4-7-12

[poopoo333]

Hondo

If Joe Girardi makes any more boneheaded moves like he made in the first inning yesterday, then he should be made to intentionally walk the plank. Mix in the Mariano meltdown in the ninth and Hondo was hit with his third loss in four attempts.

With the deficit up to 160 stiebs, Mr. Aitch will give the ball to Morrow today -- 10 units on the Jays make life hairy for Ubaldo and the Native Americans.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 826- 603 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Free winner Sat: NHL Carolina Over the total 5

[poopoo333]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Georgia Force +3.5 (AFL)

[poopoo333]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB BOSTON at DETROIT
Play Against - Any team (DETROIT) in a game involving two teams who had good records (54% to 62%) from last season, after a win
94-56 since 1997. ( 62.7% 41.0 units )

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StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB WASHINGTON at CHICAGO CUBS
WASHINGTON is 15-6 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in Road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: WASHINGTON (4.0) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[poopoo333]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA BOSTON at INDIANA
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in April games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )
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NBA ORLANDO at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ORLANDO) after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
97-23 since 1997. ( 80.8% 47.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -2.9 units )
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NBA ORLANDO at PHILADELPHIA
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[poopoo333]

Cappers Access

Cubs
Tigers
Pacers -2

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
20 Dime winner going out on the Detroit Tigers agaiast the visitcing Boston Red Sox. At the time I release this selrction, the Tigers are listed as the +105 home dog versus the Sox, and the starting pitchers are listed as Beckett and Fister both here in Vegas and offshore.


Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or there is to be no action on the release.


10 Dime winner in the NBA on the Memphis Grizzlies as the home favorite over the Dallas Mavericks. At the time I release this winner to you, Memphis is listed as the 3-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Atlanta -108 over NY METS: The Atlanta had a tough showing vs Johan Santana in the opener, but they should have an easier time of it in this one. R.A Dickey has pitched better as a member of the Mets than when he was in the AL as he is 19-22 with a 3.08 ERA in a Met uniform, while he went 22-28 with a 5.42 ERA in the AL, but one his remained constant and that is he is not a good starter out the blocks. Last year Dickey went 2-6 with a 4.38 ERA in March, April, May, while for his career he has gone 12-17 with a 4.72 ERA. Not a good starter and will be facing a good hitting Atlanta team that looks to get on track after their 1-0 loss on Thursday night.R.A. is also just 1-4 with a 3.38 ERA in 7 starts vs the Braves in his career. Jair Jurrjens was one of the most consistent pitchers for the Braves last year, with a 13-6 mark and a 2.96 ERA and he has pitched very well vs the Mats, going 8-4 with a 2.96 ERA in 13 starts vs them, while he is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA at Citi Field. He will be taking on a Met's team that has little pop and it showed on Thursday night as they put up just 1 run on young Tommy Hanson. Today their task gets a bit tough as Jair is the better pitcher and he has the better offense behind him that is looking to break out. Look for Atlanta to get into the win column today.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +106 over CHICAGO

Starlin Castro is far and away the best player on the Cubs. After him, things really get pretty ugly. From starting pitching to everyday players to the bullpen, you would be hard-pressed to find a team with less appeal than the Cubbies. The rebuilding has begun in Chicago, so when they’re favored they automatically become a fade because they’re very likely going to lose more than 100 times. Matt Garza would be a welcome addition to any team. He’s a quality pitcher with nothing but upside. However, winning games with this offense to support him is going to be difficult. Gio Gonzalez comes over from the AL and he gets a sweet taste of the Cubbies in his Nationals debut. The knock on Gonzalez is the number of walks he issues but in his last two starts in the spring he only issued two in 10 frames while striking out 13. The guy has electric stuff. Even with 90 walks and pitching for Oakland, Gonzalez won 16 games. If his control improves, he can be dominating, just as he was against all four NL teams he faced in 2011. The Nats taking back a tag with Gonzalez in against the Cubbies is a wager every time. Play: Washington +106 (Risking 2 units).

San Francisco +115 over ARIZONA

Madison Bumgarner is a Cy Young candidate and it’s not often we’re going to find a tag on him, especially if he pitches like he did in the second half last year (2.70 ERA, 1.09 WHIP). It’s hard to find a discouraging trend here. Gains in strikeout rate and control are particularly exciting. His raw stuff is improving as well. His fastball velocity has increased the last two seasons to 92 mph and while the Giants lost yesterday, the offense looked so much more dangerous than they did a year ago when they were last in runs scored. The Giants got rid of a lot of dead weight and added some nice offensive pieces in Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan and let’s not forget that Buster Posey is back hitting third, where he went 2-4 yesterday with a walk added in. Daniel Hudson had a 3.49 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 222 IP in 2011. While his base skills were good, they weren't sub-3.50 ERA good. He was aided by a 6% hr/f. He hasn't peaked yet, but there's probably some regression coming in 2012. Regardless, Bumgarner taking back a price is a must play. Play: San Francisco +115 (Risking 2 units).

Los Angeles +107 over SAN DIEGO

The Dodgers are 2-0 while the Padres are 0-2. In facing the Padres top two in the rotation, the Dodgers scored 11 times at Petco. The Padres scored three times on the Dodgers pen in the opener after Clayton Kershaw came down with the flu and were subsequently shutout yesterday. It’s early, but we’d much rather be on the 2-0 team taking back a tag than a young 0-2 team that is seeing BB’s. After missing 2½ seasons with two Tommy John surgeries, Chris Capuano revived his career in New York, notching 11 wins and 168 strikeouts. A career best xERA says he deserved even better. He fanned a career-high 8.1 hitters a game. These are both better-than-average ratios and produce a command rate above the benchmark we look for in starting pitchers. Dustin Moseley relies on pinpoint control for success of which he has not had much. His inability to exploit PETCO (4.05 home ERA) doesn’t help and history suggests that he'll be hard-pressed to win games. As the chalk, Moseley and the Padres should be avoided. Play: Los Angeles +107 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* UNDER Giants
3* Warriors

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Saturday

100* Play LA Angels (-185) over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 4:00 PM EST

Los Angeles has won 41 of the last 67 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and they have also won 55 of the last 95 day games. Dan Haren has won 12 of the last 20 day games and he is 4-1 vs. Kansas City over his career with an ERA of 1.91.

50* Play Texas (-175) over Chicago WhiteSox (MBL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Philadelphia (-165) over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS TO WIN (-106)
Listed Pitchers: Beckett vs Fister
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)

These two teams met on opening day with the Tigers winning 3-2. After blowing a save in the top of the 9th the Tigers went on to load the bases and cash in a run in the bottom of the inning for an opening day win. The Tigers outhit the Red Sox 10-5 on the day, with 3 of Boston's 5 hits coming in the 9th inning. Take note that the Red Sox walked Miguel Cabrera 3 times on Thursday. If Boston plans to do that again on Saturday it might come back to haunt them with Prince Fielder in the 4 spot (a 1-2 punch that Detroit needed and got this off-season). Josh Beckett had a great season last year going 13-7 with a 2.89 ERA, .103 WHIP and .211 opponents batting average. This spring he has pitched well with a 0.95 ERA over 19 innings of work. Detroit's starter Doug Fister went 11-13 last season with a 2.83 ERA, 1.06, and .237 opponents batting average. Although the 11-13 record doesn't look good we need to remember that Fister started the season in Seattle where he got almost no run support. With Detroit Fister was superb in the regular season going 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA, 0.84 ERA and .206 opponents batting average. At home (with both Seattle and Detroit) Fister was 6-6 last year with a low 2.35 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and .233 opponents batting average. Take note that the Tigers are 9-0 in Fister's last 9 starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 as a favorite. Dating back to last season they are 20-6 in their last 26 games at home, and 36-15 in their last 51 overall. Boston is just 2-10 in their last 12 road games dating back to last season, and 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs a right-handed starter. Look for the Tigers to follow up a home opener win with another one behind Doug Fister who has been great with the Tigers.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Twins -105

50* Over 7 Braves/Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* 19-0 ATS NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year!
Boston Celtics +2

5* 'Never Lost' 17-0 MLB Game of the Week!
Milwaukee Brewers ML-115

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - NBA (pass on NHL until playoffs)

MILWAUKEE -4½ over Portland Pinnacle
You’re well-advised to get on this one early, as the line is likely to move up at least a point by game time. As playoffs approach, both of these teams are on the outside looking in and neither team can really afford to lose. In that respect, we much prefer a Bucks team at home, playing well over a Trail Blazers squad that has eight road wins in 27 tries. Additionally, the Blazers are coming off an emotional road win in OT in Dallas last night. Incredibly enough it was the first time since Jan.23-24 that Portland had won back-to-back games. This is a club that relies heavily on one guy, LaMarcus Aldridge. If he has a bad or even average game, they have very little chance. Aldridge has more than a few nagging injuries at the moment and after playing 44 minutes last night and giving it his all, expect a lesser performance here. Both teams will play their third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs. The difference is the Bucks were barely breaking a sweat in a win at home over Charlotte last night while Portland went into OT against the Champs. This is Milwaukee’s third straight at the Bradley Center and after winning five of their past six and creeping back into this thing; they’re not going to let this exhausted one-man show get in the way of their quest. Play: Milwaukee -4½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).