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4* #817. Take Florida +2 over Marquette (Thursday @ 10:17pm est)
4* #817. Take Florida +2 over Marquette (Thursday @ 10:17pm est)
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Easy Eddie's Sweet 16 Easy Money Winner!
SYRACUSE ORANGE -3.5
Tonight I am taking the Syracuse Orange as 3.5 point favorites against the Wisconsin Badgers. Maybe it's just me, but I really don't see any scenario in which Wisconsin keeps it within the number. The Badgers offense is going to be in dissary as the Syracuse zone is going to cause them a multitude of problems. Also, even without Fab Melo, the Orange are the much better and deeper team. I look for Dion Waiters and for Kris Joseph to absolutely go off and both have HUGE Games. This one is Easy Money Fellas' and we are going to take it straight to the BANK!
Take Syracuse!
**Premium pickComment
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Tony's Sweet 16 Double Header by Tony George
Marquette -1.5
I haver stated in forums and anywhere I can Marquette the real deal. Florida has had a breeze through the tourney including Norfolk State who upset Mizzou in round 1 as their second game. Marquette battle tested, a hell of a team and deep on the bench. Florida lives by the 3 and dies by it with their guard play, and Marquette counters with hustle, rebounding and solid shot selection as well as perimetter defense. Toughest game Florida has played since losing to Kentucky in SEC semis...they lose again, Marquette is all over the floor and will force long jumper and the Gators will not be able to keep pace.
Play 1 Unit on Marquette
Play a HALF UNIT EACH Cincy +8Comment
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Mitch's Thursday NCAA TOurnament Pick #1 by Mitch Wilson
Syracuse -3.5 vs. Wisconsin
While Fab Melo's presence in the middle isn't their for Syracuse, Wisconsin isn't a team that takes it to the basket so they won't benefit as much as some others would. we also need to remember that the Cuse is now 3-1 without Melo as after they lost at ND, they went into Louisville and beat the eventual Big East Tourney Champs in their own building. Syracuse can get it done inside and outside and should pull away here.Comment
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Mitch's Thursday NCAA Tournament Pick #2 by Mitch Wilson
Louisville +5 vs. Michigan State
We have the Big Ten Tournament Champ facing off against the Big East Tournament Champ and what we get is a war. We all know Tom Izzo is a regular in the Final Four at least once every four years but the stronger trend of late is the Big East Tournament Champ goes to the Final Four. At the very least we get a close one and while we rode Sparty all year, we jump ship here and take the points.Comment
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Mitch's Thursday NCAA Tournament Pick #3 by Mitch Wilson
Cincinnati +7.5 vs. Ohio State
This one is the battle of Ohio teams and Cincinnati feels they have been disrespected for years by Ohio State has ducked them and refused to play them for the last 50 years though the schools are an hour and a half apart. They played once several years ago but that was in the immediate post Bob Huggins Era and a down era for Cincinnati and Ohio State was basically foced into that neutral site game as it was part of another tournament.
So when it comes down to it we have a team who had underperformed under Head Coach Thad Matta every opportunity they have ever had against a Cincinnati team who has been disrespected and counted out often, the same Cincinnati team who were the only ones to beat a full strength Syracuse team this year and the same team that had no problem with an ACC Tournament champ Florida State. I don't count Cincinnati out from winning this outright.
Look for Ohio State to be playing for a spot in the Final Four, Look for Cincinnati to be playing like they want this game very very bad.Comment
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Mitch's Thursday NCAA Tournament Pick #4 by Mitch Wilson
Marquette -2 vs. Florida
All season long the Florida Gators have been one of the best shooting teams in the nation and had a streak at one point this season that went into double digits where they hit at least 10 3 pointers in a game. The issue Florida has had is against the better teams their throwing up three's all night long hasn't worked and against decent defenses it looks real bad as they throw them up early in the shot clock. Marquette is the best second half team around so if Florida doesn't bury them early,which they shouldn't be able to, Marquette shouldn't have much of a problem here.Comment
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Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Syracuse -3.5 over WISCONSIN: Gotta go with the Cuse here. I'll admit that at the beginning of the tourney I felt the Syracuse may be done with the loss of Melo, but this team is the deepest team in the tourney and they have found ways to win without him this year, going 4-1 in the games he has missed. The Badgers have begun to shoot the ball a bit better but still they are at 44.6% in the tourney and that wasn't vs the kind of defense they will face tonight. The Cuse come in ranked 24th in the nation in points allowed (60.7 ppg) and 7th in defensive FG% (38.3%). This weak shooting Badger team will have problems generating points vs that kind of defense. The Badgers also like to shoot the 3 ball and they will have to over this zone, but that will not be easy for them as Syracuse is 32nd in the nation in defending the three, allowing just 30.8% from long range. The Badgers do play great defense as they are #1 in points allowed (52.9 ppg) and 9th in defensive FG% (38.5%), but the Cuse are a tough team to defense as they have so many weapons they can go to. How deep are the Orange? Consider this, that they average 74.5 ppg on the year yet just 2 players average double digits. Impressive. Melo will be missed on defense, but the Badgers are more of an outside shooting team, so he won't be missed as much vs this team. Syracuse has done well without their big guy this year and I don't see that changing here as the Badgers will not be able to generate enough offense to keep this one close.
Michigan State -5 over Louisville: (Google Play) Been back and forth on this game and I read everything i can on this game in the forum and around the net and I just feel the the Spartans are the right side here. This game is a little like the Syracuse/ Wisconsin game as you have two very good defenses, but only one team that can score. In their last game Louisville did shoot the ball better in the game vs the Lobos (45.8%), but in that game they did get an unexpected contribution from Russ Smith (5-12 overall and 3-3 from long range), who shoots just 35.7% overall and 29.9% from long range on the year, so you can expect him not to have the same results in this one. Despite the good shooting vs the Lobos the Cardinals are still 222nd in FG (42.5%) and 289th in three point shooting (31.3%), and in their last 12 games they have shot 40.4% or lower in 9 of those games and less than 35% in 5 of those games.That will not get it done vs a Spartans team that doesn't get enough credit for their defense. The Spartans are 17th in the nation in points allowed (59.4 ppg) and 3rd in the nation in defensive FG% (37.9%), plus they are 12th at defending the three ball (29.6%). The big edge in this game comes in on the offensive end of the floor where the Spartans are 70th in scoring (72.4 ppg) and 15th in FG% (48.2 %). Louisville can't come close to numbers like that. Louisville also goes only 6 deep so if they get into foul trouble trying to defend Green they will be in trouble. Both defenses are nearly equal, but MSU gets a big edge on offense and a solid edge in depth and they should wear down the Cardinals in this one to a comfortable win.
Ohio State/ Cincinnati Over 129: With these two defensive teams the easiet way to look should be to the Under, but I will head the other way. The Bearcats have allowed just 61 ppg overall and 55 ppg in their last 3 games, but let's look at the last 3 games for a moment. The played a slowed down game with FSU, A very young Texas team that is not great on offense and a Louisville team that can't shoot for shit. Now in the 3 games before that they allowed 68 points in two of those games, plus the Bearcats have allowed 65 ppg away from home on the year. Now they face a very good OSU team that puts up 74.8 ppg on 48.1% shooting for the year. I don't expect the Cats to hold the Buckeyes in the lower 60's in this one. Ohio Sttae has allowed just 59.2 ppg on the year, but down the stretch it has been a bit different as they have allowed 6 of their last 9 opponents to hit at least 66 points, while allowing an average of 65.8 ppg over that stretch. The Bearcats don't score a ton, but they do average 68.2 ppg on the year and 65.9 ppg away from home, so they should be good for the mid 60's in this one. FT's should also play a part in this one as it should be a physical game, plus we could get a close one at the end and that will mean FT's as well. Cincy isn't great from the line, but OSU hits 70+ % of their FT's. I really like OSU to put up around 70+ points in this one, while the Bearcats get somewhere in the 60's .I expect around 135 in this one. KEY TREND--- OHIO ST is 17-6 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
2 UNIT PLAY
Marquette/ Florida Over 147: (Google Play) Been on the bandwagon of Marquette all year and would have loved to play them here, but the line was a bit scary so ill go with the total. Both of these teams will push the ball and get up plenty of shots and that should equal plenty of points. Florida has averaged 76.3 ppg on the year, while the Golden Eagles have scored 75.9 ppg, while both defenses are just average.. Florida does get a lot of their points from long range, while Marquette uses the uptempo pace to generate their scoring, plus we have two teams that hit 71+% of their FT's. This will be the last game of the day and it will be fun to watch. Expect a lot of running and scoring as this one flirts with 160 points.
1 UNIT PLAY
Cincinnati +7.5 over Ohio State: The Bearcats have been playing very well down the stretch and i just don't see the Buckeyes being able to blow them out here. I expect it to go down to the wire. KEY TREND-- CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
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