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100* Play Texas (-180) over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY) Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Matt Harrison has won 10 of the last 12 Sunday games and he has also won 9 of the last 11 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher. Matt Harrison has won 8 of the last 11 home games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he is 2-0 vs. Chicago over his career with an ERA of 3.54.
Valley Sports 3* San Diego (Richard) Over LA Dodgers (Harang) 3* SF Giants (Cain) Over Arizona (Collmenter) 3* San Diego (Richard) / La Dodgers (Harang) Over The Total 2* Atlanta (Minor) Over NY Mets (Niese) 3* Chicago Bulls-2½ 3* Chicago Bulls / NY Knicks Under 184½ 2* San Antonio Spurs -10
Insider Sports Report 4* San Francisco (Cain) -115 over Arizona (Collmenter) 3* Philadelphia (Worley) -125 over Pittsburgh (McDonald) 3* N.Y. Yankees (Hughes) -105 over Tampa Bay (Hellickson)
National Sports Service 5* Chicago Bulls -4½ 3* Oklahoma City Thunder -12 3* Philadelphia (Worley) -130 over Pittsburgh (McDonald) 3* Baltimore (Hammel) -120 over Minnesota (Hendriks
Jeff Benton Sunday's Action 40 Dime winner going out in the NBA on the visitang Chicago Bulls as they play at the New York Knicks early this Easter Sunday. At the time I release this selrction, the Bulls are a 3 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.
10 Dime winner in baseball on the New York Yankees with Hughes over the Tampa Bay Rays with Hellickson. At the time I release this selection to you, the Yankees are +105 both here in Vegas and offshore.
Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or there is to be no action on the release.
The Dodgers are 3-0 while the Padres are 0-3 and that first win becomes harder to come by with each passing loss. The Padres trailed yesterday’s game 5-0 before rallying to tie it but don’t be fooled by that. They had four hits the entire game and they’re hitting a combined .126 over their first three games. Not only are they losing, but they’re already pressing at the plate. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have 26 hits and 17 runs in the first three and come into this one in a great state of mind. The pitching matchup of Aaron Harang versus Clayton Richard certainly doesn’t favor the Padres either. Last season, shoulder surgery ended Richards’ year in July. Before that he had poor control and a 5.30 ERA on the road. So if Petco helps him, so be it, his lack of consistent command puts success in comfy parks at risk too and with marginal raw stuff, there's no strikeout uptick on the horizon either. Use his xERA of 4.34 as your guide. Aaron Harang faces the team he played for last season where he revived his career and posted an ERA of 3.05 at Petco. Clearly, luck played a big part in Harang's revival. But his xERA history doesn't vary all that much over the past four years and provides a better roadmap for what to expect. Having said all that, we’d much prefer to take back a tag with the Dodgers and Harang than spotting one with the struggling Padres and that stiff they’re sending out today. Play: Los Angeles +109 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis -103 over MILWAUKEE
The Brewers finally won a game yesterday when Zack Greinke shutout the Cardinals. Unfortunately for them, Randy Wolf is not Zack Greinke. Only twice in his career, 2002 and 2009, did Wolf manage an ERA beneath 3.50 and a WHIP under 1.20 and in eight of his 13 seasons he has had an ERA above 4.00 and a WHIP higher than 1.30. Last season, Wolf outpitched his xERA for third straight year. That’s some good fortune that will eventually run out. His skills are just middling, especially the past two years. His quality starts/disaster starts split reveals a pitcher more adept at avoiding failure than exhibiting real dominance. Beware this inning-eating Wolf in an above-average starter's clothing. Lance Lynn is another one of those potentially solid starters that the Cardinals seem to find every year. Lynn posted a 2.56 xERA and showed sound skills in 35 relief innings in 2011. In those 35 frames, he struck out 40, had a 57% groundball rate and he carried those skills into a successful spring. He has much more upside than down and he’s a better option than Wolf. Play: St. Louis -103 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
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