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NBA SACRAMENTO at PHOENIX
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in March games
68-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 32.8 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )
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NBA SACRAMENTO at PHOENIX
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SACRAMENTO) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival
57-17 since 1997. ( 77.0% 31.9 units )
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NBA NEW JERSEY at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHARLOTTE) extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
FacingTheBook 3-4
[820] Florida +5 -108 vs Kentucky
[824] Michigan State -3 -109 vs Ohio State
[834] Indiana U -6.5 -102 vs Purdu
[810] Houston Rockets -2 -105 vs Los Angeles Clippers
Illinois +10½ over WISCONSIN Pinnacle
The Illini are going to need a lot to go their way if they are to participate in this year’s Madness. While the upcoming conference tournament may play a part, a game like this can also bolster their resume. Illinois has some played an incredibly tough schedule. They have signature wins against Ohio State, Michigan State and Gonzaga. They’ve played a couple of really tough out-of-conference games, including a four-point loss to Missouri. Ken Pomeroy has the Illini ranked 10th in the country in schedule difficulty. These are all things that the committee has to consider and while the Illini's 6-11 conference record is likely going to cost them, a win here could elevate their status tremendously. It will also help that the Badgers have little to play for here. Wisconsin has already punched their ticket to the Dance, they've clinched a first-round bye in the conference tournament and they rarely blow away anyone. Wagering against the Badgers when taking back double digits has been money all season long. When we see a total of 116 on a game in which we're being offered 10½ points, the math says taking the points makes a lot of sense. The situation says take the points too. Play: #825 Illinois +10½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
There are certain teams in every sport than you can never be comfortable spotting points with and the Suns are in that group. As a pooch, they're interesting but this is an erratic team with a weak defense and at this level, that's too risky. We also dislike the fact that the Suns have been home way too long. Phoenix's last road game was in Los Angeles on Feb 17, more than two weeks ago, making this its sixth straight on the road. Every pro will tell you that extended home stands are not beneficial. The players go their own way after practice and there's no bonding going on. We can't stress enough much these players must be looking forward to getting on the road and playing in Oklahoma City after this one. The Kings are getting better with each passing week. They're coming off back-to-back losses to the Clippers and Lakers but both losses were by just eight. Prior to that they had won two straight over Utah and in Washington. The Kings are dangerous in that they can score and keep pace with anyone. The style the Suns play is one the Kings are very comfortable in and with more depth and a big edge in rebounding, (Sac ranks 5th – Pho ranks 23rd) expect the Kings to be in a position to win this one outright and/or stay in this range. Play: Sacramento +5½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
It sure would be easy to pull the trigger on the Nets here laying three small points over a Bobcat team that has four wins in 34 games. There are certainly sitautions in which laying road points is a huge risk and when you look deep into these games, you can find them. This is one of those extremely vulnerable spots for the chalk. New Jersey will play its third straight on the road since the break. The first game was in Dallas, followed by a game in Boston. Two big games. On Tuesday, the Nets play in Miami and so this ine instantly becomes the most vulnerable on the trip. Also consider that the Nets have several players with nagging injuries and while they're all considered probable, those nagging injuries take their toll. The Bobcats are coming off a four double-digit losses in a row. They're coming off a 30-point loss to San Antonio. The Bobcats stock is lower than anyone else in the Association. However, they return home with a healthy team for the first time all year. Gerald Henderson has two games under his belt since returning. Cory Maggette is feeling much better too. This is not a four-win team. The Bobcats have endured some bad fortune but find themselves in a hugely favorable spot against a vulnerable and beatable visitor. Play: Charlotte +135 (Risking 2 units).
If their last game against Ottawa is any indication of what the Blackhawks are capable of, than the rest of the league better take notice. That 2-1 win on Friday was a rather flattering score to the Senators and was without question, one of the finer performances of the season by any team. Chicago was crisp in moving the puck out, the offense had three lines rolling and creating chances all game and perhaps most importantly, Ray Emery had another strong performance for the second straight game. With Pavel Datsyuk out and possibly Nicklaus Lindstrom also out, this is simply too much weight to be giving the Blackhawks after that inspiring effort against Ottawa. Without Datsyuk, the Red Wings two wins in their past five have come against Columbus and Minnesota. The last five games these two have played, which include four this season, have all been decided by one goal with the Blackhawks winning twice, losing three times but two of those losses occurred in OT. When these two get together, it's a complete toss-up and therefore taking back the 47 cents is where the value lies. Play: Chicago +147 (Risking 2 units).
Great spot for the Wild in that they're coming off a 6-0 loss to the Red Wings at the Joe but there's more to the story than that. Losses happen and blowouts happen too. However, this wasn't just a loss. This was an embarrassing effort in which the entire game was played in Minnesota's end. It was a shooting gallery out there, as the Red Wings toyed with their feeble opponent. The coaches and players were humiliated and admitted so afterwards. A response to that effort is a must and it is expected to occur here. The Avalanche will arrive here to play their third game in four days and tail end of backs after losing 5-1 at home to the Penguins yesterday. The Avs have dropped two straight and have been outscored 7-1. They've lost six of their past seven games to the Wild, including three out of four this year. With a days’ rest, on home ice, in a better situational spot and against a team they own, the Wild are wrongly being billed as the underdog here. Play: Minnesota +102 (Risking 2 units).
As good as the Blackhawks played against Ottawa on Friday, the Senators still had a great chance to win that game. Players looked up to the skies on several occassions after missing what looked like sure goals more than once. Now the Sens come in here rested and ready to get back to their winning ways. This is a team that loves to play and hates to lose. No team in the NHL is as loose or is having more fun than these Senators. They've won seven of their past nine games and they're getting outstanding goaltending from highly touted call-up Robin Lehner. The kid was simply brilliant against the Blackhawks. The Panthers are so overvalued. They play in a weak Southeast conference in which they should've wrapped this thing up weeks ago. Instead, they've been puttering along, allowing both Washington and Winnipeg to catch them and put their own playoff hopes in serious jeopardy. Furthermore, the Panthers have to be exhausted after playing in Winnipeg on Thursday and spending 11 hours at the airport waiting for a mechanical problem with the plane to be fixed. They returned home to play the Preds last night and playing that team can really be physically draining. Now the Panthers will play its third game in four days after being outscored 10-1 in perhaps its two most important games of the season. Outstanding value here on the Senators to win in regulation. Play: Ottawa -½ +144 (Risking 2 units).
(YTD 123-73-2 +42.70 units) GAMES FOR 3/4/12:
coming off a great saturday going 14-7 (ya its a lot) picking up another 6+ units to add to cookie jar, lets have a look at whats in store for this sunday. (please note that one of the sites i use for capping is down, so take these plays with a grain of salt). there will only be one added late play game, game goes at 9:45. so here is to another winning sunday lets kicks ass.
OHIO STATE-MICH STATE OVER 127.5 (bookiebasher)
OHIO STATE +3.5 (big ten play of the week)
WISCONSIN -10 (lock and loaded)
WISCONSIN -ILLINOIS UNDER 117
CLEMSON-FSU UNDER 124
FLORIDA +5.5
MARYLAND +4
MARYLAND-VIRGINIA OVER 122
WUNDERDOG
NBA 114-93 Season-to-Date +$2460
Game: Chicago at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia +4 (-110)
The 76ers are 14-7 at home. After a slump before the All-Star break, the 76ers are 2-1 SU/ATS since coming out with a win at Detroit and thumping the Warriors 105-83 in their last game. Six 76ers average in double figures, and their leading scorer Louis Williams comes off the bench. The 76ers are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 vs. the Eastern Conference and they will be fired-up for this one against the mighty Bulls - a measuring stick to see how good they really are. Philly has excellent defense and guard play to throw at Derrick Rose, which is the key to throwing off the Chicago offense. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of -0.5 to -4.5. The 76ers have won three straight in this series and consistently cause matchup problems for the Bulls. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Play the 76ers.
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