4-10-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

Detroit/ Tampa Bay Over 8.5: Matt Moore was brought up late last year and looked like a solid pitcher. Moore went 1-0 last year with a 2.89 ERA allowing nine hits and three earned runs while striking out 15 in 9.1 innings of work. He will not have an easy time in his first start of the 2012 season as he takes on a Detroit Tigers team that is just Killing the ball right now as they hit .336 and scored 26 runs in their opening series vs Boston. Tampa Bay wasn't a slouch on offense as they scored 18 runs on .296 hitting vs the Yanks over the weekend. Rick Porcello hasn't faced the Rays since 2010 and he has a 3.46 ERA vs them in 2 starts, but Comerica Park is not a place that he has pitched well in as he has a 4.59 ERA in 44 career starts here, including a 5.75 ERA in this park last year. Rick is also a slow starter with a 6.04 ERA in 14 career starts in March/ April. This game has too much offense and not enough pitching to think that these teams can't hit at least 9 runs.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Yankees -140

50* Cardinals -110

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard NBA Play:

Miami -7

[Mr. IWS]

Turner
4/10/2012
Game: Boston at Toronto
Pick: Over 9.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

BALTIMORE +121 over N.Y. Yankees

The Yanks are overpriced on most days and we see another example of that here. Freddy Garcia as road chalk is an automatic fade almost every time. While it looks like Garcia’s ERA improved, thank a high strand percentage (76%) for that. Garcia’s xERA shows the skills were similar to 2010 in which he posted an ERA of 4.64. At this middling level, that's not a good thing. He's lost velocity each of the past three years, the dominant starts are dwindling, and line-drive % is creeping up. Those are signs that Garcia is too big a risk. Wei-Yin Chen is a wildcard and probably a low-upside one at that. He was a good pitcher in Japan, but might profile more as a lefty soft-tosser at this level. He showed excellent command during spring, which is a trademark of Japanese pitchers and overall he went 2-2 in 20 spring innings with an ERA of 3.60. Let’s call it what it is. This is both teams’ fifth starter. They are both risky but the difference here is that Chen has not been seen, he’s taking back a tag, the Orioles are 3-1 and batting .295 and they’re at home. Play: Baltimore +121 (Risking 2 units).

Kansas City +106 over OAKLAND

The battle for fifth starter for the A’s came down to Jarrod Parker and Graham Godfrey and Godfrey won out by way of elimination because Parker was that bad. Godfrey is a sinkerball pitcher that had a low ERA and good command at AAA. He made a few starts as an injury replacement for the big club last season and while he got his feet wet he didn't really see enough time to be tested. At this point, he's spring training rotation fodder after allowing 19 hits and 10 runs in 17 spring innings for an ERA of 5.09. Danny Duffy had a 5.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 105 IP with KC in 2011 so his value is low. His skills with KC weren't great but they were encouraging and he has the arsenal to be a good one. Armed with a 93 mph fastball, he's no lefty soft-tosser. Duffy has been working on a cut fastball this spring and as a result, he struck out 17 in 15 spring innings while walking just four. Duffy could be a big time sleeper and against the light hitting A’s in a pitchers park, he has a great chance to succeed. Play: Kansas City +106 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

The Popular Choice

3* Mets
3* Astros
5* LAD RL

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 4/10
964 Tigers -114 @ 1:05p
966 Jays +110 @ 7:05p
968 Orioles +124 @ 7:05p
969 White Sox +105 @ 7:05p
953 Cards -105 @ 7:10p
959 Brewers -112 @ 8:05p
961 D-Backs -113 @ 10:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* MLB FREE PICK ON BOSTON RED SOX -120

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker

Tuesday Twitter Play #1: TOTAL RUNS-ASTROS OVER 3-115.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NBA

WASHINGTON +5½/+190 over Orlando Pinnacle
This is exactly the type of game the Magic are vulnerable in. The Dwight Howard-Stan Van Gundy feud has died down a bit after Orlando defeated both Philadelphia and Detroit, the latter by 30 points. Now the Magic will play their third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs with two full days of rest on deck. Orlando has won nine straight over the Wizards and that includes all three games this season. The Wizards are playing a little bit better since the trade deadline and catch a break here with Dwight Howard sitting this one out. Kevin Seraphin has made the departure of JaVale McGee tolerable and Nene’s absence due to injury manageable for the Wizards. He’s giving them good minutes and has scored in double figures in 11 of the clubs past 15 games. The Magic are likely to come in here complacent and with no sense of urgency whatsoever. The Wizards may get whacked here, as that is always a possibility but the situation and price make them worthy of a wager. Play: Washington +190 (Risking 1 unit). Play: Washington +5½ (Risking 1.1 units to win 1).

[Mr. IWS]

ATS WINNERS

3* UNDER 9.5 (-115) - NY Yankees/Baltimore

3* NY Mets ML (-115)

3* Arizona D`Backs ML (-114)

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

KC Royals +101 over A's (Double Dime) 10:05

Arizona D`Backs -105 over Padres (Triple Dime) 10:05

Boston Red Sox -120 over Blue Jays (Dime) 7:05

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Pick

Pick of the Day: Athletics (-107) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Duffy vs. Godfrey

Free Pick: Team Total: Rays Under 4* (-105) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Moore vs. Porcello
* Starts at 10:05am PST.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

NBA
TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

NY Knicks/ Chicago Under 186.5: Google News Play.The Bulls have not played the greatest of defense of late and they will need to shore that part of their game up as they head to the post season. Chicago has allowed just 88.6 ppg on 42.3% shooting at home on the year and will be taking on a Knick squad that has averaged just 94.7 ppg on the road this year. Defense has been the name of the game for the Knicks since Woodson took over, as they have allowed just 88.6 ppg in the 14 games with him at the helm and they should be able to control this Chicago team that has struggle to shoot the ball well of late. No a high octane game by any stretch and with both teams looking to their defenses I will call for this one to stay in the 170's.