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Michigan St
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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK
Under 203 bet. Houston and Phoenix
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Today's NHL Picks
Columbus at Calgary
The Blue Jackets look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is 4-9 in its last 13 games against Central Division opponents. Columbus is the pick (+180) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+180). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, MARCH 18
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. ESTGame 1-2: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.085; Philadelphia 12.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 3-4: Washington at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.089; Chicago 10.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+135); UnderGame 5-6: Columbus at Calgary (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.768; Calgary 10.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+180); OverGame 7-8: Phoenix at Edmonton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.702; Edmonton 10.267
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-120); UnderGame 9-10: Nashville at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.309; Anaheim 11.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 11-12: Carolina at Winnipeg (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.223; Winnipeg 11.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+140); UnderComment
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Today's NBA Picks
Orlando at Miami
The Magic are coming off an 86-70 win over New Jersey and look to build on their 15-6-1 ATS record in their last 22 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. Orlando is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9). Here are all of today's picks
SUNDAY, MARCH 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 701-702: Atlanta at Cleveland (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.413; Cleveland 113.480
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); OverGame 703-704: Detroit at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.999; LA Clippers 122.754
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7 1/2); UnderGame 705-706: Washington at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.495; Memphis 124.771
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 15 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 12 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-12 1/2); UnderGame 707-708: Minnesota at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.542; Sacramento 114.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 709-710: Orlando at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 121.776; Miami 128.008
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 189
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); OverGame 711-712: Houston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 115.492; Phoenix 124.920
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6 1/2); UnderGame 713-714: Portland at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 112.805; Oklahoma City 126.550
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10); UnderGame 715-716: Utah at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.654; LA Lakers 125.115
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 194
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11); OverComment
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Frank Patron
20,000 S. Florida - 2.5Comment
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Sharky Sports
Michigan State -7 (-102) for 2 units- I'm a big fan of this St. Louis ball squad and the job tremendous job that Coach Majerus has done with his boys this year. As is typical with all St. Louis teams of the past, this team is tremendously disciplined and fundamental on both the offensive and defensive ends. Defensively, St. Louis switches between a few different looks, and I expect them to be in a sort of match-up zone for most of this game tomorrow to try to balance out Mich St's size and athleticism. Offensively, they run a sort of "flex" offense, playing inside-out with their prominent big man Conklin and rely on timely drives from their explosive guard Kwamain Mitchell. The reason this team was so effective this year and lived up to their high expectations has been the unprecedented improvement of Conklin down low, as he's become a true force in the paint. Conklin is not an athletically-gifted player, nor does he stand out physically at only 6'6'' 230 lbs. However, he is one of those players who always seems to be in the right place at the right time. He is very fundamental with his post moves and knows how to score against bigger opponents, while also being a solid passer. With his effectiveness down low, teams throughout the season have had to focus on him, which has really opened up the outside shot for St. Louis, which is a team that heavily relies on the three as a go-to option in the flow of their offense (36% of all of their field goals are three's). However, this should all change against Michigan State, and I expect the 3rd ranked defense in the country to really give this team fits. The main reason I anticipate St. Louis struggling on offense has to do with the extraordinary size and physicality of Michigan State down low. Anyone who has seen them play knows how huge they are underneath between Green, Payne, Nix, etc. Conklin has never faced such a long and athletic team in the A-10, and I think their physicality will really force him farther and farther from the basket therefore making him less and less effective. With Conklin's efficiency reduced, the rest of the defense will be able to close out on shooters because they won't have to focus as much on double teams down low, and this has been the case all season for Mich St as they always dominate the glass and are stellar at defending the three (opponents are only shooting 29% from downtown). Mich State is coming off a poor performance at guarding the three in their first round win against LIU (letting them shoot 8-17 from beyond the arc), so I expect Izzo to clamp down here. Remember, Izzo is one of the best of all time at making adjustments from game to game. On offense, Mich St should be able to execute normally, as St. Louis's defense isn't one to cause many fits for offenses. Overall, this is a very tough stylistic spot for St. Louis, who isn't used to the physicality, speed, length, and athleticism of Michigan State. I think they struggle on offense and Michigan State cruises. I capped this as a double digit win for the Spartans.
Georgetown -4 (-105) for 2 units- This line is very interesting. Vegas comes out with Georgetown as -3.5 favorites to Belmont and pretty much the exact same line here. In my opinion, NC State is a much better match-up against Georgetown than Belmont was, but still I think NC State is not getting nearly enough points here. NC State is directly opposite of Belmont in some crucial areas. What Belmont lacked in size and physicality down low, NC State more than makes up with the likes of CJ Leslie, Richard Howell, and DeShawn Painter. NC State heavily relies on pounding the ball inside to these guys and letting them work. CJ Leslie is their best player, but the other big men are no joke. This NC State team is definitely solid from downtown, however this is not a focal part of their offense as less than 1/4 of their field goals are three's and Scott Wood is the only real threat out there for them. NC State has relied on their size, physicality, and skill down low to get through a tough ACC schedule, however when your game plan is to feed the bigs, one of the last teams you want to play in the country is Georgetown, who is just as big, strong, and long down low as NC State with Sims and Porter. However, it is not just the big men for Gtown that play big, but the team in general as they have one of the biggest starting line-ups in the country from positions 1-5 and they are one of the few teams in the country with 5 players averaging 4 or more rebounds per game. With less emphasis on the three (and don't get me wrong, Gtown would love to see NC State hoist some three's as they are the #1 three point defenders in the country), Georgetown will focus even more on guarding the bigs and rebounding. Thompson really has his boys focused on defense first and foremost this tournament. Part of the reason that this Georgetown team is so impressive defensively is that their length at all positions really frustrates offenses as they always contest every shot. I think NC State will be out of rhythm offensively unless they get Georgetown bigs into early foul trouble. Offensively, Georgetown has been looking as fluid as ever. Their patience, the back-door cuts they run off of the high flare by Sims, and the ability to keep the defense honest with some knock down three point shooters makes them multi-dimensional. Georgetown likes to control pace and play deliberately, but they also have the athletes to get into a track meet if the tempo calls for this. Overall, I think Georgetown will be too much for NC State here offensively and mostly defensively. I capped this as an 8 point win for the Hoyas.Comment
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Total 4 U (College)
Top Play
St Louis OVER
Reg Plays
UNC UNDER
Xavier UNDER
NC State OVER
Flor St OVER
S Flor UNDER
Norfolk UNDER
Kansas UNDERComment
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Ats Lock Club and Insider (no ratings posted)
Michigan State
Ohio
Xavier
insider plays aren't really that good most of the time
Oregon
Weber StateComment
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