Tweet
The Popular Choice
5* S Fla -4 1/2
5* Penquins ML
5* S Fla -4 1/2
5* Penquins ML
-
JEFF SCOTT SPORTS
4 UNIT PLAY
Texas San Antonio/ McNeese State over 133: In the only meeting this year these teams combined for just 112 points, but it should be different this time around. Texas San Ant has revved up their offense of late as they come in averaging 74 ppg (Regulation) in their last 5 games, while their defense has really taken a hit as they have allowed the same 74 ppg over the same 5 game stretch. McNeese State hasn't played any OT games in their last 5 games and those games have averaged 147.4 ppg. In their last 5 games McNeese State has 72.6 ppg and really should be able to get their points vs a road runner squad that just isn't playing defense all that well right now. Now as you see above the Roadrunners have been scoring very good of late and should be able to have a good night vs a Cowboys squad that has allowed 74.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Not only are these teams allowing alot of points lately, but teams have been able to shoot well on them of late, as the Roadrunners have allowed 45.6% shooting, while the Cowboys have allowed 46.9% shooting in each of their last 5 games. Both teams are also hitting 40+ % from long range and 69.9+% from the charity stripe in each of their last 5 games as well. Some really good offense vs weak defense should have this game easily hit the 140's.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Uconn -1 over West Virginia: Calhoun is back at the helm for the Huskies and they seem to be really inspired right now. In their last 2 games they have averaged 77.5 ppg and have held their opponents to just 66 ppg on 41.6% shooting. West Virginia may have scored 92 points vs Depaul 2 games ago, but they have still averaged just 62.4 ppg in their last 5 games. They have stepped it up defensively as they have held their last 5 opponents to just 59.8 ppg, but on a kind of high 45.9% shooting. I don't expect the Huskies to run the table in the Big East tournament like last year, but they are playing well enough right now to take care of a West Virginia squad that just hasn't been right down the stretch.
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Northern Illinois/ Western Michigan Under 125: (Added) The Huskies are just not a good team on offense, as they come in averaging just 54.8 ppg on 36.8% shooting overall, including just 56 ppg on 38.8% shooting in their last 5 games. within the friendly confines of the MAC this year their games have averaged just 122.8 ppg, with the Huskies chipping in just 55.7 ppg of that total. The Huskies have been playing very good defense of late as they have allowed just 59.4 ppg in their last 5 games on just 39.1% shooting. Western Michigan has been average on defense as they have allowed 67.4 ppg in their last 5 games, but they have allowed teams to shoot for just 41.7% over that same stretch and that should really help here vs a weak shooting Huskie squad. Now Western Michigan does score pretty well (68 ppg) but they don't shoot all that well at 43.2% overall, while on the road it is worse at 41.7%. Northern Illinois needs a slower paced game to be effective here and that should take some possessions out of the Broncos. The Huskies have been playing great defense of late and both teams have not allowed good shooting % of late. This game should be hard pressed to reach 120 points. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under in a neutral court game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) after 15+ games. This play is 92-38 the last 5 seasons.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Georgetown -5 over Pittsburgh: The Panthers are off a solid win vs St John's, but now they step way up in competition as they take on a Georgetown team that just may find them selves in the Final Four this year. The Hoyas did stubble down the stretch on the road, but they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The panthers have gone just 2-6 down the stretch, with both wins coming vs St John's, while they have been outscored by 9.7 ppg in those 6 losses. Georgetown should win this one by 7+.
Oklahoma/ Texas A&M over 124: (Added) I had the Over in this game when these teams met last week and theyb squeaked over with 127 points. I think it will be a bit easier this time around. The Aggies are not a great offensive team (60.4 ppg), burt they have showed some signs of breaking out as they have averaged 66 ppg in their last 2 games and will be taking on an Oklahoma squad that has allowed 68.7 ppg overall and 69.6 ppg in their last 5 games. The Aggies have allowed 67 ppg in their last 5 games, while the Sooners have scored that much in the same time frame. There is probably no tomorrow for the loser so mI expect both teams to let it all out in this one and put up about 130 points.
1 UNIT PLAY
Rice -1 over East Carolina: E CAROLINA is 13-32 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games since 1997 and E CAROLINA is 9-22 ATS after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less since 1997.Comment
Comment