4-30-12

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Today's NHL Picks

Washington at NY Rangers

The Capitals look to take advantage of a Rangers team that is 2-6 in its last 8 conference semifinal games. Washington is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 11-12: Washington at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.739; NY Rangers 11.815 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-155); 5 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+135); Under

Game 13-14: Los Angeles at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.241; St. Louis 11.295 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-165); 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+145); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

New York at Miami

The Knicks look to bounce back from a 100-67 loss in Game 1 and build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games after allowing 100 point or more in the previous game. New York is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 7. Dunkel Pick: New York (+10). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 517-518: New York at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.037; Miami 124.799 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10; 184 Dunkel Pick: New York (+10); Over

Game 519-520: Orlando at Indiana (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.496; Indiana 121.359 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Under

Game 521-522: Dallas at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 116.935; Oklahoma City 124.745 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 194 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Under

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Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Houston

The Mets look to take advantage of a Houston team that is coming off a 6-5 loss to Cincinnati and is 2-9 in Bud Norris' last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. New York is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Arizona at Miami (12:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 14.502; Miami (Buehrle) 12.988 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Miami (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 14.454; Philadelphia (Worley) 15.265 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 16.562; Atlanta (Minor) 14.941 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); Under

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 15.702; Houston (Norris) 14.805 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 15.966; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.449 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Over

Game 961-962: Milwaukee at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 13.831; San Diego (Wieland) 15.518 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 963-964: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 16.970; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.992 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 16.619; Toronto (Drabek) 15.766 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-155); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.341; Detroit (Below) 14.882 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Over

Game 969-970: Oakland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.067; Boston (Buchholz) 14.573 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Under

Game 971-972: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.655; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.076 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 973-974: Minnesota at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.306; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.131 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-230); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+190); Under

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Knicks
Magic
Red Sox(RL)

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Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

TORONTO DRABEK -R +1.5 Runs, -120 over Texas

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 8 runs bet. Houston and NY Mets

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Ben lee won on Sunday with the Giants -$160/Padres.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Phillies -$160/Cubs.

"Mr Chalk" is 15-8 +$253 for the 2012 MLB season.

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EPL Betting Preview: Manchester United at Manchester City

Manchester United (+235) at Manchester City (+105)

Draw: +240 Over/Under: 2.5 goals (Over -138)

THE STORY

Manchester United holds a three-point advantage over Manchester City with two matches remaining following Monday’s tilt. A City win would put them at the top of the EPL table based on goal differential.

City leads the EPL with 87 goals for, one better than United, and has conceded 27 which are five fewer than United has allowed.

United has struggled down the stretch, taking four points from a possible nine, while City has won three straight. United will look to avenge an embarrassing 6-1 blowout loss to City at Old Trafford earlier this season.

WHAT TO EXPECT

Manchester City generates its offense through the middle of the pitch with David Silva and Samir Nasri pushing the pace and looking for Carlos Tevez on the attack. As mentioned, City needs the three points here and will look to attack at every opportunity.

United can play it safe hoping for a draw, but will attack from the wings with Antonio Valencia, Nani and Ashley Young counterattacking outside.

GETTING DEFENSIVE

Manchester United’s typically tough defense has come under fire after the club’s 4-4 draw with Everton which came on the heels of a loss to Wigan. That has some wondering who will start at right back Monday. Rafael has normally occupied that spot but word has it that Phil Jones or Chris Smalling might crack the starting 11 after Rafael struggled against Everton.

THE TEVEZ FACTOR

After sitting out for almost six months, Manchester City sparkplug Carlos Tevez managed to smooth things over with his boss, and has now worked his way back in to the squad. He has been nothing short of brilliant in his return, and is a big part of the reason his team finds itselves back in the hunt for the title.

Tevez has scored four goals in his last two matches, including a hat-trick in last week's rout of Norwich. He seems to have earned the respect and support of his boss as well as his teammates, who know that they will need him to be on top form in order to win the Premier League title.

ODDS OF INTEREST

A penalty in the match: Yes +200 No -275
A red card in the match: Yes +175 No -250
Wayne Rooney’s odds to score anytime: +175
Carlos Tevez’s odds to score anytime: +188

THEY SAID IT

“We know the exact situation we are in here. We are in a better position than Manchester City. We can get two results, they can only get one. They have to win. We can draw or we can win, although you know my attitude. We will be trying to win.” – Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson.

“I probably expect us to lose to Manchester United. Their players are used to playing under pressure every year. But we don’t have any pressure as we have no chance of winning.” – City boss Roberto Mancini.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Los Angeles Angels (-230) over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Minnesota has lost 24 of the last 36 games when playing on a Monday and they have also lost 6 consecutive games as an underdog of +200 or higher. Minnesota has lost 5 of the last 6 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 29 of the last 42 games after having lost 15 or more of the last 20 games.

50* Play Miami (-165) over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play New York Yankees (-170) over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

MONDAY

100* Play Indiana (-9) over Orlando (TOP NBA PLAY)
7:30 PM EST

Orlando has lost 11 of the last 17 games and they have also lost 9 of the last 14 games against the spread after scoring 90 points or less in two straight games. Orlando has lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points and they are only averaging 88 points a game on offense over the last five games.

50* Play Oklahoma City (-6.5) over Dallas (BONUS NBA PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-19, 35-32 ATS) were the favorites to win the
Western Conference when the playoffs began, but they are very lucky to be up
1-0 in this series vs. the seventh-seeded and defending NBA Champion Dallas
Mavericks (36-31, 33-34). The Thunder trailed for much of the fourth
quarter in Game 1 Saturday and were down seven points with about 2:30 left before
rallying, and they won 99-98 on a very fortunate shot by Kevin Durant with
1.5 seconds left that appeared to be off line but somehow bounced off the rim
and then the backboard before dropping through. While that could have been
a devastating loss for a younger team, the veteran Mavericks showed the
heart of a champion while sending a message to the highly favored two-seeds that
they will not go down without a fight. That could set of a great Game 2
from Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK Monday night at 9:30 on TNT.

The Thunder shot the ball well enough to win more comfortably than they did
as they shot 48.1 percent from the floor, a tick above their season's
average of 47.1 percent, which ranked third in the NBA. They fell short of their
third best 103.1-point average though because they shot just 6-for-16 from
beyond the three-point arc, including just 1-of-6 by Durant. He still ended
up with 25 points, but Russell Westbrook led the team with 28 points while
defensive specialist Serge Ibaka uncharacteristically poured in 22. Also,
James Harden showed no ill effects of the elbow to the head he took from Metta
World Peace last week as he added 19 points and six rebounding while hitting
on two of his four three-point attempts. So with such a great balanced
attack, why were the Thunder life and death to escape with a one-point win? Well,
they were rather lax defensively early on while allowing 51 points in the
first half, and they did not really turn up the pressure defensively until
the fourth quarter, when recorded most of their eight steals.

The Mavericks also kept themselves in the game with excellent three-point
shooting, hitting on 10-of-22 for 45.5 percent from beyond the arc, resulting
in a net gain of +12 points compared to the Thunder's three-point shooting.
That was uncharacteristic for a Dallas team that ranked 20th in the league
in three-point shooting at just 33.9 percent. However, Jason Terry, who hit
on 4-of-5 three-pointers and scored 20 points over the first three quarters,
disappeared while getting shut out in the fourth quarter. Dirk Nowitzki
ended up leading the way with 25 points and his two free throws gave the
Mavericks a one-point lead right before Durant's final heroics.

Dallas easily covered the +7-point spread in Game 1, as in fact Oklahoma
City's biggest lead of the entire game was only four points. That brought the
road teams to 19-6-1 against the spread in the last 26 head-to-head
meetings between these teams and the underdogs to 18-7-1 ATS in those same
encounters. The Thunder are now 4-1 straight up vs. the Mavericks this season
combining the regular season and playoffs, but the Mavericks are now 3-2 ATS in
those meetings.

Pick: DALLAS/OKLAMOA CITY OVER 194

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 194 Mavs/Thunder

50* Seattle Mariners ML+105

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - NBA/NHL


GAME 2
INDIANA/Orlando under 187½ Pinnacle
Despite winning game one by scoring the last 11 points of the contest, the question remains of who is going to score for the Magic. The 81 they put up in game one is likely the number they will be around again tonight. Orlando played in Indiana three times this season including the one playoff game and had outputs of 81, 81 and 85 and there’s nothing to suggest anything different here. This is playoff basketball in which the defensive intensity is turned up a few notches. In game 2, adjustments are made and the Magic simply do not have the offensive weapons to put up a lot of points. In order to win without Dwight Howard, they have to play tremendous defense and slow the tempo to a crawl. They did it in game one and will apply the same philosophy here. Even if the Pacers put up 100 points, an unlikely scenario to be sure, this one could still go under. Play: Indiana/Orlando under 187½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

Game 2 Los Angeles +152 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle Once again we get a rather abundant take-back on the Kings in a game they have just as good a chance of winning as the Blues or maybe more. The Kings were the better team in game one and they were the better team in just about every period against the Canucks in their opening round. This is a confident and dangerous team right now with everyone playing their roles to near perfection. All the pressure is on St. Louis to even this series up. Against this undefeated road playoff team, that’s a daunting task. The price dictates the play, as there is not a sensible reason for not playing this very live doggie. Play: Los Angeles +152 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - NBA/NHL


GAME 2
INDIANA/Orlando under 187½ Pinnacle
Despite winning game one by scoring the last 11 points of the contest, the question remains of who is going to score for the Magic. The 81 they put up in game one is likely the number they will be around again tonight. Orlando played in Indiana three times this season including the one playoff game and had outputs of 81, 81 and 85 and there’s nothing to suggest anything different here. This is playoff basketball in which the defensive intensity is turned up a few notches. In game 2, adjustments are made and the Magic simply do not have the offensive weapons to put up a lot of points. In order to win without Dwight Howard, they have to play tremendous defense and slow the tempo to a crawl. They did it in game one and will apply the same philosophy here. Even if the Pacers put up 100 points, an unlikely scenario to be sure, this one could still go under. Play: Indiana/Orlando under 187½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

Game 2 Los Angeles +152 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle Once again we get a rather abundant take-back on the Kings in a game they have just as good a chance of winning as the Blues or maybe more. The Kings were the better team in game one and they were the better team in just about every period against the Canucks in their opening round. This is a confident and dangerous team right now with everyone playing their roles to near perfection. All the pressure is on St. Louis to even this series up. Against this undefeated road playoff team, that’s a daunting task. The price dictates the play, as there is not a sensible reason for not playing this very live doggie. Play: Los Angeles +152 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

LINES2WIN

2-1 (+1.62 Units) - Last Night. Baltimore mounted a furious rally in the 9th down by 2 runs the entire game, they tie it up and win on a walkoff 3 run home run. Cleveland cruised past the Angels as Lowe dominated them. Things weren't so good in Boston however as the Celtics were down the entire game and even though they cut the lead down to 4 with about a minute remaining, they ended getting screwed by the refs for our loss.


MLB *EARLY* - 12:40 EST start time

Arizona +150 (1 Unit) - Buerle vs Corbin- The rookie gets the nod today over the struggling Collmenter. Been following Corbin a little while and he was good in spring training and solid in the minors. The Marlins still continue to lack run scoring prowess. In contrast Arizona has scored 30 more runs than the Marlins over the same stretch. Buerle has been solid but, once again we don't need him to give up alot of runs to win this one.