4-11-12

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer

3* #910 Take Philadelphia -135 over Miami (7:05p.m., Wednesday April 11)

When was the last time you saw Roy Halladay only a -135 at home? Yes the Marlins have been playing better ball as of late but they haven't faced a pitcher like Halladay all young season long. Philly will also be looking to snap their 3-games losing streak and tonight at home against the Marlins who will be under a microscope with no Ozzie Gullien in the dugout. Phillies win big tonight at home and their ace Halladay again will be a stud on the mound. The Phillies are a perfect 7-0 at home when Roy Halladay faces a team with a losing record.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

3-unit Play Take #908 San Diego Padres (-120) over Arizona Diamondbacks (6:35pm ET)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are starting this season where they left off and have jumped to the top of the National League West with a 4-0 mark. After a sweep of the Giants, they took an extra innings contest from the Padres last night 4-2. Today they'll be up against it as they go with their #5 starter Joe Saunders. The left-hander put together a flukish-type season last year posting a 3.69 ERA, which was about a half run better than his career ERA. He doesn't have any flashy skills and I fully expect his ERA to be back in the 4's again this season. Today will be particularly challenging as he faces a mostly right-handed San Diego Padres lineup that loves southpaws. The Padres are off to a sluggish start at 1-4 but their best pitcher goes today in left-hander Cory Luebke. Luebke posted a stellar 3.29 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his rookie season last year. He struggled a bit in his last start but the Dodgers lineup struggles against lefties and they don't have much punch to begin with. Outside of Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier everyone else is very young or below average. In analyzing the respective offenses, defenses and bullpens of these teams they are about a draw. However, San Diego gets the big nod when it comes to starting pitching today and they will enjoy home field advantage.
Take the Padres at a pretty good price here today.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

4 Unit Play Take #908 San Diego -119 over Arizona (6:35pm est):

Huge pitching mis-match may be an understatement here in this one as San Diego puts Cory Luebke against one of our favorite bet against pitchers in baseball Mr. Joe Saunders.
The Padres got behind 2-0 yesterday at Petco which a deficit like that can feel like a tall mountain to climb. They fought back to tie the game only to lose it in extra innings. San Diego had more men on base in the game and overall came out of the ball game feeling like they should have won it. They actually won the nine game series at home last year versus division leading Arizona. Luebke took the loss in his first outing but he pitched a lot better in that defeat than the numbers show. Luebke had a very solid 6 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in the game and four of his six runs allowed were with two outs. This is a guy right on the cusp of some real big things and for a Padre pitcher to actually have much better numbers away from Petco like Luebke did last season (2.55 ERA on the road and 4.04 at home) speaks volumes on just how good of a pitcher this guy really is.
Somehow Joe Saunders remains another year in a major league pitching rotation. Not sure how he continues to fool most but he seems to do just enough to keep others interested in his services. Arizona has only won three of his last ten road starts coming into this one but that isn't anything really new for the Diamondbacks as they always seem to struggle on the road, having dropped their last five straight as a road underdog. Worse yet is how poorly the D-Backs have been against lefties as they have gone just 24-49 versus the last 73 that they have started against them.San Diego in a match-up against a poor road team, who struggles to hit lefties and may be missing one of their better players in Josh Upton, should be a much bigger favorite than this here. They blew a good chance last night to win that one but won't do the same here in this contest. Take San Diego in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

1.-Unit Play. Take #905 Milwaukee (-120) over Chicago Cubs

1.5-Unit Play. Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-140) over Pittsburgh

1-Unit Play. Take #903 Washington (-115) over N.Y. Mets

0.5-Unit Play. Take #908 San Diego (-120) over Arizona

Today's Totals

2.-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 St. Louis at Cincinnati

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.5 Washington at N.Y. Mets

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 (+100) Tampa Bay at Detroit

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.0 Miami at PhiladelphiaMiami at Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

NHL

4-unit Play Take #53 Detroit Red Wings (+115) over Nashville Predators (8:05pm EST)

The Stanley Cup playoffs have finally arrived and it's a brand a new season. You can throw all the records out the window and look at things with a new perspective because it's a different brand of hockey come playoff time. That different style of hockey is exactly why the Detroit Red Wings have done so well in the postseason for the last two decades. The Red Wings are built for the playoffs with a roster comprised of savvy veterans who have been there before and know what it takes to win the big game. They have strong coaching, strong leadership and most importantly a confidence about them that almost no one can eclipse. The Nashville Predators, on the other hand, are the completed opposite. They are a scrappy, fundamentally sound team that is better built to take advantage of weak opponents in the regular season. They do have some veterans and a great coach, but they haven't done it before and their style just makes it extremely difficult to win a 7-game series. Everyone plays relatively disciplined in the postseason and everyone gives 100% effort most of the time. As a result, Nashville isn't going to outwork anyone like they do in the regular season. These teams had nearly identical records in the regular season, and that was with Detroit suffering through several major injuries. Now that they're healthy, they clearly have a more talented roster. Throw that in with their experience, leadership and playoff know-how and it's easy to make a case for Detroit coming out on top.

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

5 UNITS - Philadelphia Phillies ML

5 UNITS - LA Dodgers ML

5 UNITS - Boston Celtics -2.5

5 UNITS - Pittsburgh/Philadelphia OVER 5.5

4 UNITS - NY Knicks +4.5

4 UNITS - San Francisco Giants ML

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

NHL

3-Unit Pick Take Over (5) Detroit at Nashville

Nashville has become a legitimate team in the West and if they want to move on to the second round they will have to beat a core group that has done a lot of winning in the past. Nashville has one of the best goalies in the league in their net with Pekka Rinne ready to start the playoff's while Detroit has Jimmy Howard who has played well here at the end of the season after missing time with injuries. Detroit has a explosive offense and despite Rinne success in the net the Predators give up a lot of shots while Nashville has also become a better offensive team, Red Wings goalie Jimmy Howard is prone to give up rebounds and gives up soft goals from bad angles, this total opened at (5.5) with heavy under money attached before moving to (5) with over money attached, not much room for any mistakes at that number and I think we will see this two play a fast paced game one giving us good value here on the over.

4-Unit Pick Take Los Angeles (Series) (+188) over Vancouver (10 pm, Wednesday, April 11)

Vancouver is the team that has had all the success the last couple of years after making the Stanley Cup last year losing to Boston in seven games. Vancouver again finished at the top of the Western Conference but good a very tough draw in the opening series facing the Los Angeles Kings, the Kings had some upgrades to their roster after last year and then got off to a bad start to begin this year before replacing their coach Terry Murray with tough Darryl Sutter that along with the trade for Jeff Carter seemed to spark this Los Angeles team and if it wasn't for a pair of overtime losses to the Sharks Los Angeles would have won the Pacific division. Instead Los Angeles slips to eight place to play a Vancouver team that knocked them out in the first round in 2010, but this LA team is much better now, the Kings have played Vancouver tough this year splitting the four games they have played and catch a Vancouver team that won't have team second leading goal scorer Daniel Sedan in the lineup for game one and I think the Canucks have some problems in the locker room with the goaltending situation. This number is too high and Los Angeles should give Vancouver all they can handle.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

NBA

Atlanta Hawks (+3) over BOSTON CELTICS

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence with a 3* on phillies -140 (halladay) and 3* on la clippers+8.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Wednesday's Action
30 Dime winner going out on the Philadelphia 76ers as the visitang road faveorite against the Toronto Raptors. At the time I release this selrction, the Sixers are a 3 1/2-point chalk both here in Vegas and offshore.


10 Dime baseball Run Line winner going out of the New York Yankees with Sabathia over the Baltimore Orioles with Arrieta. On the Run Line, the Yanks are -105 both here in Vegas and offshore at the time I release this selection. Do keep in mind that BOTH listed pitchers must start, or no action on the release.

[Mr. IWS]

JR ODonnell | NHL ML - Wednesday, Apr 11 2012 8:05PM
ML 53 DET (+110) Bookmaker.com vs 54 NAS triple-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

Sharp Moves

UNDER 202 - LA Lakers/San Antonio

OVER 200.5 - New York/Milwaukee

UNDER 198 - Sacramento/New Orleans

OVER 180 - Atlanta/Boston

OVER 197 - Utah/Houston

UNDER 193 - Indiana/Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

*500 Over 179 Sixers/Raptors

[Mr. IWS]

J.R. Stevens / SMOOTH44

5* TOP-RATED

KANSAS CITY +115