4-5-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

EARLY MLB

30 Dime Pirates +1.5 (-115)

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Santucci

Parlay

Tigers/Red Sox Over 7, Mets/Braves Over 7, Reds Run Line -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Afternoon Delight! Opening Day Blowout Cash

Toronto Blue Jays ML

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (-118)
(Note: I'm risking 2.36 units to win 2 units)

**Note this is an afternoon game**

Being from Canada there is a lot of hype north of the border for this Toronto Blue Jays team. Time will tell whether this Blue Jays team can compete for a playoff spot in the AL East this year, but one thing is for sure: behind Ricky Romero this Toronto team always has a good shot at winning. The oddsmakers seem to agree with me as the Blue Jays are favorites here on the road to open the season in Cleveland. Thursday's match up will feature Ricky Romero vs Justin Masterson. Romero is coming off a great season where he went 15-11 with a 2.92 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .216 opponents batting average. Pretty impressive numbers, especially in a tough AL East Division. His first half performance earned him a trip to the All Star game which was well deserved. This spring Ricky has looked in mid-season form. Romero had 4 appearances pitching 11 innings. In those 11 innings of work Romero allowed just 2 hits, 0 runs and had 10 strikeouts with just 2 walks. Justin Masterson had his best season in the bigs going 12-10 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .257 opponents batting average which earned him the number one spot in the Indian's rotation. While spring training doesn't really show much for some pitchers, it is noted that Justin had a rough spring. In 18 innings of work spread out across 5 appearances Justin allowed 23 hits and 18 earned runs for an ERA of 9.00. Opponents were batting .315 against Masterson, and his WHIP was up to 1.56. Take note that dating back to last season the Jays are 11-2 in Romero's last 13 starts and 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a favorite. The Indians are just 3-7 in Masterson's last 10 starts as an underdog. These two teams met 7 times last season with the Jays winning the season series 4-3. Also note that the Jays went 3-1 in Cleveland last year.
I'm backing Ricky Romero and this Blue Jays team here on opening day.

[Mr. IWS]

Reno Sports Advisors

4* NY. METS ML

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

EARLY MLB

30 DIMES PITTSBURGH PIRATES +1.5 (-115)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

250* Atlanta Braves -110

100* Cleveland Indians +105

50* Detroit Tigers -145

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Justice

MLB

Philadelphia Run Line -1.5

OVER 7 Atlanta Braves/NY Mets

Toronto Blue Jays ML

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play Philadelphia (-175) over Pittsburgh (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 1:30 PM EST

Roy Halladay has won 33 of the last 43 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has also won 9 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of April. Roy Halladay has won 18 of the last 25 day games and they have won 49 of the last 68 games as a favorite of -110 or higher.

50* Play LA Dodgers (-150) over San Diego (MBL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Detroit (-145) over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSPortsGroup MLB - 4/5

Atlanta v. NY 1:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game ev Best bet of the day

Toronto v. Cleveland 3:05pm
PICK: Indians ML +110
PICK: OVER 7 Game -125

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

Doubles: Braves & Reds

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB (pass on NHL)

Atlanta -104 over N.Y. METS Pinnacle
The cleaning up of their financial mess has begun but the Mets product on the field still has a long way to go. New York did not add a significant piece this offseason, compounded by the fact it lost one of the top free agents in Jose Reyes. They also lost Angel Pagen, Willie Harris and Chris Capuano. The Mets hit the fourth fewest runs in the league last season and as a result, they’ve decided to change the dimensions of Citi Field, bringing in the fences to generate more power. The problem with that is that it will be easier for the opposition too and the Mets rotation instills fear into nobody. Johan Santana will get the Opening Day nod for the Mets after missing all of 2011 due to shoulder surgery. Santana showed no signs of trouble this spring, tossing 18 innings with a 3.44 ERA and a 13:7 K: BB ratio. Manager Terry Collins confirmed that Santana is "healthy," although the Mets expect to monitor his innings. Spring numbers are just that and until Santana shows us something in real time, we’ll gladly fade him and the Mets. His decline was already underway before his surgery, as elevated strand rates hid a declining strikeout rate. He was no longer elite before the surgery and now his health still a huge question mark. Tommy Hanson is a young rotation anchor who has not reached his ceiling yet. His skills surged for the second straight season in 2011, putting him firmly among the game's elite. Hanson was diagnosed with a small tear in his rotator cuff last season and he re-worked his delivery in the off-season but he was solid in the spring with a 2.77 ERA and one walk in 13 frames. The Braves added nothing and lost little in the offseason and will field the same team as last year. They were better than New York last season, they’re much better this season and they have a significant edge on the hill in the opener. Play: Atlanta -104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

PITTSBURGH +157 over Philadelphia Bet365
You may see us fading the Phillies quite a bit early on because they’re likely to be overvalued most days, especially at the outset of the season. If things go bad, the marketplace will catch up but for now, they’re overpriced. Roy Halladay gets the opening day start and he needs no introduction. It’s same ol', same ol'. Other than age risk, the downside here just isn't apparent unless one chooses to view that 2H command "slide" as a warning sign. He’s still MLB's ace/workhorse poster boy but he may not get the offensive support he’s going to need. The Phillies parted ways with free agents Raul Ibanez, Brad Lidge, Ryan Madson and Roy Oswalt while also trading away backup infielder Wilson Valdez. The Phillies did have their usual big catch over the winter, adding former Boston closer Jonathan Papelbon to the mix but the rest of the moves were designed to fill in for injuries that have already afflicted the roster. The Phillies are built to win another World Series but making the playoffs is by no means a lock given the current state of the offense and the aging pitching staff. The Pittsburgh Pirates teased the baseball world last season when they went into the All-Star break holding a one-game lead atop the National League Central. But everything changed on the night of July 26 when one of the worst calls you'll ever see caused them to lose a six-hour, 19-inning marathon in Atlanta. On the surface it was just another loss, but the Pirates went onto lose 10 of their next 11 games and won only 18 of the season's final 59 games. That said, it showed that there is some talent on this roster and it starts with emerging star Andrew McCutchen. Erik Bedard gets the opening day assignment and when healthy, he can be very good. He’ll make his NL debut here after spending eight years in the AL. He enjoyed his healthiest year since 2007, missing only 31 days after triple-digit days lost in each of the previous three seasons. Bedard can handcuff both RH and LH hitters, he has solid control and averages a strikeout per inning. On opening day in Pittsburgh with Bedard facing hitters that are unfamiliar with him, we’ll gladly take our chances with the Bucs at this overlay. Play: Pittsburgh +157 (Risking 2 units).

Toronto -121 over CLEVELAND Pinnacle
During spring training we see a lot of inflated batting numbers, as major league players face a lot of minor league prospects. The Indians come into the season after some ugly spring numbers that saw them bat a combined .247. This is a team that is relying on Shin-Soo Choo and Travis Hafner to stay healthy and to have productive years. They might just be the most offensively challenged team in the AL. Justin Masterson finally had the breakout in 2011 that many saw coming. That doesn't mean you should bet on a repeat. His strikeout rate decreased for the second straight season. He had a tiny 6% HR/F. His SO rate vs. LHers was a lot lower than the rate he posted against RH batters and he had surgery on his labrum in the off-season. Expect his ERA of 3.21 last season rise significantly to 4.21 or thereabouts. The Blue Jays were tearing it up in the spring and they have so much more confidence coming into the opener than the Indians. Warranted or not, there are some high expectations for the Blue Jays and if the pitching holds up, they really could be contenders. Ricky Romero went 2-0 in the spring with an ERA of 0.00. In 11 innings, he allowed two hits and struck out 10. Historically, he’s been outstanding in the first half with erosion in the second half. Romero also is one of the rare pitchers whose skills improve during the game, as he dominates more the third time through the lineup than the first and second times through. Romero has a great chance to dominate here against a Tribe team that comes in struggling offensively without a single pitch being thrown yet. That’s not the way you want to begin the year. Play: Toronto -121 (Risking 2.42 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker

THURSDAY MLB TOTAL DOMINATOR
double-dime bet 901 ATL / 902 NYM Over 7 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: This is my only Baseball Play for Thursday with a somewhat shaky line situation in all of the games today except this one which has a clear choice for the OVER. A number of factors to consider here incluªding the fact that Santana's arm has not been as active as he would like, losing some velocity since coming back this spring. This field has been re-adjusted and we are going to see more run production due to this fact. My number is good enough to play OVER as it sits at 8.2. That makes this a 2% Play