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ATS Lock (1-3 this week)
5 WST
4 KST
4 NMST
5 WST
4 KST
4 NMST
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Sports Wagers NHL
TAMPA Bay -½ +119 over Toronto Pinnacle
One has to wonder what is going to motivate the Maple Leafs for the remaining 12 games. They looked like a shoo-in to make the playoffs about a month ago and now they’re one point out of being dead last in the Eastern Conference. They are a demoralized club and in three games since Joffrey Lupul has been out, Toronto has been outscored 8-2. Now the Leafs will face a team they’ve defeated twice this year by scores of 7-1 and 7-3. A response is a must for the Lightning, who must be licking their chops to get at them. Tampa Bay is coming off a 6-1 win over the Bruins. They are 7 points out of a playoff spot with two games in hand and while they’re chances of making the playoffs are marginal at best, they haven’t tossed in the towel. Considering the current state of the Maple Leafs and what is at stake here, another loss to them would be more humiliating than the previous two. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +119 (Risking 2 units).
Boston -½ +128 over FLORIDA Pinnacle
On paper it appears that the Bruins are struggling mightily with three consecutive losses. Their struggles were magnified when they were whacked 6-1 by the Lightning in their last game. Luckily, games are not played on paper. The Bruins were all over Tampa for not one period but all three. They allowed just 17 shots on net while recording 34 of their own. Marty Turco, who has pulled out of retirement, started for the B’s last game and allowed three goals on the first six shots in the game’s first five minutes and was yanked. Tim Thomas will man the goal tonight. In the two losses prior to the one mentioned, the Bruins were not outplayed in defeats versus Pittsburgh and Washington. The Bruins are still a power that is not to be ignored. The Panthers are one of the few teams in the past six weeks that were outplayed by the Maple Leafs. They won that game by a misleading score of 5-2. The Panthers have won two in a row over the Hurricanes and Leafs and both were ugly. Recently, Florida has lost to Winnipeg and Philly by scores of 5-0 and 7-0. They have five wins in 13 games and only one of those 13 victories have been against a team above .500. The B’s get back on track here because they’re hungry enough and because they’re vastly superior. Play: Boston -½ +128 (Risking 2 units).
Nashville +117 over SAN JOSE Pinnacle
For the first time in a very long time, the Sharks find themselves on the outside looking in with three weeks left on the schedule. For San Jose and many other teams, it’s playoff time right now, as all these games are crucial. How have the Sharks responded to the pressure? They have one win in their past seven games. That win came against the Oilers. They have continually folded under pressure and until they prove otherwise, they remain a team to fade when the chips are down. The Predators continue to roll. It appears as though they will face the Red Wings in the first round of the playoffs, with the only question being which team will host it. With Detroit slumping badly, the Preds have caught them and now sit just two points behind the Red Wings with two games in hand. Nashville has to be aware of how vital home ice will be in that series. The Preds catch the Sharks returning home from another ugly four-game trip and have a big edge in net, momentum, state of mind and personnel. Play: Nashville +117 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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Accuscore - NCABB
Baylor vs. South Dakota State Over 140 Points
Baylor is favored by 8 points by Bookmakers, and even though AccuScore projects the line to be only 6 I would stay away from this game for a couple reasons. The Bears are a long and athletic team, exactly the kind of high-major school that often dominates a smaller low-major team like the Jackrabbits simply on athleticism alone. South Dakota State however might have the best college player in this game in guard Nate Wolters and a very efficient offense. That is why I rather like the Over in this game rather than taking a side against the spread. The average over-under line for this game is 143 points in simulations. The AccuScore record for totals in SDSU games is 15-9 (62.5 percent) and 15-10 (60 percent) in Baylor games.
Colorado +5.5 vs. UNLV
Tad Boyle is one of the best coaches in the West, which probably means most of the country doesn’t know about him. Colorado really has very little basketball history, but has won 20 games in back-to-back seasons including a Pac-12 tournament championship this season. The Buffs are also one of the few teams to have a natural match-up for UNLV’s Mike Moser in Andre Roberson. That alone makes me optimistic about the Buffs. The AccuScore sim line is just -4 in favor of UNLV. The computer ATS record in Colorado games is 18-11 (62.1 percent) and 17-13 (56.7 percent) in UNLV games.
Montana +9.5 vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin ranks second to last (344 out of 345) in Division 1 in adjusted tempo. Montana is slower than average as well which means possessions, shots, and points will be at a premium just because of both teams’ style of play. That makes winning by double-digits a difficult proposition especially since Montana does have talent particularly with guard Will Cherry. The AccuScore sim line for this game is just Wisconsin -5. The computer record for Montana games is 15-10 (60 percent) and 16-11 (59.3 percent) in Wisconsin games.
Ohio State vs. Loyola (MD) Over 129.5 Points
The AccuScore sim line for this game is set at 133 points. The computer record is positive for Loyola games at 14-12 (53.8 percent), but terrific for Ohio State games at 18-11 (62.1 percent).Comment
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WUNDERDOG
Game: North Carolina Ashville vs. Syracuse (3:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Syracuse -15 (-110)
The Syracuse Orange have declared center Fab Melo ineligible for the NCAA Tournament, and it shaved 2 points off an opening line that was already amongst the lowest for a No. 1 seed in tourney history. His influence and presence will be missed, but not in this game. The Cuse is a deep team with plenty of scoring options, and their zone defense will be a chore, especially for a team that hasn't seen it such as NC Ashville. The Bulldogs play a soft conference, which played softer this year. When they had to step out late in the season for a bracketbuster game at Ohio, U. they were exposed, losing by 19 points. The Orange have now gone 13-4 ATS in their last 17 as a favorite of 13 or more. Play the Cuse in this one.Comment
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Doc's Sport's CBB ***3/15***
#718 Take Gonzaga -1 over West Virginia (Thursday 7:20 pm TNT)
#721 Take Connecticut -1.5 over Iowa State (Thursday 9:20 pm TBS)
#724 Take Marquette -5.5 over BYU (Thursday 2:45 pm CBS)
#739 Take Long Beach State +4.5 over New Mexico (Thursday 4:10 pm TBS)Comment
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