4-28-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 633-312 (.670)
ATS: 499-481 (.509)
ATS Vary Units: 1346-1237 (.521)
Over/Under: 472-500 (.486)
Over/Under Vary Units: 928-1023 (.476)

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game 1, best-of-7
CHICAGO 91, Philadelphia 81
MIAMI 95, New York 91
INDIANA 97, Orlando 90
Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game 1, best-of-7
OKLAHOMA CITY 103, Dallas 94

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Saturday's NBA Playoff Action!!

New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-8.5, 186.5)

THE STORY: The Miami Heat’s Big Three have not seen the floor in a game together in nearly two weeks. With the Heat cruising toward the No. 2 seed in the East, the team opted for rest over consistency. The seventh-seeded New York Knicks, on the other hand, are just beginning to come together. Carmelo Anthony closed the regular season on a tear and Amar'e Stoudemire has spent the past week working himself back into shape.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE KNICKS (36-30): New York lost all three regular season meetings with the Heat by an average of 10.7 points, but still has plenty of confidence entering this series due to the way it has played down the stretch. The Knicks have a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in Tyson Chandler in the middle and a stopper on the perimeter in Iman Shumpert, which has helped transform the team on that end of the floor. Anthony asserted himself in April after Jeremy Lin and Stoudemire went down, averaging 29.8 points in the month. Stoudemire is back as a second scoring option, having played at least 24 minutes in each of the final four games and stayed healthy. The Knicks also have a huge edge off the bench with Steve Novak and J.R. Smith.

ABOUT THE HEAT (46-20): Miami’s hopes rest on LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. Just like last season, the supporting cast leaves something to be desired. Coach Eric Spoelstra moved Udonis Haslem into the starting lineup late in the season, giving the team some toughness up front to help deal with Chandler. Bosh missed the final six games of the regular season to rest a minor hamstring issue and both Wade and James took time off to rest minor injuries. All three were on the floor on Apr. 15, when Miami went into Madison Square Garden and took down the Knicks, 93-85. James led the way with 29 points and 10 rebounds while Wade added 28 and nine.

TRENDS:
-The under is 21-5 in Miami's last 26 home games.
- New York has covered in 19 of its last 26.
- Miami has covered in five of its last seven games when favored.

Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls (-9, 175.5)

THE STORY: Despite owning the best record in the NBA, the Chicago Bulls are not without questions. The starting five has played very few games together due to injury and the most important player, reigning MVP Derrick Rose, has not had much time to get into playing shape. The eighth-seeded Philadelphia 76ers were limping their way to the finish line before picking it up right at the end. The Bulls took two of three in the regular season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE 76ERS (35-31): There was a time in the middle of the season where it looked like Philadelphia would run away with the Atlantic Division. It did not turn out that way, as the 76ers were under .500 in February and March and then began April by dropping seven of nine. Philadelphia had to scramble to clinch the final playoff spot but eventually broke through and found some offense, reaching the 100-point plateau three times during a four-game winning streak from Apr. 18-25. The 76ers play a similar style to the Bulls, preferring to slow the tempo and win with defense. Their best defensive stopper, Andre Iguodala, sat out the final two games of the regular season with a bruised Achilles but should be ready for Saturday.

ABOUT THE BULLS (50-16): Chicago clinched the best record in the NBA and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs with a 107-75 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers in the regular-season finale. Derrick Rose sat that game out, pushing his total of games missed this season to 27. Richard Hamilton missed 38 games and Luol Deng missed 12 games, leaving the Bulls less time than most teams with their intended starting lineup. Chicago was still able to roll through the league on the strength of its defense, which surrendered an NBA-low 88.2 points, and the front court duo of Joakim Noah and Carlos Boozer, which helped the team lead the league in rebounding.

TRENDS:
- Philadelphia has covered in four of its last five.
- The over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings between the two teams.
- The under has cashed in each of Chicago's last six.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Rose, who only played in five of the final 10 games, matched a season high with 35 points in a win at Philadelphia on Mar. 4.

2. The 76ers finished 16-17 on the road, while the Bulls went 26-7 at home.

3. Philadelphia G Lou Williams became the first player ever to lead his team in scoring (14.9 points) without starting a game.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7.5, 193)

THE STORY: The Dallas Mavericks begin their quest for a second consecutive NBA title against one of their key conquests from their first title. Dallas opens its championship defense Saturday night against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that bowed out in five games in last year's Western Conference finals. The Thunder bounced back nicely during the shortened 2011-12 campaign, posting the second-best record in the West thanks to spectacular seasons from Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (36-30): It wasn't an easy regular season for the defending champs, who lost center Tyson Chandler to the New York Knicks and weren't able to replace his defensive intensity in the paint. Making matters worse was a drawn-out fiasco with forward Lamar Odom that eventually led to he and the team parting ways. The Mavericks worked through the distraction and qualify for the postseason, but a better showing on the road will be imperative to the team's title chances. Dallas went just 13-20 away from American Airlines Center, the second-worst road mark of any team to reach the playoffs.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (47-19): Durant won his third consecutive scoring title, becoming the first player since Michael Jordan (2006-08) to accomplish the feat. He had plenty of help on the scoresheet, with Westbrook (23.8 ppg) and sixth man James Harden (16.8) fueling the league's third-ranked offense. Getting past the Mavericks will require the Thunder to avoid the fourth-quarter meltdowns that plagued them in their final two losses of the Western Conference final. Dallas rallied from 15 points down to win Game 4, then wiped out a seven-point deficit in the final six minutes of Game 5.

TRENDS:
- The underdog is 17-4-1 against the spread in the last 22 meetings between the two teams.
- Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last seven.
- Oklahoma City is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 home games against Dallas.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City won three of four regular-season meetings between the teams.

2. Durant averaged 25.5 points and 8.3 rebounds against the Mavericks this season.

3. Dallas went 32-34 against the spread in the regular season, while Oklahoma City was 35-31.

Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers (-9, 191.5)

THE STORY: The Indiana Pacers find themselves in the role of favorites as they open the Eastern Conference playoffs against the visiting Orlando Magic on Saturday. Third-seeded Indiana finished the season strong while sixth-seeded Orlando struggled down the stretch, particularly after losing star center Dwight Howard to season-ending back surgery. The Pacers are 12-3 in April and have multiple weapons to make up for a lack of star power. The Magic lost four of their final five regular-season outings.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE MAGIC (37-29): Not having Howard is a huge blow as the Pacers had trouble handling him. Howard averaged 23.8 points and 10.8 rebounds while shooting 68.5 percent from the field. Glen Davis is expected to start at center in Game 1 after injuring an ankle on Wednesday. Orlando will likely rely on its 3-point shooting (the Magic led the NBA in most 3s made) to help compensate for the loss of its interior edge. Forward Ryan Anderson made a league-high 166 3-pointers and guard J.J. Redick (41.8 percent) is also capable of hitting them in bunches. Forward Hedo Turkoglu is back from facial fractures and had a team-high 18 points in Thursday’s regular-season finale against Memphis.

ABOUT THE PACERS (42-24): Balance is the key for Indiana, which has five players averaging in double figures and eight players averaging 8.9 points or better. Forward Danny Granger averages a team-leading 18.7 points and he has raised his level of play significantly down the stretch by scoring at a 21.6 clip in April. Center Roy Hibbert could be in line for a big series with Howard sidelined. Hibbert averaged just 10.8 points and 6.8 rebounds against Howard in the regular season. Forward David West also struggled against Orlando, averaging just 7.0 points and shooting 36.8 percent. Darren Collison and George Hill give Indiana two solid point guard options with Hill playing better heading into the postseason.

TRENDS:
- Orlando has covered in five of its last six meetings with Indiana.
- Indiana is 7-15 in its last 16 games when playing on two days' rest.
- The over is 4-1 in Indiana's last five.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Orlando won three of the four regular-season meetings.

2. The Magic is making their sixth consecutive playoff appearance; Indiana is in for the second straight season after a five-year drought.

3. Pacers guard Leandro Barbosa (ankle) is a game-time decision.

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Saturday's Streaking & Slumping Starting Pitchers

"Streaking"

Kyle Lohse, St. Louis Cardinals - 3-0, 0.99 ERA

Lohse hasn’t topped the 100-pitch plateau through four starts this season and has allowed only three total runs on 16 hits. His control has been fantastic, walking just two batters so far. He would be heading into this start 4-0 if it weren’t for a blown save.

Jake Peavy, Chicago White Sox – 3-0, 1.88 ERA

It looks like Peavy’s shoulder is just fine following a long stint of rehab. After struggling last season and suffering the shoulder injury in July, the veteran fired his 10th career complete game in shutting out Oakland 4-0 Monday. He gave up just three hits while striking out five. He has struck out at least five in all four of his starts this year, limiting opposing batters to a .172 average.

"Slumping"

Erik Bedard, Pittsburgh Pirates – 0-4, 2.63 ERA

Bedard is still looking for his first win in a Pirates uniform, but he is hardly to blame for his 0-4 start. He has allowed seven runs total so far and just one homer. The problem is Pittsburgh has scored just three times with the lefty on the bump. He has 17 strikeouts compared to 10 walks in 24 innings of work.

Freddy Garcia, New York Yankees – 0-1, 9.75 ERA

Garcia lasted just 1 2/3 innings in his last outing as the Boston Red Sox spanked him for seven hits and five runs. The veteran righty threw 5 2/3 innings in his start before that, but still gave up five runs and nine hits in a 7-3 loss to Minnesota.

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Hondo 4/28
Hondo hit a bomb with the D’backs last night but promptly gave a chunk of it back when the Nats failed in LA, leaving him with IOUs totaling 475 barnetts.
Today, Mr. Aitch is hoopin’ and hopin’ with the Knicks — 10 units. Tonight, he is counting on Kennedy to keep it reel against the Marlins.

Fade Plays: Miami Heat -8.5, Miami Marlins (-123)

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National Sports Service (20-19 L39)
4* Miami -8.5 over New York (NBA)
3* Chicago -9 over Philadelphia (NBA)
3* Dallas +7.5 over Oklahoma City (NBA)

Insider Sports Report (22-17 L39)
5* Washington (Strasburg) -120 over L.A. Dodgers (Billingsley)
3* Chicago -9 over Philadelphia (NBA)
3* Dallas/Oklahoma City UNDER 193 (NBA)

Elite Sports Picks (5-2 L7)
Kansas City (Chen) -115 over Minnesota (Marquis)

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Mlb

Hot pitchers
-- Lohse is 3-0, 0.99 in four starts this season. Estrada allowed one run in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Cueto is 2-0, 2.13 in four starts this season.
-- Bedard has a 3.00 RA in four starts but is 0-4 because Pirates scored a total of three runs in the four games.
-- Kennedy is 3-0, 3.86 in four starts this season. ASanchez is 1-0, 3.26 in three starts this season.
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 1.08 in four starts this season.
-- Bass has a 2.94 RA in three starts this season.

-- Haren has a 1.93 RA in his last two starts, but Angels are 0-4 in his starts, with bullpen losing three of the four games. Gomez is 1-0, 2.46 in two starts this season, but lasted total of just 7.1 IP in the two starts (ejected in one).
-- Smyly has a 1.69 RA in three starts for Detroit.
-- Ross is 1-0, 2.19 in two starts this season. WChen is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Peavy is 3-0, 1.19 in his last three starts.
-- Lewis is 2-0, 2.02 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Harrell is 0-1, 5.74 in his last three starts.
-- Blanton is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts. Wells allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Delgado has a 5.74 RA in three starts this season.
-- Gee is 1-2, 5.68 in three starts this season. Guthrie allowed 12 runs in 10.1 IP in two home starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 10.24 in his last couple starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-2, 8.20 in four starts this season.

-- FGarcia is 0-1, 10.50 in three starts this season.
-- Morrow is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts. Millwood is 0-1, 11.58 in his last couple starts.
-- BChen is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts. Marquis has a 7.15 RA in his first two starts for Minnesota.
-- Lester is 0-1, 9.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Niemann is 1-2, 5.87 in three starts this season.

Hot teams
-- Braves won 13 of their last 17 games. Pittsburgh is 3-2 in second game of series if they lose the opener.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six home games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games. Colorado won five of its last seven home games.
-- Nationals won four of their last six games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.

-- Royals won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Bronx won three of their last four home games.
-- Indians won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Mariners won last four games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Orioles/A's both won four of their last five games.
-- Texas won 11 of its last 14 games. Rays won their last six games, allowing 12 runs.
-- Red Sox won their last five games, scoring 44 runs.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last six road games. Phillies lost three of last four at home.
-- Marlins lost their last six games, scoring seven runs. Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Cincinnati is 0-3 in second game of series if it lost the opener. Astros lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost last five road games, allowing 40 runs.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last five games.
-- Padres lost five of their seven road games.

-- Detroit lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Toronto lost its last four games, scoring eight runs.
-- Angels lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Minnesota lost its last six games, allowing 41 runs.

Totals
-- Over is 4-2-1 in Cubs' road games this season.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-3-1 in Pirate games, 3-6-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-4 in Colorado's last eleven games.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in San Francisco's home games.

-- Under is 10-5-2 in last seventeen Detroit games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Seattle's last five games.
-- Eight of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Baltimore home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay road games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Boston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.

Umpires
-- Mil-StL-- Under is 15-10 in last 25 Barksdale games.
-- Hst-Cin-- Underdogs won last four McClelland games.
-- Chi-Phil-- Since start of 2010, under is 41-28 in Iassogna games.
-- Pitt-Atl-- Three of last four Danley games stayed under.
-- Az-Mia-- Three of four Hoye games stayed under, with underdogs winning the last three.
-- NY-Col-- Road team won all three LBarrett games this year.
-- SD-SF-- Home team is 5-0 this season with Tschida behind plate.
-- Wsh-LA-- Over is 18-15-1 in last 34 Carlson games.

-- LA-Clev-- Home side is 22-15 in last 37 Culbreth games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won last four Gorman games.
-- Det-NY-- Favorites won all three Fletcher games this season.
-- Sea-Tor-- Home side won seven of last ten Gonzalez games.
-- A's-Balt-- Four of five Cooper games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Chi-- Home side won three of four Reyburn games this year.
-- TB-Tex-- Road team won all three Wendelstedt games this year

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DCI NHL

Season: 426-323 (.569)

Western Conference Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7
Los Angeles vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Washington 2

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 836- 611 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Free winner 10-5 run Free winner Sat: Phillies w/ Blanton

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Kings/Blues under 5

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Turner

MLB so far:
11-10-1
+8.1 U

4/28/2012
Game: Kansas City at Minnesota
Pick: Kansas City -1.5 (+140)


their free Play was mentioned as a "huge" one on twitter.
Knicks/Heat u186.5

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Today's MLB Picks

Washington at LA Dodgers

The Nationals look to build on their 6-0 record in Stephen Strasburg's last 6 road starts. Washington is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 28 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at St. Louis (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.529; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.252 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Under

Game 953-954: Houston at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 15.473; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.146 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.257; Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.461 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 15.083; Atlanta (Delgado) 16.420 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.474; Miami (Sanchez) 13.015 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Under

Game 961-962: NY Mets at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 13.986; Colorado (Moscoso) 15.165 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Bass) 15.108; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.707 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155); Under

Game 965-966: Washington at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 16.448; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.738 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 6 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 14.476; Cleveland (Gomez) 14.736 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 14.894; Minnesota (Marquis) 13.754 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Over

Game 971-972: Detroit at NY Yankees (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 14.646; NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.228 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Under

Game 973-974: Seattle at Toronto (4:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Millwood) 16.004; Toronto (Morrow) 14.417 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-180); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+160); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 15.006; Baltimore (Chen) 16.032 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.212; White Sox (Peavy) 14.704 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.111; Texas (Lewis) 17.585 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-155); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

New York at Miami

The Heat look to take advantage of a New York team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a road underdog of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Miami is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, APRIL 28 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Philadelphia at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.167; Chicago 123.102 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 179 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 175 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9); Over

Game 503-504: New York at Miami (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.371; Miami 129.465 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Orlando at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.530; Indiana 121.325 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Over

Game 507-508: Dallas at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 116.502; Oklahoma City 126.177 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7 1/2); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

Washington at NY Rangers

The Capitals look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Washington is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 28 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 5-6: Washington at NY Rangers (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.289; NY Rangers 11.265 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Over

Game 1-2: Los Angeles at St. Louis (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.714; St. Louis 12.822 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-155); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under

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Sports Wagers MLB

Seattle +162 over TORONTO Pinnacle
The Blue Jays have dropped four and have hit .211 over that span while being outscored 19-8. Brandon Morrow has never lived up to expectations. He has outstanding stuff but his focus and mental toughness remains in question. Morrow is easily rattled and he’s been horrible at home for two years running. Known as a strikeout pitcher, Morrow has just 12 strikeouts this season in 27 frames. The Jays are 0-2 in his two home starts against Baltimore and Tampa Bay in which he’s surrendered 14 hits, five jacks and 10 runs in 13 innings. In those 13 home frames, he’s walked four and struck out six. Morrow has an ERA of 3.71 and that’s a result of an unsustainable 83% strand rate. This is a fragile pitcher throwing for a fragile team. Meanwhile, the Mariners have won four straight including a three-game sweep in Detroit. They rallied from two down in the ninth last night to tie it and scored four in the 10th to put it away. The M’s have scored 30 runs during this current streak. Kevin Millwood has a 7.04 ERA. He’s way past his prime but Millwood's 4.17 xERA says that he hasn't been nearly as bad as his 7.04 ERA over 15 IP suggests. The price and current form dictates the play and it’s not in the Jays favor. Play: Seattle +162 (Risking 2 units).

Boston +106 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
The Red Sox are seeing beach balls right now. They’re coming off back-to-back 10 run outbursts at U.S. Cellular Field and have belted 11 bombs over their past five games while batting .363. The reason Boston is being offered a tag here is because Jon Lester’s ERA is 6.00 while Jake Peavy’s ERA is 1.88. There are corrections forthcoming in both of those ERA’s and chances are great that the corrections begin here. Lester is still among the elite pitchers in the game. His high ERA is the result of one horrendous outing in Texas in which he allowed eight runs in two innings. In his first two starts of the year in Detroit and Toronto, he allowed just nine hits in 15 innings. Lester entered 2012 having compiled four consecutive seasons of sub-3.50 ERA with skills that support the performance. He’s still one of the premier pitchers in the league and one bad outing doesn’t change that. Jake Peavy has been lights out with four walks and 26 K’s in 29 frames. He’s 3-0, the South Side is 4-0 in his starts and he has a BAA of .172. Great numbers indeed but also unsustainable one's and that allows us to step in and take back a tag with the hottest offense in the game with one of the best lefties in the game. Play: Boston +106 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit +106 over N.Y. YANKEES Pinnacle
If Freddy Garcia were pitching for any other team other than the Yankees, there is no chance he would be favored over the Tigers here. Garcia has a pair of brutal starts in three tries this year and faces a dangerous and surging Detroit team that owns a .935 OPS in their last seven games. Had Michael Pineda not been injured, Garcia would be out of a job and still might be once Andy Pettitte joins the club. Garcia has allowed 20 hits in 12.2 innings for a BAA of .385. He's lost velocity each of the past three years, the quality starts are dwindling and line-drive % is creeping up. Those are signs that this is a guy to avoid when laying a price. Drew Smyly is a name that a lot of folks are going to know how to spell real soon. Smyly was a second round pick in the '10 draft and earned Detroit's Minor League Pitcher of the Year award in his first pro season in '11. In two starts and one early relief appearance, he’s struck out 15 batters in 16 frames with a strong 51% groundball rate. It’s no fluke either. Smyly has a good repertoire and mixes speeds like a veteran. His fastball velocity is fine for a lefty at 87-93 mph and it shows excellent movement. The Yanks have never seen this promising rookie and that too should work in our favor. Garcia favored here is a marketplace misconception. Play: Detroit +106 (Risking 2 units).