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MEMPHIS -10 over Marshall: Memphis gets this game at home and they have crushed conference USA opponents on their home floor this year. Including their first 2 games of this Tourney Memphis has 9 Conf USA home wins and 7 of them have been by at least 18 points, while for the year they have outscored their Conf USA foes by 20.2 ppg at home when they win the game. Now that's domination. Marshall though was one of the teams that they did not crush at home as they won by just 7 points in that game and that may have them a bit more focused here as they know this team is dangerous. This is Marshall's 4th game in as many days and after a 4OT game a couple days ago and a solid upset vs Southern Miss yesterday this team may not have a lot left, especially at the pace that Memphis will set. The Tigers have played great defense at home this year, where they allow just 57.7 ppg on 35.85 shooting, while Marshall allows 68.4 ppg on 44.7% shooting on the road. The Herd does average 67.6 ppg on the road, but they don't shoot all that well away from home (42.4%). Memphis, on the other hand, scores 73.9 ppg on a very solid 48.5% shooting on their home floor this year. Memphis has all the edges in this game and playing at home makes them all the more stronger here. They should win this one by 15+ points.
2 UNIT PLAY
Michigan State -4 over Wisconsin: My pick to win the Big 10 Tourney is the Spartans and I'm not gonna back down from them here. Wisconsin had a great game yesterday, but the fact is that this team is still not a great scoring team and they are going up against a much tougher defensive team than they faced yesterday. State has allowed 70+ points in each of their last 3 games, but prior to that they had allowed just 51.8 ppg in their previous 7 games. Now that's playing some defense. Wisconsin will not shoot as good as they did yesterday, while Michigan State has more than enough offense to score on this team. Sparty also see a window to a number 1 seed now that Kansas lost and that should have them even more focused here. I look for a close game to be broken open midway through the 2nd half as Michigan State moves close to the Big 19 tourney title.
Not a bad day yesterday as I managed to go 7-4-1 overall yesterday. That Florida game really pissed me off though. That's another example of how not to finish a game. I never understood the mentality of teams building this huge lead early only to give it all back and almost have to fight just to win the game. It really baffles me. If it's going to be a close game, thats fine I can handle that but don't go out and play good basketball with your foot planted firmly on the gas only to let up halfway through the game and let the other team back into it.
Another big card today as tournament play continues. Only part of the lines are out for the games this afternoon so I will release my early plays now, and be back later once the lines are up and deliver the rest of my card. Here is who I will be playing today: BOL to you.
11:30am Memphis -10 over Marshall
1:00pm UNC - 9 over NC State
1:00pm Kentucky - 9 over Florida
1:00pm Umass +3 over St Bonaventure ( I bought the hook )
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns - Saturday March 10, 2012 9:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 192.5 (-105)
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans - Saturday March 10, 2012 1:40 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS First ½: Wisconsin Badgers +2 (-110)
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