4-15-12

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Today's NHL Picks

New Jersey at Florida

The Panthers look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and take advantage of a New Jersey team that is 3-7 in its last 10 playoff games as a favorite. Florida is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 15 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 81-82: Nashville at Detroit (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.741; Detroit 11.593 Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+140); Under

Game 83-84: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.469; Philadelphia 11.906 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 6 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

Game 85-86: New Jersey at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.192; Florida 11.895 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-105); Under

Game 87-88: Vancouver at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.966; Los Angeles 11.174 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+100); Over

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Cappers Access

Marlins(RL)
Yankees(RL)
Knicks +3

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at New York

The Heat look to take advantage of a New York team that is coming off a 103-65 win over Washington and is 5-13 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 75 points or less in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, APRIL 15 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Miami at New York (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.189; New York 123.128 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 188 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Under

Game 503-504: Dallas at LA Lakers (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.484; LA Lakers 124.410 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 186 Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; No Total Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-2); N/A

Game 505-506: Toronto at Atlanta (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.186; Atlanta 123.156 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 187 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 10; 184 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10); Over

Game 507-508: Chicago at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.532; Detroit 111.227 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 12 1/2; 181 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 184 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Orlando at Cleveland (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 118.340; Cleveland 111.078 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 190 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6); Over

Game 511-512: Boston at Charlotte (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.718; Charlotte 103.941 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 20; 179 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 183 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-8 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Portland at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.477; Sacramento 113.775 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3); Under

Game 515-516: Memphis at New Orleans (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.427; New Orleans 115.714 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 181 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Houston at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.660; Denver 120.963 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4; 208 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Under

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Boyd's 5* NBA Game of the Week
Detroit Pistons

Angels/Yankees 4* Sunday Night Baseball SMASH
Yankees (runline -1.5)

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Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Philadelphia Phillies -155 over New York Mets

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 208 bet. Sacramento and Portland

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Sunday

100* Play Miami (-200) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 1:10 PM EST

Houston has lost 21 of the last 27 games when playing on a Sunday and they have also lost 37 of the last 51 day games. Marlins pitcher, Anibal Sanchez has won 4 consecutive home games as a favorite of -175 to -200 and he is 3-1 vs. Houston over his career with an ERA of 2.37.

50* Play LA Dodgers (-220) over San Diego (MBL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Philadelphia (-190) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Easy Baseball Betting

New York Mets +176 over Phillies (1.0 Units) - Favorites tend to do better earlier in the season because teams aren't yet in the groove. So the team most expected to win tends to win. But these Phillies are tapped as a heavier favorite than they should be because they are defending their home field from being swept. The problem? They haven't been scoring runs very well.

Twins [+160] over Rangers (1.0 Units) - The Twins are like the Phillies today defending their home turf from being swept. But we take the Twins because they are not heavy favorites and they did have two great scoring games heading into THIS series. So we like their chances as such a heavy dog.

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Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 8:05 PM EST, Sunday, April 15
Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -175 New York Yankees -- regular play




Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Vancouver Canucks vs. Los Angeles Kings (NHL) - 10:30 PM EST, Sunday, April 15
Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -113 Los Angeles Kings -- regular play





Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Chicago Bulls vs. Detroit Pistons (NBA) - 6:00 PM EST, Sunday, April 15 Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 9.0/-110 Detroit Pistons -- TOP PLAY NBA SURE SHOT

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Insider Sports Report
4* San Diego (Volquez) / L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) Under 6½
3* Cleveland (Jimenez) -115 over Kansas City (Mendoza)
3* Boston Celtics -8½

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paul leiner

500* Tigers -105
100* Indians -120
50* Over 7 Mets/Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

TORONTO -1.5 (+125) over Baltimore: Brian Matusz. What can we say about this guy? Other than he is horrible. Last year he went 1-9 with a 10.69 ERA and it's continued this year as he is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after 1 start. To make it worse for him to day is the fact that he is going up against a Jays team that is looking to avoid the sweep here and a team that has crushed him in his 3 career starts vs them. Brian is 0-2 with an 15.56 ERA in those three starts and he is yet to pitch past the 3rd inning vs this team. The Jays are a struggling offensive team, but they are starting to come out of it as they have put 9 runs on the board in the first 2 games of the series so far. This is a team with plenty of pop and should have an overall good showing today, vs a very weak pitcher. Baltimore's offense has been good in this series, as they have hit .264 and have scored 13 runs in the 2 games, but Kyle Drabek has the ability to slow this team down. Kyle won his opening start, allowing just 1 ER on 3 hits in 5.1 innings of work in a 7-3 win over Boston. Baltimore did see Drabek in relief last year and he faced them in 2010, allowing 3 ER in 6 innings of work, but current members of the O's still haven't seen a lot of him as thos players have just 13 total AB's vs him and that should give Drabek a solid edge here. Toronto is the better team here and they do not want to get swept at home by a team that was slated by all to be in the basement of the AL East. The Jays should win by 4+ here.


Philadelphia/ NY Mets Over 7: Rather Low OU line considering the way today's pitchers have fared against these teams in the past. Mike Pelfrey had a rough year last year, as he went 7-13 with a 4.74 ERA and it didn't start out well for him this year as he allowed 10 hits and 3 ER in 5.2 innings of work to a weak hitting Washington team. Mike has also struggled vs the Phils in his career as he has a 5.37 ERA in 19 career starts vs them, including an 8.60 ERA in 8 starts at the Bank. Lets also note that Mike has a career 5.36 ERA in 67 starts on the road and while he has a winning record in March/ April (9-6), he still has a 5.01 in 22 starts during those moths and that would indicate high scoring games. One other stat to consider here is the fact that with the Phils such huge favorites in this one you would expect them to win outright and Mike has a 7.11 ERA in his 54 career losses. Cole Hamels has had a fine career for the Phils, but this is a team he has struggled with, as he has a 4.47 ERA in 17 starts vs them, including a 6.85 ERA in 4 starts vs them last year and a 14.84 ERA in his last 2 games vs them here. Neither offense is all that powerful, but I have to believe that vs these pitchers these teams should be able to claw out at least 3 runs each and at the very least that will give us a push. I will call for 9 runs in this one though. KEY TREND--- The Over is 15-4-2 the last 21 in the series.


ST LOUIS -1.5 (+115) Over Chicago: This is my rubber match as I won 1 and lost 1 on the RL in this series so far. The Cards have played very well out the gate, as they look to show everyone that they can win and hit without Albert Pujols. The Cards lead the league in hitting at .293 and they have averaged 5.2 rpg in the early going so far. I new coming into the year that this offense was still very strong and they haven't disappointed yet. today they get to face Paul Maholm, who is just 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Cards. Paul has also struggled to pitch on the road, as he is just 18-42 with a 5.03 ERA in 89 career road starts, plus in March/ April he is just 9-15 with a 4.46 ERA. In his opener Paul allowed 6 ER on 6 hits in just 4 innings of work vs the Brewers, who don't have half the offense that he will face today. Jake Westbrook had a slow start to his Cards career, but he got off to a good starts this year as he allowed 0ER on just 3 hits in 7 innings vs the Reds. Jake has struggled ERA wise vs the Cubs (5.40 in 5 starts), but he does have a 3-2 record in those games. Jake has struggled in March/ April. at 9-18 overall, but he is 3-2 as a member of the Cards. He looks focused and is ready for a solid year for the Cards. St Louis has more offense and the better pitching on the mound. The should win this one with ease.


Arizona/ Colorado Under 9.5: (Added) The First 2 games in this series scored a ton of runs (28), but today I see a different result. Trevor Cahill had a good opening game for his new team as he allowed just 1 ER on 2 hits in 6 innings of work vs the Padres. He did allow 6 walks in that game, but Colorado is not really a patient team. Trevor does have one start vs Colorado and he allowed 7 ER on 8 hits in just 3.2 innings work back in 2009, so you can bet that he will be looking for a better showing in this one. Depite that shelling, current Colorado hitter still have just a .167 BA vs Cahill in 24 AB's. Arizona's has been solid on offense of late, but the have not faced Drew Pomeranz yet so that should give him an advantage here. After putting up a lot of runs in the first two games this one will be a bit different. Yes we have two good offenses in this one, but the pitchers have the advantage in this one as neither team has seen much from today's starters.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Milwaukee +136 over ATLANTA: Last night the Braves put up 2 early runs but did very little after, and while they won the game they still are not playing well offensively and Naverson does have a 1.50 ERA in 2 career starts vs them. Milwaukee has also struggled offensively this year and while be facing Beachy, who has an 0.75 ERA in 2 starts vs them, but still I don't see the Brewers getting swept here. Their have the better pen and their offense should do enough to come out on top here.


Houston/ Miami Over 7.5: What's this the Astros have a decent offense this year? This team may very well finish in the bottom of the NL Central, but it won't be due to their offense. Houston comes in 9th in hitting (.256) and 11th in runs scored (4.62) and they have put up 9 runs in this series so far. Today they face Anibel Sanchez, who has not allowed an ER in his last 2 home starts vs them, but still I expect this improved Houston offense to get a few runs off of him here. J.A.Happ get's the ball for Houston and in his last 2 trips to Miami he allowed 8 ER on 10 hits and 9 walks in 11.2 innings of work in the two games. The Miami offense is waking up and should have a good showing here. The first 2 games in the series put up 9 runs each and I see more of the same today. KEY TREND--- The Over is 17-4 the last 21 meetings in Miami.

1 UNIT PLAYS

San Francisco/ Pittsburgh Under 7: (Added) Kevin Correia had weird home/ away numbers last year,as he was 2-8 with a 7.71 ERA in 13 home games last year (12 starts), while he was 10-3 with a 2.84 ERA in 14 road starts. He also has a 2.77 ERA in his last 7 starts in March/ April. Ryan Vogelsong is making his first start of the year and he is off a fine 2011 that saw him post a 2.71 ERA, including an ERA of 2.21 in 16 starts here. I don't expect either offense to get rolling in this on as we see about 5 runs scored here.


Chicago/ St Louis Over 8.5: (Added) I expect the Cards to win big in this one and that means a lot of runs from them. Dating back to last year Paul Malholm has a 6.58 ERA in his last 7 starts and in his last 5 vs the Cards he has a 5.14 ERA. The Cards offense will get plenty off of him, while the Cubs should get a few off of Westbrook, who has a 5.40 ERA in 5 starts vs Chicago and a 4.80 ERA in his career in March April. Look for 10+ runs in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

PHILADELPHIA +111 over Pittsburgh

The Penguins are in trouble. They’re down 0-2 in the series after blowing 3-0 and 2-0 leads at home and that’s a lot different than falling behind and losing a game. Not being able to hold significant leads, especially in the playoffs is not supposed to happen to the Stanley Cup favorite. Marc Andre Fleury has been shaky but the most glaring weakness of all is the Penguins poor defense that keeps getting pressured into making bad decisions. That’s not going to change here and in fact, it could get worse. The defense will now be tentative for fear of making a game changing mistake. Philly comes in loose, extremely confident and in a position to put the proverbial nail in the Pens coffin. It’s not going to be easy and they’ll have to play even better than they did in games one and two but the Flyers should not be a dog in their own building after what they did to this cross-state rival in games one and two. We’ll see if Philly has that killer instinct in them today. We trust that they do. Play: Philadelphia +100 (Risking 2 units).

FLORIDA +103 over New Jersey

After losing 18 OT games during the regular season, we’re going to play the Panthers in regulation only and therefore if it’s a tie after 60 minutes we get a push. Some of you may not have that option and if you don’t, you can either play Florida -½ +165 in regulation or just play them including OT at this same price of +103. Game one saw the Devils jump out to a quick 3-0 lead before the Panthers settled down. Remember, this is a Florida club that was making its first playoff appearance in 12 years. Once they did settle down they took over and really outplayed the Devils in periods 2 and 3. They rallied for two goals in the second period and were in a position to win the game entering the third. They fell short but they did accomplish some positive things. They did not allow the Devils another goal after the first period. They started taking more shots on Marty Brodeur and that’s going to be key. The two goals Brodeur allowed were not pretty. 90% of the goalies in the league would have stopped both of them. We reiterate about how little faith we have in him. The Panthers are down 0-1 but they really don’t have the pressure on them. They’re expected to lose this series quickly and quietly but they’re not an easy out by any stretch and this enticing line on the Devils suggests the odds makers give them a big shot here. Play: Florida +103 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

SACRAMENTO -3 over Portland

As the season winds down, what we have here is a disappointed Trail Blazers team that will finish 11th in the conference out of 15 teams. That’s way below expectations for a team that was supposed to make the playoffs. Portland played hard in its last game at home against Dallas but just fell short, 97-94. That was the game they wanted. It was a home game against the Champs and it was its last meaningful home game of the season. They played it without LaMarcus Aldridge and now they take to the road without their MVP to close out the season with four of its last five away from the Rose Garden. The Blazers have dropped three of four with only win over that span coming against the depleted and undermanned Warriors. This is a guest that would have trouble winning in Sacramento under ideal conditions but these conditions are anything but. The Kings have dropped seven in a row and they’re hungry for a win. At home, Sac is just a game under .500 where they remain a formidable opponent. They should have more energy and desire for this one and they also have more talent with Aldridge on the rack. The Kings make a lot of mistakes but they’re also a young and enthusiastic team that plays with everything they have at home. That effort could turn this one into a cakewalk against what should be at best, a semi-interested visitor. Play: Sacramento -3 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Chicago +165 over ST. LOUIS

There are pitchers in this game that should never be this prohibitive a favorite and Jake Westbrook is without question among that group. Westbrook is overvalued here for two reasons. One, he's coming off a three-hit shutout in seven frames in Cincinnati to open the year and two, he pitches for the Cardinals. However, he’s still the same Jake Westbrook that struck out two batters while walking four in his season debut and that had a horrible strikeout rate a season ago. He comes from the Dave Duncan school of pitching and that helps but Westbrook is one of the more hittable pitchers in the game. Last year the league hit .290 off him and he posted an ERA of 4.66. He’s now a year older and he’s a pitcher that should be avoided when laying such a significant price. Paul Maholm is a fourth or fifth starter on any team. He’ll never dominate and he’ll never be any better than he is right now. What he will usually do however, is pitch six innings and give up an average of three runs. We’ll take that when being offered a tag like this against Westbrook. Play: Chicago +165 (Risking 2 units).