3-24-12

[poopoo333]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

Brandon Lang


100 Dime Play

Louisville +1.5 over Florida


His Free Pick is Syracuse

[poopoo333]

SCOTT SPREITZER
6-2 NBA RUN (75%)
16 MAR 1-0
17 MAR 1-0
19 MAR 1-0
20 MAR 0-1
21 MAR 2-0
22 MAR 1-0
23 MAR 0-1
24 MAR
2* KINGS +2.5
2* BOBCATS / NJ NETS UNDER 192

[poopoo333]

Big al:
Dallas stars
Fairfield
Louisville
Syracuse

[poopoo333]

Scott spreitzer elite 8 goy

syracuse + pts

[poopoo333]

Dr. Bob - Opinions/Leans
Saturday, March 24, 2012

Ohio State (-3) over Syracuse
Rotation #519 – 4:05 pm Pacific
This is not a particularly good match up for Ohio State since the Buckeyes’ weakness is their 3-point shooting (33.3%) and the Syracuse zone forces teams to take more 3-pointers. Scoring inside against the Orange is easier without suspended Fab Melo patrolling the paint and Ohio State is a very efficient 2-point shooting team (53.6%) that will dominate the rebounding stats in this game, so the Buckeyes should be able to win this game even without good 3-point shooting. My ratings favor Ohio State by 3 ½ points (with a total of 136 ½ points) and the Buckeyes apply to a solid 37-14-2 ATS round 4 situation. I’ll lean with Ohio State minus the points.

Strong Opinion
Louisville (+1 ½) over Florida
Rotation #522 – 1:30 pm Pacific
This game comes down to Louisville’s defense, which is now the highest rated in the nation, against Florida’s offense, which is #3 in compensated efficiency (points per possession). I think the Cardinals will win that battle. Louisville’s defense is relatively better against better offensive teams while Florida’s offense is slightly worse, relatively, against better defensive teams. Louisville’s domination of Michigan State was certainly impressive and teams that win as an underdog of 4 points or more in the Sweet 16 are 19-3 ATS in their Elite 8 game. My ratings using all games would favor Florida by 2 points but using games for each team against NCAA Tournament caliber opposition would make this game a pick and my match-up analysis, which takes into account Louisville’s better defense against better offensive teams, favors the Cardinals by 2 points (with a total of 129 ½ points). Florida is playing better than any team so far in the NCAA Tournament but Louisville looks like a tough match up for the Gators. I’ll consider Louisville a Strong Opinion at -1 or better.

Saturday NBA Opinion
OVER (193) – Charlotte at NEW JERSEY
Rotation #507-508– 4:35 pm Pacific
Charlotte has gone over the total in 5 consecutive games and the Bobcats have been higher scoring this season with D.J. Augustin and Corey Maggette in the lineup. My math model projects 197 total points and I don’t expect a lot of defensive effort from 2 bad teams that both played last night.