at Texas Tech (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 69.138; Texas Tech 56.130 Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13; 140 Vegas Line: Missouri by 16; 135 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+16); Over

Game 571-572: Arkansas at Mississippi State (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 57.809; Mississippi State 68.156 Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 149 Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 9; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-9); Over

Game 573-574: Washington at UCLA (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 63.827; UCLA 64.539 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1; 131 Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2; 139 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Under

Game 575-576: Utah at Oregon (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 50.950; Oregon 70.201 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 19 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Oregon by 17; 132 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-17); Over

Game 577-578: Seton Hall at DePaul (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 63.636; DePaul 60.613 Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 3; 143 Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 5; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+5); Under

Game 579-580: Baylor at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 68.014; Iowa State 72.292 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2; 144 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 1 1/2; 140 Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-1 1/2); Over

Game 581-582: Southern Mississippi at Marshall (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 59.358; Marshall 60.275 Dunkel Line: Marshall by 1; 131 Vegas Line: Marshall by 3; 134 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+3); Under

[poopoo333]

Jimmy Boyd

Marshall -2.5 (betus)

Air Force +2.5 (betus)
Hawaii +1 (sportsinteraction)

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ATS Lock Club (5-2 L4 days)

6 DAYTON -9.5 OV GEORGE WASHINGTON 12:00PM
4 VANDERBILT -1.5 OV TENNESSEE 4:00PM
4 NORTH CAROLINA -1.5 OV DUKE 7:00PM

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Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Duke (Pick) OVER North Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Marshall -2.5 (betus)

4* Air Force +2.5 (betus)
4* Hawaii +1 (sportsinteraction)

[Mr. IWS]

Sharky Sports

Cincinnati -1 (-110) for 2 units- Really like Cincinnati here coming off a heart-breaking loss at USF followed by an enormous win at Marquette to keep their tournament hopes alive. Now they head to Villanova, who has been very inconsistent all year. We will definitely get the best effort by both teams here on the eve of the Big East tournament, however Nova has struggled the whole year against long, athletic, defensive-minded clubs like Cincy. Cincinnati has an edge down low, and unless Waynes and the Nova guards are really hot from outside, I think Cincinnati will control the tempo throughout and take care of business on the road.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club (5-2 L4 days)

6 DAYTON -9.5 OV GEORGE WASHINGTON 12:00PM
4 VANDERBILT -1.5 OV TENNESSEE 4:00PM
4 NORTH CAROLINA -1.5 OV DUKE 7:00PM

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
250,000* Iowa
50,000* Vanderbilt

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL

Toronto +110 over MONTREAL Pinnacle

The Maple Leafs six-game losing streak didn't cost Ron Wilson his job. Ron Wilson, with his sarcasm, arrogance and stubbornness to play James Reimer cost him his job. The Maple Leafs are not a bad hockey team. They've dominated a lot of good teams this season when their heads were on straight and they're certainly better than the Canadiens. Randy Carlyle is a one goaltender coach. He's likely going to give Jonas Gustavsson the deserving #1 status and under those conditions, Gustavsson can play well. The firing of Wilson was inevitable. The Leafs can relax a bit now and get back to playing hockey the way they are capable of. The first game under a new coach angle comes into play here. Meanwhile, the Habs aren't going so well either. They have one win in their past six games, a lone victory against the reeling Wild in OT. Since December 13, Minnesota has the NHL's worst record. In its previous five losses, Montreal scored two or less goals in all of them for a total of five goals in five games. Montreal favored over anyone not named Minnesota is true value. Expect a huge effort from the Buds here Play: Toronto +110 (Risking 2 units).



CAROLINA -½ +115 over Tampa Bay (REG) Pinnacle

Sometimes the line dictates the play and this is one of those times. The money line has the Hurricanes -141. How can that be? The Lightning are five points ahead of the Canes in the standings and they've won three in a row. Not only have they won three straight but they defeated both New Jersey and the Rangers. Those are two top-tiered clubs and now they're taking back a tag like this against this non-playoff team? Last time they played here on Novemeber 11, Carolina was -111 and back in October when they met for the first time this season, the game was a pick-em. So forget stats, standings and everything else. Nobody in their right is going to lay -141 on Carolina to beat Tampa Bay. The oddsmakers have made this line so high for a reason and it's not a mistake. The Bolts win last night over the Rangers saw them come from 2-0 down to take a 3-2 lead before the Rangers tied it late to send it to OT. The Bolts scored two minutes in and the celebration began. It was an emotional win and one in which the Lightning played like it was game 7 of a playoff series. Expect a no-show tonight. The line says so. Play: Carolina -½ +115 (Risking 2 units).



St. Louis +104 over SAN JOSE Pinnacle

Playing its third game in four days, tail end of back-to-backs and fifth game in seven days, all on the road, St. Louis went into Vancouver on Thursday night and were tied 0-0 going to the third. The Canucks scored early in the period and added an empty netter to hang on for a 2-0 win. Most teams could not have put forth an effort like that under those conditions. The Blues outshot Vancouver 29-24. This Blue Note team hates to lose. They play as hard and as sound for 60 minutes as any team in the league. With one day’s rest and coming off a loss, they're as dangerous as anyone. The Blues are also in the Sharks kitchen, as they've beaten San Jose all three games this season and outscored them 8-2. In two of those three games, the Sharkies were shutout. San Jose has cruised through the regular season for years with no danger whatsoever of missing the playoffs. Come playoff time, when the chips are down, they bow out quietly every season. This is unfamiliar territory, as they battle for a playoff spot. Right now they're in seventh spot, just three points ahead of the Kings. With a poor defense and inconsistent goaltending, San Jose is in serious jeopardy of missing the playoffs altogether and for the first time in a long time, they'll be playing under pressure in March. This is a soft team playing under unfamiliar pressure and the Blue Notes are probably the last team they want to see right now. Play: St. Louis +104 (Risking 2 units).


Sports Wagers CBB
TULSA +3½ over Memphis Pinnacle
12:00 PM EST. The Tigers are in the tourney no matter what happens in this game or what happens in the conference tournament. The only question now is their seeding and really, that's not that much of a concern. The Tigers host the C-USA tournament starting on Thursday (they have a first-round bye) and they have a great chance to win three games in three days to capture the crown. As Memphis looks ahead to the end of the week, its players aren't focusing much on this game. The Tigers look very appealing here because they're in first and because they've won their last three games by 23, 20 and 29 points respectively. However, they're just 6-4 on the road while Tulsa is 10-4 at home where they have won six straight. The Golden Hurricanes are going to need to win the conference tournament to qualify for the Dance. They currently sit in 3rd place with a 10-5 conference record and frankly, that's all they are, a third place team. A lot of magic is going to have to happen for them to make it to the Madness and they're going to have to go through the Tigers in Memphis to get there. At least they can have them thinking a bit with a win here and the small number suggests that the Golden Hurricanes are going to be a lot more interested than the visitorPlay: #522 Tulsa +4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

VILLANOVA +120 over Cincinnati Pinnacle
2:00 PM EST. The Bearcats secured a spot in the tournament with a pair of wins over the past two ranked teams they played being Marquette and Louisville. That accomplished, this game is a huge letdown spot after that emotional win over Marquette and with the Big East tournament on deck. We could go on about the Bearcats outstanding defense but this one is all about “situational betting” that works against Cincinnati. Villanova knows it has to win the conference tournament to qualify for the tourney. This is the Wildcats last regular season home game and expect them to give it everything they have in order to get a little momentum going. Villanova has shown it can compete, as they have four-point losses to both Cincinnati and Marquette (twice) and OT losses to Notre Dame and UConn. In a favorable spot against a team they lost to by just four in an important mid-January game in Cincinnati, the Wildcats will bring it today against what should be a rather complacent visitor Play: Villanova +116 (Risking 2 units).

We're also playing the following game:

TENNESSEE +112 over Vanderbilt Pinnacle
4:00 PM EST. The Volunteers can still qualify for the tourney and it starts here. Look for a solid effort in order for the Vols to at least be in the bubble conversation. Play: #560 Tennessee +112 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

30 Dimes Tulsa +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports

Sport: College Basketball
Game: Memphis Tigers @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Saturday March 3, 2012 12:00 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Memphis Tigers -155

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

5 UNIT PLAY

Boston U/ Hartford Over 120.5: I wanted to get this one out early as i expect line movement. Gonna go off the grid a bit here, but I see these teams hitting at least 125. Boston U comes in as not a great offensive team as they average just v64.4 ppg overall and 63.8 ppg on the road, but they have averaged 66.5 ppg in their last 8 games overall and 69.5 ppg in their last 4 on the road, so this team is more than capable of hitting the mid to upper 60's in this one. Making it easier for them to reach those marks is the fact that Hartford has allowed 67.5 ppg overall, 65.4 ppg at home and in the two meetings this year the Terriers scored 65 and 64 points. Offensively Hartford is not good, but they have hovered around the 60 point mark all season as they have averaged 59.6 ppg overall and 60.6 ppg at home and they will be facing a Boston U team that has struggled some with defense out on the road as they have allowed 65.6 ppg when playing away from home. This will not be a fast paced game by any stretch, but I clearly expect the Terriers to hit at least 65 points, while Hartford should be good for something in the high 50. 125+ here.

4 UNIT PLAY

San Jose/ Idaho Over 134.5: Another night time total's play that I like and I will get it out now as I do expect line movement. Let's first start out with the fact that the OU is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams, with each and every one of those games hitting at least 136, while each of the last 6 have hit at least 140 points. Idaho comes in averaging just 68.2 ppg overall and 66.8 ppg in conference play, but they have also averaged 69 ppg in their last 7 overall and 70 ppg on the road this year. This team should clearly hit over 70 points here as they will be taking on a Spartans team that has allowed 77.4 ppg in league play and 73.6 ppg in their last 5 overall. San Jose has allowed just 68.3 ppg at home, but 70.2 ppg (Regulation) in their WAC home games. San Jose is average on offense as they have put up 66.8 ppg in conference play and 67.6 ppg at home this year and I do believe they can hit at least 67 in this game vs an Idaho team that has allowed 68.9 ppg on the road and 67.8 ppg in WAC play. As you can see their is more than enough offense and just little enough defense for this game to hit at 135 points. San Jose's WAC games have averaged 144.2 ppg, while Idaho's have averaged 134.6 ppg. I expect this one to fall in the middle of those numbers. KEY TRENDS--- SAN JOSE ST is 14-2 OVER versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons, while IDAHO is 14-4 OVER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1997.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Pittsburgh/ Connecticut Over 131: The Huskies have started to turn the corner offensively as they come in averaging 71.2 ppg in their last 5 games, while at home on the year they have put up 72.3 ppg. Offense has been good for this team of late, but the defense has not, as they come in allowing 73 ppg in their last 7 games. Pitt is back to struggling on offense as they have averaged just 60.8 ppg in their last 5 games, but this is still a team that is healthy and has plenty of scorers on it's team, plus they would also like to run and UConn should oblige in that respect. Defensively Pitt has not been as strong as in years past as they have allowed 66.2 ppg over, which is their highest points allowed mark in a long time. They have also allowed 66.2 ppg on the road and 65.4 ppg in their last 10 games overall. This is a huge game for both squads and I really don't see them holding anything back in this one. I look for both teams to push the ball and both teams to hit at least 65 in this one.

KANSAS STATE -11 over Oklahoma State: KSU has struggled at home in the Big 12, but this is just too big a game for them to come out flat here. Despite their recent struggles at home the Wildcats are still 10-4 on their home floor and have outscored their opponents by 11 ppg. OSU comes in just 2-8 in their true road games this year and have been outscored by 10.9 ppg in those games, while they have been outscored by 17.1 ppg in their 7 Big 12 road losses. Defense has really been a problem for the Cowboys on the road this year as they have allowed 75.1 ppg in those games and that's not good as they will be facing a Cats team that has averaged 71.6 ppg at home on the year. OSU has averaged 67 ppg in their last 5 overall, but they still have averaged just 64.2 ppg on the road this year and putting up more than that will be difficult as the Cats have allowed just 60.6 ppg on 37.8% shooting at home this year. KSU needs this game much more and behind another solid defensive effort they should get it with ease.

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
CBB 283-255 Season-to-Date +$680
Game: Georgetown at Marquette (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Marquette -4.5 (-110)

The Georgetown Hoyas and the Marquette Golden Eagles will close out Big East play in what should be a high-octane game. A Marquette win assures them of the No. 2 seed in the Big East Conference Tournament win No. 25 of the season, so a spot well earned. Marquette has dominated at home where they have suffered just a single loss this season, and they have run the table in Big East play at 8-0. The Hoyas have had a remarkable season, but the road has not been very friendly where they are just 4-4 in Big East play, suffering three of the losses by double-digits. The Golden Eagles have been on a tear in Big East play where they have gone 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62. Play on Marquette.

[Mr. IWS]

VegasButcher

Pacers -5.5